1. Journals: Subscriptions Substitutions Cancellations Chandra Prabha Research Scientist Carolyn Hank Research Intern* XXV Annual Charleston Conference November 3, 2005 *Currently TRLN Doctoral Fellow, UNC-Chapel Hill

2. Presentation Overview Research question ARL Specific objectives Commonly used terms This presentation available online: http://www.oclc.org/research/presentations /prabha/charleston05.ppt http://www.oclc.org/research/presentations /prabha/charleston05.ppt

3. Presentation Overview Research question ARL Specific objectives Commonly used terms Study design Data collection Findings Forecasting

4. Research Question When are journal collections in libraries likely to become electronic?

5. Association of Research Libraries (ARL) Established December 29, 1932 Formed to provide avenue for discussing common concerns and to organize coordinated actions 42 Charter Members Sources: http://www.arl.org/pubscat/pubs/celebrating70/history.html http://www.arl.org/pubscat/pubs/celebrating70/members.html

6. Association of Research Libraries (ARL) Scholarly Communication Public Policies Advancing Goals Fostering Exchange Source: http://www.arl.org/arl/arlfacts.html

7. Association of Research Libraries (ARL) Scholarly Communication Public Policies Advancing Goals Fostering Exchange Source: http://www.arl.org/arl/arlfacts.html 123 Current Members Criteria for membership Source: http://www.arl.org/members.html http://www.arl.org/newsltr/197/criteria.html

8. Specific Objectives % of active subscriptions characteristics of cancelled subscriptions % of journals received in both p- and e- format % of journals subscribed in print only % of journals subscribed solely in e- format.

9. Journal Access Frequently Used Terms Journals e-Journals Open Access Journals Publisher Packages Journal Aggregators Full-Text Databases

10. Journal Management Frequently Used Terms Subscriptions Current or Active Ceased Cancellations

11. Journal Management Frequently Used Terms Subscriptions Current or Active Ceased Cancellations Format Substitution Duplication Archiving Digital Print

12. Study Design Journals subscribed by ARL Sampling Unit of analysis Journal status and journal format(s)

13. ARL Journals OCLC WorldCat Members indicate subscribed journals Example: Princeton University PUL ARL members: Subscribe to 200,000 unique titles Combined holdings – 2,000,000 Excluded non-university ARL members: Public libraries Federal libraries and archives State libraries Research libraries

14. Sampling Process Journals are coded in the fixed fields of the MARC record. Coding in the fixed fields indicate whether journal is active or has ceased.

15. Data Collection OPACs Catalog Record ISSN 0011-1384 University of Alabama; http://library.ua.edu/cgi- bin/Pwebrecon.cgi?DB=local&PAGE=bbSearch http://library.ua.edu/cgi- bin/Pwebrecon.cgi?DB=local&PAGE=bbSearch Link Tool E.g. SFX http://www.exlibrisgroup.com/sfx.htm http://www.lib.ua.edu/ejournals/ Library Staff Via email and/or phone

16. Subscriptions & Cancellations

17. Make-Up of Collections 2002 & 2004

18. Format or Status Changes in Subscribed Journals Between 2002 & 2004

19. Shifts in Subscription of Dual Formats

20. Changes between 2002 & 2004 20022004

21. Make-Up of Journal Collections in 2008 Between 2002 & 2004: Print only subscriptions decreased by 14% Electronic only subscriptions increased by 16% At this rate of change, in 2008: 53% of subscriptions will be in p-format 84% of subscriptions will be in e-format

22. Questions???

23. Journals: Subscriptions, Substitutions, Cancellations Chandra Prabha & Carolyn Hank XXV Annual Charleston Conference November 3, 2005 chandra@oclc.org 614-764-6086 http://www.oclc.org/research/presentations/prabha/ charleston05.ppt