Presentation on theme: "HISPANIC PROFILE 2010 Implications for the Assemblies of God Daniel R. Sánchez, Ph.D."— Presentation transcript:
HISPANIC PROFILE 2010 Implications for the Assemblies of God Daniel R. Sánchez, Ph.D.
SOURCES This presentation is based following sources: 1. The Pew Hispanic Center 2. The U.S. Census Bureau 3. The Brookings Institution 4. The Center on Urban Metropolitan Policy 5. Hispanic American Religious Cultures 6. Daniel Sánchez, PhD Thesis, Oxford 7. Books & Articles
REALITY # 1 The Hispanic American population continues to grow exponentially
Since 1980 The Hispanic Population Has Tripled 15 MILLION (1980) 46 MILLION (2008) ( Source: Pew Hispanic Center
Hispanics Projected to Triple Again Hispanics Projected to Triple Again Population in millions Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008).
Change in Hispanic Population From 2000 has grown by almost 1.5 million a year 2008 Population 2000 Population Change 2000 to 2008 % Change 2000 to 2008 Total46,822,47635,204,40811,617,99633.0 %
Hispanic Births Exceed Immigrants from 2000; Percent Foreign-Born Has PEAKED Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.
Hispanic Growth by Births Exceeded Growth by Immigration 2008 Population 2000 Population Percent 2008Percent 2000 Native Born28,985,16921,072,23061.9%59.9% Foreign Born17,837,30914,132,25038.1%40.1% Total46,822,47135,204,480100.0%
Even if immigration were to stop, Hispanics would grow by 1 Million a year 2008 Population 2000 Population Change 2000 to 2008 Growth 2000 to 2008 Total46,822,47635,204,40811,617,996Almost 1.5 million a year Native Born28,985,16921,072,230 7,912,939Almost a million a year Foreign Born17,837,30714,132,250 3,705,057Almost half a million a year
QUESTION If the Hispanic Population is multiplying, are we multiplying in the number of converts and churches?
REALITY # 2 Hispanics continue to spread throughout the country faster than any previous immigrant group
Hispanic Population By States - 2008 StateHispanic Population Total Population% Hispanic California13,434,89636,756,66136.6 Texas 8,815,58224,326,97436.2 Florida 3,846,26718,328,34021.0 New York 3,232,36019,490,34016.6 Arizona 1,964,625 6,500,18030.2 Illinois 1,961,84312,901,56415.2 New Jersey 1,424,069 8,682,66116.4 Colorado 993,843 4,939,456 20.1 New Mexico 895,150 1,984,356 45.1 Georgia 780,408 9,685,744 8.1
Hispanic Population By States - 2008 StateHispanic Population Total Population% Hispanic North Carolina678,032 9,222,414 7.4 Nevada672,393 3,600,16725.9 Washington642,959 6,549,224 9.8 Pennsylvania588,95012,484,297 4.7 Massachusetts556,573 6,497,967 8.6 Virginia556,002 7,769,089 6.8 Connecticut424,191 3,501,252 12.1 Oregon417,152 3,790,060 11.0 Michigan408,695 10,003,422 4.1 Maryland372,650 5,633,597 6.6
Hispanic Population By States - 2008 StateHispanic Population Total Population% Hispanic Utah323,938 2,736,42411.8 Indiana322,148 6,367,792 5.1 Ohio296,05911,485,910 2.4 Wisconsin286,058 6,376,792 5.1 Oklahoma278,676 3,642,361 7.7 Kansas268,964 2.802,134 9.6 Tennessee234,868 6,214,888 3.8 Minnesota217,551 5,220,393 4.0 Missouri182,059 5,911,605 3.1 South Carolina177,999 4,479,800 4.0
Hispanic Population By States - 2008 StateHispanic Population Total Population% Hispanic Idaho159,2571,523,81610.5 Arkansas155,3092,855,390 5.4 Louisiana152,7814,410,796 3.5 Nebraska147,9682,855,390 5.4 Alabama128,5864,661,900 2.8 Iowa124,0303,021,557 4.1 Rhode Island120,6621,050,788 11.5 Hawaii108,6631,288,198 8.4 Kentucky100,3664,269,245 2.4 Delaware 62,506 873,092 7.2
Hispanic Population By States - 2008 StateHispanic Population Total Population% Hispanic Mississippi56,6322,938,6181.9 D.C.51,260 591,8378.7 Wyoming43,385 532,6688.1 New Hampshire39,123 1,315,8093.0 Alaska37,420 686,2935.5 Montana31,093 967,4403.2 South Dakota22,420 804,1952.8 West Virginia21,400 1,814,4681.2 North Dakota13,634 641,4812.1 Maine12,700 1,316,4561.0 Vermont 6,651 621,2701.1
QUESTIONS 1. What are the areas across the country where we urgently need more evangelistic efforts and churches to reach Hispanics? 2. Do we have a population to church ratio? (e.g., 1 church per __ persons) –One area 1:500; another area 1: 2,00) 3. What strategy do we have to reach them?
REALITY # 3 There is significant diversity in the Hispanic population ( Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S. Passel, The Rise of the Second Generation, October, 2003) ( Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S. Passel, The Rise of the Second Generation, October, 2003)
GENERATIONAL DIVERSITY GenerationTotal Percent (In Millions) (Of Hispanic Pop) 1 st 14.240 2 nd 9.928 3 rd+ 11.332 (Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S. Passel, The Rise of the Second Generation, October, 2003)
PROJECTIONS Generation200020102020 %% %% 1 st 403834 2 nd 283236 3 rd+ 323030 1. Until 2020 the 1 st generation will be the largest 2. The 3 rd generation will remain about one third 3. From 2020 on, the 2 nd generation will be the largest
LINGUISTIC DIVERSITY Gen SpanishBilingualEnglish Gen SpanishBilingualEnglish DominantDominant DominantDominant 1 st 72%24%4% 2 nd 7%47%46% 2 nd 7%47%46% 3 rd+ 0%22%78%
CHALLENGES 1. Reaching and discipling the immigrant generation primarily utilizing the Spanish language 2. Reaching and discipling the 2 nd and 3 rd generation with bi- lingual and English-dominant strategies
COUNTRY OF ORIGIN DIVERSITY GroupNumberPercent Mexican30,746,27065.7 Puerto Rican 4,150,862 8.9 All other (Spanish/Hispanic) 1,77,278 3.8 Cuban 1,631,001 3.5 Salvadoran 1,560,416 3.3 Dominican 1.334,228 2.8 Guatemalan 985,601 2.1 Colombian 881,609 1.9 Spaniard 629,758 1.3 Honduran 607,970 1.3 Ecuadorian 590,602 1.3 Peruvian 519,349 1.1
Country of Origin GroupNumberPercent Nicaraguan351,7040.8 Venezuelan210,3370.4 Argentinean204,7070.4 Panamanian153,2450.3 Chilean127,7470.3 Costa Rican121,6550.3 Bolivian 93,7450.2 Uruguayan 60,7300.1 Other Central American 43,3520.1 Other South American 21,9450.0 Paraguayan 18,3650,0 Total46,882,476100
ASSIMILATION STAGE DIVERSITY Contributing Factors 1. Schooling – From day one kids start learning English & about the American Culture 2. Media (Radio, TV, Movies, Music, etc.) 3. Peer Group – Classmates, friends
Assimilation Stage Diversity Social Contacts & Language Gen. Outside Contacts Language Contacts Language 1st Few Spanish 2nd Some Bilingual (Spanish dominant) 3rd Many Bilingual (English dominant) 4th Most English (only)
ECONOMIC STATUS DIVERSITY 2 nd and 3 rd generation Hispanics have made significant strides financially yet typically newly arrived Hispanics have the most difficult time financially
Financial Needs Some Hispanics have great financial needs 1/3 of Hispanic children live below the poverty level Ministry Implications
Purchasing Power Projections The purchasing power of Hispanics will grow from: The purchasing power of Hispanics will grow from: One trillion in 2008 to to 2.5 trillion in 2020 Stewardship implications? Church planting vision?
REALITY # 4 Hispanic Americans are the group with the largest percentage of children and young people
HISPANIC MEDIAN AGE (27) HISPANIC MEDIAN AGE (27) Source: Current Population Survey, March 2000
YOUTH In America, one in five people under the age of 18 is Hispanic.In America, one in five people under the age of 18 is Hispanic. Source: Dvera Cohn, Washington Post
GOSPEL RECEPTIVITY Hispanic children and youth are generally more receptive to the Evangelical Message than their parents Source: Pew Hispanic Center, 2002 National Survey of Latinos, 53.
Hispanic Churches In American Public Life Pew Center & Notre Dame U. Affiliation 1 ST Generation 2 nd Generation 3 rd Generation Catholic74%72%62% Evangelical15%20%29%
IMPLICATIONS 1. Winning and discipling children 2. Winning and discipling youth 3. Training teachers for both 4. Training ministers of children, youth 5. Sensitizing pastors to this challenge
REALITY # 5 Hispanics are showing more receptivity to the evangelical message than ever before in the history of this country
Hispanics and Denominations Percent Catholic | Protes/Evan | Other Christian | Other Faiths | Secular
Hispanics Views of Religious Groups Percent Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion
Catholic Hispanics and Views of Other Religious Groups Percent Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion
Evangelical Hispanics and Views of Other Religious Groups Percent Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion
% of Hispanics Who Are Born-Again or Evangelical Christians
NATIONAL ORIGIN & Religious Affiliation Country/Area % Evangelical Central America 29% Puerto Rico 29%; Cuba 20% South America 18% Mexico 16% Dominican Republic 15%; All other Hispanics 38%.
Latest PEW Study More than 50% of Hispanics are seeking a more direct and personal relationship with God than what they find in their traditional (Catholic) religious practices Pew Hispanic Center, Changing Faiths: Latinos and Transformation of American Religion. 2007
EVANGELISTIC IMPLICATIONS The Hispanic fields are white unto harvest The religious background of many Hispanics favorably predisposes them to the evangelical message if it is presented in a positive, sensitive way Most of our church members need to be trained on how to share the good news with Roman Catholic friends.
CONCLUSIONS 1. Overall findings suggest the need for new ways of thinking and strategizing regarding the Hispanic population in this country Examples: K-Mart, Chase Bank (Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos
CONCLUSIONS 2. Many Hispanic immigrants are already evangelical or are very receptive to the gospel. This has significant implications for evangelism and church planting among Hispanics. (Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos
CONCLUSIONS 3. Two processes – assimilation and immigration – are taking place side-by- side in the Hispanic communities, often within a single family We need many Spanish-speaking as well as bi-lingual churches (Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos
CONCLUSIONS 4. Because Hispanics are spreading throughout the country so rapidly we desperately need many new Hispanic churches in many cities and towns across America. (Source: Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, The Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center) (Source: Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, The Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center)
CONCLUSIONS 5. The Hispanic population has tripled in the last 35 years and will triple again in the next 45 years. Have the number of Hispanic churches tripled? Will they triple in the future? (Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos
CONCLUSIONS 6. There is a need for denominational strategists to adapt quickly to vast change presents special challenges in metro areas that started with small Hispanic populations and have experienced sudden, substantial growth. (Source: Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, The Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center)
Hispanic Profile 1. The Hispanic population is growing exponentially – (are we – in evangelism & church planting?) 2. Hispanics continue to spread throughout the country – (where do we need churches the most?) 3. There is significant socio-cultural diversity among Hispanic (whats our strategy to reach all segments?)
Hispanic Profile 4. Hispanics have the largest % of children and youth (whats our strategy to reach and disciple them?) 5. Hispanics are now more receptive to the Gospel message than ever before (what are we doing to maximize our outreach to them?)
CHALLENGE The explosive growth of the Hispanic population coupled with their unprecedented response to the Gospel requires that extraordinary measures be taken to bring in the harvest that the Lord has placed before us. Source: Daniel Sanchez
OUR RESPONSE HOW WILL LIFEWAY RESPOND HOW WILL LIFEWAY RESPOND TO THIS CHALLENGE?
Resources To obtain additional copies of this presentation of purchase the book Hispanic Realities Impacting America visit the Church Starting Network website www.churchstarting.net www.churchstarting.net You may contact Dr. Sanchez through his e-mail address firstname.lastname@example.org email@example.com Or call 817 454 9016