Presentation on theme: "1 Ensuring sustainable access for the poor through internal revenue generation - electricity" André Felipe Simões D.Sc. Researcher Centro Clima/COPPE/UFRJ."— Presentation transcript:
1 Ensuring sustainable access for the poor through internal revenue generation - electricity" André Felipe Simões D.Sc. Researcher Centro Clima/COPPE/UFRJ. Visitant Professor at Unicamp. Multi-stakeholder consultations on Financing access to basic utilities for all Brasilia, 11-13 December 2006
2 Poverty Definitions Sachs (2004): the poverty concept developed over time; In the medium age the poverty was analyzed as a matter of access to land; Actually, poverty is also associated to the lack of access to the land, more precisely access to home (McAuslan, 1987) and not to the land as supplying of goods;
3 Poverty Definitions In the decade of 1940 the definition of global poverty was based on the comparison among levels of joined national incomes and there was a hierarchization of the countries second a line of defined poverty; Starting from the decade of 1970 a subjective dimension appeared purely as alternative to that dimension quantitative. The form as each one considers, in terms that to feel or not poor, it started to be incorporate.
4 Poverty and Energy Many are the poverty definitions, what results in different articulations between poverty and access to the energy. However, in any modern definition, poverty reduction is linked with expansion of the access to the energy (and considering the Global Climate Change…access to the clean energy, whenever possible).
5 Poverty and Energy Although the consumption of energy is not an absolute indicator of life quality, due to possible inefficient and unsustainable use, it can indicate some important differences among areas in terms of wealth patterns; In fact, great differences exist among developed countries and in development countries in terms of social - economical indicators and energy consumption.
6 Poverty and Energy Population (million) GDP/Pop (US$/capita) Electricity Consumption (kWh/capita) Brazil164 4.91,969.5 USA268 30.312,235.1 China1,244 0.7768.5 India966 0.4411.0 Africa731 0.6478.8 (Source: EIA,2000)
7 Poverty and Electric Power Nowadays, exists a consensus in Brazil as for the imperative need to supply electric power for the whole population as a basic public service; This is a more general politics thrown by government institutions, financial and business in international level that it impels the subject internally to the developing countries.
8 Poverty and Electric Power Aggregated data to 2000 show the number of people without access to the electricity in the world: 1,64 billion or 27% of the world population; More than 99% of the population without electricity inhabit developing countries and 4/5 of this population lives in rural areas; The World Bank esteems that the percentile of people without electricity was reduced from 51% in 1970 to 41% in 1990. However, in absolute terms, the numbers are 1.9 billion in 1970 and 2 billion in 1990.
9 Poverty and Electric Power While many efforts have been driven in the rural areas, the access to the electricity to the poor of the urban area has not been deserving the same attention; The growth of the urban areas in the world was quite expressive in the last 50 years. While only 30% of the world population lived in urban areas in 1950, in 2000 this percentile one already reached the landing of 47%, and it is waited that is of 60% in 2030 (Molina & Molina, 2004); The growth of the cities, in general, it is accompanied by the growth of the urban poverty and, consequently, of illegal establishments. Nowadays, 40% of the poor of the world live at slums.
10 Poverty and Electric Power The connection in urban area, on average, is 7 times cheaper than in rural areas due to the largest proximity between the homes and the electric net. This aspect also has the negative side. The proximity with the net of low tension can cart great losses for the electric system. These losses no-techniques include illegal connections, interferences in the meters and damages in the readers of measures, besides no payment of the tariffs.
11 Poverty and Electric Power: Brazil The Northeast area presents about 30% of the population of the country and the lowest per capita domestic consumption (262 kWh/cap in 1999); The Southeast area with about 42% of the population and area of larger industrial development, presents the highest per capita consumption (678 kWh/cap in 1999).
12 Poverty and Electric Power: Brazil While the almost totality of the urban homes in Brazil is assisted by the electric power service, 2,113,276 of rural homes are not it, according to the Demographic Census of IBGE (2000); About 10.3 million Brazilians live without access to the electricity. This contingent is dispersed, in majority, in a dispersed way and in rural and isolated areas; Such a characteristic the dealerships of energy, in general, are not interested in the installment of the service, given the prolongation difficulty of the existent net at bearable costs and in technically appropriate way.
13 Poverty and Electric Power: Brazil The access to electric power services in Brazil developed, if measured as covering of homes, from 89% in 1992, to 96% in 2001 (MME, 2003). It must emphasize the significant variations among areas different from the country in the subject of the electricity access.
14 Poverty and Electric Power: Brazil The subject of the access to the electricity in Brazil is more flagrant in the rural areas (71% homes possess access) than in the urban areas (99% homes possess access). It is also possible to verify that the North and Northeast areas responds for the worst access levels. Not for coincidence, such areas are also the ones that register the worst Human Development Index (HDI) of all of the Brazilian area
15 Trends in Electrification Access Level at Brazilian Regions Versus HDI
16 Tends in Electrification: Evolution in the Rural (IBGE, 2001) BRAZIL
17 Trends in Electrification: Evolution in the Urban Areas (IBGE, 2001) BRAZIL
18 Map of Electrical Exclusion 500.0002006 600.0002007 e 2008 500.0002005 400.0002004 500.0002006 600.0002007 e 2008 500.0002005 400.0002004 INDEX OF SERVICEHDI
19 Poverty and Electrification in Brazil The people without access to electricity are located, in largest part, in the areas of smaller of Human Development Index and in the families of low income. About 90% of these families have income inferior to three minimum wage and 80% are in the rural way. There is a close relationship between poverty and energy access in Brazil
20 Poverty and Electrification in Brazil The decentralization of the energy generation appears as one of the viable solutions for the problem, because it presents the option of use of the local resources for the electricity generation, besides the flexibility of energy supply in small climbs, favorable to serve also to the demand for energy in small it climbs; In such context, it is considerable the Brazilian potential of use of renewable resources with base in national technologies for the decentralized service of energy.
21 Poverty and Electrification in Brazil The access to the energy through renewable and alternative sources such as PV panels, aeolian generators, among other technologies, and the approach of programs with emphasis in decentralized energies, it has been object of several nets in international extent (Iike GNESD Project, for instance) and it has been serving as a opening market for technologies developed in industrialized countries.
22 GNESD – Global Network on Energy for Sustainable Development (http://www.gnesd.org) Facilited by UNEP; Knowkedge network of industrialized (Germany, Netherlands, France, Sweden, Denmark, UK, USA, Japan,...) and development world (Brazil, South Africa, Senegal, Kenya, Argentina, India, Lebanon, China,...); Brazilian Team: Centro Clima/COPPE/ UFRJ (Emilio Lèbre La Rovere - Head, André Felipe Simões, Tatiana Lauria) and CENBIO/USP (José Goldemberg - Head, Suani Coelho - Head, Patricia Guardabassi).
23 Electrification in Brazil and Sutainable Development The use of technologies returned to the implementation of systems of electric generation based in renewable energies is especially important to provide off-grid access off-grid to electric power services for the poorest layers of the Brazilian population. Renewable energy is a basic ingredient for the sustainable development
24 Renewable Energy in Brazil Renewable Energy (RE) is a basic ingredient for sustainable development The use of Renewable Energy Technologies (RETs) in Brazil are specially important to provide off-grid energy access for the poor Diesel in isolated systems (mainly Amazon) RE means: Dependence (people cannot afford to buy diesel oil); Pollutant and carbon emissions (carbon market Kyoto Protocol).
25 Renewable Energy in Brazil Its necessary to define the role of RE (mainly biomass) in the universal access process Obstacles to RETs (mainly in off-grid systems): Technical barriers not so significant (matter of adapting technologies) Political and institutional barriers significant (PROINFA is addressed only to grid systems) Financial and economic barriers most significant (high initial costs and the production of small scale systems To overcome these barriers: a market of minimum size equipment is essential; projects including energy access and sustainable development activities.
26 Government Policy Universalization of the access to the electricity (Resolution ANEEL 223, May 2003) Discounts for low-income population and survival of distributors
27 Government Policy Universalization - LUZ PARA TODOS (LIGHT FOR ALL) main action returned to the poverty reduction through electric power provision; Decree 4,873 November 11, 2003 : creates the LIGHT FOR ALL Program (that includes previous programs and of same philosophy: PRODEEM and Light in the Field) ; It advances national goals for 2008 ; Financing sources: CDE (Bill of Energy Development) and RGR (Reserves Global of Reversion) as economical subsidy and resources of the states and of the executive agents Budget = US$ 3.5 billions (Executive Agent 14%, State and Municipal districts 14%, Federal Govern Federal 72%: subsidy and financing).
28 Government Policy Bill of Energy Development (CDE) it is a sectorial responsibility, established in law, and paid by the distribution companies, whose annual value is fastened by ANEEL with the purpose of providing resources for the energy development of the states, to make possible the competitiveness of the electric power produced starting from aeolian sources (wind), small hydro plants (SHPs), biomass, natural gas and mineral coal in the areas assisted by the interlinked electric systems, and to take the electric power service to all the consumers of the national territory (universalization).
29 Government Policy RGR - Reserves Global of Reversion it is a responsibility of the Brazilian electric sector paid monthly by the concessionary companies of generation, transmission and electric power distribution, with the purpose of providing resources for reversion of the public services of electric power. The RGR, also, has legal destination to finance the expansion and improvement of those services, as well as to finance alternative sources of electric power such an as those constant of PROINFA, for inventory studies and viability of uses of new hydraulic potentials, and to develop and to implant programs and projects destined to the combat to the waste and efficient use of the electric power. THE RGR annual value is equal to 2.5% of the investments made by the dealership in assets linked to the installment of the electricity service, and is limited to 3.0% of its annual income.
30 Government Policy Low-income population: The consumers' of low-income definition in the extent of the Law 10,438 includes all the consumers with a monthly consumption of up to 80 kWh/month, and those that consume between 80 and 220 kWh/month, registered in social programs and below certain defined regional limit for ANEEL (National Agengy of Electric Power).
31 Government Policy on RE Interconnected System Law 10438/02 determined the Incentive Program for Alternative Electric Generation Sources (PROINFA) incentives to wind, small hydro, biomass thermoelectric plants PROINFA Objectives: 3,300 MW from RE until 2006 Second phase: 10% of alternative renewable sources for electricity production in the next 20 years 15 years guaranteed electricity purchasing contracts with ELETROBRAS
33 Government Policy on RE Off-grid Systems The CCC (Fuel Consumption Account) policy, expanded for renewable energy sources this policy in fact can collaborate to expand the energy access in isolated communities
34 Geographical targeting for RE Interlinked system (energy access in general) Wind: 23 MW = installed 28,900 MW = potential (mainly in the coastal of the Northeast region) (39-84 US$/MWh) Biomass: 992 MW installed (159 biomass – based thermoelectric plants, mainly in São Paulo State) Small hydro (less than 30 MW): 1.2 GW installed in 242 plants; 3.5 GW = potential Isolated / rural communities
35 Geographical targeting for RE Isolated (remote systems) Vegetable oils Amazon region enormous diversity of native oil plants environment and social advantages CCC can make some projects economic feasible Biomass residues substitutes fossil based generation in isolated regions (mainly Amazon region) PV 3 MW installed 34 MW until 2024 higher radiation in the Northeast ( 260 Wh/m² in Rio São Francisco Valley)
36 Candidate RETs for Electrification of the Poor Isolated Systems (Biomass, SHP and PV Systems) CCC subsidies US$ 85/MWh only biomass and SHP appears as potential candidates (under economic aspects). Despite high generation costs, PV systems appears as solution where no other sources are available.
37 Comparison between different RETs for remote areas RETFuel Current situation MW Potential MW Installation Cost Generation Cost US$/ MWh BiomassWood / Agricultu re residues 14170US$/kW38.68 Vegetabl e oil 0.2361,150.00 (imported) 88 Small Hydropow er Plants 9,456235.002.4
38 Global Prospects for RETs The most significant prospects to increase energy access in isolated systems include the use of renewable energy sources solar PV, biomass and SHP local resources, lower environment impacts, higher energy independence, more jobs, economic revenues. In agree with the decisions from the WSSD – World Summit on Sustainable Development.
39 Final Considerations As the use of technologies for renewable energies induces to the reduction in the emissions of GEE, there are several possibilities for obtaining resources through the international market of carbon credits of carbon. The government performance tends to be decisive in the process of reception of resources through the CDM (Clean Development Mechanism).
40 Final Considerations In the short, in the medium and in the long period, the interns generation of incomes, proportionate by the electric power tariffs to the consumers, from middles of the nineties, became insufficient to finance the expansion of the offer and to mitigate in an effective way the electric exclusion.
41 Final Considerations In Brazil there is a great market for the net extension and also for the use of technologies for renewable energies in off-grid systems. However, the expansion of those markets will depend on a more efficient system of information.
42 Final Considerations MDG represents an international pact to eliminate the poverty. The subject of the access to the electric power is a fundamental point that it permeates all of the constant initiatives in the objectives of the Millennium; Without access the energy the populations don't have accesses to productive way that join income, to techniques that guarantee the environmental sustainability, education, and adequate health treatment.
43 Final Considerations The covering of public services and the development indicators in Brazil and in Latin America got better in the last two decades. This expansion was accompanied of changes in the level and in the composition of the expenses. In the case of the social services, the alterations resulted of a considerable increase of the public resources. While in the infrastructure – such as telecommunications, water and electricity – there was reduction in the investment and the private financing started to be fundamental.
44 Electricity = promotion of human development!
45 Electricity = promotion of human development!
46 Thank You ! André Felipe Simões, firstname.lastname@example.org email@example.com