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Distributions to Shareholders: Dividends and Repurchases

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Presentation on theme: "Distributions to Shareholders: Dividends and Repurchases"— Presentation transcript:

1 Distributions to Shareholders: Dividends and Repurchases
CHAPTER 17 Distributions to Shareholders: Dividends and Repurchases

2 Topics in Chapter Overview Theories of investor preferences
Clientele Effect and Signaling Hypothesis Cash dividends Residual Distribution Model Stock repurchases Stock dividends and stock splits Dividend reinvestment plans (DRIPS)

3 Distribution Policy Defines:
Level of cash distributions to shareholders Form of the distribution Dividend vs. Stock repurchase Stability of the distribution

4 Good Ways to Use FCF Pay interest expense Pay down principal on debt
Pay dividends Repurchase stock Buy non-operating assets such as Treasury bills

5 Uses for FCF FCF = f (Investment opportunities and operating plans)
Debt/Interest payment = f (Capital structure) Investment in marketable securities = f (Working capital policy) Remaining FCF should be distributed to shareholders

6 Distribution Patterns Over Time
The percent of total payouts as a percentage of net income has been stable at around 26%-28% Dividend payout rates  Stock repurchases  Now greater than dividends

7 Distribution Patterns Over Time
Smaller percentage of companies now pay dividends Young companies first make distributions as repurchases Dividend payouts =more concentrated in a smaller number of large, mature firms

8 Dividend Yields for Selected Industries
Industry Div. Yield % Recreational Products 3.30 Forest Products 3.79 Software 1.48 Household Products 1.55 Food 1.16 Electric Utilities 3.48 Banks 4.46 Tobacco 9.88 Source: Yahoo Industry Data, April 2008

9 Investor Preference Theories
Dividend Irrelevance Investors don’t care about payout Dividend Preference (Bird-in-the-Hand) Investors prefer a high payout Tax Effect Investors prefer a low payout

10 Dividend Irrelevance Theory
Investors are indifferent between dividends and capital gains If they want cash, they can sell stock Else use dividends to buy stock Miller-Modigliani (1961) support irrelevance  Payout policy has no effect on stock value or the required return on stock Theory is based on unrealistic assumptions (no taxes or brokerage costs)

11 Dividend Preference Theory (Bird-in-the-Hand)
Investors view dividends as less risky than potential future capital gains High payouts reduce agency costs Deprive managers of cash to waste Need to go to external capital markets provides more management monitoring Investors value high payout firms Require a lower return

12 Tax Effect Theory Low payouts mean higher capital gains
Capital gains taxes are deferred until realized Taxed at a lower effective rate than dividends Investors require a higher pre-tax return resulting in a lower stock price

13 Research Results Some research  high payout = high required return on stock Supports tax effect hypothesis Internationally, countries with poor investor protection (severe agency costs)  high payout = more highly valued Empirical tests =mixed results

14 The “Clientele Effect”
“Clienteles” = different groups of investors who prefer different dividend policies Firm’s past dividend policy determines its current clientele of investors Clientele effects impede changing dividend policy. Taxes & brokerage costs hurt investors who switch companies due payout policy changes

15 The “Signaling Hypothesis”
Dividend changes = signals of management’s view of the future Managers hate to cut dividends Won’t raise dividends unless raise is sustainable Stock prices fall when dividends cut

16 Cash Distributions = Dividends
Company must have cash to make a cash distribution Sources of Cash: FCF = Cash flow available for distribution to investors after expenses, taxes and necessary investments in operating capital. Recapitalization Sale of an asset

17 Dividend Payment Procedures
Usually paid quarterly in cash Increased once a year Voted on quarterly by the Board of Directors

18 Dividend Payment Dates
Declaration date Board officially declares dividend Holder-of-record date Stock transfer books close Ex-dividend date Stock trades without the dividend 2 days prior to holder-of-record date Payment Dividend checks mailed

19 Dividend Payment Example
Declaration date = 11/6/09 “The Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share payable to holders of record on 12/05/09 payable on 1/2/10.” Dividend goes with stock =12/02/09 Ex-dividend date = 12/03/09 Holder of record date = 12/05/09 Payment date = 01/02/2010

20 Optimal Distribution Ratio
Four Factors: Investors’ preference for dividends versus capital gains Firm’s investment opportunities Target capital structure Availability and cost of external capital

21 The “Residual Distribution Model”
Determine optimal capital budget Determine amount of equity needed to fund capital budget given target capital structure Use retained earnings to meet equity needs to extent possible Pay dividends or repurchase stock if funds leftover (residual) Residual policy minimizes flotation and equity signaling costs, and minimizes the WACC

22 Using the Residual Model to Calculate Distributions Paid
(17-1) Distr. = – X Net income Target equity ratio Total capital budget

23 Texas & Western Transport Company
WACC = 10% (if all equity = r/e) Target capital structure: 40% debt, 60% equity Forecasted net income: $60 million If all distributions are in the form of dividends, how much of the $600,000 should we pay out as dividends?

24 Texas and Western Investment Opportunities
A capital budget of $150 million would require the use of all retained earnings plus the issuance of $30 m in new debt.

25 Investment Opportunities and Residual Dividends
Fewer good investments would lead to smaller capital budget, hence to a higher dividend payout. More good investments would lead to a lower dividend payout.

26 Advantages and Disadvantages of the Residual Dividend Policy
Minimizes new stock issues and flotation costs Disadvantages: Results in variable dividends Sends conflicting signals Increases risk Appeals to no specific clientele

27 Residual Model Conclusions
Consider residual model when setting target payout, but don’t follow it rigidly Consider “low-regular-dividend-plus-extras” policy Low regular dividend that can be maintained Specially designated dividends when cash available

28 Stock Repurchases Repurchases = Buying own stock back from stockholders Reasons for repurchases: Alternative to distributing cash as dividends Dispose of one-time cash from asset sale Execute large capital structure change

29 Stock Repurchase Procedures
Company buys back its own stock Repurchased stock = “treasury stock” Negative value on balance sheet Reasons to Repurchase stock: Increase leverage (issue debt/buy stock) Use shares for options exercise Firm has excess cash

30 Stock Repurchase Procedures
Open market purchase through broker Tender offer Targeted stock repurchase Purchase block of shares through negotiation with large shareholder

31 Advantages of Repurchases
Stockholders can tender or not Helps avoid setting a high dividend that cannot be maintained Repurchased stock can be used in takeovers or resold to raise cash as needed Income received is capital gains rather than higher-taxed dividends Stockholders may take as a positive signal--management thinks stock is undervalued

32 Disadvantages of Repurchases
May be viewed as a negative signal Firm has poor investment opportunities IRS could impose penalties if repurchases were primarily to avoid taxes on dividends Selling stockholders may not be well informed, hence be treated unfairly Firm may have to bid up price to complete purchase, thus paying too much for its own stock

33 Stock Repurchase Formulas

34 Stock Repurchase Example
Earnings = $400 million Shares outstanding = 40 million = n0 Payout ratio = 50% Earnings growth = 5% = g Return on equity = 10% = rE Assume no tax effects

35 Stock Repurchase Example If 50% paid as cash dividends (p.609)
D0 = .50 x (400/40) = $5.00 D1 = $5.00 * (1.05) = $5.25 P0 = $5.25 / ( ) = $105.00 P1 = $105 x (1.10) - $5.25 = $110.25 rE = 5% (CGY) + 5% (DY) 10% S1 = $ x 40 = $4,410 million

36 50% Dividends

37 Stock Repurchase Example If 50% used to repurchase shares
Earnings (yr 1) = 400 * (1.05) = 420 Repurchase cash = 50% x $420 = $210 P1 = $105 x (1.10) = $115.50 P1(n0 – n) = Cash repurchase n = number of share remaining $ x (40 – n) = $210 m n = shares S1 = $ x = $4,410 m (17-3)

38 50% Stock Repurchase

39 Comparison

40 Stock Repurchase: Key Results
Ignoring tax effects and signaling, the total market value of equity remains the same whether a firm pays cash dividends or repurchases stock The repurchase does not change the stock price; it does reduce the number of shares outstanding With fewer shares outstanding, the stock price will rise faster

41 Dividends versus Repurchases
Advantages of Repurchases: Viewed as a positive signal Stockholders have choice Dividends are “sticky” in the short-run Companies can divid target cash distribution into dividend and repurchase Can produce large scale changes in capital structure Repurchase shares for use with incentive stock options

42 Dividends versus Repurchases
Disadvantages of Repurchases: Cash dividends are dependable but repurchases are not Selling shareholders may not be fully informed Firm may pay too much for shares

43 Conclusions Repurchases have a tax advantage
Dividends are more dependable Volatile dividends lower investor confidence “Signaling” Repurchases useful to: Make capital structure shifts Distribute cash from one-time events Obtain shares for employee stock options

44 Constraints Bond indentures Preferred stock restriction
Impairment of capital rule Dividend payments > Balance sheet retained earnings Availability of cash Penalty tax on improperly accumulated earnings

45 Alternative Sources of Capital
Cost of selling new stock New equity if flotation costs are low Ability to substitute debt for equity Control Management reluctant to sell new stock

46 The Distribution Policy Decision
Decision made jointly with capital structure and capital budgeting decisions Managers do not want to issue new stock Dividend changes = signals Use residual model to set long-term dividend payout target Set cash dividend low enough to be maintained

47 The Distribution Policy Decision
Steady or increasing dividend stream signals firm’s financial condition is under control Stable dividends decrease investor uncertainty Firms with superior investment opportunities should set lower cash dividends and retain earnings

48 Dividend Policy Conclusions
Younger firms with many investment opportunities but low cash flow should retain earnings Executive survey results: NOT reducing dividends is more important than initiating a dividend or increasing it Capital budgeting decisions are more important than distribution decisions Repurchase shares when shares undervalued

49 Stock Splits and Stock Dividends
Firm increases the number of shares outstanding, say 2:1 Shareholders sent more shares Stock dividend: Firm issues new shares in lieu of paying a cash dividend If 10%, get 10 shares for each 100 shares owned

50 Stock Splits and Stock Dividends
Both increase the number of shares outstanding Divides pie into smaller pieces Stock price falls so as to keep each investor’s wealth unchanged Unless the stock dividend or split conveys information, or is accompanied by another event like higher dividends “Optimal price range”

51 Stock Split Explanations
Signaling Stock splits generally occur when management is confident Interpreted as positive signals “Catering” Optimal price range = $20 to $80 Stock splits can keep price in optimal range Attractive to small investors Google ($577.07) ? Berkshire-Hathaway A ($122,815) ?

52 Reverse Stock Splits Reduces number of shares outstanding
Drives stock price up Meet listing requirements Frequently seen as a negative signal Can be used to force out small shareholders

53 Stock Splits & Dividends
Stock splits usually follow a price run up to produce a price reduction Split = positive, value-related signal Stock dividends used on a regular basis will keep the stock price constrained

54 Effect on Stock Prices Announcement of stock split or dividend usually results in a price increase Signaling If not followed by earnings or dividend increase, price will revert Split may reduce liquidity

55 Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP)
Shareholders can automatically reinvest dividends in shares of firm’s common stock Two types of plans: Open market (“Old Stock”) New stock Firms can switch between the plans

56 Open Market Purchase Plan
DRIP funds turned over to trustee, who buys shares on the open market. Brokerage costs reduced by volume purchases Used by firms with no need for additional capital Convenient, easy way to invest

57 New Stock Plan Firm issues new stock to DRIP enrollees
Used by firms needing new capital No fees charged Stock sold at discount from market price


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