1. Generalized Trust Through Civic Engagement? Evidence from Five National Panel Studies René Bekkers Philanthropic Studies VU University Amsterdam September 17, 20131MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim Erik van Ingen Sociology Tilburg University

2. Our question What is the influence of civic engagement on generalized trust? – Not: particularized trust, or risky investments in social dilemma situations; – But: the belief that most people can be trusted Does the level of trust change after people change their involvement in voluntary associations? September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim2

3. Additional questions How long does it take the participation effect to emerge? Is it robust across countries? What types of civic engagement make the largest contribution to trust? September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim3

4. Why Trust Matters More trusting societies have lower corruption and crime, and higher participation in elections and economic growth. More trusting individuals are more satisfied with their lives, have more positive social relations, do better in education and are in better health. September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim4

5. Virtuous circles in social capital “Civic engagement and trust are mutually reinforcing” “The causal arrows among civic involvement, [..] and social trust are as tangled as well-tossed spaghetti” September 17, 20135MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim Robert D. Putnam (2000). Bowling Alone: The Collapse and Revival of American Community. New York: Simon & Schuster, page 137

6. How it might work Socialization: Engagement in voluntary associations produces positive social experiences, reinforcing the belief that most people can be trusted. Contact, peer influence: Engagement in voluntary associations exposes participants to the beliefs of others, ‘risking infection’ with the belief that most people can be trusted. September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim6

7. An alternative perspective Volunteering requires trust. If you don’t trust fellow citizens to be honest and keep their promises, contributions are wasted easily. Free riders are distrustors. Trustors are optimists by nature, and trust doesn’t change much over time. September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim7 Eric Uslaner (2002). The Moral Foundations of Trust. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

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9. Data and methods of previous studies Most studies use cross-sectional data, including a limited set of controls. Selection and omitted variables are a huge problem here. Studies using longitudinal panel data have almost all used inadequate regression models. Selection and omitted variables are still a problem here. September 17, 20139MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

10. The evidence thus far Delhey & Newton (2003): trust and membership are only weakly correlated in most countries – due to low reliability Brehm & Rahn (1997): reciprocal influences between trust and membership in US using 2SLS Uslaner (2002): results obtained from 2SLS not robust in different specifications September 17, 201310MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

11. Collecting better data D.H. Smith (1966) and Stolle (2003): we need panel data Claibourn & Martin (2000): no effect of changes in memberships on changes in trust in US panel study of political socialization Giving in the Netherlands Panel Study includes trust + volunteering questions since 2002 September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim11

12. A theory on selection for trust ‘Interactionism’ in personality and social psychology Individual differences in trust shape perceptions of contributions to collective goods Failures to contribute by others are ‘noise’ to trustors; ‘evidence’ for misanthropists Justification-effects reinforce prior differences in trust September 17, 201312MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

13. As a result… Trustors are more likely to (be asked to) start volunteering, and less likely to quit Misanthropists are less likely to (be asked to) start volunteering, and more likely to quit Trustors may become more trusting and misanthropists may become less trusting as a result of changes in volunteering September 17, 201313MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

14. It’s all about selection! BTW, note also: – Individuals with larger networks are more likely to be asked to start and continue volunteering – Individuals in better (mental) health are more able to continue volunteering – More happy/satisfied individuals are more likely to help others (and be helped in return) September 17, 201314MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

15. Development of generalized social trust (‘most people can be trusted’) Source: GINPS Bekkers, R. (2012). ‘Trust and Volunteering: Selection or Causation? Evidence From a 4 Year Panel Study’. Political Behaviour, 32 (2): 225-247. DOI 10.1007/s11109-011-9165-x. (open access) September 17, 201315MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

16. How to get this published… At APSR, you can suggest reviewers. I suggested a protagonist and an antagonist. The protagonist googled me, and sent me a (very positive) review by email. The antagonist said the English language required editing work, asked *basic* questions about the fixed effects model results, and complained that concepts were used inconsistently. September 17, 201316MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

17. Reminder September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim17

18. September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim18

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20. Further evidence: volunteering and charitable confidence in 2006 September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim20 Bekkers, R. & Bowman, W. (2009). The Relationship Between Confidence and Charitable Organizations and Volunteering Revisited. Nonprofit & Voluntary Sector Quarterly, 38: 884-897. Source: GINPS

21. Selection based on… September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim21 Bekkers, R. & Bowman, W. (2009). The Relationship Between Confidence and Charitable Organizations and Volunteering Revisited. Nonprofit & Voluntary Sector Quarterly, 38: 884-897. Source: GINPS

22. The importance of replication Could the result be particular to the Netherlands? Or to a selective sample of online panel survey respondents? Perhaps volunteering doen’t produce trust, but other forms of participation do? Let’s examine other countries, other forms of participation, other survey modes. September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim22

23. New data & additional models Main source: Swiss Household Panel Additionally: BHPS, LISS, SHARE, GINPS Hilda Fixed effects regression Change score models – Two-wave transitions Enter / start ( 0 1 ) vs. Stay uninvolved ( 0 0 ) Exit / quit ( 1 0 ) vs. Stay involved (1 1) September 17, 201323MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

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27. Adequate Testing, Please! Cross-sectional data are useless here We need longitudinal data to disentangle causes and consequences of voluntary participation We should look at how people change over time when they have started and quit volunteering Halaby (2004, Annual Review of Sociology): controlling for Y t-1 is not enough Use fixed effects regression models, eliminating variance between individuals XT in STATA September 17, 201327MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

28. Changes in Trust - Switzerland September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim28

29. Changes in Trust – UK (BHPS) September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim29

30. Changes in Trust – AU & NL September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim30

31. September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim31

32. Conclusions The relationship between participation and trust mainly reflects between-person variance. Within-person changes in trust are small and not systematically related to changes in participation. Prolonged participation seems to encourage trust but that change disappears over time. September 17, 201332MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

33. Remaining questions What makes people trusting of others? We still don’t know. There is a genetic basis for trust. As social scientists we should ask: which environmental influences change trust? Experiences with strangers or friends? Life events such as completing education, marriage, victimization, divorce? September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim33

34. How to get this published… At AJPS, you cannot suggest reviewers. Editors and reviewers dislike replications: ‘there is nothing new here’. Social Networks ‘liked the paper’ but did not want to publish because ‘it is not about social networks’. Political Psychology accepted the paper with minimal revisions. September 17, 201334MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

35. Reminder September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim35

36. Implications The methods and data used here can be used to test other ‘benefits’ of civic engagement, such as higher subjective well being, better health, lower depression and mortality. These ‘benefits’ will be quantified in a new FP7 project called ‘ITSSOIN’. Does volunteering make you happy, bring you a job, increase networks? September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim36

37. Further lessons Learn. Be fair. Replicate. Don’t give up. Test adequately. Spread the word. September 17, 2013MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim37

38. Thanks, says René Bekkers, r.bekkers@vu.nlr.bekkers@vu.nl Blog: renebekkers.wordpress.comrenebekkers.wordpress.com Twitter: @renebekkers ‘Giving in the Netherlands’, Center for Philanthropic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, VU University Amsterdam: www.geveninnederland.nl www.geveninnederland.nl September 17, 201338MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim