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Understanding the Economics and Running the Numbers Why is it important to prepare a financial model? Who are the users of the financial model? When does.

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Presentation on theme: "Understanding the Economics and Running the Numbers Why is it important to prepare a financial model? Who are the users of the financial model? When does."— Presentation transcript:

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2 Understanding the Economics and Running the Numbers Why is it important to prepare a financial model? Who are the users of the financial model? When does the financial model get prepared? Who prepares the model?

3 Understanding (balancing) the sources and uses How much debt can the project afford and at what terms/rates? How much is available in state & local incentives? How much PPA revenue is available? How much equity can the project attract/afford? Whats the maximum fee the developer can charge? When will developer collect their fee? Projecting future cash obligations Investor issues addressed proactively Yield requirements Book / GAAP issues Structuring / Exit issues Running the Numbers: Developer Perspective

4 Understanding the flow and timing of benefits When and how much capital do I contribute? How much, and when will I receive my tax credits? What, when and how much will my other tax benefits be? How much and when will I receive cash distributions? What other benefits can I expect? Who do I share the benefits with? What is my risk? When will the investment end? What is the projected IRR? Evaluate structuring options Problematic issues can be addressed timely Running the Numbers: Investor Perspective

5 Key Assumptions: Entity type, allocations, life term –Partnership Flip- Investor exits after 5-year recapture period ends, ownership interests flip from 1% / 99% to 80% / 20% –GP (Developer) exercises call option to buy out Investor in Year 6 –GP (Developer) owns system until year 20 –In year 20, Developer sells system to third party Running the Numbers

6 Key Assumptions – System Size, Cost and Electricity Production Project Size - kW DC862 Project Size - kW AC724 Installation Cost per kW DC $ 6,000 Developer Fee (% of Installation Costs)10.00% kWh per kW AC1,800 Annual Degradation %0.50% Running the Numbers

7 Key Assumptions – Operations Power Purchase Agreement ("PPA") - $/kWh - Year 1 Price $ 0.185 Annual Escalator for PPA Price3.00% Length of PPA20 years State Incentive - $/kWh (60 months)$0.22 Operating Expenses (Year 1), 4% escalator30,160 Bonus Depreciation, 5 year MACRs for balanceYes Running the Numbers

8 Key Assumptions – Sources and Uses Sources Tax Credit Equity From Investor $ 3,200,000 Deferred Developer Fee 378,200 Permanent Loan(15 year term, 6.5%) 2,300,000 Total Sources $ 5,878,200 Uses Hard Costs $ 5,172,000 Developer Fee 517,200 Syndication Costs (approximately 1% of equity) 25,000 Permanent Loan Fee (2% of loan) 46,000 Cost Certification Fee 3,000 Reserves 100,000 Organization Costs (approximately.5% of equity) 15,000 Total Uses $ 5,878,200 Running the Numbers

9 Running the Numbers: Tax Credit Calculation Investment Tax Credit % 30.00% Estimated Energy Tax Credits $1,707,660 Limited Partner Share – 99% $1,690,583 General Partner Share – 1% $ 17,077 Installed kW, DC 862 Installation Cost per kW $6,000 Project Costs $5,172,000 Total Development Fee 517,200 Cost certification 3,000 Eligible Energy Tax Credit Basis $5,692,200

10 Net Operating Income – Partnership Flip

11 Taxable Income – Partnership Flip

12 Investor Return Summary – Partnership Flip

13 Investor Benefits – Partnership Flip Total capital contributed by Investor = ($3,200,000) Tax credits allocated to Investor = $1,690,583 Total cash distributions to Investor (Years 1-5) = $914,589 Tax savings benefit = $438,808 Buyout payment to Investor (Year 6) = $186,383 Cumulative net benefits (35% tax rate) = $30,363 Annual Internal Rate of Return (IRR) = 10.74%

14 Developer Benefits – Partnership Flip Total Fee paid to Developer (Years 1-6) = $517,200 Tax Credit allocated to Developer in year 1 = $17,077 Total cash distributions to Developer (Years 1-20) = $1,487,787 Less: Limited Partner Buyout in year by Developer = ($186,383) Projected Residual value of system (Year 20) = $2,805,849

15 Questions and Answers Tony Grappone Novogradac & Company LLP www.energytaxcredits.com (617) 330-1920 Extension 114 Tony.Grappone@novoco.com


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