1. Economic Impacts of Salinity in the Central Valley
Sacramento Regional Water Quality Control Board
State Water Resources Control Board

2. Josué Medellin-Azuara Nancy Lee Gerald Horner
Richard Howitt
Resource Economist, University of California, Davis
Jonathan Kaplan
Economist, California State University, Sacramento
Doug Larson
Duncan MacEwan
Graduate Assistant, University of California, Davis
Josué Medellin-Azuara
Post Doctoral Researcher, University of California, Davis
Nancy Lee
Consulting Economist, Amherst
Gerald Horner
Economist, State Water Resources Control Board

3. Direct Economic Effects Non-market Economic Effects
Objective
Economic Impacts of Salinity Accumulations in the Central Valley to 2030
Geographic Scope
Major Central Valley Watersheds
State
Economic Scope
General Equilibrium
Direct Economic Effects
Major Sectors
Non-market Economic Effects

4. Estimate the Economic Effects of Salinity in the Central Valley to 2030
Assuming:
Current Policy Parameters
Environmental
Development-Water and Land Use
Economic
International
Existing Hydrogeology
No Specific Constituent Analysis
One Year Project

6. Central Valley Regional Water Quality Control Board

22. Sacramento River Basin San Joaquin River Basin
Tulare Lake Basin

23. Friant Kern Canal

25. Delta-Mendota Canal

39. Sacramento Basin REMI Model County Configuration

53. Relative change in the shallow groundwater table (0. 46 - 0
Relative change in the shallow groundwater table ( % /pa-- Shoups 2004).

54. Saline Affected Areas (DWR 2001)

56. Central Valley
Production Model
(19 Cells)

57. Baseline Annual Animal Numbers by Basin
Dairy
Hog
Cattle
Broiler
Layer
Sacramento River
36,014
6,270
51,228
130,690
21,347
San Joaquin River
623,896
5,138
67,246
4,156,572
8,618,585
Tulare
843,750
8,290
49,005
14,005,610
13,257
Total
1,503,660
19,698
167,479
18,292,871
8,653,189

60. Total Economic Impacts
Output
Gross Regional Product
Income
Employment
Population
Labor Force

61. California:

64. Decrease in Manufacturing Output: 2030 (Bil 2000$)
Area
Basin
Region
State
Sacramento
$0.030
-----
San Joaquin
$0.069
Tulare
$0.063
Total Central Valley
$0.162
Rest of California
$0.203
California
$0.365

65. Rest of California

70. Central Valley

75. Tulare Lake Basin

80. San Joaquin River Basin

85. Sacramento River Basin