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Knowledge Acquisition and Validation -黃存宏&簡嘉建

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1 Knowledge Acquisition and Validation -黃存宏&簡嘉建
CHAPTER 11 Knowledge Acquisition and Validation -黃存宏&簡嘉建 Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

2 What is knowledge acquisition?
Knowledge acquisition is the process of extracting, structuring, and organizing knowledge from one or more sources. Knowledge acquisition is the bottleneck that constrains the development of expert systems and other AI systems.

3 Knowledge Acquisition and Validation
Knowledge Engineering Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

4 Opening Vignette: AE Improves approval selection with Machine Learning
An automated statistical method based on discriminant analysis was used to support the decisions about whether a loan should be made. 85-90% decisions was provided. The other 10-15% had to be handled manually. And almost 50% would default. This cost much money. They solved the problem with a supporting intelligent system. The knowledge of the system was acquired by an automated approach called machine learning.

5 Opening Vignette: AE Improves approval selection with Machine Learning
The computer “learned” by examining 1,014 historical loan applications. Rule induction was used to create a decision tree correctly predicted the answer 70% of the gray-area applications than 50% by the loan officers. Rule induction was able to explain why the applications are being rejected. The knowledge base was deployed even though the project was an exploratory one that took less than 1 week of effort to produce.

6 Knowledge Engineering
The opening vignette illustrates the idea that acquiring knowledge and deploying it is a powerful and valuable way to assist decision makers. It also illustrates an exciting kind of knowledge acquisition, “machine learning”. It illustrates an AI situation in which the computer software system increases the productivity of decision making and the accuracy of the prediction. It shows that machine learning look like an ideal tool for knowledge acquisition because many cases can be examined quickly, although most knowledge-based systems rely on knowledge acquired directly from human experts.

7 Knowledge Engineering-definition
Art of bringing the principles and tools of AI research to bear on difficult applications problems requiring experts' knowledge for their solutions Technical issues of acquiring, representing and using knowledge appropriately to construct and explain lines-of-reasoning Art of building complex computer programs that represent and reason with knowledge of the world (Feigenbaum and McCorduck [1983]) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

8 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Narrow perspective: knowledge engineering deals with knowledge acquisition, representation, validation, inferencing, explanation and maintenance Wide perspective: KE describes the entire process of developing and maintaining AI systems We use the Narrow Definition Involves the cooperation of human experts in the domain who work with knowledge engineer to codify and make explicit the rules that a human expert uses to solve real problems. Knowledge engineering usually has a Synergistic effect Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

9 The knowledge possessed by human experts is often unstructured and not explicitly expressed.
The construction of a knowledge base helps the expert to articulate what he or she knows. Knowledge engineering can also pinpoint variances from one expert to another (if several experts are involved). A major goal in knowledge engineering is to construct programs that are modular in nature so that additions and changes can be made in one module without affecting the workings of other modules. An object-oriented design and implementation approach can be applied.

10 Knowledge Engineering Process Activities
Knowledge Acquisition From human experts, books, documents, sensors, or computer files. Specific to the problem domain or to the problem solving procedures. General knowledge or metaknowledge. Knowledge Validation Validated and verified by using test cases until its quality is acceptable. Knowledge Representation Preparation of knowledge map and encoding the knowledge in the knowledge base. Inferencing – can provide advice to a nonexpert user. Explanation and Justification Design and programming of an explanation capability. Why and How. Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

11 Knowledge Engineering Process (Figure 11.1)
validation (test cases) Sources of knowledge (experts, others) Knowledge Acquisition Encoding Knowledge base Knowledge Representation Explanation justification Inferencing Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

12 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Scope of Knowledge Knowledge acquisition is the extraction of knowledge from sources of expertise and its transfer to the knowledge base and sometimes to the inference engine Knowledge is a collection of specialized facts, procedures and judgment rules Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

13 Types of knowledge to be represented in the knowledge base
Behavior descriptions and beliefs Uncertain facts Knowledge about knowledge (metaknowledge) Processes Vocabulary definitions Knowledge base Constraints Objects and relationships Facts about the domain Heuristics and decision rules Procedures for problem solving Hypotheses (theories) Disjunctive facts Typical situations General knowledge (e.g., of the world)

14 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Knowledge Sources Sources of knowledge —Books, films, computer databases, pictures, maps, flow diagrams, stories, sensors, songs, observed behavior… Documented (books, manuals, etc.) Undocumented (in people's minds) From people (collected by using one or several human senses…) From machines (sensors, scanners, pattern matchers, intelligent agents…) Knowledge Acquisition from Databases Knowledge Acquisition Via the Internet Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

15 Acquisition from databases
Many ES are being constructed from knowledge that is extracted in full or in part from databases. With the increased amount of knowledge stored in databases, the acquisition of such knowledge becomes more difficult. Acquisition via the Internet With the increased use of the Internet, access vast amount of knowledge is possible. The acquisition, availability, and management of knowledge via the Internet are becoming critical issues for the construction and maintenance of knowledge-based systems, particularly because they allow the acquisition and dissemination of large quantities of knowledge in a short time across organizational and physical boundaries. You can use a browser to quickly access to web-based system. And adopting HTML browsers you’ll quickly become familiar with acquisition systems. HTML can be applied to include metadata information, allowing explicit information to be stored and retrieved.

16 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Knowledge Levels Shallow knowledge (surface) Is the representation of only surface-level information that can be used to deal with very specific situations. EX. If gasoline tank is empty, then car will not start. Represent the input-output relationship of a system. In terms of IF-THEN ruls. Have little to do with problem solving. Limit the ability of the system to provide appropriate explanations to the user. Is insufficient in describing complex situations. Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

17 Knowledge Levels Deep knowledge
Can implement a computerized representation that is deeper than shallow knowledge Special knowledge representation methods (semantic networks and frames)(chap 12) to allow the implementation of deeper-level reasoning (abstraction and analogy): important expert activity Represent objects and processes of the domain of expertise at this level Relationships among objects are important

18 Major Categories of Knowledge
Declarative Knowledge Procedural Knowledge Metaknowledge Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

19 Declarative Knowledge
Descriptive representation of knowledge. It tells us facts: what things are. Expressed in a factual statement “There is a positive association between smoking and cancer” Truth and associations. Like shallow knowledge. Important in the initial stage of knowledge acquisition Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

20 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Procedural Knowledge Considers the manner in which things work under different sets of circumstances. Includes step-by-step sequences and how-to types of instructions EX. If EPS>12, too risky, <12, then check the balance sheet. May also include explanations Involves automatic response to stimuli. May also tell us how to use declarative knowledge and how to make inferences. Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

21 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Descriptive knowledge relates to a specific object. Includes information about the meaning, roles, environment, resources, activities, associations and outcomes of the object Procedural knowledge relates to the procedures employed in the problem-solving process Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

22 Knowledge about Knowledge
Metaknowledge Knowledge about Knowledge In ES, Metaknowledge refers to knowledge about the operation of knowledge-based systems Its reasoning capabilities Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

23 Knowledge Acquisition Difficulties
Problems in Transferring Knowledge Expressing Knowledge Transfer to a Machine Number of Participants Structuring Knowledge Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

24 Transferring information is difficult
Transferring mechanisms—written words, voice, pictures, music…—no one of them is perfect. There are also problems in transferring any knowledge, even simple messages. Transferring knowledge in ES is even more difficult.

25 Expressing the knowledge
A human expert performs a two-step process to solve a problem. Input information about the external world into the brain. This information is transmitted by people, computers, or other media. The expert uses an inductive, deductive, other problem-solving approach on the collected information. And output a recommendation on how to solve the problem. This process is internal. Knowledge engineer must ask the expert to be introspective about his decision-making process and the inner experiences that are involved in it. It is very difficult for an expert to express this process, especially when these experiences are made up of sensations, thoughts, sense memories, and feelings. The expert is often unaware of the detailed process uses to arrive at a conclusion. Therefore, the rules used by the expert to solve real-life problems may actually be different than those stated in a knowledge acquisition interview.

26 Transfer to a machine Knowledge is transferred to a machine in a organized particular manner. Machine requires expressed explicitly, a lower, detailed level knowledge than humans use. Human knowledge exists in a compiled format. Human does not remember all the intermediate steps used by his brain in transferring or processing knowledge. Thus, there is a mismatch between computers and experts.

27 Number of participants
In a normal transfer of knowledge process, there are two participants. In ES, there can be four participants (plus a computer): expert, knowledge engineer, system designer, user. Sometimes more participants (programmers and vendors). They have different backgrounds, use different terminology, possess different skills and knowledge. The expert may know very little about computers, in addition the knowledge engineer may know very little about the problem area.

28 Structuring the knowledge
In ES it is necessary to elicit not only knowledge but also its structure. We must represent the knowledge in a structured way. (e.g., as rules).

29 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Other Reasons Experts may lack time or not cooperate Testing and refining knowledge is complicated Poorly defined methods for knowledge elicitation System builders may collect knowledge from one source, but the relevant knowledge may be scattered across several sources May collect documented knowledge rather than use experts The knowledge collected may be incomplete Difficult to recognize specific knowledge when mixed with irrelevant data Experts may change their behavior when observed and/or interviewed Problematic interpersonal communication between the knowledge engineer and the expert Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

30 Overcoming the Difficulties
Knowledge acquisition tools with ways to decrease the representation mismatch between the human expert and the program (“learning by being told”) Simplified rule syntax (several ES development software packages, such as Exsys, Level5, Acquire, VP-Expert) Natural language processor to translate knowledge to a specific representation The process of knowledge acquisition impacted by the role of the three major participants Knowledge Engineer Expert End user Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

31 The experts should take a very active role in the creation of knowledge base.
The knowledge engineer should act more like a teacher of knowledge structuring, a tool designer, and a catalyst at the interface between the expert and end users. Could minimize problems such as inter-human conflicts, knowledge engineering filtering, and end-user acceptance of the system. Reduce knowledge maintenance problems. Think of the participants as playing one or more roles, acting as knowledge sources, agents, targets for knowledge acquisition processes.

32 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Critical The ability and personality of the knowledge engineer Must develop a positive relationship with the expert The knowledge engineer must create the right impression Computer-aided knowledge acquisition tools Extensive integration of the acquisition efforts Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

33 Required Knowledge Engineer Skills
Computer skills Tolerance and ambivalence Effective communication abilities Broad educational background Advanced, socially sophisticated verbal skills Fast-learning capabilities (of different domains) Must understand organizations and individuals Wide experience in knowledge engineering Intelligence Empathy and patience Persistence Logical thinking Versatility and inventiveness Self-confidence Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

34 Knowledge Acquisition Methods: An Overview
Knowledge elicitation Manual Semiautomatic Automatic (Computer Aided) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

35 Manual Methods - Structured Around Interviews
Process (Figure 11.4) Interviewing(structured, semistructured, unstructured) Tracking the Reasoning Process Observing Manual methods: slow, expensive and sometimes inaccurate Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

36 Manual Methods of Knowledge Acquisition
Experts Elicitation Coding Knowledge engineer Knowledge base Documented knowledge Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

37 Semiautomatic Methods
Support Experts Directly (Figure 11.5) Help Knowledge Engineers Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

38 Expert-Driven Knowledge Acquisition
Computer-aided (interactive) interviewing Coding Expert Knowledge base Knowledge engineer Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

39 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Automatic Methods Expert’s and/or the knowledge engineer’s roles are minimized (or eliminated) Induction Method (Figure 11.6) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

40 Induction-Driven Knowledge Acquisition
Case histories and examples Induction system Knowledge base Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

41 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Knowledge Modeling The knowledge model views knowledge acquisition as the construction of a model of problem-solving behavior-- a model in terms of knowledge instead of representations Can reuse models across applications Models can serve in different systems or in different roles in the same system. The knowledge level focuses attention on the knowledge that makes systems work rather than on the symbol-level, computational design decision that provide the operational framework. Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

42 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Interviews Most Common Knowledge Acquisition: Face-to-face interviews It involves a direct dialog between the expert and the knowledge engineer. Information is collected with the aid of conventional instruments(tape recorders, questionnaires) and is subsequently transcribed, analyzed, and coded. Interview Types Unstructured (informal) Semi-structured Structured Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

43 Unstructured Interviews
Most Common Variations Talkthrough—talk to the engineer Teachthrough—teach the engineer Readthrough—instruct the engineer to read Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

44 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
The knowledge engineer slowly learns about the problem Then can build a representation of the knowledge Knowledge acquisition involves Uncovering important problem attributes Making explicit the expert’s thought process that the expert uses to interpret these attributes Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

45 Unstructured Interviews
Seldom provides complete or well-organized descriptions of cognitive processes because The domains are generally complex The experts usually find it very difficult to express some more important knowledge Domain experts may interpret the lack of structure as requiring little preparation Data acquired are often unrelated, exist at varying levels of complexity, and are difficult for the knowledge engineer to review, interpret and integrate Few knowledge engineers can conduct an efficient unstructured interview Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

46 Structured Interviews
Systematic goal-oriented process Forces an organized communication between the knowledge engineer and the expert Procedural Issues in Structuring an Interview Interpersonal communication and analytical skills are important Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

47 Procedures for structured interviews
The knowledge engineer studies available material on the domain to identify major demarcations of the relevant knowledge. The knowledge engineer reviews the planned expert system capabilities. He or she identifies targets for the questions to be asked during the knowledge acquisition session. The knowledge engineer formally schedules and plans the structured interviews (use a form). Planning includes attending to physical arrangements, defining knowledge acquisition session goals and agendas, and identifying or refining major areas of question. The knowledge engineer may write sample questions, focusing on question type, level, and questioning techniques. The knowledge engineer ensures that the domain expert understands the purpose and goals of the session and encourages the expert to prepare before the interview. During the interview the knowledge engineer follows guidelines for conducting interviews. During the interview the knowledge engineer uses directional control to retain the interview’s structure.

48 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Interviews - Summary Are important techniques Must be planned carefully Results must be verified and validated Are sometimes replaced by tracking methods Can supplement tracking or other knowledge acquisition methods Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

49 Before a knowledge engineer interviews the expert(s)
Recommendation Before a knowledge engineer interviews the expert(s) 1. Interview a less knowledgeable (minor) expert Helps the knowledge engineer Learn about the problem Learn its significance Learn about the expert(s) Learn who the users will be Understand the basic terminology Identify readable sources 2. Next read about the problem 3. Then, interview the expert(s) (much more effectively) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Tracking Methods Techniques that attempt to track the reasoning process of an expert From cognitive psychology To find what information is being used and how it is being used. Most common formal method: Protocol Analysis Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Protocol Analysis Protocol: a record or documentation of the expert's step-by-step information processing and decision-making behavior The expert performs a real task and verbalizes his/her thought process (think aloud) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

52 Observations and Other Manual Methods
Observe the Expert Work Observe an expert at work is the most obvious and straightforward approach. Expert may be multi-tasked. If recordings or videotapes are made, that costs much time and money for transcribing knowledge. Can be view as two types of protocols: motor and eye movement. They are expensive and time-consuming. Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Other Manual Methods Case analysis Critical incident analysis Discussions with the users Commentaries Conceptual graphs and models Brainstorming Prototyping Multidimensional scaling Johnson's hierarchical clustering Performance review Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

54 Expert-driven Methods
Knowledge Engineers Typically Lack Knowledge About the Domain Are Expensive May Have Problems Communicating With Experts Knowledge Acquisition May be Slow, Expensive and Unreliable Can Experts Be Their Own Knowledge Engineers? Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

55 Approaches to Expert-Driven Systems
Manual Computer-Aided (Semiautomatic) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

56 Manual Method: Expert's Self-reports
Problems with Experts’ Reports and Questionnaires 1. Requires the expert to act as knowledge engineer 2. Reports are biased 3. Experts often describe new and untested ideas and strategies 4. Experts lose interest rapidly 5. Experts must be proficient in flowcharting 6. Experts may forget certain knowledge 7. Experts are likely to be vague Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

57 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Benefits May provide useful preliminary knowledge discovery and acquisition Computer support can eliminate some limitations Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

58 Computer-aided Approaches
To reduce or eliminate the potential problems , such as bias and ambiguity. REFINER+ - case-based system TIGON - to detect and diagnose faults in a gas turbine engine Other Visual modeling techniques New machine learning methods to induce decision trees and rules Tools based on repertory grid analysis Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

59 Repertory Grid Analysis (RGA)
Techniques, derived from psychology Use the classification interview Fairly structured Primary Method: Repertory Grid Analysis (RGA) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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The Grid Based on Kelly's model of human thinking: Personal Construct Theory (PCT) Each person is a "personal scientist" seeking to predict and control events by Forming Theories Testing Hypotheses Analyzing Results of Experiments Knowledge and perceptions about the world (a domain or problem) are classified and categorized by each individual as a personal, perceptual model Each individual anticipates and then acts Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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How RGA Works 1. The expert identifies the important objects in the domain of expertise (interview) 2. The expert identifies the important attributes 3. For each attribute, the expert is asked to establish a bipolar scale with distinguishable characteristics (traits) and their opposites 4. The interviewer picks any three of the objects and asks: What attributes and traits distinguish any two of these objects from the third? Translate answers on a scale of 1-3 (or 1-5) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Step 4 continues for several triplets of objects Answers recorded in a Grid Expert may change the ratings inside box Can use the grid for recommendations Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

65 RGA in Expert Systems - Tools
AQUINAS Including the Expertise Transfer System (ETS) KRITON Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Other RGA Tools PCGRID (PC-based) WebGrid Circumgrids Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

67 Knowledge Engineer Support
Knowledge Acquisition Aids Special Languages Editors and Interfaces Explanation Facility Revision of the Knowledge Base Pictorial Knowledge Acquisition (PIKA) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Integrated Knowledge Acquisition Aids PROTÉGÉ-II KSM ACQUIRE KADS (Knowledge Acquisition and Documentation System) Front-end Tools Knowledge Analysis Tool (KAT) NEXTRA (in Nexpert Object) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Machine Learning: Rule Induction, Case-based Reasoning, Neural Computing, and Intelligent Agents Manual and semiautomatic elicitation methods: slow and expensive Other Deficiencies Frequently weak correlation between verbal reports and mental behavior Sometimes experts cannot describe their decision making process System quality depends too much on the quality of the expert and the knowledge engineer The expert does not understand ES technology The knowledge engineer may not understand the business problem Can be difficult to validate acquired knowledge Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Computer-aided Knowledge Acquisition, or Automated Knowledge Acquisition Objectives Increase the productivity of knowledge engineering Reduce the required knowledge engineer’s skill level Eliminate (mostly) the need for an expert Eliminate (mostly) the need for a knowledge engineer Increase the quality of the acquired knowledge Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

71 Automated Knowledge Acquisition (Machine Learning)
Rule Induction Case-based Reasoning Neural Computing Intelligent Agents Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Machine Learning Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining Include Methods for Reading Documents and Inducing Knowledge (Rules) Other Knowledge Sources (Databases) Tools KATE-Induction CN-2 Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

73 Automated Rule Induction
Induction: Process of Reasoning from Specific to General In ES: Rules Generated by a Computer Program from Cases Interactive Induction Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

75 Case-based Reasoning (CBR)
For Building ES by Accessing Problem-solving Experiences for Inferring Solutions for Solving Future Problems Cases and Resolutions Constitute a Knowledge Base Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Neural Computing Fairly Narrow Domains with Pattern Recognition Requires a Large Volume of Historical Cases Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

77 Intelligent Agents for Knowledge Acquisition
Led to KQML (Knowledge Query and Manipulation Language) for Knowledge Sharing KIF, Knowledge Interchange Format (Among Disparate Programs) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

78 Selecting an Appropriate Knowledge Acquisition Method
Ideal Knowledge Acquisition System Objectives Direct interaction with the expert without a knowledge engineer Applicability to virtually unlimited problem domains Tutorial capabilities Ability to analyze work in progress to detect inconsistencies and gaps in knowledge Ability to incorporate multiple knowledge sources A user friendly interface Easy interface with different expert system tools Hybrid Acquisition - Another Approach Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

79 Knowledge Acquisition from Multiple Experts
Major Purposes of Using Multiple Experts Better understand the knowledge domain Improve knowledge base validity, consistency, completeness, accuracy and relevancy Provide better productivity Identify incorrect results more easily Address broader domains To handle more complex problems and combine the strengths of different reasoning approaches Benefits And Problems With Multiple Experts Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

80 Handling Multiple Expertise
Blend several lines of reasoning through consensus methods Use an analytical approach (group probability) Select one of several distinct lines of reasoning Automate the process Decompose the knowledge acquired into specialized knowledge sources Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

81 Validation and Verification of the Knowledge Base
Quality Control Evaluation Validation Verification Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Evaluation Assess an expert system's overall value Analyze whether the system would be usable, efficient and cost-effective Validation Deals with the performance of the system (compared to the expert's) Was the “right” system built (acceptable level of accuracy?) Verification Was the system built "right"? Was the system correctly implemented to specifications? Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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Dynamic Activities Repeated each prototype update For the Knowledge Base Must have the right knowledge base Must be constructed properly (verification) Activities and Concepts In Performing These Quality Control Tasks Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

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To Validate an ES Test 1. The extent to which the system and the expert decisions agree 2. The inputs and processes used by an expert compared to the machine 3. The difference between expert and novice decisions (Sturman and Milkovich [1995]) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

85 Analyzing, Coding, Documenting, and Diagramming
Method of Acquisition and Representation 1. Transcription 2. Phrase Indexing 3. Knowledge Coding 4. Documentation (Wolfram et al. [1987]) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

86 Knowledge Diagramming
Graphical, hierarchical, top-down description of the knowledge that describes facts and reasoning strategies in ES Types Objects Events Performance Metaknowledge Describes the linkages and interactions among knowledge types Supports the analysis and planning of subsequent acquisitions Called conceptual graphs (CG) Useful in analyzing acquired knowledge Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

87 Numeric and Documented Knowledge Acquisition
Acquisition of Numeric Knowledge Special approach needed to capture numeric knowledge Acquisition of Documented Knowledge Major Advantage: No Expert To Handle a Large or Complex Amount of Information New Field: New Methods That Interpret Meaning to Determine Rules Other Knowledge Forms (Frames for Case-Based Reasoning) Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

88 Knowledge Acquisition and the Internet/Intranet
Hypermedia (Web) to Represent Expertise Naturally Natural Links can be Created in the Knowledge CONCORDE: Hypertext-based Knowledge Acquisition System Hypertext links are created as knowledge objects are acquired Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

89 The Internet/Intranet for Knowledge Acquisition
Electronic Interviewing Experts can Validate and Maintain Knowledge Bases Documented Knowledge can be accessed The Problem: Identifying relevant knowledge (intelligent agents) Many Web Search Engines have intelligent agents Data Fusion Agent for multiple Web searches and organizing Automated Collaborative Filtering (ACF) statistically matches peoples’ evaluations of a set of objects Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

90 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Also WebGrid: Web-based Knowledge Elicitation Approaches Plus Information Structuring in Distributed Hypermedia Systems Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

91 Induction Table Example
Induction tables (knowledge maps) focus the knowledge acquisition process Choosing a hospital clinic facility site Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

92 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

93 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Row 1: Factors Row 2: Valid Factor Values and Choices (last column) Table leads to the prototype ES Each row becomes a potential rule Induction tables can be used to encode chains of knowledge Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

94 Class Exercise: Animals
Knowledge Acquisition Create Induction Table I am thinking of an animal! Question: Does it have a long neck? If yes, THEN Guess that it is a giraffe. IF not a giraffe, then ask for a question to distinguish between the two. Is it YES or NO for a giraffe? Fill in the new Factor, Values and Rule. IF no, THEN What is the animal? and fill in the new rule. Continue with all questions You will build a table very quickly Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ

95 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson 6th ed, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ


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