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The New Retirement Realities - and How They Affect You
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It will be… A Process NOT an Event A Journey NOT a Destination DISAPPEAR We Will Redefine “Retirement”
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High Anxiety Source: Kshirsagar, Alok. Capturing the Retirement Opportunity. January 27, 2006. McKinsey & Company. 40 34 28 42 21 40 0 20 40 60 80 45 - 5455 - 6465 and over Moderately Anxious Extremely Anxious
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Social Studies of Retirement Calculus of Retirement 1 Rethinking Retirement Planning Source: 1 Adapted from: Milevsky, Moshe Arye. Calculus of retirement income financial models for pension annuities and life insurance. Cambridge: Cambridge UP, 2006. Print.
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Calculus of Retirement Longevity risk Market risk Inflation risk Rethinking Retirement Planning
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Probability an Average 65 year-old Canadian Will Live to Age… Longevity Risk Source: Moshe Milevsky, The IFID Centre 95 90 85 80 75 70 Female Male Age 52.61%33.44% 71.42%54.76% 84.90%73.99% 93.94% 89.13% 12.03% 4.34% 30.60%15.14% Joint 68.46% 87.07% 96.07% 99.34% 15.85% 41.11%
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Both Sexes Male Female Married Parents + 75 Mentally active Single or Divorced How to Live Longer Source: Moshe Milevsky, The IFID Centre and Max Plank Institute for Demographic Research
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Individual Aging Population Aging Family Aging Longevity Risk
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0 20 40 60 The Impact of Longevity on Family Structure – Age 50 with a Surviving Parent The 50 Year Old Child 16% 60% 19602010 Source: The Certified General Accountants Association of Canada. Growing Up: The Social and Economic Implications of an Aging Population. Part 3, Pg. 44, Rep. Jan. 2005. Web..
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Sandwich Generation Empty Nest: Lots of Disposable $ Sandwich Generation: $ for parents & children Family Aging
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The majority of middle age people now have more parents than they have children. Family Aging
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Inflation: What Does a $1,000 Payment, Really Buy You? Inflation Risk Year #0%1%2%4% 1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 $1,000 $905 $952 $990 $861 $820 $780 $742 $706 $820 $906 $980 $743 $673 $610 $552 $500 $676 $822 $962 $555 $456 $375 $308 $253 Source: Moshe Milevsky, The IFID Centre
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Social Studies of Retirement Calculus of Retirement Rethinking Retirement Planning
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Social Studies of Retirement Canadians and Retirement Who are we – the Boomers? A solution Rethinking Retirement Planning
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by 2014, Canadians 55 and over will control almost 72% of investable assets 1 Source: 1 Investor Economics Household Balance Sheet, 2006 and 2005 edition. Canadian Retirement Market
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Source: 1 Department of Finance. Bank of Canada Banking and Financial Statistics Publication. 2010. Print., 2 IFIC, December 2009, 3 Department of Finance. The Fiscal Monitor. Publication. 2010. Print. Large Market & Inefficient Investments Significant assets are held in tax inefficient investments such as: – $647 billion in near cash deposits – with the chartered banks 1 – $71.2 billion in fixed income – mutual funds 2 – $12.1 billion in CSBs 3
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51% of Canadian retirees say they had no idea of what they wanted their retirement to look like 2 Canadian Retirement Market by 2014, Canadians 55 and over will control almost 72% of investable assets 1 Source: 1 Investor Economics Household Balance Sheet, 2003 and 2005 edition. 2 Common vision lacking among retired couples: survey. Transcontinental Media Inc., 2010. Web..
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Increased Awareness of the Dangers of Retirement Raises Some Important Questions (% Agree) 76% I wonder if products exist that could help protect/manage losses I need to rethink how aggressive or conservative my portfolio should be 66% I wonder if I have saved enough and am prepared for retirement 62% I question whether or not I’m getting the best advice 54% Source: Prudential, Survey of American Pre-Retirees 2003 Canadian Retirement Market
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among non-retired Canadians age 35 – 55 years old, 52% are not confident that their financial situation in retirement will be adequate 3 51% of Canadian retirees say they had no idea of what they wanted their retirement to look like 2 by 2014, Canadians 55 and over will control almost 72% of investable assets 1 Source: 1 Investor Economics Household Balance Sheet, 2006 and 2005 edition. 2 Common vision lacking among retired couples: survey. Transcontinental Media Inc., 2010. Web. http://www.investmentexecutive.com/client/en/News/DetailNews.asp?id=52213&idsection=3&cat=3. 3 Where Has the Money Gone: The State of Canadian Household Debt in a Stumbling Economy. Publication. The Certified General Accountants Association of Canada, 2009. Web.. Canadian Retirement Market
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Reason Standard of Living Worse than Expected in Retirement Source: 2002 Retirement Confidence Survey, 2002 Employee Benefit Research Institute General expenses were higher than expected 38% 14% Thought government/private pension benefits would be higher 3% Unable to find employment/lost employment 3% Investments not doing as well as expected 18% Other 7% Don’t know Canadian Retirement Market
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When to Start Thinking About “It”
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CARP Tim Horton's Zellers Movie theaters RBC Cdn. government Boomers 50 60 55 65 60 55 76 How Old is Old?
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Source: Ameriprise Financial, Age Wave, Ken Dychtwald, Ph.D. Harris Interactive, Inc., The New Retirement Mindscape. Ameriprise Financial Services Inc., January 2006. 18% Achieving financial freedom Significant birthday (e.g., 55, 60, 65) 16% Layoff or career setback 6% Empty nest when children leave home 6% Spouse or partner retired 6% Becoming a grandparent 4% Divorce 3% Illness or health issue 15% Death of a family member or friend 8% What Triggers Retirement Readiness?
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Survival of the Females Fittest
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Survival of the Females
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Changing as we age
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Will I outlive my money? Inflation Risk: What will a dollar buy me in 20 years? Market Risk: Will a drop in the market set me back? Longevity Risk: Retirement Risks
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Longevity Risk: Will I outlive my money? Retirement Risks
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Averages Make it personal www.livingto100.com www.nmfn.com Longevity Risk
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Longevity Game: www.nmfn.com Source: The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company/Northwestern Mutual, www.nwmf.com, 2007.
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Welcome to the Longevity Game Source: The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company/Northwestern Mutual, www.nmfn.com, 2007.www.nmfn.com
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Longevity Game: 75yr. old male Source: The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company/Northwestern Mutual, www.nmfn.com, 2007.www.nmfn.com
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Longevity Game: 55yr. old male Source: The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company/Northwestern Mutual, www.nmfn.com, 2007.www.nmfn.com
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Longevity Game: 55yr. old male Source: The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company/Northwestern Mutual, www.nmfn.com, 2007.www.nmfn.com
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Longevity Game: 55yr. old male Source: The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company/Northwestern Mutual, www.nmfn.com, 2007.www.nmfn.com
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Longevity Game: 55yr. old male Source: The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company/Northwestern Mutual, www.nmfn.com, 2007.www.nmfn.com
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Longevity Game: 55yr. old male Source: The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company/Northwestern Mutual, www.nmfn.com, 2007.www.nmfn.com
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Longevity Game: 55yr. old male Source: The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company/Northwestern Mutual, www.nmfn.com, 2007.www.nmfn.com
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Longevity Game: 55yr. old male Source: The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company/Northwestern Mutual, www.nmfn.com, 2007.www.nmfn.com
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Longevity Game: 55yr. old male Source: The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company/Northwestern Mutual, www.nmfn.com, 2007.www.nmfn.com
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Inflation risk – massive impact over time Talk to your advisor Inflation & Market Risk Market risk – sequence of returns
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A Solution
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Ego (Esteem) Recognition from others, prestige and status Social (Belonging) Acceptance, be part of a group, identification with others Safety/Security Physical safety, economic security, freedom from threats Physiological Physical survival needs – water, food, sleep, warmth Self-Actualization Realization of potential, fulfillment Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs
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Safety/Security Physical safety, economic security, freedom from threats Ego (Esteem) Recognition from others, prestige and status Social (Belonging) Acceptance, be part of a group, identification with others Self-Actualization Realization of potential, fulfillment Physiological Physical survival needs – water, food, sleep, warmth Retirement Income Solutions Pyramid
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Safety/Security Physical safety, economic security, freedom from threats Ego (Esteem) Recognition from others, prestige and status Social (Belonging) Acceptance, be part of a group, identification with others Self-Actualization Realization of potential, fulfillment Basic Expenses Food | House | Insurance | Taxes CPP/OAS | Employer Pension Private Pension Annuity Retirement Income Solutions Pyramid
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Security Expenses Unexpected Events & Expenses Cash | Insurance (Life | Disability | CI | LTC) Basic Expenses Food | House | Insurance | Taxes CPP/OAS | Employer Pension Private Pension Annuity Ego (Esteem) Recognition from others, prestige and status Social (Belonging) Acceptance, be part of a group, identification with others Self-Actualization Realization of potential, fulfillment Retirement Income Solutions Pyramid
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Social Expenses Hobbies | Travel | Gifts | Entertainment Income from investments Security Expenses Unexpected Events & Expenses Cash | Insurance (Life | Disability | CI | LTC) Basic Expenses Food | House | Insurance | Taxes CPP/OAS | Employer Pension Private Pension Annuity Ego (Esteem) Recognition from others, prestige and status Self-Actualization Realization of potential, fulfillment Retirement Income Solutions Pyramid
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Esteem Expenses Recreational Property | Boat Sale of investments Social Expenses Hobbies | Travel | Gifts | Entertainment Income from investments Security Expenses Unexpected Events & Expenses Cash | Insurance (Life | Disability | CI | LTC) Basic Expenses Food | House | Insurance | Taxes CPP/OAS | Employer Pension Private Pension Annuity Self-Actualization Realization of potential, fulfillment Retirement Income Solutions Pyramid
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Legacy Expenses Estate | Philanthropy Remaining investment, insurance proceeds Esteem Expenses Recreational Property | Boat Sale of investments Social Expenses Hobbies | Travel | Gifts | Entertainment Income from investments Security Expenses Unexpected Events & Expenses Cash | Insurance (Life | Disability | CI | LTC) Basic Expenses Food | House | Insurance | Taxes CPP/OAS | Employer Pension Private Pension Annuity Retirement Income Solutions Pyramid
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“A journey of a thousand miles begins with a step.” - Lao Tau
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Thank you
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Disclaimer All charts and illustrations in this guide are for illustrative purposes only. They are not intended to predict or project investment results. ® CI Investments and the CI Investments design are registered trademarks of CI Investments Inc.
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