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 LeapFrog Enterprises Inc. (LF) Richie Hartz, Patrick O’Donnell, Matthew Rasinski Tuesday, April 2 nd 2013.

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Presentation on theme: " LeapFrog Enterprises Inc. (LF) Richie Hartz, Patrick O’Donnell, Matthew Rasinski Tuesday, April 2 nd 2013."— Presentation transcript:

1  LeapFrog Enterprises Inc. (LF) Richie Hartz, Patrick O’Donnell, Matthew Rasinski Tuesday, April 2 nd 2013

2 Agenda  Introduction  Company Overview  Industry Overview  Stock Performance  Financial Analysis  Valuation  Recommendation

3 Introduction  LeapFrog trades on the NYSE with ticker symbol LF  Company was founded in 1995 by Micheal Wood and Robert Lally and headquartered in Emeryville, California USA  Focus: educational entertainment  Concept was originally designed to educate Wood’s son through toys

4 Company Overview  LeapFrog - designs, develops, and markets technology-based products for the purpose of education  Demographics – infants through 9 years of age  Focus on math, reading, writing, science, social studies, creativity, life skills, and foreign languages  In 1995, with the aid of Stanford University Professor Dr. Robert Calfee, LeapFrog developed their first toy called the LeapFrog Phonics Desk (at a of price $50).  In 2013, the firms top product is the Disney Princess Bundle – a tablet complete with “Disney” apps (price $130)

5 Product Overview  Learning games, apps, eBooks, videos, music, toys, and more  Currently sell 2 versions of LeapPads, 2 hand held computers (GS and the Explorer), 2 sets of eBooks (Tag and the Tag Junior), learning toys, and iPhone and iPad apps  LeapPads -- $120  GS and Explorer -- $70  eBooks -- $25 to $170 bundles  Toys -- $10 to $25  Apps -- $0.99 www.LeapFrog.com

6 LeapFrog Products

7 Recent News  Leapfrog has won over 80 awards from the Parent’s Choice Foundation  As of 2013 – The new management team has shifted their emphasis from toy development to educational entertainment  Leapfrog has sold more than 100 million books, over 100 million educational toys and over 55 million tablet and gaming platforms.

8 Transition Period Toy Development Educational Entertainment Transition by Management Changes the target market from infant to grade-schooler Addition rather then a substitute to current product line

9 2013 Outlook  New product launches include:  Learn-to-read system  iPhone and iPad apps  New version of LeapPad tablet  Global distribution networks  Including 4 interactive languages  Growth Strategy: long term investments in content, international expansion, online communities, systems, and new platforms

10  Utilize FIFO inventory recognition  Emerville, California – Headquarters and Operations  Type of possession: Lease  Fontana, California – Distribution Center  Type of possession: Lease  Income tax benefits  2012 – ($24,504,000) & 2011 – ($1,137,000)  Due to the recognition of previously unrecognized tax carryforwards Accounting

11 Manufacturing  Designed to maximize the use of outsourced services  With respect to physical production and distribution  Highly seasonal business  Manufacturers are located in Asia, primarily in China  Top three vendors supplied 73%, 65%, and 57% of LeapFrog’s products in 2012, 2011, and 2010 respectively  Largest manufacturers are: Wynnewood Corp. Ltd. & WKK Technology Limited  They are billed by manufacturers in US dollars

12 Operations  Develop products primarily in the United States  Marketing efforts are centered on North America  Lesser extent to Europe and the rest of the world  Foreign currency transactions are hedged through short term futures contracts

13 EBIT Breakdown by Region However, his does not explain the entire picture

14 LeapFrog 2012 10k Report  EBIT in terms of United States has grown exponentially since 2010  A similar expansion strategy into the foreign market place would lead to enormous economies of scale United States Foreign Figures are in thousands

15 Domestic Sales  The big three US retailers: Wal-Mart, Toys “R” Us, and Target have historically accounted for a substantial portion of gross sales

16 Equity Snapshot  Stock Price: $8.33  Beta: 1.26  TTM P/E: 6.72  Forward P/E: 11.11  PEG Ratio (5 year): 0.67  Price/Book: 1.76 Source: www.finance.yahoo.com

17 Stock Performance Source: www.finance.yahoo.com Hasbro Inc. (HAS) Mattel Inc. (MAT)

18 Industry Overview Hasbro Inc. Mattel Inc. Source www.finance.yahoo.com

19 Porters 5 Force Analysis  Bargaining Power of Buyers: Moderate  Evidence: high profit margins exist  Niche market, little direct competiton  Bargaining Power of Suppliers: Moderate  Computer components and assembly have become commodities  Competitive advantage lies in the programming, not the physical interface  They have 3 main manufacturers  Threat of New Substitutes: High  Classic teaching methods still dominate the educational market  Apple and Samsung tablets can offer “learning” apps that mimic those offered by Leapfrog.

20 5 Force Analysis Continued  Competitive Rivalry within the Industry: Moderate  There is no definitive market dominance  Educational Technology for individual users is a relatively new industry (use of the “pad”)  Threat of New Entrants: High  App market is vast and easy to gain market presence  Brand loyalty has yet to be established – users “children” unable to recognize the difference between a Leapfrog product and an Apple Product.

21 Macroeconomic Condition Consumer confidence has shown slow signs of improvement Source: www.dailycapitalist.com

22 SPDR – XLY Performance  Consumer Discretionary Select Sector  Consistent growth in discretionary spending over the 2y Source: www.finance.yahoo.com

23 2012 4 th Quarter Highlights Highlights of full year 2012 results compared to full year 2011 results:  Consolidated net sales were up 28%.  U.S. segment net sales were up 24%, and international segment net sales were up 38%.  Income from operations was up 170%.  Income from operations as a percentage of net sales was 11.0%, more than double the prior year.  Net income was $86.5 million, up 334%.  Adjusted EBITDA was $93.1 million, up 89%.  Cash and cash equivalents were $120.0 million as of December 31, 2012, up 67% compared to the balance as of December 31, 2011.

24 WHAT is Bringing in the Money?  According to management (2012 Annual Report):  -”LeapPad” – one of the generally more expensive items.  -“App” sales for iPhone and iPad  In general, sales are increasing for the technology products, however the less technology intensive projects have greater margins.

25 Revenue/Cost Tradeoffs  Overall Retail Inventory Levels have increased since 2010  Sales increased by 5% while Cost of Goods increased by 6% (as a reflection of the proportionally higher sales of higher cost platforms “pads”)  Decreased Marketing expenditures to offset increased COGS (of technology products) and Operating expenditures.

26 WHEN is the Money Coming in? According to 2012 Annual Report: Quarterly Cash Flow

27 Revenue Cost/Tradeoffs

28 Financial Analysis - Recent Growth Consistent Expansion in Price and Volume Components 432,564 455,140 581,288 Suggests that LeapFrog is still in a growth stage Net Sales (in thousands, USD)

29 Valuation  DCF Suggests 20% Upside

30 Valuation - Sensitivity

31 Valuation  Comparable Analysis -Trailing versus forward P/E

32 Decision Drivers  GICS Application  Clear Management Goals  Discounted Cash Flow  Comparable Analysis

33 Recommendation  Buy 2000 Shares at the Current Market Price  Current Stock Price of $8.20  Order total: $16,400


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