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The Earth’s most radical climate change Ivan Wiley 1 www.naturalclimatechange.us/added%2012.../Snowball%20Earth!.pptx.

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Presentation on theme: "The Earth’s most radical climate change Ivan Wiley 1 www.naturalclimatechange.us/added%2012.../Snowball%20Earth!.pptx."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Earth’s most radical climate change Ivan Wiley 1 www.naturalclimatechange.us/added%2012.../Snowball%20Earth!.pptx

2 Objective Understand the effects of Snowball Earth Cause and effects Natural vs. Anthropogenic Cause Comparing ppm in the past to see if that caused intense glaciations and ending vs. modern ICCP states Natural cycle How effected life on earth From Pre-Ediacara life to Cambrian explosion Plate tectonics were huge role for climate change CO2 drawdown Misconception of CO2 caused global warming effect, although scientists mentioned that was much higher in the past. 2

3 Definition of Theory “the·o·ry noun \ ˈ thē- ə -rē, ˈ thir-ē\ : the analysis of a set of facts in their relation to one another : abstract thought : speculationspeculation : the general or abstract principles of a body of fact, a science, or an art.principles a : a belief, policy, or procedure proposed or followed as the basis of action b : an ideal or hypothetical set of facts, principles, or circumstances —often used in the phrase in theory : a plausible or scientifically acceptable general principle or body of principles offered to explain phenomena plausible a : a hypothesis assumed for the sake of argument or investigation b : an unproved assumption : conjecture c : a body of theorems presenting a concise systematic view of a subject "conjecturetheorems http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/theory However, scientific theories changes all the time. 3

4 How Theory Works Assumption Make a guess Theory Test the hypothesis and investigate (a lot!) Scientific theories never works if just the assumptions. That is why ICCP never works although fear works for millions of people. (Hey Al, please don’t try to scare us, because it doesn’t work anymore.) All sciences are based on theories, not just a guess. You have to test it to see if there are good correlations(patterns) to the theories; not jump in conclusion. Finally, you have to prove that it is really true. However, the Snowball Earth is still a theory because it is not finished with it. 4

5 Origin of Snowball Earth Theory W. Brian Harland (1917-2003)created in 1964 According to Chris Bauer & Ryan D’jay: “The premise of this theory is that during the Pre-Cambrian era, the continents resided near the Southern Hemisphere and the inter planet was covered by Glacial Ice Sheets form the Poles to the Equator.” http://www.atmos.washington.edu/2009Q1/111/ATMS111%20Presentations/Folder%203/BauerC_Dja yR.pdf http://www.atmos.washington.edu/2009Q1/111/ATMS111%20Presentations/Folder%203/BauerC_Dja yR.pdf Paul F. Hoffman (b.1941), a geologist carrying torch for Harland’s theory. Worked on his field for more than 40 years. I’ve seen countless of websites, scientific journals, and other sources from that he studies tirelessly on the theory as well searching for evidences and he became very widely famous for the Snowball Earth theory. 5

6 New Evidence of SB Earth Theory Phosphorus nutrients helped speeds up the evolution of underwater life. (http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/10/101027133146.htm)http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/10/101027133146.htm “A spike in ancient marine phosphorus concentration from 750 to 635 million years ago is linked to emergence of complex life.” (http://yubanet.com/scitech/New-evidence-supports-Snowball-Earth-as-trigger-for-early-animal- evolution.phphttp://yubanet.com/scitech/New-evidence-supports-Snowball-Earth-as-trigger-for-early-animal- evolution.php Pushes Snowball Earth timeline earlier; however, they are not sure since it is so new. (Kaigas) New recent precision of the date time of Sturtian. 716.5 Mya (http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2010/03/100304-snowball-earth-ice-global-warming)http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2010/03/100304-snowball-earth-ice-global-warming Scientific theories change all the time. 6

7 Some Dispute from the Theory Known as anomalous(deviation from normal)evidence “one of the present holes in the ‘Snowball’ Earth theory are intervals in chemical weathering found during this time period, which leads one to belief that there were both warm and cold periods during the so called ‘Snowball’ Earth, which is not possible if the Earth was completely frozen over. One of the other present details anomalous to the ‘Snowball’ Earth theory is the finding of complex photosynthesizing organisms found in black shale rock dating to this time period, which Alison Olcott believes proves that there were some open areas of ocean at the time.” Some call it “Mudball Earth” because of volcanic eruptions dirtied the planet. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/2009Q1/111/ATMS111%20Presentations/Folder%203/BauerC_DjayR.pdf http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2010/03/100304-snowball-earth-ice-global-warming 7

8 Snowball Earth Definition It is a time of one of the most intense ice ages-up to four episodes of climate changes. 750-580 Mya Mile high Ice covered completely (or almost) on earth World-wide glaciations Pure White Earth “Eight hundred million years ago, during the Neoproterozioc Era, Earth under went a monstrous ice age. There is evidence of glacial ice in tropical latitudes, only 15 o to 30 o north of equator. In our world, this would mean glaciers as far south as Miami, Florida. Earth would have looked like a different planet, with no open ocean and few areas of exposed rock. Only ice and snow, an world of almost pure white………” Hoffman, L. Doug & Simmons Allen. The Resilient Earth. (Snowball Earth index) P75-76 & 83. 8

9 Snowball Earth Process http://content.usatoday.com/communities/sciencefair/post/2010/03/snowball-earth-date-frozen-by-scientists/1 9

10 Theories of Snowball Earth 1) High Tilt Axis- 70 degrees and “preferential” glaciation at low altitude. 2) Extreme runaway glaciation due to ice reflection from solar energy. (Albedo) 3) Volcanic and plate tectonic at the same time that caused glaciation. 4) Lower solar luminosity. Six percent lower than now. (Plimer p170) 10

11 Galactic Spiral Arm Cycle Sagittarius-Carina Arm 134 +-(give or take) 10 million years cycle When the Solar System reach into the spiral galactic arm, they are cooler. That’s one of the reason that the earth underwent the cooling phase. (Hoffman & Simmons p167) 11

12 Deep Distant Past First Ice age was about three billion years ago (http://www.wordiq.com/definition/Paleoclimate )http://www.wordiq.com/definition/Paleoclimate The first Snowball Earth was ~2.3 Billion years ago Known as Huronian glaciation Stromatolites were at the top species. Oxygen level risen Sky became blue (From: How the Earth was Made Video. History Channel) Plate tectonics Prokaryotes was dominated by Eukaryotes. Evidences of BIFs (Banded Iron Formations) all over the world. 12

13 Increase of Oxygen Timeline http://cosmology.com/Cosmology3.html 13

14 Correlations:Plate Tectonics “~3 billion years ago, Ur formed as the only continent on Earth.continentEarth ~2.8 billion years ago, Ur was a part of the major supercontinent Kenorland.Kenorland ~2 billion years ago, Ur was a part of the major supercontinent Columbia.Columbia ~1 billion years ago, Ur was a part of the major supercontinent Rodinia.Rodinia ~550 million years ago, Ur was a part of the major supercontinent Pannotia.”Pannotia 14 http://pediaview.com/openpedia/Ur_(continent)

15 Contributions of CO2 through Plate Tectonics “As we can see, geologic processes contribute CO2 to the atmosphere by three main routes: 1) Volcanism: outgassing of magmas formed in crust and mantle 2) Production of calcium carbonate: the precipitation of calcium carbonate (part of the biological pump) also releases CO2 to the atmosphere 3) Metamorphism: CO2 is liberated when carbonate minerals undergo metamorphism” http://www.indiana.edu/~geol105b/1425chap8.htm 15

16 Geological Timescale During Neoproterozoic Glaciations http://rst.gsfc.nasa.gov/Sect20/A12c.html 16

17 Why is it important to study? Because natural cause is always more powerful effect life on earth (including human). Pushes life on earth to strive on a new environment Build ecosystems Life flourished while high CO2 and building further to more complex ecosystems. Plant first, then animal Without CO2, there would be no life on earth. Without Snowball Earth events, life expansion would be much slower and human would not be here. 17

18 Cause and Effect Plate tectonics cause a massive CO2 drawdown (reduce). Albedo bounced heat back in space, thereby ice became more permanent. Massive volcanic eruption helped developed intense greenhouse effect to prevent permanent ice age. Life flourished after that At least two huge and long glacial events 18

19 Evidences all around the world Evidences of fossil species change Fossilized drop stones found worldwide: China, Russia, Australia, Africa, North America, and others. Close to home: California, Death Valley National Park Formation: Panamint Range, Kingston Peak, Noonday Dolomite 19

20 Banded Iron Formation http://www.snowballearth.org/slides/Ch3-5.jpg 20

21 Avg. Global Temperature ~ -50 degrees C to 40 degrees C in variation of icehouse/greenhouse event. Patterns: Evidences were found in BIF; Oxygen revolution then CO2 increases. Always in cycles. Fossilized glacial drop stones http://www.snowballearth.org/end.html 21

22 Avg. Snowball Earth Global Temp http://www.snowballearth.org/end.html 22

23 Rodinia Timeline Late Precambrian supercontinent 1.1 Bya Rodinia assemblage 750 Mya started to break up 600 Mya Pan-Africa orogeny (mountain building) forming “new” continent Pannotia 550 Mya Pannotia Breaking up several small fragments Laurentia (N. America) Baltica (N. Europe) Siberia Large piece (China, Africa, S. America, and Antarctica) called Godwanda http://www.madsci.org/posts/archives/dec98/913866772.Sh.r.html 23

24 Evidences of Tectonic Regimes http://www.snowballearth.org/slides/Ch13-7b.gif 24

25 Neoproterozoic Glaciations Timeline Sturtian Glaciation Period ~750 to 710 MYA Varanger-Marinoa Glaciation Period ~630 to 600 MYA Sinian Period Glaciation ~600 MYA to 570 MYA Gaskiers Period Glaciation ~580 MYA http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/474302/Precambrian-time/69805/Orogenic-belts?anchor=ref585166 http://geol.queensu.ca/people/narbonne/NarbonneAREPS2005Final.pdf 25

26 Comparing CO2: Past and Modern Scientist Bao mentioned that late Precambrian glaciation was at the coldest in the past 750 million years. Massive methane output(due to massive volcanic activities). He stated that past CO2 was much higher in the Early Cambrian than the later geological periods. http://www.geol.lsu.edu/images/Features/nature%20article.pdf 26

27 CO2 of the Geological Past PCO2 much higher than in the early Cambrian period than the later geological periods. Neoproterozoic global glaciation was at the highest level. Their finding is “consistent” with the Snowball Earth hypothesis and/or a massive methane release after the Marinoan glaciations. 20 times higher in Early Cambrian period(4,200 ppm) than the late Paleozoic or modern era. Marinoan glaciation immediately aftermath was at 12,000 ppm of CO2 (highest Pco2 ever since 750 Mya) Two causes: 1) long term build up of volcanic CO2 in the atmosphere up to ~350 times of the modern level. Then, the albedo was being offset by the volcanic eruptions. 2) “A second cause could be a catastrophic release of methane hydrates just after a global deglaciation, which, on the oxidation of methane, give rise to a high Pco2 level.” http://www.geol.lsu.edu/images/Features/nature%20article.pdf 27

28 Plate Tectonic Cause and Effect CO2 drawdown (reduction) was caused by plate tectonic. Massive loss of CO2 cause in reduction in greenhouse effect turning earth into a giant snowball in space. Causes massive volcanic eruptions. Changes in sea levels. “Methane clathrate, also called methane hydrate, methane ice or "fire ice" is a solid clathrate compound (more specifically, a clathrate hydrate) in which a large amount of methane is trapped within a crystal structure of water, forming a solid similar to ice.” en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methane_Hydrate “A gas hydrate that contains methane as the guest molecule; It occurs both in deep sedimentary structures, and as outcrops on the ocean floor.” http://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/methane_hydrate 28

29 Last 600 Mya Avg. Global Temp: There is no correlation between CO2 and temperatures! Hey Al, can you say there is no correlation between CO2 and temperatures?! 29 Temperature after C.R. Scotese http://www.scotese.com/climate.htm CO2 after R.A. Berner, 2001 (GEOCARB III)http://www.scotese.com/climate.htm

30 Water Vapor Land mass were not as big as today and plants have not reached to the land yet; therefore, there is no plant on land to hold or collect water. Water vapor contributes or control the global temperature. Water vapors controls 95% of global temperature (greenhouse gas by volume). 30

31 http://www.scotese.com 31

32 Origin Animal Ecosystem Build-up Speed up of animal ecosystems started at Cryogenian event before Ediacara Simple one celled species to multicelluar animals Extreme hot & cold climate pushed species to the edge of survival. However, it was also the CO2 that has helped life to strive better. Changing climates speed up the evolution process. Several trials and errors of species build-up are normal. For example, developing new kinds of body functions. 32

33 Cryogenian Period ~850 to 635 Mya Simple milti-celluar species were microscopic before having a complex body functions. For example, eyes, brains, ears, and have not formed until after the last Precambrian glaciations. http://www.palaeos.org/Cryogenian 33

34 Cryogenian Period http://www.landesbioscience.com/curie/chapter/3751 34

35 Vendian Period Both Precambrian and Vendian periods species experienced at least one mass extinction. Up to 70% of predominant Precambrian species were already being extinct. Have not had the hard shelled bodies and complex organs yet. http://park.org/Canada/Museum/extinction/venmass.html 35

36 Ediacaran Species Later part of Vendian Period. After the Varangian glaciation was over, the rapid warming. As a result, new kind of species took over the earth. Narbonne, a geologist, mentioned that the Ediacaran animal biota was a failed experimental ecosystem build-up. They were immobile, floating around the area near the ocean to absorb sunlight for food. Free (or very few) of predators Although, Ediacaran species vanished from the fossil records, some species are known to evolve to new species. http://www.livescience.com/animals/090204-first-animals.html http://geol.queensu.ca/people/narbonne/NarbonneAREPS2005Final.pdf 36

37 Fossil Localization Ediacara Timeline http://rst.gsfc.nasa.gov/Sect20/A12c.html http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic-art/474302/95798/Spriggina-fossil-from-the- Ediacaran-Period-found-in-the-Ediacara 37

38 Ediacara Fossil Species http://rst.gsfc.nasa.gov/Sect20/A12c.html 38

39 Volcanic eruption ensued to give room for Greenhouse effects to warm up the Earth. Final global glaciation (Glaskiers) was over. Cambrian Explosion Burgess Shale in Canada(“Serengeti” animals in the past) Rises of the shelly fossils. Predators were diversified extremely rapidly. Some even theorized that the new species ate so much that could cause the extinction of Ediacaran species, but they are not sure. Calcified (CaCO3) sea help developed hard shell for more protection from other predators. Limestone-sea shells, coral, skeleton, etc. Rising and Changing Species http://www.astrobio.net/exclusive/2360/phosphate-does-a-body-good 39

40 Comparing the difference in a mere ~ fifty million years apart. Ediacara Cambrian http://www.astrobio.net/exclusive/2360/phosphate-does-a-body-good http://www.artsjournal.com/artopia/ptgbyD.W.%20Miller.jpg 40

41 Conclusions Natural occurrences have more devastating effect on earth and life came back better than before. Other word, life will find a way. For example, warmer temperature flourished life. Plate tectonic, Solar energy are a prime examples of a great effects life on earth. There is no correlation to the CO2 and temperature. So there are other factors that cause climate change. We are causing tiny effect(if so ever) on the CO2 today compared to the deep geological past. High CO2 plays the role to huge spurt of life on earth, not the danger to life. Without Snowball Earth, we would not be here. Science changes all the time over time. That is why called theories. 41

42 Sources Sources: 1. -Definition of Theory.http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/theory 2.. “The Snowball Earth Theory” by Chris Bauer & Ryan D’jay.http://www.atmos.washington.edu/2009Q1/111/ATMS111%20Presentations/Folder%203/BauerC_DjayR.pdf 3. University of California-Riverside. “New Evidence Supports ‘Snowball Earth’ as Trigger for Early Animal Evolution” ScienceDaily 27 October 2010. 24 November 2010..http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/10/101027133146.htm 4. Imperial College London. “New Evidence Puts ‘Snowball Earth’ Theory out In The Cold.” ScienceDaily 25 March 2007. 24 November 2010..http://www.sciencedaily.com/r\elease/2007/03/070323104746.htm 5.. “Why isn’t Rodina called Pangea Anymore?” Answered by Davis Smith, Ph.D., La Salle University, Philadelphia, PA.http://www.madsci.org/posts/archives/dec98/913866772.Sh.r.html 6.. “Cryogenian”.http://www.palaeos.org/Cryogenian 7.. “Ediacaran”.http://www.palaeos.org/Ediacaran 8.. “Cryogenian snowballs”http://www.palaeos.org/Snowball_Earth 9.. “Oldest Fossil Evidence for Animals Found”. Robin Lloyd, LiveScience Senior Editor posed on Feb. 4, 2009 at 1:00 pm ET.http://www.livescience.com/animals/090204-first-animals.html 10. Triple oxygen isotope evidence for elevated co2 levels after a Neoproterozioc glaciations” by Huiming Bao, J.R. Lyons, & Chuanming Zhou. Nature May 2008. http://www.geol.lsu.edu/images/Features/nature%20article.pdf 11. “A ’snowball Earth’ climate triggered by continental break-up through changes in runoff”. By Yannick Donnadieu, Yves Godderis, Gilles Ramtein, Anne Nedeliec & Joseph Meert. Nature March 16, 2004. www.nature.com/nature.www.nature.com/nature 42


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