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Lessons from a Broadband Society

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1 Lessons from a Broadband Society
FTTH in Japan Lessons from a Broadband Society

2 AFL Telecommunications:
AFL = Alcoa Fujikura, Ltd. Established in 1984 to provide optical products for power utility applications. Headquartered in Franklin, TN. Major manufacturing operations in: Duncan, SC Belmont, NH Mexico and the U.K.

3 Overview: Japan is experiencing widespread deployment of fiber-to-the-home (FTTH). Deployment is driven by a competitive telecom environment. Power Utilities are a key player in this environment. Competition and economy of scale have enabled development of inexpensive and scalable technologies. Public Power can help lead the United States toward similar competition and benefits.

4 FTTH In Japan: Jul OF Networks Co., Ltd. Private research results

5 Number of FTTH Subscribers in Japan total number of subscribers
Rate of Deployment: Number of FTTH Subscribers in Japan 1,200,000 – 1,300,000 Carrier total number of subscribers No. of increase / month NTT east 141,047 Jul. 2003 30,000 NTT west 151,000 Usen 124,300 12,500 TEPCO 10,000 1500 Jun. 2003 Chubu Electric Power 3,800 500 K-Opticom 46,000 2,500 Energia 6,000 2000 QT-Net 18,000 2,000 587,000 81,000 increase / month 2003 June July End of 2003 Aug OF Networks Co., Ltd. Private research results

6 Why this deployment rate?
Japan has a national broadband policy. However: FTTH deployment is not government subsidized. Labor rates to install new cable are generally higher than labor rates in the U.S. High population density enables DSL of 10 Mb/s. DSL, cable modem, and wireless are all widely available. The nationwide number of landline voice subscribers is actually decreasing. So, why FTTH?

7 Reasons for FTTH Deployment:
Competition Nothing The Winner gets there “first with the most.”

8 The View from Tokyo: TEPCO (Fiber) Cable TV TEPCO (CATV) Usen (music)
Usen (Fiber) NTT Fiber NTT Telephones

9 Who is Competing? NTT Incumbent Largest deployer of FTTH USEN
Sells data, video, and music on demand Second largest deployer 5 of the top 7 deployers are power utility companies. Some municipalities have deployed their own networks.

10 Implications for the United States:
Where there is infrastructure-based competition, no one can afford to be “overbuilt” with a superior technology. Japan is deploying a strong national telecom infrastructure by encouraging competition. Power utilities can be a key competitor. U.S. Public Power companies serve 40 million Americans. Typically in areas with a shortage of high speed data options. Therefore, Public Power is a good place to start.

11 Services Available over FTTH:
Carrier Provided Services over FTTH Internet Telephone Video Streaming NTT east VoIP (by NTT communication) NTT west Usen MPEG over IP TEPCO Chubu Electric Power K-Opticom Energia QT-Net Jul OF Networks Co., Ltd. Private research results

12 Services Available over FTTH:
Where is the so-called “killer application?” Japan’s carriers have found a solid business case for future-proof media in today’s applications. FTTH offers good cost-distribution. FTTH also means that your competitors are not going to render you obsolete (assuming you have competitors).

13 Technology Behind the Services:
Designed around two objectives: Deliver enough bandwidth to support all services. At price points which allow cost-recovery for data-only services. Low Cost of Entry Usually Ethernet-based. Security and admin features to enable operation in the telecom environment. Highly scalable. $400-$450/sub in “last mile” electronics

14 + ISP fee (less than 2,000 Yen)
Cost of Services: Carrier Service fee / month in Yen in $ NTT east 5,600 Yen + ISP fee (less than 2,000 Yen) Approx. $63 NTT west 5,300 Yen Approx. $61 Usen 5,700 Yen Approx. $48 TEPCO 7,400 Yen Approx. $62 Chubu Electric Power 5,800 Yen Approx. $49 K-Opticom 6,000 Yen Approx. $50 Energia 6,500 Yen Approx. $54 QT-Net 5,500 Yen Approx. $46 Aug OF Networks Co., Ltd. Private research results

15 Cost of Services: Japan: United States:
Average consumer pays $46-$63 per month for FTTH service (anywhere from 10 Mb/sec to 100 Mb/sec). United States: T-1 line (1.54 Mb) in Public Power coverage areas is $800? . . $1500? . . . T-1 lines and Japan’s FTTH are not a direct technology comparison. However, Clearly, Japanese consumer has more and better options. How many of our schools, small businesses, and local government facilities could use a $50 FTTH connection?

16 Lessons Learned: FTTH can be a low cost-of-entry / low risk proposition. Competition in telecommunications is good. More competition is better. Power utilities can play a key role in creating facilities-based competition. Public Power is willing to compete, and can take a lead role in building a new national telecommunications infrastructure.

17 Questions. Guy Swindell AFL Telecommunications (864) 486-7236 guyton
Questions? Guy Swindell AFL Telecommunications (864)


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