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©2012 Lincoln National Corporation LCN 201203-XxXxXxXxX -Traditional Asset Class Returns – (25 years 1986-2010) Treasury Bills Corporate Bonds U.S. Stocks.

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Presentation on theme: "©2012 Lincoln National Corporation LCN 201203-XxXxXxXxX -Traditional Asset Class Returns – (25 years 1986-2010) Treasury Bills Corporate Bonds U.S. Stocks."— Presentation transcript:

1 ©2012 Lincoln National Corporation LCN 201203-XxXxXxXxX -Traditional Asset Class Returns – (25 years 1986-2010) Treasury Bills Corporate Bonds U.S. Stocks Real Estate Sources: Treasury Bills - US Treasury 90 day Bills, Corporate Bonds – Barclay’s Capital US Credit, US Stocks - S&P 500, Real Estate - NCREIF 5.0% 8.5% 9.7% 8.4% How much would a man age 53 need to deposit today in each of these traditional asset classes in order for his investment to grow to $10,000,000 by his life expectancy? Life Insurance as an Alternative Asset Life Insurance as an Alternative Asset Class

2 ©2012 Lincoln National Corporation LCN 201203-XxXxXxXxX (2) 25 yr avg. (1986-2010) returns taxed @ 28% 90 day T-Bills 5.00%, Bonds 8.50% – Barclay’s Capital US Credit, Stocks 9.70% - S&P 500, Real Estate 8.4% - NCREIF 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 $4,130,533 $2,265,004 $1,851,123 $2,303,764 $2,234,013 T Bills BondsStocksReal Estate Life Insurance (3) Male 53 Pref Non-Tobacco Single Deposit required to grow to $10,000,000 by life expectancy (1,2) (1) 25.3 yrs US Life Table (sex distinct) (3) Full Lifetime Guarantee premium using Lincoln LifeGuarantee UL 2012, premium to guarantee to LE $1,980,000 Life Insurance as an Alternative Asset

3 ©2012 Lincoln National Corporation LCN 201203-XxXxXxXxX (TOTAL RETURN - RISK FREE RETURN) Bonds Real Estate T-Bills Stocks Expected Return Expected Risk = SHARPE RATIO STANDARD DEVIATION (Standard Deviation) Non Correlation Historical Risk / Return Characteristics of Traditional Asset Classes Historical Risk / Return Characteristics of Combined Traditional Asset Classes Modern Portfolio Theory Life Insurance Guaranteed DB @ LE Risk Adjusted Return Measure Life Insurance as an Alternative Asset

4 ©2012 Lincoln National Corporation LCN 201203-XxXxXxXxX “In the long run we are all dead” John Maynard Keynes The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money 1936

5 ‘01 ‘02 ‘03‘04‘05‘06 ‘07‘08‘09 ‘10 ‘91‘92‘93‘94‘95‘96‘97‘98‘99‘00 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 Sample S&P 500 Indexing Methodology 1991-2010 Values (1) Dividends (1) One-year S&P 500 Index % change. Past performances of the S&P 500 index is no guarantee of future changes or future index earnings. S&P 500 Annual Returns Indexed Annual Returns (2) (2) One-year Point-to-Point Indexed Account – receives indexed interest linked to the percentage change of the S&P 500 over the segment year. Asset Allocation Annual Returns (3) (3) Asset Allocation: 65% S&P 500, 20%MSCI World Ex-US, 15%Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate. Safe Range of possible earnings 13 % 1 % Purchase Option Sell Option Facsimile Email Pay Phones Cell Phones VHS VCR Day Trading High Speed Dial Up High Speed Alcohol Texting Hard Line Cell Phones Mutual Funds ETF’s “ I took the initiative in creating the internet.” Al Gore Inventor 3-11-99 on CNN Economics of Indexed Universal Life

6 ©2012 Lincoln National Corporation LCN 201203-XxXxXxXxX “The portfolio has proved to be riskier, more volatile and less effective as an economic hedge than we thought.” Jamie Dimon CEO JPMorgan Chase Bank May 11, 2012 Describing a $2B loss on a portfolio designed to manage risk

7 ©2012 Lincoln National Corporation LCN 201203-XxXxXxXxX First Decade 2001- 2010 Last Decade 1991- 2000 13% Cap 1% Floor Asset Allocation S&P 500 Historical Returns Historical Risk (Standard Deviation) 0 0 25 Data sources: Annual Standard & Poors 500 Index with dividends, 13% Cap & 1% Floor excluding dividends Asset Allocation: 65% S&P 500, 20% MSCI World Ex-US, 15% Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate. TBills - What a difference a Millennium makes - Economics of Indexed Universal Life

8 ©2012 Lincoln National Corporation LCN 201203-XxXxXxXxX 13% Cap 1% Floor Asset Allocation S&P 500 TBills - What a difference a Millennium makes - Combined First & Last Decades 1991- 2010 Historical Returns Historical Risk (Standard Deviation) 0 0 25 Data sources: Annual Standard & Poors 500 Index with dividends, 13% Cap & 1% Floor excluding dividends Asset Allocation: 65% S&P 500, 20% MSCI World Ex-US, 15% Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate. First Decade 2001- 2010 Last Decade 1991- 2000 25 Economics of Indexed Universal Life

9 LCN201206-XxXxXxXx For Broker Dealer Use Only Not for Use with the public S&P 500 (1) 1960 1970 1980199020002010 13% Cap 1% Floor $1,000 Growth over 50 Years 17,374 41,578 The power of 1% Rule 1: NEVER lose principal Rule 2: NEVER forget rule 1 (1) Growth based on Annual change in value of S&P500 Index excluding dividends beginning and ending on December 28 th.

10 LCN201206-XxXxXxXx For Broker Dealer Use Only Not for Use with the public Cash Value Accumulations $235,000 Opt 2 to 1 Switch assuming 7% net return (1) F 50 Standard Non Tobacco, $10,000 annual premium yrs 1-20 $33,000 annual withdrawals / loans from yr 21 to 40 Lincoln AssetEdge VUL 2009 50 70 10090 LE AGE 20 yr Accumulation Period20 yr Distribution Period 50 70 10090 LE AGE Lincoln LifeReserve Indexed UL (1) Lincoln AssetEdge VUL 2009 assuming 7.75% gross / 7.00% net, assuming 0% return no income is available Lincoln LifeReserve Indexed UL assuming fixed 3.90% (10% allocation), indexed 7.35% (90% allocation) assuming 1% return no income is available The Participating Loan Differentiator The Participating Loan Differentiator

11 LCN201206-XxXxXxXx For Broker Dealer Use Only Not for Use with the public Loans and withdrawals will reduce account value and death proceeds  Borrow up to 100% of cash surrender value Lincoln LifeReserve Indexed UL Loans  Loaned values continue to receive current indexed interest crediting 7% hypothetical return on borrowed funds 5% guaranteed loan rate (1) - + 2% gain on borrowed funds Loan Example 1  5% guaranteed loan interest charges 1% guaranteed return on borrowed funds - 4% guaranteed debt on loaned funds Loan Example 2 (1) 5% loan rate guaranteed yrs 11+, 6% loan rate guaranteed yrs 1-10 The Participating Loan Differentiator

12 ‘91‘92‘93‘94‘95‘96‘97‘98‘99‘00 13% 0% -5% Interest Credited (2) Interest Charged (1) + 8% 8% - 4% Potential Loan Rate Differential 4.92 % Average Difference Net Interest “EARNED” on Borrowed money ‘01‘02‘03‘04‘05‘06‘07‘08‘09‘10 13% 0% -5% 2.97 % Average Difference Historical Loan Interest (1) 1991 - 20002001 - 201020 yrs - 1991 - 2010 ‘01‘02‘03‘04‘05‘06‘07‘08‘09‘10 ‘91‘92‘93‘94‘95‘96‘97‘98‘99‘00 13% 0% -5% 3.94 % Average Loan Interest Differential Hypothetical Historical (1) $10,000 Annual Loan 1991 through 2010 Credited Loan “Earned” Year Rate Differential Interest 800 2,414 2,893 1,169 5,589 11,030 17,543 25,182 34,004 28,973 1991 13.00 8.00 1992 12.51 7.51 1993 6.77 1.77 1994 1.00 1995 13.00 8.00 1996 13.00 8.00 1997 13.00 8.00 1998 13.00 8.00 1999 13.00 8.00 2000 1.00 2001 1.00 2002 1.00 2003 13.00 8.00 2004 12.89 7.89 2005 5.41.41 2006 13.00 8.00 2007 3.53 1.47 2008 1.00 2009 13.00 8.00 2010 13.00 8.00 23,263 16,896 31,067 46,530 47,415 64,661 55,152 43,899 68,330 89,789 Credited Loan “Earned” Year Rate Differential Interest (1) Lincoln LifeReserve Indexed UL Assuming: Interest crediting based on historical S&P 500 Composite Stock Price Index (excluding dividends) from 2010 through 1991, LifeReserve Indexed UL (2011) was not available in 1991. Future results are not based on past performance and may be better or worse than those shown. subject to a 13% cap and 1% minimum guarantee using 100% allocated to 1 Year Point to Point crediting method. For illustrative purposes only, since Lincoln The Participating Loan Differentiator


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