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TOOLS TO WEATHER AN ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AND CAPITALIZE ON THE RECOVERY SRN Presentation 12/09/09.

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Presentation on theme: "TOOLS TO WEATHER AN ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AND CAPITALIZE ON THE RECOVERY SRN Presentation 12/09/09."— Presentation transcript:

1 TOOLS TO WEATHER AN ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AND CAPITALIZE ON THE RECOVERY SRN Presentation 12/09/09

2 MILWAUKEE GEAR COMPANY Rick Fullington CEO

3 What are the challenges During an Economic Downturn Manage for the moment Prepare for the future It’s about the numbers

4 MANAGING FOR THE MOMENT Be ahead of the curve  Proactive rather than reactive  Bias towards Action Constantly re-assessing length and steepness  React timely  Management-lead by example  Share the pain  Market place should support these actions

5 Managing for the moment---continued Customers  Communicate, communicate, communicate  Goes both ways  Constantly monitor credit  Cancellations  Push outs  Always be business like  Always approach from the economic/good business practices standpoint

6 Managing for the moment---continued Suppliers  Communicate, communicate, communicate  Everything is negotiable  Reward good performance  Take stock of what you have  Communicate to all levels of your organization  Nothing is bought unless absolutely needed  Make things last  Take care of “our things”

7 Managing for the moment---continued People (employees/associates)  Various tools that can be deployed  Reduce/eliminate overtime  Reduce/eliminate shifts  Weekly crewing  Rolling deferrals  Shortened work weeks  Planned shutdowns  Communicate, communicate, communicate

8 Managing for the moment----continued  Various tools---continued  Layoffs MAINTAIN THE BEST TEAM Review everyone-classify as A, B, C, etc. Set or reset expectations Clearly communicate responsibilities Skill and ability Super Seniority Seniority Direct vs. indirect/support  Pay cuts  Benefit cuts  What works for your organization

9 Managing for the moment---continued Communication  Early  Often Impact on Morale Keeps anxiety manageable  Transparency No hiding No holding back No sugar coating Bad news first  On-going, even with those laid off

10 PREPARE FOR THE FUTURE Leaner Organization  Processes/Procedures  Lean Mfg./Continuous Improvement efforts Shop Office  Systems  IT  Supply Chain  Internal Pipelines

11 Prepare for the future---contd. Leaner Organization---contd.  People  Training  Education  Flexibility  The tools you give them to work with It’s about change Assumes you want to maintain or improve your competitive position

12 Prepare for the future---contd. Markets  How good are the industries that you serve  How good are the customers you serve  How to increase your market share  Short term  Mid term  Long term Products/Services Sales/Marketing Organization How are customers changing How might competitors be changing How will things be changing globally What impact will technology have

13 IT’S ABOUT THE NUMBERS! Communications-with investors, bankers or owner/operators  How good is your story  Common themes for all of their businesses Covenants  EBITDA  Ability to service debt

14 It’s about the numbers---contd. Good Forecasts  Revenue  Monthly, Quarterly, Annual  Data points Customers Economic Industry Leading Indicators

15 It’s about the numbers---contd. Good Forecasts---contd.  Costs  Establish new run rate  Prepare a detailed budget  Monthly, quarterly, annual  Incorporate all cost saving measures  Cash Flow  Working Capital—short term/long term  Service debt  Factor in Maintenance Capital Expenditures  Cash is King!!!

16 It’s about the numbers---contd. Good tools to control and monitor  Financial Statements  Business Scorecard  Financial reports Balance Sheet Statement of Operations (Income or P&L Statement) Statement of Cash flows (Sources and Uses of Funds) Covenant analysis EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depr., Amort.) Debt service coverage Funded debt to EBITDA

17 It’s about the numbers---contd. ORR ratios  Financial ratios  Asset Productivity ratios  Employee Productivity ratios

18 It’s about the numbers---contd. Financial Ratios  They are the basic scores on which managers are judged by creditors and the suppliers of capital to the business, the investors.  EBITDA  Times Interest Earned  Current Ratio  Sales to Working Capital  Debt to Equity

19 It’s about the numbers---contd. Asset Productivity Ratios  Defined  Average Collection Period  Inventory Turnover  Inventory holding Period (Days)  Sales to Fixed assets

20 It’s about the numbers---contd. Employee Productivity Ratios  Defined  Sales Per Employee  Value Added Per Employee  Gross Margin Per Employee  Total Payroll (% of Net Sales)

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22 It’s about the numbers---contd. Operational Analysis  Sales Volume Analysis  Historical Comparison Fixed Costs Variable Costs Semi-Fixed/Variable Costs  Benchmarking—ORR  Operate to a plan and a budget

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24 It’s about the numbers---contd. Cash is King  If nothing else, you should build cash from;  Inventory reduction  Accounts receivable reduction  Absolute must for bank to see Will be needed to finance inventory and A/R when upturn occurs

25 It’s about the numbers---contd.  Cash Flow statements/forecasts  Quarterly Several years worth  Capex Maintenance Productivity capacity

26 Summary  Manage for the moment  It’s about the numbers  Work to a plan  Make your numbers  Prepare for the future  Hard to recover if you fall behind Questions


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