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International Business

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1 International Business
Wendy Jeffus Harvard Summer School

2 Introduction Chapter 16: Global Production, Outsourcing, and Logistics
Case Study: Microsoft – Outsourcing Xbox Case Study: Kodak in Russia Chapter 17: Global Marketing and R&D “Global Teen Market” Chapters 19 & 20: Accounting in the International Business & Financial Management in International Business Final Exam Review (Brain)

3 Wendy Jeffus Harvard Summer School
Chapter 16: Wendy Jeffus Harvard Summer School 3

4 Hangman M A D E I N C H I N A

5 Hangman M A D E O N E A R T H

6 "In a globalized world, bilateral trade figures are irrelevant… The trade balance between the U.S. and China is as irrelevant as the trade balance between New York and Minnesota." Dong Tao, Economist, UBS

7 Anti “Made In China” Sentiment
A year without 'Made in China‘ By Sara Bongiorni

8

9 An Example: Automobiles
The Chevrolet Equinox is from an American company, but is assembled in Ontario, Canada, has an engine made in China and a transmission from Japan. The Toyota Sienna hails from Japan, but has an engine and transmission built in West Virginia, USA. and is assembled in Indiana, USA. Under federal regulations, the Chevy doesn't qualify as a "domestic vehicle" but the Toyota does. wikipedia.org

10 For your final project…
Consider: Where should production activities be located? What is the long-term strategic role of foreign production sites? Should the firm own foreign production activities or is it better to outsource to vendors?

11 The Limited Supply Chain Management
7,500 independent suppliers in 40 countries. Once orders are received from The Limited they are delivered within 5 weeks. Yarn from Korea Woven & dyed in Taiwan Zippers from Japan Final assembly in Thailand

12 Outsourcing “Make vs. Buy”
Extreme examples: Nike & Reebok outsource all manufacturing. Examples of outsourcing include: IT, HR, Legal services, Manufacturing, and R&D.

13 Outsourcing

14 Outsourcing… Outsourcing is just one question to answer in terms of a firm’s overall Strategy. Other issues include production & logistics.

15 Strategy, Production, & Logistics
the activities involved in creating a product Both service and manufacturing activities are “produced” Logistics the activities that control the transmission of physical materials through the value chain Two Goals Lower the costs of value creation Add value by better serving customer needs

16 Relationship Between Quality & Costs
Figure 16.1, p. 557

17 Where to Produce For the firm contemplating international production a number of factors must be considered Country factors Technological factors Product factors

18 Country Factors Optimum economic, political, and cultural conditions
Externalities Skilled labor pools Supporting industries Formal and informal trade barriers Exchange rate Note currency appreciation can transform a low-cost location into a high cost location!

19 Country Factors: Clusters
Bangalore, the Silicon Valley of India The Bangalore Tigers: TCS (Tata Consultancy Services) Infosys WIPRO

20 Country Factors: Clusters
Zhongguancun Science Park “Z-Park,” China's Silicon Valley Lenovo Founder Group Corp UFIDA Software “UFSoft”

21 Country Factors: Policy
Environment Innovation Chinese President Hu Jintao's plan, announced in 2006, is to turn China into an "innovation-oriented" country by 2021. Regulation

22 What Country Factors are Important?
Green Car (China) Wheel G (Brazil) Spacebox (China) AESNI (U.S.) P-I-M (Switzerland) Charge (U.S.) Alt. E (China) Shortlister (Singapore) Energy (U.S.) Natura (Russia) Rollasole (Singapore) Umbrella (England) Consult (Japan) Home E (France) Shoes (Ethiopia) Food (U.A.E.) Muvbox (Spain) Healthy F (Netherlands) Smart H (Russia)

23 Technological Factors
How high are fixed costs? Minimum efficient scale Flexible manufacturing Reduce setup times for complex equipment Increase machine utilization Improve quality control Flexible machine cells to perform a variety of operations Mass customization Low cost Product customization

24 Ohno Taiichi The father of the “Toyota Production System,” also known as “Lean Manufacturing” (or flexible manufacturing technology) Ohno wrote several books about the system, the most popular of which is Toyota Production System: Beyond Large-Scale Production. Born in China. First an employee of the family's Toyoda Spinning Moved to the motor company in 1943, and gradually rose through the ranks to become an executive. In what is considered to be a punishment, (possibly because he spoke publicly about the production system), he was denied the normal executive track and was sent instead to consult with suppliers in his later career.

25 How (comparatively) High are your Fixed Costs?
Green Car (China) Wheel G (Brazil) Spacebox (China) AESNI (U.S.) P-I-M (Switzerland) Charge (U.S.) Alt. E (China) High Fixed Costs Shortlister (Singapore) Energy (U.S.) Natura (Russia) Rollasole (Singapore) Umbrella (England) Consult (Japan) Home E (France) Low Fixed Costs Shoes (Ethiopia) Food (U.A.E.) Muvbox (Spain) Healthy F (Netherlands) Smart H (Russia)

26 Will you customize or standardize your product?
Green Car (China) Wheel G (Brazil) Spacebox (China) AESNI (U.S.) P-I-M (Switzerland) Charge (U.S.) Standardized Products Alt. E (China) Shortlister (Singapore) Energy (U.S.) Natura (Russia) Rollasole (Singapore) Umbrella (England) Consult (Japan) Home E (France) Customized Products Shoes (Ethiopia) Food (U.A.E.) Muvbox (Spain) Healthy F (Netherlands) Smart H (Russia)

27 Product Factors & Location Strategies
Two product features affect location decisions: Value to weight ratio Calculator, phone, ipod, vs. sugar, chemicals, paint Does the product serves universal needs? How different are consumer needs? Two basic strategies Concentrating in a centralized location and serving the world market Decentralizing them in various regional or national locations close to major markets when opposite conditions exist

28 Is your value-to-weight ratio comparatively high?
Green Car (China) Wheel G (Brazil) Spacebox (China) AESNI (U.S.) P-I-M (Switzerland) Charge (U.S.) High Value-to-Weight Alt. E (China) Shortlister (Singapore) Energy (U.S.) Natura (Russia) Rollasole (Singapore) Umbrella (England) Consult (Japan) Home E (France) Low Value-to-Weight Shoes (Ethiopia) Food (U.A.E.) Muvbox (Spain) Healthy F (Netherlands) Smart H (Russia)

29 Manufacturing Location
Centralized Location High cost of manufacturing Low trade barriers Externalities (i.e. clusters) exist Stable exchange rates Flexible manufacturing technology Product’s value-to-weight ratio is high Product serves universal needs Decentralized Location Low cost of manufacturing High trade barriers Location externalities not important Volatile exchange rates Flexible manufacturing technology unavailable Product’s value-to-weight ratio is low Significant differences in consumer tastes and preferences exist between nations

30 Will you centralize or decentralize manufacturing?
Green Car (China) Wheel G (Brazil) Spacebox (China) AESNI (U.S.) P-I-M (Switzerland) Charge (U.S.) Centralize Manufacturing Alt. E (China) Shortlister (Singapore) Energy (U.S.) Natura (Russia) Rollasole (Singapore) Umbrella (England) Consult (Japan) Home E (France) Decentralize Manufacturing Shoes (Ethiopia) Food (U.A.E.) Muvbox (Spain) Healthy F (Netherlands) Smart H (Russia)

31 Centralized vs. Decentralized Production
Typos see text!

32 Make or Buy Decisions Should a firm make or buy the component parts that go into their final product? Issues to consider: Costs Does a more efficient producer exist? Trust Is there a producer you trust? How high is the need for trust? Improved scheduling Does the control make scheduling easier or does it make things more cumbersome to manage? Offsets Example: Before Air India places a large order with Boeing, the Indian government might ask Boeing to push some of the subcontracting work to Indian manufacturers.

33 Strategic Alliances with Suppliers
Long-term relationships with suppliers: Kodak & Cannon Canon builds photocopiers for sale by Kodak Apple & Sony Sony builds laptop computers for Apple Microsoft & Flextronics Flextronics builds the Xbox for Microsoft

34 Just-In-Time Inventory
Hold inventory just when you need it (not before) – increases profitability, if things run smoothly. But, no buffer stock of inventory. Solutions include: relationships with more than one supplier & improved information technologies.

35 ISO 9000 The EU requires that all products be certified under the ISO 9000 quality standard, which includes: a set of procedures that cover all key processes in the business; monitoring processes to ensure they are effective; keeping adequate records; checking output for defects, with appropriate and corrective action where necessary; regularly reviewing individual processes and the quality system itself for effectiveness; and facilitating continual improvement November 2008 – ISO 9001

36 What are the “right” answers?
Fortunately it is your thought process that matters most! What are the “right” answers? Green Car (China) Wheel G (Brazil) Spacebox (China) AESNI (U.S.) P-I-M (Switzerland) Charge (U.S.) Alt. E (China) Good Question! Shortlister (Singapore) Energy (U.S.) Natura (Russia) Rollasole (Singapore) Umbrella (England) Consult (Japan) Home E (France) Shoes (Ethiopia) Food (U.A.E.) Muvbox (Spain) Healthy F (Netherlands) Smart H (Russia)

37 Case Assignments Case Study: Microsoft – Outsourcing Xbox
Case Study: Kodak in Russia

38 The Global Teen Market By Elissa Moses 38

39 The Global Teen Market Elissa Moses 1995- Observations
Increasing teen cultural homogenization 2004- Observations New Segments? New Values? New Dilemmas?

40 Is There A New World Teen? & What Do They Look Like?
32

41 How Many? Population 15-19-years-olds: millions . . .
India Russia 11.7 China Mexico 10.7 Indonesia Vietnam US Philippines Brazil Japan Under 25: 50% Latin America, 66% of Asia

42 Core Value Segments Boot Straps 14% Resigned 14% Upholders 16%
Thrills & Chills 17% Quiet Achievers 15% World Savers 12% 32

43 Thrills & Chills Global Incidence 18%
Driven by Pleasure • Fun • Friends • Irreverence • Sensation Brazil: 17% USA: 28% W. Europe: 29% Japan: 24% China: 5%

44 Boot Straps Global Incidence 14%
Driven by Bold Ambition • Achievement • Individualism • Optimism • Determination • Power Brazil: 15% USA: 26% W. Europe: 8% Japan: 4% China: 8%

45 Quiet Achievers Global Incidence 15%
• Success • Anonymity • Anti-Individual • Social Optimism Brazil: 12% USA: 10% W. Europe: 7% Japan: 9% China: 44% Driven by: Success with Humility

46 Resigneds Global Incidence 14%
Driven by: m o m e n t s • Friends • Fun • Family • Low Expectations Brazil: 8% USA: 9% W. Europe: 21% Japan: 38% China: 3%

47 Upholders Global Incidence 16%
Driven by: Tradition • Family • Custom • Tradition • Respect Individuals Brazil: 10% USA: 7% W. Europe: 10% Japan: 7% China: 29%

48 World Saver Global Incidence 12%
Driven by: Joy of Life • Environment • Humanism • Fun • Friends Brazil: 24% USA: 9% W. Europe: 15% Japan: 4% China: 4%

49 Globalization of Markets & Brands
Important to determine when product standardization is appropriate in an international market Firms may need to vary marketing mix in each different country

50 “The world will improve in my lifetime.” 26%
Backdrop: Attitudes “The world will improve in my lifetime.” 26%

51 “It’s up to me to get what I want in life.” 85%
Backdrop: Attitudes “It’s up to me to get what I want in life.” 85%

52 LIFE EXPECTATIONS Top Five Complete my education 85%
Global Complete my education 85% Have a job that I like 83% Succeed in my career 78% Find someone to love 75% Be a happy adult 74% 74

53 LIFE EXPECTATIONS Global Bottom Five Live in my country of birth 43%
Be rich % Be famous % Live in my current hometown 27% Be part of government 12% 75

54 Chapter 17: Global Marketing and R&D
Wendy Jeffus Harvard Summer School 54

55 Globalization of Markets & Brands
Important to determine when product standardization is appropriate in an international market Firms may need to vary marketing mix in each different country

56 Market Segmentation Refers to identifying distinct groups of consumers whose purchasing behavior differs from others in important ways Segments can based on: Geography Demography Socio-cultural factors Psychological factors Show the census page

57 Market Segmentation Two main issues relating to segmentation:
Extent of differences between countries in the structure of market segments Existence of segments that transcend national borders Examples of segments: how the products are targeted at segments like elderly people or babies…some countries are completely heterogeneous –like the US, which is very diverse.

58 Product Attributes Cultural differences Economic development
Dimensions such as language, religion, and education Note: some tastes and preferences are becoming cosmopolitan Economic development Consumers in highly developed countries tend to demand extra performance attributes in their products Price is less important due to high income level Consumers in less developed countries value basic features as more important Price is a factor due to lower income level Cars: no air-conditioning, power steering, power windows, radios, and cassette players Product reliability is more important Product and technical standards television/cell phone signal frequencies

59 Distribution Strategy
Optimal channel for delivering a product to the consumer Retail concentration (Concentrated vs. Fragmented) Concentrated system (a few retailers supply most of the market) Common in developed countries Contributing factors: increase in car ownership, number of households with refrigerators and freezers, and two-income households Fragmented system (small retailers without much market share supply the market) Common in developing countries Contributing factors: great population density with large number of urban centers, e.g. Japan Uneven or mountainous terrain, e.g. Nepal Channel length (Long vs. Short) Example a short distribution channel is where the producer sells directly to the consumer. (Channel length is longer in Fragmented Markets) Channel exclusivity Japan - exclusive systems because personal relations, often decades old, play an important role in stocking products

60 Communication Strategy
Defines the process the firm will use in communicating the attributes of its product to prospective customers Cultural barriers Source effects Noise levels

61 HSBC Local Content & Point of View Ads
Source: HSBC, Constance Kratsa

62 Barriers to International Communication
Cultural Barriers Firm should use local input such as local advertising agency and sales force & Develop cross-cultural literacy Source and country of origin effects Receiver of the message evaluates the message based on status or image of the sender (i.e. Anti-Japan wave in US in 1990’s) Place of manufacturing influences product evaluations (Often used when consumer lacks more detailed knowledge of the product) Examples: French wines, Italian clothes, and German luxury cars Noise levels Amount of other messages competing for a potential customer’s attention Developed countries - high Less developed countries - low Standardized advertising strategy execution more difficult (culture, laws)

63 Push Versus Pull Strategy
Push strategy emphasizes personal selling Requires intense use of a sales force Relatively costly Pull strategy depends on mass media advertising Can be cheaper for a large market segment Determining factors of type of strategy Product type and consumer sophistication Channel length Media availability Pull Strategy: Consumer goods Large market segment Long distribution channels Mass communication has cost advantages Push Strategy: Industrial products or complex new products Direct selling allows firms to educate users Short distribution channels Used in poorer nations for consumer goods where direct selling only way to reach consumers

64 Channel Length Pull strategy Push Strategy
Long or exclusive distribution channels e.g. Japan Mass advertising to generate demand to pull product through various layers Push Strategy In countries with low literacy levels to educate consumers

65 Media Availability Pull strategy Push strategy
Relies on access to advertising media Common in developed nations Push strategy Media availability limited by law All electronic media state owned with no commercial policy

66 Global Advertising Standardized: Non-standardized:
Significant economic advantages Scarce creative talent Many global brand names Non-standardized: Cultural differences Advertising regulations can be a restriction

67 Global Advertising Adidas Jose + 10 (2006 World Cup Commercial)
Nike Ad Banned in China “Chamber of Fear,” stars the NBA’s LeBron James battling a martial arts expert and a pair of dragons, and resisting the temptation of traditionally garbed women in a video game-style setting. The commercial insulted China’s national pride and culture and was banned in 2004.

68 Pricing Strategy Three aspects of international pricing strategy
Price discrimination when consumers in different countries are charged different prices for the same product Two conditions necessary National markets kept separate to prevent arbitrage Capitalization of price differentials by purchasing product in countries where prices are lower and reselling where prices are higher Different price elasticities of demand in different countries Greater in countries with low income levels and highly competitive conditions Strategic pricing Regulatory influence on prices

69 Strategic Pricing Predatory pricing Multipoint pricing strategy
Using price as a competitive weapon to drive weaker competition out of a national market Firms then raise prices to enjoy high profits Firms normally have profitable position in another national market Multipoint pricing strategy Two or more international firms compete against each other in two or more national markets A firm’s pricing strategy in one market may impact a rival in another market Kodak and Fuji Experience curve pricing Firms price low worldwide to build market share Incurred losses are made up as company moves down experience curve, making substantial profits Cost advantage over its less-aggressive competitors

70 Regulatory Influences on Prices
Antidumping regulations Selling a product for a price that is less than the cost of producing it Antidumping rules vague, but place a floor under export prices and limit a firm’s ability to pursue strategic pricing Article 6 of GATT allows action against an importer if the product is sold at ‘less than fair value’ and causes ‘material injury to a domestic industry’ Competition policy Regulations designed to promote competition and restrict monopoly practices

71 Configuring the Marketing Mix
Differences Here Standards Competition Distribution Economy Culture Gov’t Regs Product Attributes Pricing Strategy Requires Variation Here Communications Strategy Distribution Strategy

72 New Product Development
The location of R & D Rate of new product development greater in countries where More money spent on R&D Underlying demand is strong Consumers are affluent Competition is intense

73 Integrating R&D, Marketing and Production
Integrating R&D, production and marketing ensures Project development driven by customer needs New products are designed for ease of manufacture Development costs are kept in check Time to market is minimized

74 Integrating R&D, Marketing and Production
High failure rate ratio Between 33 % and 60% of new products fail to earn adequate profits Reasons for failure: Limited product demand Failure to adequately commercialize product Inability to manufacture product cost-effectively

75 Cross-Functional Product Development Teams
Objective of team to take a product development project from the initial concept development to market introduction Effective teams must have “Heavyweight “ project manager One member from each key function Physically co-located to facilitate communication Clear plan and goals Own process for communication and conflict resolution

76 Chapter 19: Accounting in the International Business
Wendy Jeffus Harvard Summer School 76

77 Accounting Information & Capital Flows
Figure 19.1, p. 647 77

78 Relationship Between Business and Providers of Capital
Three external sources of capital: Individual investors Buying shares and bonds Banks Loan capital Government Make loans or investment Importance of each varies from country to country

79 Currency Translation The current rate method: The temporal method:
Exchange rate at the date on the balance sheet is used to translate foreign subsidiary financial statements into home country currency Incompatible with ‘historic cost principle’ where the assumption is that the currency is not losing value due to inflation.* The temporal method: The foreign subsidiary assets are translated into home-country currency at the time of purchase of the asset Changing exchange rates may mean the balance sheet may not balance! *Used in Germany, Japan & the U.S. If inflation is high the historic cost principle underestimates a firm’s assets, so the depreciation charges based on these underestimates can be inadequate for replacing assets when they wear out or become obsolete.

80 Current Rate Method: Example
At time = 0 a U.S. firm invests $100,000 in a Malaysian subsidiary. Exchange Rate at time 0 = 5MYR/1USD Subsidiary purchases land with 500,000 ringgit. Exchange rate at time 1 = 4MYR/1USD If this new exchange rate is used to convert the value of the land back into dollars, it will seem that the land has appreciated by 25%! The new value of 500,000 ringgit in dollars is $125,000! (500,000MYR ÷ 4MYR/USD)

81 Temporal Method: Example
At time = 0 a U.S. firm invests $100,000 in a Malaysian subsidiary. Exchange Rate at time 0 = 5MYR/1USD Subsidiary purchases land with 500,000 ringgit. Exchange rate at time 1 = 4MYR/1USD . MYR Exchange Rate USD Cash 500,000 $1 = 5 RM $100,000 Owners’ equity MYR Exchange Rate USD Fixed Asset 500,000 $1 = 5 RM $100,000 Translation Gains $25,000 Owners’ equity $125,000

82 Current US Practice Statement 52 “Foreign Currency Translation”
Self-sustaining autonomous subsidiary: Functional currency is local currency Balance sheet uses exchange rate at end of financial year Income statement is financial year average Integral subsidiary: Functional currency is US currency Financial statements use the temporal method Dangling credit or debit increases or Decreases consolidated earnings for the period Firms using multidomestic or international strategies. Firms using global or transnational strategies.

83 Transfer Pricing and Control Systems
Transfer prices introduce significant distortions into the control process Transfer price must be taken into account when setting budgets and evaluating a subsidiary’s performance

84 Chapter 20: Financial Management in International Business
Wendy Jeffus Harvard Summer School 84

85 Financial Management Investment Decisions Financing Decisions
What activities should the company finance? Financing Decisions How should the company finance selected activities? Money Management Decisions How can the firm manage its financial resources most efficiently? 85

86 The Finance Function Competitive Advantage: through reduced costs of value creation and/or adding value by improving customer service. Reduce the costs of creating value by: Lowering the firm’s cost of capital Managing foreign exchange risk Minimizing the firm’s tax burden Reducing exposure to unnecessary risk Managing the cash flows and reserves efficiently The finance function can be a source of competitive advantage for a firm. 86

87 Investment Decisions Capital budgeting:
Quantifies the benefits, costs and risks of an investment Managers can reasonably compare different investment alternatives within and across countries Three issues complicate the process: Project and Parent Cash Flows Blocked cash-flows, taxes, reinvestment requirements 2. Adjusting for Political & Economic Risk 3. Risk & Capital Budgeting

88 Blocked Funds Blocked Funds – When the host country’s government prohibits or limits the remittance of revenues abroad that are earned by foreign corporate investors or by local subsidiaries. Revenue can be in the form of overdue bills, royalties and dividends, local earnings, or unpaid trade credits. Why do governments block funds? To regulate the transfer of FX because of hard currency shortages. Methods of blocking funds: Restrictions on the percentage of revenues that can be repatriated, or making the currency inconvertible. Dealing with Blocked Funds - Examples: Xerox used its blocked funds to purchase one of the largest buildings in Bogota, Colombia Volkswagen invested its earnings to acquire ranches in Brazil Source: Haar Jerry, “Managing the problem of blocked funds in Latin America,” International Executive, volume 33, issue 3 p

89 Recent Coup d'états 2000: Unsuccessful coup in Fiji.
2000: A coup in Ecuador overthrows the president. 2002: Venezuela against Chávez, within 48 hours, the elected government regained control of the country. 2003: Failed mutiny and coup attempt in the Philippines. 2004: Attempted coup in the Democratic Republic of Congo . 2004: Failed coup d'état in Chad. 2004: Second attempted coup in the Democratic Republic of Congo. 2004: Attempted coup in Equatorial Guinea. 2004: Coup in Haiti. 2005: King Gyanendra of Nepal overthrows the government, making him the head of government. The government is reestablished April 24, 2006 after a massive democracy movement. 2006: The Armed Forces of the Philippines attempted a military coup which lead to a state of emergency. 2006: The United Front for Democratic Change allegedly attempts to instigate a military coup in Chad. 2006: The Royal Thai Army overthrows the Prime Minister while he is out of the country. 2006: Attempted military coup in Madagascar. 2006: The military of Fiji overthrows the President and Prime Minister in a bloodless coup. 2007: Military coup in Turkey, called 'e-coup' (April 27), delivers an ultimatum to the government by . 2008: A military coup in Mauritania. 2008: A military coup occurs in Guinea after the death of President. 2009: Attempted coup in Madagascar the army seized one of the presidential palaces on March 16, at which president Marc Ravalomanana was not present. The proposal offered by the president for a referendum to solve the crisis was rejected. On March 17, the president resigned. 2009: The Honduran military deposed President Manuel Zelaya on the day of a referendum that would have started the process of rewriting the constitution, allegedly to remove the single-term limit on Honduran presidents. Source: wikipedia.org

90 China: KFC KFC was fried by Chinese health inspectors.
In China, KFC used a cooking oil preservative, that extended the life of frying oil by ten days. The Chinese press claimed that the preservative caused cancer. The fact that KFC carefully obeyed regional safety standards, and there was no legitimate link between this oil preservative and cancer, did not matter. Photo Source: The Economist, March 18, 2004 issue: A survey of business in China.

91 China Product mistrust. Lipton Tea Colgate-Palmolive
Without any evidence, the Chinese media claimed Unilever's Lipton Instant Tea contained cancer-causing fluorides. The Chinese Ministry of Agriculture eventually admitted the tea was safe after it was finally tested. Colgate-Palmolive Colgate-Palmolive's toothpaste was accused of containing a carcinogen. All its toothpaste was cleared from shelves in Shandong Province. Though, when under official investigation, Colgate's toothpaste proven to be harmless by Chinese authorities. Photo Source: The Economist, March 18, 2004 issue: A survey of business in China.

92 China: Procter & Gamble
Procter & Gamble (P&G) in China had its SK-II beauty products banned for traces of chromium and neodymium. Consumers across China dashed to stores for refunds (and even refunds on fake SK-II product) and literally attacked Procter & Gamble's Shanghai offices. The chromium-neodymium combination is accepted throughout the world; the World Health Organization allows much higher doses in food! A month later, the Ministry of Health declared SK-II products safe. P&G lost approximately 80 of its 98 distribution outlets. Photo Source: The Economist, March 18, 2004 issue: A survey of business in China.

93 China Joint-Ventures PepsiCo Subway
America's PepsiCo’s joint-partner a Sichuan bottler, sold the joint-venture to the local government in exchange for little goodies such as his own car and play money. Subway Subway's Beijing sandwich franchise was robbed by their joint-venture partner for nearly quarter of a million dollars. Subway only runs 30 restaurants, after nine years. They predicted operating 2,000 by this time. Photo Source: The Economist, March 18, 2004 issue: A survey of business in China.

94 China: Loral Space Loral Space and Communications spent $185 million on ChinaSat 8, a telecommunications satellite project. Before the US Government asked them to abandon due to US security issues. Photo Source: www. Cia.gov The Economist, March 18, 2004 issue: A survey of business in China.

95 India: Enron & GE The Dabhol Power Project, in 1992, was an Enron and General Electric Capital Corp investment. These sponsors starting building this mega-watt plant in Maharashtra, India. The sponsors spent over $1.2B. One of the biggest projects in India's history. When the plant was 23% complete, the newly elected government, rejected Phase Two of the project because the project had “apparently” not been awarded through competitive bidding, power tariffs were too high and it was environmentally risky. Photo Source: Finnerty, John D., “Project Financing: Asset-Based Financial Engineering” (Second Edition): John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Hoboken, NY.

96 Georgia: AES AES Corporation's 1998 purchase of Telasi, Georgia's electricity-distribution company. The venture resulted in one catastrophe that could not have been anticipated: The murder of AES-Telasi's CFO, Niko Lominadze, in 2002. Although the police officer (whose gun was identified as the murder weapon) was arrested, he was released a few months later. Photo source: Source: “How to Bungle Political Risks: A survey finds that most senior executives consider overseas perils a low priority, even when they have investments and operations abroad.” Helen Shaw, CFO.com May 24, 2006

97 Venezuela: Telecommunications
Feb 2007 The Venezuelan government signed a memorandum of understanding to purchase CANTV, the country’s largest telecommunications company. “…the negotiated cost satisfied Verizon and the Venezuelan State” During ’06 Verizon entered into a definitive agreement to sell its indirect interest in CANTO to Telmex for $677 million… after two prior extensions, the parties terminated the agreement… concluding that regulatory approvals would not be granted by the Venezuelan government… in Jan ’07 the Venezuelan government declared its intent to nationalize CANTV at a price of $572 million… Source: Venezuelanalysis.com “Venezuelan Government and Verizon Agree to Telecom Nationalization” Verizon 2006, 10-K, dated Feb. 23, 2007

98 Venezuela: Electric Company
Feb 2007 – Venezuela nationalized EDC, Venezuela’s largest electric company. AES President Hanrahan stated “I think the deal is a fair one” In connection with the agreement, management concluded that a material impairment of the investment has occurred… Management estimates this impairment charge to be in the range of $550 to $650 million Source: Venezuelanalysis.com “Venezuela and Electric Company Sign Memorandum for Nationalization” SEC FORM 8-K filed, Feb. 27, 2007

99 Venezuela Oil April Major international oil companies, agreed Wednesday to grant the Venezuelan government majority control over four multibillion-dollar heavy-oil projects in the vast Orinoco reserve. "We're optimistic that on these conversions of the heavy oil projects there's an opportunity for the companies to come out OK," said Peter Sommer, Chevron's commercial manager for Latin American exploration and production. Source: Boston.com “Chevron "optimistic" about Venezuelan takeover”

100 Hyperinflation: Zimbabwe
At a supermarket in Zimbabwe, toilet paper costs $417 Zimbabwean dollars. Not per roll. $417 is the value of a single two-ply sheet. A roll costs $145,750 (US$0.69). Toilet paper, bread, margarine, meat, and tea — have become unimaginable luxuries. The government tripled the salaries of civil servants The government admitted that it had printed at least $21 trillion in local currency — and critics say much more — to buy the American dollars to pay IMF loans. The rise of inflation was caused by a flight of foreign capital (after the government seized farmland), and a steep increase in the money supply - the fall was caused by a rise in interest rates and an economic slowdown. Source: New York Times, “How Bad Is Inflation in Zimbabwe?” by Michael Wines, May 2, 2006 Available at: zimbabwe.html?ex= &en=e4f95916b4e5d098&ei=5088 100

101 3. Risk & Capital Budgeting
Two Methods to account for risky cash flows: Change the discount rate Example: Use 6% for investments in Great Britain, United States, & Germany Use 15% for investments in Russia The higher the discount rate, the higher the projected net cash flows must be for an investment to have a positive NPV. Critics argue: 1) it penalizes early cash flows too much and 2) does not penalize distant cash flows enough. Change the cash flows

102 Formula for NPV Net Present Value (NPV) is the sum of discounted expected cash flows. Example: expect $10 for 3 years at a 5% discount rate.

103 Expected CF IRR = 20% NPV = 0 40 100 110 130 160 200 (10) (50) (80)
(100) IRR = 20% NPV = 0

104 Increase the Discount Rate
40 100 110 130 160 200 (10) (50) (80) (100) Discount Rate = 10% Positive NPV = 141 Discount Rate = 15% New NPV = 30

105 Reduce Future CFs Discount Rate = 10% New NPV = 102 40 100 110 130 130
(10) (50) (80) (100) Discount Rate = 10% New NPV = 102

106 “The goal of financial forecasting is to turn chaos into error.”
Elliott Smith, Boston College

107 Financing Decisions Source of Financing Financial Structure
Global Capital Markets Typically have a lower cost of capital Host government-regulations Local debt financing Use local debt financing if the currency is expected to depreciate (because if you have foreign debt, it will take more of the depreciated currency to repay your loans). Financial Structure Debt – Equity Ratios Tax laws regarding dividends and interest Norms Average debt ratio in Singapore is 0.34 Average debt ratio in Italy is 0.76 Average debt ratio in US & UK is 0.55 Use local debt financing if the currency is expected to depreciate… because if you have foreign debt it will take more of the depreciated currency to pay for it. The lower the host-country tax rate on dividends the more likely this option will be used. Source: Multinational Business Finance, 11th Edition 107

108 Lower Interest Rate Domestic If you lend 90% of $100
Eurocurrency Market If you lend 100% of $100 $ Available to Lend (90%) Reserve Requirement (10%) at 10%, you earn $9. at 9.5%, you earn $9.50. $ Available to Lend (100%) Zero Reserve Requirement

109 Money Management Efficiency Goals: Tax Considerations Minimize Cash
Reduce Transaction Costs Tax Considerations Tax credits, tax treaties, etc. Dividend Remittances Royalty Payments & Fees Transfer Prices P&G decided to centralize the overall management of finance within the organization for several reasons: International subsidiares can trade currencies with one another By grouping currency purchases P&G can get a better price By pooling foreign exchange risk the company can purchase an “umbrella” option (which is cheaper than purchasing options for each subsidiary) The company can also facilitate loans between subsidiaries at a lower overall cost. 109

110 3 Foreign Exchange Risks
Transaction exposure The extent to which income from individual transactions is affected by fluctuations in foreign exchange values. Translation exposure The extent to which the reported consolidated results and balance sheets of a corporation are affected by fluctuations in foreign exchange values. Economic exposure The extent to which a firm’s international earning power is affected by changes in interest rates. Transaction exposure concerns individual transactions Economic exposure is the long-run impact of FX changes. 110

111 Example: CHC Helicopters
Suppose that CHC Helicopters of Canada[1] has billed British Petroleum (BP) for services provided to BP’s sites on the North Sea. CHC’s invoice is for £1 million, due in three months. When CHC Helicopters receives £1 million three months from now, it will convert the British pounds into Canadian dollars at the spot rate. Imagine the exchange rate at time 0 = 1GBP/1CAD What are three things that can happen to the British pound over the next three months? The GBP goes… 0.5GBP/1CAD 1GBP/2CAD up C$ 2,000,000 1GPB/1CAD No where C$ 1,000,000 1.5GBP/1CAD (1GBP/0.667CAD) down C$ ,667 [1] A “world leader in supply logistics to offshore oil rigs” Photo source:

112 (becomes A/R for the seller)
The Life Span of a Transaction Exposure Time and Events CHC offers services to BP for £1M CHC provides services and bills BP £1M BP accepts bid for £1M t1 t2 t3 t4 Seller quotes a price to buyer (in verbal or written form) Buyer places firm order with seller at price offered at time t1 Seller ships product (or performs service) and bills buyer (becomes A/R for the seller) Buyer settles A/P with cash in amount of currency quoted at time t1 Quotation Exposure Backlog Exposure Billing Exposure t = 3 months Spot Rate (unknown) t = 0 Spot Rate (known) Time between quoting a price and reaching a contractual sale Time it takes to fill the order after contract is signed Time it takes to get paid in cash after A/R is issued Source: Modified from Multinational Financial Management, 11th edition, Ch 8, Exhibit 8.3

113 Example: CHC Helicopters
Suppose that CHC Helicopters of Canada[1] has billed British Petroleum (BP) for services provided to BP’s sites on the North Sea. CHC’s invoice is for £1 million, due in three months. When CHC Helicopters receives £1 million three months from now, it will convert the British pounds into Canadian dollars at the spot rate. Core Issue: The future spot rate cannot be known in advance. Consequently, in terms of the CAD, the value of the settlement is uncertain. If CHC Helicopter does nothing to address this uncertainty, it is effectively speculating on the future course of the exchange rate. Doing nothing is as if CHC is willing to take a bet that the British pound will appreciate against the Canadian dollar. [1] A “world leader in supply logistics to offshore oil rigs” Photo source:

114 Strategic Management The objective of strategic management is to anticipate and influence the effect of unexpected changes in exchange rates on a firm’s future cash flows, rather than merely hoping for the best. A natural hedge refers to an off-setting operating cash flow, a payable arising from the conduct of business. Suppose CHC can use the incoming British pounds to pay for parts, maintenance, or other operating cash flows. A financial hedge refers to either an off-setting debt obligation (such as a loan) or some type of financial derivative. If CHC borrows one million pounds today, the value of the loan will change in the opposite direction of the value of the expected cash flows.

115 World Perspective: Corporate Tax Rates
Country Rate Brazil 34.00% India 33.99% Belgium Canada 33.50% Italy 31.40% Nigeria 30.00% Australia Spain Germany 29.51% Mexico 28.00% U.K. Singapore 25.50% China 25.00% Russia 24.00% Switzerland 19.20% Ireland 12.50% U.S. Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Division, TradeStats express, at 115

116 International Offshore Financial Centers

117 Transfer Pricing Today a product may be designed in one country, some of the components manufactured in another country, other components manufactured in a third country, all assembled in a fourth country, and sold worldwide. The volume of intrafirm transactions is high.

118 Transfer Pricing Example
Price paid to German SBU: $23 Sale price: $25 Profit: $2 Example: A U.S. parent company sells Stuffed Bears. Parts are made at an Australian subsidiary, assembled in a German subsidiary and sold in the U.S. U.S. Parent Company Ships Product Component Source: Australian subsidiary Ships Parts German subsidiary Price paid to Australian SBU: $10 Additional Cost to Produce: $10 Sale price: $23 Profit: $3 Cost to produce: $8 Sale Price: $10 Profit: $2

119 Transfer Pricing Example
Price paid to German SBU: $23 Sale price: $25 Profit: $2 Example: A U.S. parent company sells Stuffed Bears. Parts are made at an Australian subsidiary, assembled in a German subsidiary and sold in the U.S. U.S. Parent Company Tax Rate 35% = Profit $1.30 Ships Product Total Profit After Tax: $4.40 Component Source: Australian subsidiary Ships Parts German subsidiary Price paid to Australian SBU: $10 Additional Cost to Produce: $10 Sale price: $23 Profit: $3 Cost to produce: $8 Sale Price: $10 Profit: $2 Tax Rate 35% = Profit $1.30 119 Tax Rate 40% = Profit $1.80

120 Transfer Pricing Example
Price paid to German SBU: $23 Sale price: $25 Profit: $2 Example: A U.S. parent company sells Stuffed Bears. Parts are made at an Australian subsidiary, assembled in a German subsidiary and sold in the U.S. U.S. Parent Company Tax Rate 35% = Profit $1.30 Ships Product Total Profit After Tax: $4.50 Component Source: Australian subsidiary Ships Parts German subsidiary Price paid to Australian SBU: $12 Additional Cost to Produce: $10 Sale price: $23 Profit: $1 Cost to produce: $8 Sale Price: $12 Profit: $4 Tax Rate 35% = Profit $2.60 120 Tax Rate 40% = Profit $0.60

121 Manipulating Transfer Prices
Pros Minimizes tax liabilities Hedges against foreign exchange risk Circumvents government restrictions on capital flows Reduce tariff payments Cons Distorts incentive systems Ethical considerations Regulation Scrutiny!

122 “International finance is the art of passing currency from hand to hand until it disappears”
Anonymous Author

123 Wednesday All Final Reports Due – Please note 5 point penalty if received after 3:15 (Session 2) 6:30 (Session 1) All final presentations should be loaded on the desktop before class starts! -- Please note 5 point penalty if loaded after 3:15 (Session 2) 6:30 (Session 1) Presentations are timed (practice)! We will warn you at 10 min and we will ask you to stop after a 2 minute penalty. Please note 5 point penalty if we have to ask you to stop. Team Evaluations are Due (Handout & On Course Website) Final Lecture: “The Bottom Line” Bring your cameras!

124 Some comments on team building
Now is the time to exercise your management skills – time management, team management, stress management etc. As well as your coordination skills. This is the high stress moment, where you can shine... But it isn’t easy.

125 Please Note… Monday: Final Exam Harvard Hall 202
Both Sessions 1 & 2: 6:30pm – 9:30pm If you have a conflict contact please let us know and contact Academic Services or This will be posted by the end of the week on summer.harvard.edu.


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