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Indian Economy – Opportunities Unlimited

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Presentation on theme: "Indian Economy – Opportunities Unlimited"— Presentation transcript:

1 Indian Economy – Opportunities Unlimited

2 Fastest Growing Free Market Democracy

3 Contribution of Services - increased from 49 to 54 percent
India: Ranks Among the Top-15 Countries in terms of GDP at constant prices Indian economy has witnessed an unprecedented growth…. Sound performance of each industry segment is leading to the overall robust performance of Indian economy Indian economy is the 4th largest in terms of PPP – USD 3.9 trillion in 2006 Contribution of Services - increased from 49 to 54 percent Registered highest second quarter growth since i.e. 9.2 percent Indian GDP has registered one of the fastest growth rates across the globe India ranks 4th in terms of PPP across the globe Indian economy is expected to be 3rd largest by 2050 India is the only economy, which is expected to surge ahead at the growth rate significantly above 5 percent during the period India will be among top three nations contributing towards the global growth in next 15 years (12.2 percent) following only China and USA Booming Indian markets providing impetus to the economic growth

4 India: Robust Economic Platform
Ever rising Forex reserves providing adequate cushion against any possibility of currency crisis or monetary instability India’s enhanced economic performance has been major contributor towards increased Forex reserves External debt-to-GDP ratio has shown remarkable improvement….. India’s Forex reserves are in excess of external debt…… India has the fifth largest FOREX reserves in developing countries across the globe Indian Forex reserves have increased at a CAGR of 24 percent over the last 15 years The decreasing external debt to GDP ratio indicates that India has a sound economic platform …..at present level of Forex reserves, the country has adequate cover for 12 months of imports

5 Return on the Investments in India (2006 Q1)
India: Attractive Investment Destination India is ranked second in AT Kearney FDI confidence index With the better performance on PE ratio and ROE, Indian markets have attracted large investments 200 percent Increase Return on the Investments in India (2006 Q1) MARKET PE Ratio P/B Ratio RoE (%) India 16.1 4.53 22 China 10.62 2.06 17 Indonesia 10.26 3.09 NA Korea 9.85 1.84 16 Malaysia 13.21 1.82 Taiwan 12.17 2 11 Thailand 9.84 2.32 23 EM Asia 11.19 2.12 15 Latin America 9.35 2.46 18 EM Europe 10.9 2.39 Telecom and Electronics topped the list of inward FDI FDI inflow for the period April – December 2006 witnessed a growth of 151 percent over the same last year FII registered with SEBI increased from 540 in 2004 to 920 in June 2006 India is the second most favoured destination for FDI after China Electrical equipments and telecom sector are the largest recipient of the FDI Foreign Direct Investment in the country has grown three-fold to $16 billion in , encouraging the government to set an ambitious target of $25 billion for this year. "The FDI in the previous fiscal has touched $16 billion as against $5.5 billion in This fiscal, FDI will touch 25 billion dollars, driven primarily by services, telecom manufacturing, auto and auto components Mauritius has been the largest contributor towards FDI into India…..

6 India: Surging Exports
Services sector has been a major contributor to increased exports from India. The quality and cost advantage are the two important parameters leveraged by the Indian producers to increasingly market their products and services The acceptance of Indian products along with the cost advantage has provided an edge to Indian companies. The Indian companies have chalked out extensive plans to increase their presence abroad USA and UK are major countries that have large share of bilateral trade with India. Asia and Oceania are the major geographic segments that have contributed towards the increasing bilateral trade with India Petroleum products and metals have been the principal product category by India It is expected that exports from India will increase to a level of USD 300 billion in next 10 years It is expected that 8 million new jobs will be created in next 5 years in exports Petroleum products are the contributor towards the growing imports by India Imports of products by India mainly includes petroleum products and minerals

7 2006 Global Retail Development Index (GRDI)
India: Pacing Ahead to Emerge as the Major Economy in the Globe India has been ranked superior to other major countries by many prominent surveys… 2006 Global Retail Development Index (GRDI) AT Kearney placed India among the top three in its FDI confidence index… … retail market along with services sector has been attracting lot of interest from the major players India is expected to outperform its rivals in the BRIC, in terms of GDP growth rates from 2015 onwards… India is among the top five major developing economies of the world Various parameters / indexes substantiate this fact, leading to increased inflow of investments in India

8 India: Vibrant Economy Driving M&A Activities
Growth Drivers: Globalization of competition Concentration of companies to achieve economies of scale Lower interest rates and vibrant global markets Cash Reserves with Corporate Trends: Ratio of Size of acquisition to the size of acquirer has grown from 10 percent in 2004 to 25 percent in 2006. Cross-border deals are growing faster than domestic Private Equity houses have funded projects as well as done some acquisitions in India. SECTOR USD (Mn) Automotive 518 Manufacturing 933 Banking and Financial 1375 Media 630 Chemicals & Plastics 1133 Oil & Gas 384 Electrical & Electronics 896 Pharma & biotech 2520 Energy 1484 Telecom 2198 FMCG, Food and Beverages 1327 Others 4006 IT & ITES 2903 Total 20305 In 2006, there were a total of 480 M&A deals and 302 private equity ones… … Average deal size close to USD 36 million… Vibrant economy and surplus of funds are causing increased M&A activity in India The number of deals have increased considerably as well as the average value of deals Telecom, electrical equipments, auto are major sector involved in the M&A activity in India …Contribution of private equity deals to total number of deals have increased from nearly 9 percent in 2004 to 28 percent in 2006

9 Major M&A Deals Undertaken Abroad by India Inc.
Tata Steel buys Corus Plc. USD 12.1 billion Hindalco acquired Novelis Inc. USD 6 billion Essar Steel acquired Algoma Steel USD 1.58 billion Videocon Industries acquired Daewoo Electronics Corporation Limited USD 730 million Indian FDI abroad has increased 6 times during the period Major destination for the Indian investments are the US, Russia, Mauritius, the UK, Sudan Indian companies have also been very active in terms of M&A deals abroad. The companies have not only focussed on SMEs in the other countries but also undertaken M&A deals with well established corporations. Easy availability of funds and global aspirations are the major drivers for Indian companies to undertake M&A deals abroad Tata Tea has acquired 30-percent stake in the US based Energy Brands Inc. USD 677 million

10 Major M&A and Investments Announcements in India
Vodafone buys Hutch USD 11 billion Plans to spend on its development operations in India over the next four years USD 1.7 billion Plans investment in private equity, real estate, and private wealth management USD 1 billion Aditya Birla Group increased its stake in Idea Cellular by buying percent stake USD 0.98 billion These deals are only indicative of the scenario in India. Increased M&A deals leads to consolidation in market as well as facilitates in delivering international quality products and services to India. The transfer of technology has also increased through high M&A deals in India Renault, Nissan and Mahindra & Mahindra to set up Greenfield automobile plant in Chennai. USD billion Mylan Laboratories acquired a majority stake in Matrix Laboratories USD 0.74 billion

11 India: Astounding Demographics
Growth in the higher income categories of India’s population, has lead to a burgeoning affluent section of society, which has significant level of purchasing power DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSFORMATION OF INDIA Annual Household Income (in USD) 2 9 48 221 726 9 17 74 285 710 20 33 120 404 613 Rich (Above ) High Income ( ) (Million Population) Consuming class ( ) Working class ( ) Needy (Below 10200) (E) * In PPP terms By 2009, India will have 1.1 million individuals with a wealth of USD 100,000 Increasing per-capita income coupled with emerging middle class has provided necessary impetus to the consumerism in India Increased market potential and better buying capacity are the major drivers pulling major MNCs to India and provide quality products and services

12 India: Increasing Working Population
Growth in Global Working Age Population (15-64) Stock Position 2005 Addition to working age population by 2010 World ,168 India Africa China South East Asia Latin America Southern Asia USA Europe Japan In Million Increased working population and quality of the workforce enable the companies to increase operations in India Buoyant employment conditions are leading to the increased disposable income thus making large market potential Countries worldwide are anticipating a shortage of working population in the future. India is expected to emerge as a clear winner and by 2050 it will have the largest working age population.

13 Growth Expected in India
To sustain the GDP growth of more than 8 percent India requires an investments of USD 1.5 trillion in the next five years 2006 2008 2010 GDP – USD 900 billion GDP growth rate – 9% Services Contribution – % FDI limit is expected to be 100 percent in major industry sectors such as Telecom, Semiconductors, Automobiles, etc. Balance of Trade – Should be positive with increased level of exports as compared with imports Investment goal – USD 370 billion GDP – USD 750 billion GDP growth rate – 9.5% Services Contribution – 60 % FDI limit is expected to be close to 100 percent in major industry sectors such as Telecom, Semiconductors, Automobiles, etc. Balance of Trade – Should increase with surging exports as compared with imports Investment goal – USD 305 billion GDP – USD 590 billion GDP growth rate – 9 % Services Contribution – 54 % FDI limit not 100 percent in major industry sectors such as Telecom, Semiconductors, Automobiles, etc. Balance of Trade – USD (46.2) billion Investment goal – USD 250 billion Increasing FDI confidence, supportive government policies, improving regulatory environment, etc. offers good platform for growth of economy

14 India’s Sunrise Sectors
1 Infrastructure 2 Automobile 3 Telecom 4 Semiconductor 5 Aviation 6 Defense

15 India to Gain in terms of Economic Prosperity due to Continued Government Initiatives in Infrastructure Sector Railways has initiated process to develop dedicated freight corridor… ‘Golden Quadrilateral’, ‘North-South’ and ‘East-West’ corridors are the major road infrastructure being undertaken by the government. 96 percent work of Golden Quadrilateral has been completed Project ‘Sethusamundram’, which involves dredging of the Palk Strait to facilitate maritime trade through it Project ‘Sagarmala’ – a USD 22 billion project for the modernisation of major and minor ports Increase in traffic is expected to amount to percent for passenger traffic and percent for cargo traffic… The government has initiated the process of up-gradation and modernisation of national airports worth USD 9 billion by 2010. It has also initiated process of modernisation of other non-metro airports (more than 40 cities) Private sector can set up coal, gas or liquid based thermal projects, hydel projects and wind or solar projects of any size. Mega power projects permitted in India. Foreign equity participation upto 100 percent is allowed in the power sector through automatic route. … Government of India spends approximately USD 4 billion annually on road development Government has identified infrastructure as a priority sector to sustain the momentum of the GDP growth rate. The investment goal for infrastructure sector are: Power – USD 140 billion by 2010 Roads – USD 25 to 30 billion by 2010 Ports – USD 8 to 10 billion by 2010 Civil Aviation – USD 15 to 17 billion by 2010 Telecom – USD 22 billion by 2010 There is increasing competition between full services carriers and low cost carriers….. Railways dedicated freight corridors in the Western and Eastern high-density routes. The investment is expected to be about Rs. 22,000 crore (US $ 5 bn) 100% FDI under the automatic route is permitted for all road development projects 100% income tax exemption for a period of 10 years India has extensive road network of 3.3 million kms. Highways constitute 2 percent of the total network but share 40 percent traffic load India has 13 major ports and 187 minor ports. The total traffic handled by the ports was million tonnes during the period April 2006-January 2007 There are 125 airports and out of these 11 are designated international airports. Indian government has initiated process of modernization of Delhi airport infrastructure India has 128,581 MW of installed power generation capacity. Coal plants constitute 57 percent of the total installed capacity

16 India’s Sunrise Sector: Automobile
Largest two wheeler manufacturer…. ……Fifth largest CV manufacturer in the world Domestic production of auto components has increased to USD 10 billion in , a jump of 17 percent… Exports have grown by 30 percent to USD 1.8 billion The Indian automobile sector generates a revenue of USD 34 billion per year. Its contribution to GDP is around 3-4 percent. Production and domestic sales figures for commercial vehicles are growing at a rate of approximately 24 percent. Production and domestic sales of two wheelers are growing at a rate of approximately 15 and 14 percent respectively. Production Domestic Sales

17 India’s Sunrise Sector: Telecom
The Indian mobile market is witnessing strong growth and is slated to become the third largest in the world behind US and China in the next two to three years India ranks among the top 10 countries of the world with regards to its telecom network. Tele-density has more than doubled in the last 3 years. India has 40.3 million wireline subscribers and million wireless (mobile and WLL-F) subscribers. Mobile communication and internet penetration are adding to the momentum of telecommunication sector

18 India’s Sunrise Sector: Semiconductor
India has developed strong competence in design side of semiconductor industry…. Many international players such as Intel, AMD, etc have established their R&D centres in India, which assists them to develop novel products at fast pace Captive semiconductor units in India contribute 62 percent to the total revenues being generated by the industry…. Indian companies have chalked out plans to establish fabrication units thus catering to the overall demand from designing to manufacturing phase India has approximately 125 companies operating in the semiconductor domain Over 135 aircraft have been added in the last two years alone. By 2010, India's fleet strength will stand at 500–550. Airbus pegs India’s demand for airliners at 1100 aircraft, worth US$ 105 billion, over the next 20 years. According to Civil Aviation Minister Praful Patel, the country will need 1,500 to 2,000 passenger planes in 10 years, up from 260 now.

19 Investment Opportunities in Indian Aviation Industry
Activities in the Indian Aviation Industry Global aviation major Boeing plans to invest approximately USD 280 million to establish airplane maintenance facility and a pilot training centre. The company estimates that Indian market will require 470 airplanes worth USD 35 billion by 2025. GMR has undertaken project for modernisation of Delhi airport. The project worth is USD 1.94 billion. Airbus plans to invest USD 1 billion over a period of 10 years to establish training centres, maintenance, repair and overhauling (MRO) centre, and engineering and design centre in India. EADS plans to invest USD 2.57 billion over a period of next 15 years to establish technology centre in India. Indian carriers have placed orders for approximately 480 aircrafts to be delivered by State operated carriers – Indian airlines and Air India have placed orders worth USD 8 billion for approximately 100 aircrafts to modernise its fleet. The demand for corporate jets has increased and it is estimated that number of corporate jets in India will be 300 in next 18 months. Canadian avionic firm – CAE plans to expand its operations in India. It plans to aggressively market its simulation and modelling technologies to civil and military aviation customers. Carrier Proposed Requirement Air India 50 Aircrafts Indian Airlines 43 Aircrafts Jet Airways 30 Aircrafts Air Deccan 60 Aircrafts Kingfisher 48 Aircrafts Spicejet 20 Aircrafts Indigo 100 Aircrafts GoAir 15 Aircrafts Paramount 5 Aircrafts Magic Air 10 Aircrafts

20 Why India? – Quote Unquote
India is among the three most attractive FDI destinations in the world India has among the highest returns on foreign investment US Department of Commerce A T Kearney FDI Confidence Index 2005 By 2032, India will be among the three largest economies in the world BRIC Report Goldman Sachs, October 2003 “India is a developed country as far as intellectual capital is concerned.” “We came to India for the costs, stayed for the quality and are now investing for innovation.” Jack Welch General Electric - Dan Scheinman, Cisco System Inc. as told to Business Week, August 2005

21 Contact IBEF at j.bhuyan@ciionline.org
For detailed information on India, visit the IBEF website: Contact IBEF at

22 DISCLAIMER This presentation has been prepared jointly by the India Brand Equity Foundation (“IBEF”) and Evalueserve.com Pvt. Ltd., EVALUESERVE (“Authors”). All rights reserved. All copyright in this presentation and related works is owned by IBEF and the Authors. The same may not be reproduced, wholly or in part in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any medium by electronic means and whether or not transiently or incidentally to some other use of this presentation), modified or in any manner communicated to any third party except with the written approval of IBEF. This presentation is for information purposes only. While due care has been taken during the compilation of this presentation to ensure that the information is accurate to the best of the Author’s and IBEF’s knowledge and belief, the content is not to be construed in any manner whatsoever as a substitute for professional advice. The Author and IBEF neither recommend or endorse any specific products or services that may have been mentioned in this presentation and nor do they assume any liability or responsibility for the outcome of decisions taken as a result of any reliance placed in this presentation. Neither the Author nor IBEF shall be liable for any direct or indirect damages that may arise due to any act or omission on the part of the user due to any reliance placed or guidance taken from any portion of this presentation.


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