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“Present Financial Crisis, Global versus Local Framework” Prof. Mario Pines 02 April 2009.

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Presentation on theme: "“Present Financial Crisis, Global versus Local Framework” Prof. Mario Pines 02 April 2009."— Presentation transcript:

1 “Present Financial Crisis, Global versus Local Framework” Prof. Mario Pines 02 April 2009

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17 Banca Privata e Finambro 1974 Bankhaus Herstatt in Cologne. 1974 Franklin Square National Bank – Long Island, New York - 1974 Penn Central Corporation – Pennsylvania 1978 Banco Ambrosiano 1982 Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust Company (CINB) in May 1984, Drexel Burnham Lambert Group (DBLG) 1989 Bank for Credit and Commerce International (BCCI) 1991 Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) 1994 Barings PLC 1995 Crédit Lyonnais' Paris 1996 Bipop-Carire 2001 Enron Corporation is an energy company based in Houston, Texas. 2001 WorldCom (known as LDDS) and MCI Communications, MCI WorldCom WorldCom taking its final name on April 14, 2003 as part of the corporation's emergence from bankruptcy 2003 Since the collapse of fixed exchange rate August 1971

18 S&L crisis 1980 Japanese banking crisis 1990 December 1994 and early 1995 Mexico - Tequila Crisis Argentina, Brazil, The Philippines, Poland, 1997 Thailand, Indonesia Malaysia October 1997, Korea August 1998, Russia declared a debt moratorium January 1999, Brazil suffered an exchange rate crisis Local crisis WWW.PINES.IT

19 Glass-Steagall Act, passed on 16 June 1933 ************** Depositary Institution Deregulation and Monetary Control Act passed in 1980, The Garn-St. Germain Depositary Institution Act deregulating The Savings and Loan industry in 1982, and the GRAMM - LEACH - BLILEY ACT 1999 COMMODITY FUTURES MODERNIZATION ACT

20 *********** Lehman Brothers Bear Stearns Merrill Lynch Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs Investment Banks

21 Table 23 DERIVATIVE FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS TRADED ON ORGANISED EXCHANGES BY INSTRUMENT AND LOCATION FUTURESAMOUNTS OUTSTANDINGTURNOVER INSTRUMENTS / LOCATION 200320042005 20042005 Dec. Sep.Dec.Year Q1Q2Q3Q4 All markets....13,752.918,903.620,698.021,623.0840,188.31,005,7754240,719.8269,914.1249,847.4245,293.9 Interest rate.....13,123.718,164.919,861.220,712.4783,140.2939,551.8226,390.4254,372.5233,512.5225,276.4 Currency........79.9103.5109.7107.76,614.711,125.02,438.12,823.02,820.83,043.1 Equity index.....549.3635.2727.1802.950,433.555,098.511,891.412,718.613,514.116,974.4 North America.7,700.010,465.811,665.112,328.9440,774.6564,231.3127,900.3155,491.2149,290.9131,548.9 Interest rate......7,384.610,043.611,209.411,857.5414,309.7529,118.3119,828.4146,603.8140,640.5122,045.6 Currency.........64.991.593.090.86,080.910,257.12,260.52,621.72,580.92,794.0 Equity index....... 250.4330.7362.7380.720,384.024,855.95,811.46,265.76,069.46,709.3 Europe........4,363.25,972.46,155.56,283.6336,632.1380,612.499,725.3101,207.083,797.695,882.5 Interest rate......4,200.25,756.15,908.96,049.4322,977.6362,066.895,731.196,912.879,012.290,410.8 Currency.........0.3 3.02.412.537.03.94.819.68.6 Equity index......162.7215.9243.6231.813,642.118,508.63,990.34,289.44,765.85,463.1 Asia and Pacific1,531.22,293.82,622.52,697.256,878.953,053.611,071.711,493.014,811.615,677.4 Interest rate......1,395.42,208.02,506.72,511.840,694.341,629.59,042.89,399.912,210.810,976.0 Currency.........3.43.74.84.3107.2133.729.633.635.3 Equity index......132.582.0111.1181.216,077.511,290.41,999.32,059.62,565.54,666.1 Other Markets..158.5171.6254.9313.35,902.77,878.02,022.61,723.01,947.42,185.1 Interest rate......143.4157.2236.3293.85,158.66,737.21,788.11,456.11,648.91,844.0 Currency.........11.37.98.910.2414.1697.2144.1162.9185.0205.2 (Notional principal in billions of US dollars)

22 THE BLUEPRINTS In June 2002, President Bush spoke in Atlanta to unveil a plan to increase minority homeownership.

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28 Currency composition of official foreign exchange reserves '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 US dollar US dollar 59.0 % 62.1 % 65.2 % 69.3 % 70.9 % 70.5 % 70.7 % 66.5 % 65.8 % 65.9 % 66.4 % 65.7 % 63.9 % Euro 17.9 % 18.8 % 19.8 % 24.2 % 25.3 % 24.9 % 24.3 % 25.2 % 26.5 % German mark German mark 15.8 % 14.7 % 14.5 % 13.8 % Pound sterling Pound sterling 2.1 % 2.7 % 2.6 % 2.7 % 2.9 % 2.8 % 2.7 % 2.9 % 2.6 % 3.3 % 3.6 % 4.2 % 4.7 % Japanes e yen Japanes e yen 6.8 % 6.7 % 5.8 % 6.2 % 6.4 % 6.3 % 5.2 % 4.5 % 4.1 % 3.9 % 3.7 % 3.2 % 2.9 % French franc French franc 2.4 % 1.8 % 1.4 % 1.6 % Swiss franc Swiss franc 0.3 % 0.2 % 0.4 % 0.3 % 0.2 % 0.3 % 0.4 % 0.2 % 0.1 % 0.2 % Other 13.6 % 11.7 % 10.2 % 6.1 % 1.6 % 1.4 % 1.2 % 1.4 % 1.9 % 1.8 % 1.9 % 1.5 % 1.8 % Sources: 1995-1999, 2006-2007 IMF: Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange ReservesPDF (80 KB) Sources: 1999-2005, ECB: The Accumulation of Foreign ReservesPDF (816 KB) v d e IMFCurrency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange ReservesPDFECBThe Accumulation of Foreign ReservesPDFvde

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30 http://www.ecb.int/stats/exchange/eurofxref/html/eurofxref-graph-usd.en.html US$/€ Fonte ECB

31 Overall Teu Traffic: first 20 ports Year 2002 - Geographic Area Asia 84.951.148 65,89% North Europe 22.448.422 17,41% Nord America 14.381.242 11,15% Middle East 4.194.264 3,25% Mediterranean 2.954.571 2,29% Total 128.929.647 100% http://www.ci-online.co.uk

32 Overall Teu Traffic: first 20 ports Year 2005 - Geographic Area Asia 140.497.155 75,46% North Europe 23.869.606 12,82% Nord America 14.194.442 7,62% Middle East 7.619.222 4,10% Mediterranean - - % Total 186.180.425 100% http://www.ci-online.co.uk

33 Overall Teu Traffic: first 20 ports Year 2006 - Geographic Area Asia 148.365.970 71,27% North Europe 30.020.396 14,42% Nord America 20.853.024 10,02% Middle East 8.923.465 4,29% Mediterranean - - % Total 208.162.855 100% http://www.ci-online.co.uk

34 Overall Teu Traffic: first 20 ports Year 2007 - Geographic Area Asia 170.334.729 72,24% North Europe 33.759.457 14,32% Nord America 21.045.404 8,93% Middle East 10.653.026 4,52% Mediterranean - - % Total 235.792.616 100% http://www.ci-online.co.uk

35 Overall Teu Traffic: first 20 ports Year 2008 - Geographic Area Asia 187.317.049 80,84% North Europe 30.063.736 12,97% Nord America 14.337.801 6,19% Middle East - -% Mediterranean - - % Total 231.718.586 100% http://www.ci-online.co.uk

36 RankCountry/Monetary Authoritybillion USD (end of month)change in year 2007 1People's Republic of China$ 1905 (Sept) 1 1 +32.9% 2 Japan $ 997 (August)+8.7% -Eurozone$ 555 (July)+16.6% 3 Russia $ 484.7 (November 06) 2 [1]November 06 2 [1] +56.8% 4Republic of ChinaRepublic of China (Taiwan)$ 282 (August) [2] [2] +2.7% 5 India $ 253 (Oct) 2 2 +64.4% 6 South Korea $ 212 (Oct)+9.7% 7 Brazil $ 205 (Aug 31) 3Aug 31 3 +105.9% 8 Singapore $ 175 (July)+19.1% 9 Hong Kong $ 158 (August)+14.6% 10 Germany $ 137 (August)+20.3% Monetary Authorities with the largest foreign reserves in 2008.

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46 ECOFIN 4 October 2008

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49 Jewish bankers were involved in the development of Persian industry and initiated a system of credit. The surviving records of two Jewish banking families are among the most revealing documents of the Persian period. These were the Jewish banking houses of "Murashu and Sons," and "Egibi and Sons".

50 1 cm = 100 anni 1 m = 10.000 anni 100 m = 1.000.000 anni > http://www.nber.org/papers/w7375 X AB C

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