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 A subset of alternative investments that incorporate all investment strategies run with an orientation to producing primariloy absolute returns using.

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Presentation on theme: " A subset of alternative investments that incorporate all investment strategies run with an orientation to producing primariloy absolute returns using."— Presentation transcript:

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2  A subset of alternative investments that incorporate all investment strategies run with an orientation to producing primariloy absolute returns using largely marketable securities  A private and unregisterd investment pool that employs sophisticated hedging and arbitrage techniques to trade in the corporate equity markets

3  “Hedge funds are investment pools that are relatively unconstrained in what they do. They are relatively unregulated (for now), charge very high fees, will not necessarily give you your money back when you want it, and will generally not tell you what they do. They are supposed to make money all the time, and when they fail at this, their inestors redeem and go to someone else who has recently been making money. Every three or four years, they deliver a one-in-a-hundred-year flood.”

4  The first hedge fund was set up by Alfred W. Jones  1949  Used short sales, leverage and fees  Converted from general partnership to limited partnership in 1952  Publicized in 1966 in article in Fortune magazine  Growth from 1986-1993 and following collapse of tech bubble in 2002  Hedge funds did relatively well in 2000 - 2002

5  Size has been doubling almost every two years  One measurement of 11,000 active funds in 2008  $2.4 Trillion under management (various measurements)  Account for 30% of all U.S. fixed-income trading  80% for distressed debt and high-yield derivatives

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8  Do not fall under the Investment Company Act  No public offerings  Limited number of investors  Do not fall under Securities Act of 1933  Only “accredited investors consisting of institutional investors, companies, or high net worth individuals who can ‘fend for themselves’”

9  Not required to disclose their holdings to investors  Not required to report investment results  May not advertise  Limited partners must have already formed a relationship with the general partner  Allowed to use leverage  Usually 2:1 to 10:1  LTCM was 500:1 by one report

10  Limited Partnership or Offshore Corporation  Collection of funds (feeder funds)  Each fund designed to optimize taxes for a group of investors  Offshore fund for foreign investors and onshore fund for U.S.-taxed investors

11 LocationPercent Assets Cayman Islands35% United States32% British Virgin Islands8% Bermuda8% Bahamas4% Luxembourg3% Asia4%

12  Manager usually has high percentage of his/her assets invested in fund  Current trend towards more institutions investsing in hedge funds  Proportion of institutions to individuals is increasing

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16 Asset ClassPercent Allocation Equity51% Fixed Income17% Real Estate4% Hedge Funds15% Private Equity3.2% Venture Capital3.5% Natural Resources3% Source: NACUBO Endowment Study

17  Convertbile Arbitrage  Merger Arbitrage  Long/Short  Dedicated Short Strategy  Statistical Arbitrage  Market Neutral Strategy  Event Driven  Fixed Income Abritrage (High Yield or Mortgage Backed)  Managed Futures  Emerging Markets  Sector Funds  Relative Value Arbitrage

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19 StrategyAssets ($bln)Percent AssetsNumber Funds Long/Short Equity Hedge 28235%1148 Event Driven38.618%316 Other40.79%316 Fixed Income Arbitrage 38.6166 Global Macro32.68%146 Emerging Markets31.77%168 Market Neutral26.86%212 Convertible Arbitrage 22.25%124 Dedicated Short1.2--17 Source: Lipper/Tass

20  Very difficult to gauge for certain  Voluntary disclosure  Survivorship bias  Backfill bias  Must be Risk-Adjusted  Normal risk adjustments don’t always apply  Often a strong systemic (sector) risk

21  January 1995 – April 2006 Study  Pre-fee annualized return of 12.72%  Fee of 3.74%  Alpha of 3.04%  Excess returns shared roughly equally between hedge fund managers and their investors

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23 Conve rtible Arbitra ge Distres sed Securit ies Emerg ing Market s Equity Hedge Equity Market Neutra l Event- Driven Fixed Incom e Arbitra ge Fixed Incom e Convt Bonds Fund of Funds MacroMerge r Arbitra ge Market Ti Relativ e Value Arbitra ge Dec 199315.2232.5487.1027.9411.1128.2216.6423.6026.3253.3120.2424.1827.10 Dec 1994-3.733.847.652.612.656.0011.94-0.62-3.48-4.308.883.494.00 Dec 199519.8519.739.0231.0416.3325.116.0819.1711.1029.3217.8612.5815.66 Dec 199614.5620.7735.6921.7514.2024.8411.8918.2414.399.3216.6113.4714.49 Dec 199712.7215.4019.8523.4113.6221.237.0217.6016.2018.8216.4413.5715.93 Dec 19987.77-4.23-36.3915.988.301.70-10.297.53-5.116.197.2324.822.81 Dec 199914.4116.9440.0644.227.0924.337.3836.9426.4717.6214.3426.1714.73 Dec 200014.502.78-9.399.0914.566.744.78-11.174.071.9718.0411.7914.43 Dec 200113.3713.2811.510.316.7112.184.813.302.806.872.764.098.92 Dec 20029.075.28-0.03-4.710.98-4.308.77-13.071.017.42-0.86-3.265.42 Dec 20039.9329.5832.4120.532.4625.339.3517.5211.6221.4414.3915.389.72 Dec 20040.9718.2116.927.664.6314.235.158.606.394.723.513.685.03

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26  Management Fee of 1% - 2% of assets under management (median is 1.5%)  Incentive Fee of 20% of profits above a benchmark  May be T-bill rate  May be zero  No incentive fees in mutual funds

27  Mutual Funds must redeem shares on demand  Mutual Funds must calculate NAV daily  Hedge Funds often invest in illiquid assets that cannot be easily priced due to infrequent trading  Models (estimates) are often used to value assets  Mark-to-Model  Leads to positive serial correlation in returns

28  Hedge Funds will not necessarily allow withdrawls on demand  Usually specific times (quarterly) when investors can withdraw funds  Often a lock-up period of up to two years  Minimum Investment of $200,000 or more  Limited number of investors and dollars  Diseconomies of scale  Managers want long-term investors

29  Allows for diversification among Hedge Funds  Fund manager is responsible for due dilligence of various hedge funds  Allows for smaller investments and greater liquidity  Additional fee of approx. 1%  About 15% of all hedge fund assets managed through fund of funds  About 25% of hedge funds are actually funds of funds

30  “Fat Tails” – High positive returns, but also a possibility to lose everything like LTCM  Extremely unlikely in mutual fund  Lack of liquidity  Lack of information for investors  High Leverage  Difficult to evaluate performance

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33 Style Correlations Distressed Emerging Markets Equity Market neutralEvenMultiFixed Income MacroHF IndexFuturesFoF Distressed Index10.58230.3630.93570.75090.31170.31610.5796-0.12670.661 Emerging Markets Index0.582310.24640.66530.66650.27510.4190.6535-0.09910.7399 Equity Market Neutral Index0.3630.246410.39180.36580.11330.20980.33640.12310.4441 Event Driven Index0.93570.66530.391810.93170.38810.38240.6691-0.17410.7577 Multi-Strategy Index0.75090.66650.36580.931710.42890.42790.6878-0.19480.7616 Fixed Income Arbitrage Index0.31170.27510.11330.38810.428910.45410.4476-0.06850.426 Global Macro Index0.31610.4190.20980.38240.42790.454110.85870.24450.6453 Hedge Fund Index0.57960.65350.33640.66910.68780.44760.858710.12640.9082 Managed Futures Index-0.1267-0.09910.1231-0.1741-0.1948-0.06850.24450.126410.1171 Fund of Funds0.6610.73990.44410.75770.76160.4260.64530.90820.11711

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35  Ranked by Average Annual Return for prior 3 years  RAB Special Situations Fund 47.69%  The Children’s Investment Fund 44.27%  Highland CDO Opportunity Fund 43.98%  BTR Global Opportunity Fund, Class D 43.42%  SR Phoenicia Fund 43.10%  Atticus European Fund 40.76%  Gradient European Fund A 39.18%

36  John Paulson, Paulson & Co. $3 billion+  Philip Falcone, Harbinger Capital Partners $1.5-$2 billion  Jim Simons, Renaissance Technologies $1 billion  Steven A. Cohen, SAC Capital Advisors $1 billion  Ken Griffin, Citadel Investment Group $1-$1.5 billion  Chris Hohn, The Children’s Investment Fund $800- $900 million  Noam Gottesman, GLG Partners $700-$800 million

37  You think a stock (or portfolio) is underpriced  But you also think the market might drop  You want to capture the underpricing without subjecting yourself to the risk of your position losing value along with the market  You need to separate the stock-specific bet from the effects of the market

38  This is called any of the following:  Pure Play  Alpha Transfer  Portable Alpha  Creating a market-neutral portfolio  The key is to eliminate the market (systematic) risk

39  Example:  You have put together a portfolio which you believe will outperform the market by 2% next month.  Your portfolio has a beta of 1.0 and you suspect that the overall market will fall next month  The risk-free rate is 1% per month  E(R) = R f + β (R m – R f ) + α + e  You must create a portfolio with a beta of -1.0 which will offset the suspected market drop

40  You can create a portfolio with a negative beta by:  Selling S&P 500 futures contracts  Purchasing puts on S&P 500 contracts  Shorting a SPDR ETF  Each of these creates a beta of -1.0.  You can adjust this beta by borrowing or lending at R f

41  You now have a total position with a beta of zero  E(R) = R f + β (R m – R f ) + α + e  Your return will be the 1% risk-free rate, the 2% alpha (if you were correct) and any undiversified unique risk that remains (expected value of zero)

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