1. The Data we Collect (and how we collect them) Arie Kapteyn

2. Data collection at CESR CESR’s Nubis software provides tools for the collection of data using traditional interviewing techniques: Face- to-face, phone and self interviews. –Collected data in some 30 countries on five continents, usually in complicated longitudinal surveys (DLHS in India: 1.5 million respondents) We can also collect data in the background. E.g: Physical Activity, GPS, heart-rate, and send that to a central server. Send short (follow-up) questions to cellphone or watch asking for details about observed activity or location.

3. Countries where we work (or worked)

4. UAS: Real-time, Contextualized data collection and intervention technologies Just-In-Time Adaptive Data Collection and Intervention by smartwatch and smartphone

5. UAS: ZEMI smartphone app

7. Data collection using smart phones

8. Mobile Technologies: Understanding Behavior in Real Time Sensors sensing behavior GPS sensing place Sound/device recog. sensing conversation, other people, mood EMA/SMS collects & provides data On demand according to times, places, in response to sensed events Integrates wireless data from wearable/deployable sensors Record of phone, email, Internet use Patterns of change over time and place Real- or near-time data transfer/feedback Electronic records of financial transactions Source: Lane et al. 2011

9. We run a population representative Internet Panel of Households

10. What is an Internet Panel? Any device that can connect to the Internet Passive measurement, using bluetooth for instance Mobile devices of any sort Essentially two types: – Convenience (non-probability) panels – Probability panels 10

11. Probability Panels Selection probabilities known. – Need sampling frame (denominator) Get internet access for those without it. 11

12. Continuous Presidential Election Polling (Final forecast: 3.32% advantage Obama; final count 3.64%)

13. Why are probability internet panels with low response rates superior to convenience panels? Coverage of non-internet population Selectivity of respondents who sign up for convenience panels. – 30% of online surveys completed by 0.25% of the U.S. population (Miller, 2006) – 15-25% of vendor samples from a common pool of respondents (Craig et al., 2013) – Panel participants belong to 7 online panels (Tourangeau, Conrad, and Couper, 2013) 13

14. Financial Transaction Data Financial aggregation firms like Mint.com and Check.me have people share their financial passwords with them so that participants can be provided with summaries of their expenditures and savings. We ask UAS respondents to sign up with one of these financial aggregators and allow us access to the data. Potentially that will allow us to produce estimates of national consumption in real time.

15. Critical Infrastructure Our web-site for respondents has to be up without interruption. So we cannot afford downtime If downtime is inevitable (and planned) we need a warning well in advance so that we can warn our panel members.