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Table of Contents 1 Company Overview 2 Regulatory Environment 3

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Presentation on theme: "Table of Contents 1 Company Overview 2 Regulatory Environment 3"— Presentation transcript:

0 Korea Western Power Annual Ratings Review Presentation October 2010
Strictly Private and Confidential

1 Table of Contents 1 Company Overview 2 Regulatory Environment 3
Operation Overview 4 Financial Management 5 Financial Forecast

2 Introduction to KOWEPO
Inception Spun off from KEPCO in April 2, 2001 Ownership 100% owned by KEPCO (51% owned by Korean Government) Generation Capacity 9,604 MW Total Assets 1H 2010 : KRW 4,725 bn (USD 3,868mn) FY2009 : KRW 4,482 bn (USD 3,668mn) Total Revenue 1H 2010 : KRW 2,334 bn (USD 1,911mn) FY2009 : KRW 3,817 bn (USD 3,124mn) Net Income 1H 2010 : KRW 173 bn (USD 142 mn) FY2009 : KRW 88bn (USD 72 mn) Note : Applied FX rate : KRW /USD (Bloomberg as of June 30, 2010)

3 Seoul and Gyeonggi Metropolitan Area
Power Plants Portfolio Base load, intermediate load, and peak load account for 42%, 15% and 43% respectively in terms of generation capacity in operation Over 85% of capacity is located in or near the Seoul and Gyeonggi metropolitan areas Seoul and Gyeonggi metropolitan areas comprise approximately 40% of total national demand Generation Capacity by Type of Plant Location of Plant Complex 4,198MW Taean Pyeongtaek Gunsan Cheongsong Seoincheon Samrangjin Seoul and Gyeonggi Metropolitan Area Coal LNG BC Oil Pumped Storage Hydro Solar 4,000MW Cheongsong P/S (600 MW) Samrangjin P/S (600 MW) Gunsan C/C (718 MW) Taean T/P (4,000 MW) 1,400MW Seoincheon C/C (1,800 MW) Pyeongtaek T/P (1,400 MW) Pyeongtaek C/C (480 MW) Note: T/P denotes “Thermal Power Plant”, C/C denotes “Combined Cycle”, P/S denotes “Pumped Storage”

4 KOWEPO’s Market Position -1H 2010
Generation Capacity Market Share Sales Volume Market Share (MW) (GWh) Total Generation Capacity 74,407 MW Total Electricity Sales 215,316 GWh

5 Table of Contents 1 Company Overview 2 Regulatory Environment 3
Operation Overview 4 Financial Management 5 Financial Forecast

6 Latest Power Industry Operating Environment
The power industry restructuring plan delayed and the former privatization plan for Gencos cancelled MOCIE announced restructuring plan for power industry Incorporation of generation companies Cost-based pool bidding (“CBP”) mechanism IPO of KOSEP was delayed Implementation of TWBP was suspended Privatization plan for Gencos cancelled Gencos will be designated as market oriented public firms 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Introduction of vesting contracts for Gencos deferred Wholesale competition was put on a hold Initiation of KOSEP privatization Plan to separate KEPCO’s distribution sector was halted due to substantial risk and uncertain benefits from the separation plan Update on Gencos Privatization and Consolidation Plan Privatization plan for KEPCO and its Gencos was cancelled in July 2008 Gencos will be designated as market oriented public firms by government to create a more efficient management structure and enhance their competitiveness in 2011

7 Latest Power Industry Operating Environment (Cont’d)
Electric Power Industry Reorganization - Transfer of Water Pump Generators to KHNP Purpose: Exclude water pump generator from competition and seek stability in electricity system network at the same time achieving synergy from integration of the water pump generation and water generation Timeline: Before 2010; all assets must have been transferred before 2011 Effect on governance: No change in corporate governance – KEPCO will continue to hold 100% of respective GENCOs Transfer of water pump generators to Korea Hydro Nuclear Power Implication for Korea Western Power Genco Generator Power Capacity (kW) South East Mooju 600,000 Mid Yangyang 1,000,000 West Samrangjin Chungsong South Chungpyung 400,000 East West Sanchung 700,000 Total 6 Generators 3,900,000 Site Asset Rev (% M/S) Net Inc. Gener-ation (% M/S) Samrangjin 1,244 645 (1.63%) 99 385GWh (0.84%) Chungsong 3,651 817 (2.06%) -17 533GWh (1.17%) Note: Unit in KRW100mm Based on 2009YE total asset of W4,481.6bn, water pump generator is 10.9% of total asset As a result of the transfer of water pump generator, we expect approximately 11% decrease in asset size, but given profit and generation consists of only 2-4%, the decrease relative to asset size is small

8 Nationwide Power Consumption
Power consumption has continued to rise on the back of strong economic growth Continuous increase in power consumption expected * 2010 GDP growth rate : 5.8%(Forecast), 1H 2010 : 7.6% * Source: “Statistics of Electric Power in Korea”, KEPCO / The Bank of Korea (July 2010) “Electricity Supply and Demand Basic Plan #4, MKE (Dec 2009)

9 Electricity Demand Forecast
Korea’s electricity sector is expected to enjoy robust demand growth – Continuous economic growth will be the primary driver of power demand growth Power demand is expected to grow at a rate of 2.2% per annum from 2008 to 2018 (Unit: TWh) Source: MKE (Electricity Supply and Demand Basic Plan #4 – Published in Dec 2009)

10 Government’s Mid-to-Long Term Energy Strategy
Govt’s Mid-to-Long Term Energy Supply Scheme Expansion on cost effective base load infrastructure in addition to promotion of environmental friendly energy sources such as renewable energies, following the Government’s Green Growth Plan By year 2022, the installed capacity for Nuclear Power : 24.8% (’08)  33.0% (’22) Coal : 33.2% (’08)  29.2% (’22) LNG : 25.2% (’08)  22.9% (’22) Installed Capacity Forecast by different energy sources Source: MKE (Electricity Supply and Demand Basic Plan #4 – Published in Dec 2009)

11 Update on Electricity Pricing Mechanism
Application of The Adjusted Coefficient of SMP Abolition of Regulated Market Price (RMP) system KOWEPO can pass through 100% of its fuel cost through the energy price Electricity Generation Cost Evaluation Committee annually determines The Adjusted Coefficient Power Price Comparison Price type Price Remarks Capacity Payment (CP) Base Load KRW 7.46/kWh KRW 7.46/kWh as a base price, CP is differentiated by regions, by seasons and by hours Non Base Load Energy Price [Max {(SMP-Fuel Cost), 0} x The Adjusted Coefficient + Fuel Cost] The Adjusted Coefficient (Aug ~ ) Nuclear : (←0.3052) Coal : (←0.1865) Anthracite : (←0.7500) Others/General : (← ) Newly lowered Adjusted Coefficient will decrease KOWEPO’s operating income by KRW 57 billion for 5 months. (Aug.’10 ~ Dec.’10) ※ RMP : Regulated Market Price, SMP : System Marginal Price Introduction of “The Adjusted Coefficient of SMP” will motivate Gencos to construct base load power plants and lead to fair competition among Gencos. It will increase the efficiency of the power market by stimulating cost reduction

12 Table of Contents 1 Company Overview 2 Regulatory Environment 3
Operation Overview 4 Financial Management 5 Financial Forecast

13 Power Plant Facilities in Operation
KOWEPO operates 47 generation units with total generation capacity of 9,604MW. Type Fuel Type Number of Units Total Capacity Sales (GWh) Utilization Rate (%) Load Factor (%) Taean Thermal Bituminous 8 4,000 15,615 94.06 90.19 Pyeongtaek BC Oil 4 1,400 1,761 29.95 29.93 Combined Cycle LNG GT : 4 ST : 1 320 160 631 30.62 27.42 Seoincheon GT : 8 ST : 8 1,200 600 5,913 76.38 64.85 Samrangjin Pumped Storage - 2 121 4.65 5.3 Cheongsong 266 10.22 11.31 Solar 1 0.1 12.28 14.86 3 12.41 15.43 Hydraulic 2.2 21.03 36.99 Gusan GT : 2 718 453 29.35 28.07 TOTAL 47 9,604 24,764 64.62 68.34 Taean IGCC (300MW) will be added in Dec 2015. Source: Company. As of June 30, 2010

14 New Business(1) KOWEPO plans to maintain its leading market position and superior operating performance promoting growth with new plant constructions and new business Domestic Power Plant Type Generation Capacity Completion Remarks New Plant Taean IGCC 300MW Dec. 2015 Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle R&D project supported by Government Equity Investment Garorim Tidal 520MW Dec. 2014 Consortium With Posco E&C, Daewoo E&C, Lotte E&C Project Financing KOWEPO to be in charge of operation and maintenance Dongducheon Combined Cycle 1500MW Consortium with Samsung E&C Ansan 750MW Mar. 2014 Consortium with Posco E&C

15 New Business(2) KOWEPO plans to diversify its revenue sources through overseas expansion by leveraging its proven experiences and track records in operating and maintaining power plants Project financing as a key funding source to minimize the financial risks Overseas Power Plant Type Generation Capacity Remarks Equity Investment Philippines Kanan Hydro 150MW Consortium with SK E&C (Korea) Build, Own, Operate Project Financing KOWEPO to be in charge of operation and maintenance Indonesia Takalar Thermal (Coal) 200MW Consortium with SAMBU, Yooho and MSC (Indonesia) Laos Xe-Namnoi 390MW Consortium with SK E&C (Korea), Ratchaburi (Thai) and LHSE (Laos) Build, Own, Operate, Transfer Saudi Arabia Rabigh Thermal (Heavy Oil) 1,204MW Consortium between KEPCO and ACWA received order for Consortium between KOWEPO and NOMAC (Saudi) received mandate for O&M from KEPCO–ACWA consortium

16 Global Fuel Market Trend
Recent Fuel Market Trends COAL Coal prices picked up in the initial months of the year and have stabilized thereafter Pacific: Newcastle Index (Australia) Atlantic: Richards Bay Index (South Africa) OIL Fluctuated between US$70/bbl and US$85/bbl ranges Experienced a range bound movement throughout the year and currently testing US$80-85/bbl ranges US$ US$ Fuel Market Forecast COAL Likely to maintain upward trend due to the increasing demand from China and India OIL Reasons for price hike: Favorable global economic condition, weakness in dollar, concern on inflation, strong demand from emerging markets NATURAL GAS The trend in natural gas will be in line with oil Competitive market environment will continue on the back of large-scale capital expenditure and development time which are required for new gas field exploitation Widely known global view that the coal price will remain competitive compared with oil or gas Forecast of Newcastle coal price: around US$ in 2H 2010 and nearing around US$100’s/ton in 2011 Reasons for fall in price: Infeasibility of OPEC’s production cuts, Completion of security of Strategy Petroleum Reserve of U.S. and China, Forecast of oil prices: around US$90’s/bbl in 2011 Source: Bloomberg; Factset 16

17 Contract amount (1,000 ton/year)
Long –Term Supply Contracts KOWEPO enters into long-term supply contracts To assure an adequate supply of the raw materials for a streamlined operation KOWEPO will adjust the portion of long-term supply contracts according to the market price volatility Bituminous Supplier Country Contract Amount (1,000 ton/year) Terms Xstrata Australia 505 Apr 01 ~ Dec 10 Peabody 500 Jan 05 ~ Dec 10 Flame Jan 07 ~ Dec 10 Rio Tinto 1,000 Oct 08 ~ Sep 11 ECM Jan 10 ~ Dec 12 Bengalla 250 Jun 10 ~ Dec 12 SONOMA 750 Feb 08 ~ Apr 14 Felix 625 Sep 09 ~ Life of mine Australia: Sub-total 5,130 (38.0%) Shanxi Coal China Apr 99 ~ Mar 11 China Coal Jan 96 ~ Mar 11 Xinhua 960 Jul 01 ~ Mar 11 China: Sub-total 2,460 (18.2%) Indominco Indonesia Sep 03 ~Dec 12 ABK 720 Apr 10 ~ Dec 10 MSJ 800 Jan 08 ~ Dec 15 Glencore (MHU) 300 Apr 09 ~ Dec 10 May 07 ~ Apr 11 VITOL 325 Oct 10 ~ Sep 13 EMH 420 Morgan Stanley 260 Tiger Jan 09 ~ Dec 13 Indonesia: Sub-total 4,950 (36.6%) SUEK Russia 455 Russia: Sub-total 455 (3.4%) US 520 US: Sub-total 520 (3.8%) TOTAL 13,515 (100%) LNG Contract amount (1,000 ton/year) KOGAS 1,340 07 ~ 26 (20 years) Bituminous Coal LNG

18 Fuel Procurement Strategy
Hedging Strategy Established an internal infrastructure that analyzes the real time fuel market condition For bituminous coal, the portion of long term contracts is as high as 70% whereas the remaining 30% from the spot market which will be changed according to market situation 99% of required volume for 2010 and 30% of the required volume for 2011 already secured as of Oct 2010 Entered into agreements with KEPCO and other Gencos for development of overseas resources and also for stable and economical supply of bituminous coal Stability in supply and demand secured by using both domestic and offshore bidding strategies More than 90% of transportation is already secured through long-term (dedicated carrier +long-term charter) transportation plan, providing a stable and economical means of transportation Collective negotiation and information sharing by 5 Gencos reinforces purchasing competitiveness Collaboration with other GENCOs Recently co-purchased Australian Moolarben coal with other Gencos through close co-operation Have jointly bid for Australia, Canada, Russia and South Africa coal along with other Gencos ` Update on LNG procurement 100% of LNG will be supplied from KOGAS as the long-term supply/purchase contract has been renewed Plans to purchase LNG directly with other Gencos from overseas suppliers when the Government eases the regulation in the future 18

19 Insurance Coverage -1H 2010 KOWEPO is fully insured on its facilities under operation or construction and shipment/transportation of fuels and raw materials to refrain from any unexpected accident and subsequent losses. Asset Comprehensive Insurance Assembly Insurance Insurance on Cargo Details Insurance Type 2010 Asset Comprehensive Insurance Insurer Meritz fire & Marine and five others Insured Amount KRW 6,031,436mn Insured Target Generation Facilities Details Insurance Type Construction works for Taean Site Insurer Samsung fire & Marine Insured Amount KRW 162,721mn Insured Target Fuel Unloading dock and Equipments Details Insurance Type Fuel and Equipment Facilities Comprehensive Insurance on Cargo Insurer LIG Insurance Insured Amount KRW 1,591,714mn Insured Target Fuel and Equipments

20 View on KRW/USD and its Impact
Management’s View on KRW/USD Current 2011 2012 2013 2014 USD/KRW 1,140 1,060 1,048 USD/KRW rate is expected to be gradually stabilized with downward tendency The precise estimation of USD/KRW rate is difficult given the volatile nature of world’s macro economies Impact of change in FX rate on KOWEPO Under the CBP (Cost-Based Pool) system, the fuel price hikes as a result of depreciation of KRW (or appreciation of USD) shall be 100% compensated. In that reason, KEPCO’s financial condition could be impacted by the FX fluctuation. The company enters into the cross-currency swaps for all its long-term foreign currency denominated debt, thus neutrally positioned against FX fluctuation. 20

21 Table of Contents 1 Company Overview 2 Regulatory Environment 3
Operation Overview 4 Financial Management 5 Financial Forecast

22 Capital Structure -1H 2010 Capital Structure Assets Liability
Shareholders Equity Revenue EBITDA KRW 4,725 bn - Non-Current Assets/Total Assets Ratio : 79.9% Capital Structure KRW 2,224 bn - Debt/Capital Ratio : 40.2% KRW 2,501 bn - Stake is wholly owned by KEPCO KRW 2,334 bn KRW 394bn - Net Income : 173 bn

23 Financial Performance(1)
Sales revenue has shown a continuous growth rate EBITDA has been stable but we have seen a decline in 2008 resulting from the surge in raw material costs Revenue EBITDA

24 Financial Performance(2)
Coverage ratio was deteriorated in 2008 and 1H 2009 due to the sharp increase in raw material costs, but has recovered in 1H 2010 Leverage ratio has been deteriorated due to increased debt, but still maintains a stable level Coverage Leverage

25 Financial Highlights(1)
(Unit : KRW bn) 2007 2008 2009 1H 2009 1H 2010 Sales 3,069 3,700 3,817 1,857 2,334 Cost of Sales 2,769 3,736 3,681 1,753 2,074 Gross Profit 300 (35) 136 104 260 SG&A 36 38 32 15 18 Operating Income 264 (73) 89 242 Non-Operating Income 26 197 141 84 56 Non-Operating Expense 54 248 132 82 68 Income before Tax 236 (125) 113 92 230 Tax Expense 61 (22) 25 21 57 Net Income 175 (104) 88 71 173 Cash & Equivalents 43 126 121 308 Other Current Asset 434 696 717 574 640 Investment Assets 13 46 74 65 79 Tangible Assets 3,051 2,999 3,275 3,239 3,441 Intangible Asset 167 161 159 154 Other Asset 48 249 128 223 Total Asset 3,885 4,199 4,482 4,381 4,725 Current Liabilities 543 740 956 785 944 Debenture, net of discount 655 907 809 1,005 819 Long-term Debt 86 93 178 80 266 Other L/T Liabilities 187 184 185 196 Total Liabilities 1,459 1,926 2,127 2,055 2,224 Total Stockholder's Equities 2,426 2,272 2,354 2,326 2,501 Income Statement Balance Sheet

26 Financial Highlights(2)
(Unit : KRW bn) 2007 2008 2009 1H 2009 1H 2010 Cash Flows from Operating Activities Net Income 174.8 (103.5) 87.9 70.9 173.2 Non-cash Expense and Income 373.5 371.2 305.9 134.3 171.3 Depreciation 351.3 345.9 319.4 156.9 152.0 Changes in Assets and Liabilities (66.8) (190.3) 97.8 125.6 (5.4) Net cash flows provided by operating activities 481.4 77.4 491.6 330.7 339.1 Cash Flows from Investing Activities Cape / Purchase of Fixed Assets (282.5) (294.1) (593.1) (390.8) (245.9) Other (1.7) (17.1) (34.3) (24.6) (65.0) Net cash flows used in investing activities (284.2) (311.3) (627.4) (415.4) (310.9) Cash flows from Financing Activities Cash inflows 880.9 1,028.9 1,233.9 686.8 438.2 Cash outflows (1,069.5) (923.7) (1,013.5) (521.9) (284.4) Dividends (51.3) (69.9) (26.4) - Net cash flows used in financing activities (188.7) 105.2 220.4 164.9 153.8 NET INCREASE(DECREASE) IN CASH 8.6 (128.7) 84.5 80.2 182.0 CASH, BEGINNING OF THE YEAR 166.9 175.5 46.8 131.3 CASH, END OF THE YEAR 127.0 313.3 Cash flow Statement

27 Sales Breakdown Revenue source
In 2007, sales increased due to the completion of Taean Coal plant #7-8 In 2008, sales increased due to the fuel price and FX rates hikes Revenue source KRW billion 2006 2007 2008 2009 1H 2010 LNG 963.2 1,223.2 1,596.2 1,056.0 830.3 Coal 864.7 1,133.3 1,542.5 2,149.6 1,103.8 Oil 504.0 569.6 350.5 443.7 286.1 Pumped Storage 41.6 65.3 139.3 113.9 77.4 Others - 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.5 TOTAL 2,373.5 2,991.6 3,629.4 3,764.4 2,298.1 Sales (GWh) 37,046 46,987 45,266 43,539 24,764 Unit Price (KRW/kWh) 65.45 66.80 81.39 86.5 95.0 Note : Sales unit price includes other revenues associated with power generation

28 Details on Credit Line Facilities -1H 2010
Bank overdraft Facilities Bank Amount Used NACF KRW billion - Bill Acceptance Facilities Bank Amount Used Amount KEB KRW billion - Woori KRW billion Shinhan KRW 100 Billion Short-term FCY Credit Facilities Bank Amount Used Amount KEB USD million - RBS USD million USD million BNP Paribas USD million SC First Bank USD million Shinhan USD million

29 Debt Profile(1) –1H 2010 KOWEPO prefers long-term funding of at least 5 year as the plant construction usually takes mid to long term period to complete The company prefers to borrow 70% to 80% of it total debt in KRW and the remaining in foreign currencies 88% of KOWEPO’s debt carries fixed interest rate, while 12% is in floating rate All of total debt is unsecured. Debt Repayment Schedule (KRW in billions) Total Debt Profile : 1,471 billion Currency Distribution Type of Instrument JPY 7.4% (KRW 109bn) Eurobond 9.8% (KRW 144bn) Long Term Borrowing 19.1% (KRW 281bn) USD 16.4% (KRW 241bn) KRW 76.2% (KRW 1,121bn) Local Bond 71.1% (KRW 1,046bn) Note: 1. Total debt in 2010 represents the remaining outstanding debt as of June 30, 2010. 2. Total amount of debt is reflected currency swap in case of foreign currency bond.

30 Barclays / Deutsche Bank
Debt Profile(2) -1H 2010 Rating Triggers/Financial Covenants Bond # 5~ 6(KRW) Bond # 9~14 (KRW) Bond #7(JPY) Bond #8(USD) Rating Trigger - No lower than BBB- Financial Covenants Liability/Equity ratio 500% or less 200% or less Collateral Not permitted Sales of assets Sales more than 5 trillion KRW are not permitted in the same fiscal year Sales more than 0.5 trillion KRW are not permitted in the same fiscal year Maturity 2010.3~2014.5 2011.3 Currency Swap Eurobond Bond #7 Bond #8 Issue USD 150mn / 5.95% JPY14bn / Tibor + 0.5% USD 100mn / Libor + 1.3% Currency Swap KRW 143.8bn / 4.95% KRW 109.1bn / 5.25% KRW 97.3bn / 4.15% Counter Party Barclays / Deutsche Bank BTMU BNP / RBS / Woori

31 Capital Expenditure Plan
Capital Expenditure Schedule (Unit : KRW bn) 568 607 383 468

32 Table of Contents 1 Company Overview 2 Regulatory Environment 3
Operation Overview 4 Financial Management 5 Financial Forecast

33 Key Assumption 2010 2011 2012 Inflation - Domestic 3.00%
- International 2.50% FX rate (KRW/USD) 1,150 1,100 Oil Price (US$/barrel) 85.00 90.00 Coal (US$/ton) 95.00 Gross Generation(GWh) 45,865 46,150 46,201 Note: Forecast subject to change by year-end

34 Financial Statements(1)
Balance Sheet (Unit : KRW bn) 2010 2011 2012 Assets Current Assets 725.5 717.2 736.0 Non-Current Assets 3,970.5 4,128.1 4,115.5 Total Assets 4,696.0 4,845.3 4,851.5 Liabilities Current Liabilities 798.9 682.4 444.6 Non-Current Liabilities 1,498.1 1,724.3 1,927.3 Total Liabilities 2,297.0 2,406.7 2,371.9 Stockholder’s Equity Capital Stock 176.0 Capital Surplus 1,266.6 Retained Earnings 956.4 996.0 1,037.0 Total Stockholders’ Equity 2,399.0 2,438.6 2,479.6 Total Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity Note: Forecast subject to change by year-end

35 Financial Statements(2)
Income Statement (Unit : KRW bn) 2010 2011 2012 Sales 3,915.6 3,886.6 3,905.4 Sales of Electric Power 3,896.7 3,867.9 3,886.5 Others 18.9 18.7 Cost of Sales & SGA 3,704.5 3,759.2 3,780.3 Operating Income 211.1 127.4 125.1 Non-Operating Income 9.1 9.2 12.8 Non-Operating Expense 45.7 63.0 62.6 Income before Tax 174.5 73.6 75.3 Income Tax 41.5 17.1 16.7 Net Income 133.0 56.5 58.6 Dividend 39.9 17.0 17.6 Plans to declare annual dividend at the level of 30% of net income Note: Forecast subject to change by year-end

36 Financial Statements(3)
Cash Flow Forecasts (Unit : KRW bn) 2010 2011 2012 Operating Activities 516.6 429.3 400.0 Net Income 133.0 56.5 58.6 Non-cash Expenses &Incomes 372.6 381.6 373.1 Depreciation 357.3 365.7 360.2 Changes in Assets and Liabilities 11.0 (8.8) (31.7) Investing Activities (551.3) (519.6) (340.2) Plant Construction &Facility Improvement (455.4) (386.3) (244.1) Others (95.9) (133.3) (96.1) Financing Activities 31.5 90.0 (59.7) Cash Balance, Beginning of Year 42.4 39.2 38.9 Net Cash (3.2) (0.3) 0.1 Cash Balance, End of Year 39.0 Plans to maintain year-end cash balance at approx. KRW40 billion Note: Forecast subject to change by year-end

37 Thank you


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