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Production.

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Presentation on theme: "Production."— Presentation transcript:

1 Production

2 Technology The physical laws of nature and limits of material availability and human understanding that govern what is possible in converting inputs into output.

3 Inputs, Factors of Production
Land (incl. raw materials) Labor (including human capital) Capital (physical capital, like machinery and buildings)

4 Production Function A firm’s production function for a particular good (q) shows the maximum amount of the good that can be produced using alternative combinations of capital (K) and labor (L). q = f(K, L) Producing less than the maximum is always possible and all levels of output below the maximum are feasible and define the “production set.”

5 Production Function q q = f(K, L) K L

6 All points “under” the production function
Production set q = f(K, L) q K All points “under” the production function L

7 Production Function and Isoquants
q = f(K, L) q In the long run, all combinations of inputs are possible K Isoquants are horizontal cross sections of the production function projected on the base plane. L

8 Short Run, Long Run Long Run, quantities of ALL inputs used in production can be varied. Short Run, the quantity of at least one input used in production is fixed. ALL production takes place in a short run environment. You can think of the long run as the ability to move from one short run environment to another. Actual time it takes to make this move depends on many factors, technical, economic and regulatory.

9 The model Standard basic model to think of production as a function of K and L. L variable in the short run while K is fixed.

10 Short run, hold K fixed. L q = f(K, L) q
In the short run, K is fixed and only L can vary K The cross section of the production function at a fixed K is the short run production function L

11 More, fixed K q = f(K, L) q In the short run, K is fixed and only L can vary K The cross section of the production function at a fixed K is the short run production function L

12 Three levels of K q = f(K=K3, L) q q = f(K=K2, L)
In the short run, we assume, the quantity of at least one input used --but not all -- is fixed. q = f(K=K1, L) L

13 L constant q = f(K,L=L3) q L and K are just names for inputs. Either one could be fixed in the short run. Just intuitive that K is fixed and L variable in the SR. q = f(K,L=L2) q = f(K,L=L1) K

14 SR and then LR First we’ll think about the short run, and then turn to the long run.

15 Marginal Physical Product
Marginal Product is the additional output that can be produced by employing one more unit of that input holding other inputs constant, so a short run concept

16 Marginal Productivity Assumptions
We assume managers are not going to allow employees in the building if they bring total output down. However, over the range where profit is maximized, marginal products are positive.

17 Increasing and Diminishing Marginal Product (assumes something is fixed)
Empirically, economists find that most production processes exhibit (as L increases from zero): Increasing Marginal Returns – each worker added causes output to increase by more than the previous worker (workers are not able to gain from specialization, K is fixed) And then… Decreasing Marginal Returns –workers added to production add less to output than the previous worker (workers crowd each other as they try to share a fixed amount of capital)

18 Marginal Productivity Assumptions
Because of IMR and DMR, these are possible: Whether MP is always diminishing or whether it first increases and then diminishes depends on the context of the economic discussion. In economics classes, we think of increasing marginal returns and then diminishing marginal returns (need this for a U-shaped MC curve).

19 MP Assumptions As revenue or profit max means producing where MC is rising (MPL is falling), theoretically, we tend to ignore IMR and assume DMR

20 Malthus and Diminishing Marginal Productivity
He argued that population growth meant declining marginal labor productivity His mistake was holding all else (except labor, i.e. population) constant. Ignored technological growth. Productivity was actually growing exponentially, but at such a slow rate that he did not see it. Per Capita Output Watts’s Steam Engine Economic growth of IR first noticed in the 1830s Essay on the Principle of Population, 1st ed (1798) Malthus Dies, 1834 Year 1800 1840 1880

21 Effect of Technology If we think of higher technology as being like having MORE capital, then you can think of the industrial revolution the result of fLK > 0 and a rapid expansion of K.

22 Average Physical Product
Labor productivity is often measured by average productivity.

23 Specific Function Suppose the production function for tennis balls can be represented by To construct MPL and APL, we must assume a value for K let K = 10 The production function becomes

24 SR Production Function (K = 10)
q L

25 Marginal Product The marginal product function is
When MPL = 0, total product is maximized at L = 80.

26 SR Production Function (K = 10)
q Slope of function is MPL at that level of L L

27 Inflection Point Output where MPL goes from increasing to decreasing (inflection point)

28 SR Production Function (K = 10)
At inflection point, MPL is at its highest q LI L

29 Average Product To find average productivity, we hold K=10 and solve

30 SR Production Function (K = 10)
Slope of ray from origin to curve at any L is = APL Slope of this ray =36,000 So APL =36,000 when L= 60 q LA L

31 MPL and APL In fact, when L = 60, both APL and MPL are equal to 36,000
Thus, when APL is at its maximum, APL and MPL are equal So long as a worker hired has a MPL higher than the overall APL, the APL will continue to rise. If the MPL = APL, But if a worker hired has a MPL below the overall APL, the APL will fall.

32 MPL and APL LI LA

33 MPL and APL Where the ray is also tangent, MPL = APL

34 Long Run All mixes of K and L are possible.
Daily decisions about production always have some fixed inputs, so the long run is a planning time horizon.

35 Isoquant Map Each isoquant represents a different level of output, q0 = f(K0,L0), q1 = f(K1,L1) K q1 = 30 q0 = 20 L

36 Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution (TRS, RTS, MRTS)
The slope of an isoquant shows the rate at which L can be substituted for K, or how much capital must be hired to replace one Laborer. K A KA B KB q0 = 20 L LA LB

37 TRS and Marginal Productivities
Take the total differential of the production function: Along an isoquant dq = 0, so

38 Alternatively: Implicit Function Rule

39 Diminishing TRS Again, for demand (this time of inputs) to be well behaved, we need production technology (akin to preferences) to be convex. K Which means, the slope rises, gets closer to zero as L increases. And means the TRS falls as L increases. L

40 Diminishing TRS To show that isoquants are convex (that dK/dL increases – gets closer to zero) along all isoquants) That is, either: The level sets (isoquants) are strictly convex The production function is strictly quasi-concave

41 Convexity (level curves)
dK/dL increases along all indifference curves We can use the explicit equation for an isoquant, K=K(L, q0) and find to demonstrate convexity. That is, while negative, the slope is getting larger as L increases (closer to zero). But we cannot always get a well defined equation for an isoquant. Binger and Hoffman, page 115

42 Alternatively (level curves)
As above, starting with q0 =f(K,L), So convexity if

43 Convexity (level curves)
And, that is *Note that fK3 > 0 What of: fL > 0, monotonacity fK > 0, monotonacity fLL < 0, diminishing marginal returns fKK < 0, diminishing marginal returns fLK = ? Binger and Hoffman, page 115

44 Strict Quasi-Convexity (production function)
Also, convexity of technology will hold if the production function is strictly quasi-concave A function is strictly quasi-concave if its bordered Hessian is negative definite Binger and Hoffman, page 115

45 Negative Definite (production function)
So the production function is strictly quasi-concave if 1. –fLfL < 0 2. 2fLfKfLK-fK2fLL -fL2fKK > 0 Related to the level curve result: Remembering that a convex level set comes from this We can see that strict convexity of the level set and strict quasi-concavity of the function are related, and each is sufficient to demonstrate that both are true.

46 TRS and Marginal Productivities
Intuitively, it seems reasonable that fLK should be positive if workers have more capital, they will be more productive But some production functions have fKL < 0 over some input ranges assuming diminishing TRS means that MPL and MPK diminish quickly enough to compensate for any possible negative cross-productivity effects

47 TRS and MPL and MPK Back to our sample production function:
For this production function

48 IMR and DMR vs. NMR Pull out a few terms
If K = 10, then MPL = 0 at L=80

49 IMR vs. DMR Because If K = 10, then inflection point at L=40
fLL> 0 and fKK > 0 if K*L < 400 fLL< 0 and fKK < 0 if K*L > 400 If K = 10, then inflection point at L=40

50 Cross Effect Cross differentiation of either of the marginal productivity functions yields fLK > 0 if KL < 533 fLK < 0 if KL > 533 If K = 10 fLK> 0 when L < 53.3 fLK< 0 when L > 53.3

51 A Diminishing TRS? Strictly Quasi-Concave if
Lots of parts that have different signs depending on K and L. + ? ? ? ? + ?

52 Returns to Scale How does output respond to increases in all inputs together? suppose that all inputs are doubled, would output double? Returns to scale have been of interest to economists since Adam Smith’s pin factory

53 Returns to Scale Two forces that occur as inputs are scaled upwards
greater division of labor and specialization of function loss in efficiency (bureaucratic inertia) management may become more difficult fall of the Roman Empire? General Motors?

54 Returns to Scale Starting at very small scale and then expanding, firms tend to exhibit increasing returns to scale at small scale, which changes to constant returns over a range, and then when they get larger, face decreasing returns to scale. Obviously, the scale at each transition can vary. Vacuum Cleaner Repair Shops Steel Mills Doughnut Shops Automobile manufacture Empirical analysis reveals that established firms tend to operate at a CRS scale.

55 Returns to Scale If the production function is given by q = f(K,L) and all inputs are multiplied by the same positive constant (t >1), then

56 Returns to Scale Constant Returns to Scale
q = K.5L.5 What if we increase all inputs by a factor of t? (tK).5(tL).5 = ? t(K).5(L).5 = tq For t > 1, increase all inputs by a factor of t and output increases by a factor of t I.e. increase all inputs by x% and output increases by x%

57 Returns to Scale Decreasing Returns to Scale
q = K.25L.25 What if we increase all inputs by a factor of t? (tK).25(tL).25 = ? t.5(K).25(L).25 = t.5q, which is < tq For t > 1, increase all inputs by a factor of t and output increases by a factor < t I.e. increase all inputs by x% and output increases by less than x%

58 Returns to Scale Increasing Returns to Scale
q = K1L1 What if we increase all inputs by a factor of t? (tK)1(tL)1 = ? tq < t2(K)1(L)1 = t2q, which is > tq For t>1, increase all inputs by a factor of t and output increases by a factor > t I.e. increase all inputs by x% and output increases by more than x%

59 Returns to Scale Using the usual homogeneity notation, alternatively, it is notated, for t > 0. That is, production is homogeneous of degree k.

60 Returns to Scale, Example
Solve for k q = K.4L.4 tkq = (tK).4(tL).4 = t.8(K).4(L).4 k ln(t) + ln(Q) = .8ln(t)+.4ln(K)+.4ln(L) k ln(t) = .8ln(t)+.4ln(K)+.4ln(L) - ln(Q) k ln(t) = .8ln(t)+.4ln(K)+.4ln(L)-.4ln(K)-.4ln(L) k ln(t) = .8ln(t) k ln(t) = .8ln(t)/ln(t) k = .8, production is Homogeneous of degree .8 k < 1 so DRS

61 Returns to Scale by Elasticity
What is the % change in output for a t% increase in all inputs? Generally evaluated at t = 1 CRS: q,t =1 DRS: q,t < 1 IRS: q,t > 1

62 Returns to Scale by Elasticity
What is the % change in output for a t% increase in all inputs? Evaluated at t = 1. In this example, RTS varies by K and L.

63 Constant Returns to Scale is Special
Empirically, firms operate at a CRS scale. If a function is HD1, then the first partials will be HD0. If Then

64 Constant Returns to Scale is Special
Obviously, if CRS, we can scale by any t > 0 But let’s pick a specific scale factor, 1/L: If Then Which tells us that if production is CRS, then it is also homothetic. Isoquants are radial expansions with the RTS the same along all linear expansion paths.

65 Constant Returns to Scale
The marginal productivity of any input depends on the ratio of capital and labor not on the absolute levels of these inputs Therefore the TRS between K and L depends only on the ratio of K to L, not the scale of operation That is, increasing all inputs by x% does not affect the TRS The production function will be homothetic (TRS constant along ray from origin) Geometrically, this means all of the isoquants are radial expansions of one another

66 Constant Returns to Scale
Along a ray from the origin (constant K/L), the TRS will be the same on all isoquants K The isoquants are equally spaced as output expands q = 3 q = 2 q = 1 L

67 Economies of Scale (not Returns to Scale)
In the real world, firms rarely scale up or down all inputs (e.g. management does not typically scale up with production). Economies of scale: %ΔLRAC/%ΔQ Economies of scale if < 0 Diseconomies of scale if > 0

68 Elasticity of Substitution
The elasticity of substitution () measures the proportionate change in K/L relative to the proportionate change in the TRS along an isoquant And as was demonstrated earlier, elasticity is the effect of a change in one log on another. The value of  will always be positive because K/L and TRS move in the same direction

69 Elasticity of Substitution
Both RTS and K/L will change as we move from point A to point B A B  is the ratio of these proportional changes K  measures the curvature of the isoquant TRSA TRSB (K/L)A q = q0 (K/L)B L

70 Elasticity of Substitution
If  is low, the K/L will not change much relative to TRS the isoquant will be relatively flat If  is high, the K/L will change by a substantial amount as TRS changes the isoquant will be sharply curved More interesting when you remember that to minimize cost, TRS = pL/pK so TRS changes with input prices.

71 Elasticity of Substitution
K q=g(K,L) It is possible for  to change along an isoquant or as the scale of production changes g >  f q=f(K,L) L

72 Elasticity of Substitution
Solving for σ can be tricky, but, we can employ this calculus trick (especially useful for homothetic production functions): This allows us to turn this problem Into the (sometimes) easier

73 Elasticity of Substitution CRS is Special Again
For CRS production functions only we have this option too Let q = f(K,L)

74 Common Production Functions
Linear (inputs are perfect substitutes) Fixed Proportions (inputs are perfect compliments) Cobb-Douglas CES Generalized Leontief

75 The Linear Production Function (inputs are perfect substitutes)
Suppose that the production function is q = f(K,L) = aK + bL This production function exhibits constant returns to scale f(tK,tL) = atK + btL = t(aK + bL) = tf(K,L) All isoquants are straight lines

76 Linear Production Function

77 The Linear Production Function
Capital and labor are perfect substitutes K TRS is constant as K/L changes q1 q2 q3 slope = -b/a  =  L

78 Fixed Proportions Suppose that the production function is
q = min (aK,bL) a,b > 0 Capital and labor must always be used in a fixed ratio the firm will always operate along a ray where K/L is constant Because K/L is constant,  = 0

79 Fixed Proportions No substitution between labor and capital is possible K/L is fixed at b/a q3/b q3/a q1 q2 q3 K  = 0 L

80 Cobb-Douglas Production Function
Suppose that the production function is q = f(K,L) = AKaLb A, a, b > 0 This production function can exhibit any returns to scale f(tK,tL) = A(tK)a(tL)b = Ata+b KaLb = ta+bf(K,L) if a + b = 1  constant returns to scale if a + b > 1  increasing returns to scale if a + b < 1  decreasing returns to scale

81 Cobb-Douglas Production Function

82 Cobb-Douglas Production Function
The Cobb-Douglas production function is linear in logarithms ln q = ln A + a ln K + b ln L a is the elasticity of output with respect to K b is the elasticity of output with respect to L Statistically, this is how we estimate production functions via regression analysis.

83 CES Production Function
Suppose that the production function is  > 1  increasing returns to scale  = 1  constant returns to scale  < 1  decreasing returns to scale

84 CES Production Function
TRS Note, not a function of scale, γ

85 CES Production Function
σ

86 CES Production Function
For CES At limit as  → 1, σ → ∞, linear production function At limit as  → -, σ → ∞, fixed proportions production function When  = 0, Cobb-Douglas production function

87 A Generalized Leontief Production Function
Suppose that the production function is TRS

88 A Generalized Leontief Production Function
σ

89 Technical Progress Methods of production change over time
Following the development of superior production techniques, the same level of output can be produced with fewer inputs the isoquant shifts inward

90 Technical Progress Suppose that the production function is
q = A(t)f(K(t),L(t)) where A(t) represents all influences that go into determining q other than K and L changes in A over time represent technical progress A is shown as a function of time (t) dA/dt > 0

91 Technical Progress Differentiating the production function
with respect to time we get Which simplifies to

92 Technical Progress Since And so

93 Technical Progress Dividing by q gives us

94 Technical Progress Expand by strategically adding in K/K and L/L

95 Technical Progress For any variable x, [(dx/dt)/x] is the proportional growth rate in x denote this by Gx Then, we can write the equation in terms of growth rates

96 Technical Progress Note the elasticities Yielding
Growth is a function of technical change and growth in the use of inputs.

97 Solow, US Growth 1909-1949 Solow estimated the following Plug these in
Gq = 2.75% GL = 1.00% GK = 1.75% eq,L = .65 eq,K = .35 Plug these in And GA = 1.5% Conclusion, technology grew at a 1.5% rate from % of GDP growth in the period.

98 Appendix Full derivations of TRS and convexity in production.

99 RTS and Marginal Productivities: Implicit Function Rule

100 Substitute

101 And get to…

102 And get to…

103 Convexity, Increasing dK/dL

104 Diminishing TRS TRS diminishing if this < 0
Which is the same thing.

105 Alternatively, the Bordered Hessian
Strictly Quasi-Concave if and which looks a lot like the negative of this:


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