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Redefining success Soy 20/20 January 21 st, 2004
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Overview Where are we at now? How did we get here? What opportunities exist to change this? How can we make the future look different?
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Soy 20/20 vision OMAF U. of Guelph OSGAAFC Soy 20/20 Refine vision Walk towards it
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How did we get here?
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Drivers for Ontario production
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Supply/Demand = Price
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How about value share? Demand has kept pace with supply Has farm value stayed the same?
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Example of value sharing Swine value chain (US)
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Farm soybean profit versus export margin.
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Farm profit versus crushing margin.
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The closer you are to the consumer the higher the profit.
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The best farm value does is maintain share.
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Future projections Price will stay stable to improve –Argentina close to maxed out –Brazil poised for additional growth –U.S. reduced production –China is the one to watch
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Industrial markets for soybeans
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Why are industrial markets exciting? 1.Increased demand for soybeans 2.A new opportunity for value chain management. 3.Greater market diversity leads to greater market stability for producers.
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We need to diversify markets for what we produce. Producers need to diversify the crops they produce
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Food is not the best growth opportunity for agriculture. Industrial sector value in Ontario.
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What are the most promising new market opportunities for Canada?
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Bio-diesel in Canada Tallow Feedstock cost $0.09/lb Yellow grease $0.18/lb Soybean oil$0.38/lb
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Potential bio-diesel demand for Canadian soybeans. NPV = $21,655,050
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Soybean peroxidase Soybean peroxidase Phenolic resins Phenol + Formaldehyde
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Soy wax candles Wax producer 6,000 acres of soybean Candle company Candle company Candle company Candle Company
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Polyurethane Polyols Petroleum Soybean oil
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Solvent in cleaning supplies Limonene Cleaning solutions Soy based ethyl esters
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How can we change the future?
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Moving up the value chain. Soybeans Protein Oil Carbohydrates Soy meal Soy food Salad oil Plastics Ethanol Plastics
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Two ways to move up the chain. Varieties grown for industry Farmers involved in processing -Varieties with altered profiles -Less protein/higher oil/higher yield -Lower price/bu, Higher value/acre
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Farmers need to sell up the value chain; - Sell protein - Sell oil - Sell carbohydrates
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Summary New market opportunities are coming. These will create more value by increasing demand. To gain greater value requires movement up the value chain.
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We need to imagine success beyond alleviating current constraints. We need to imagine beautiful.
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