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Vice President of Regulatory Affairs - CFC

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1 Vice President of Regulatory Affairs - CFC
William K. Edwards Vice President of Regulatory Affairs - CFC Florida Electric Cooperative Association May 20, 2010 I am delighted to be here today to discuss with the impending publication of the NRECA and CFC Rate Guideline publication. Tell Lawyer joke.

2 Background Joint NRECA & CFC study
Updates 1989 report “Rate Issues and Strategies” 20 years since last joint study – a period of stable rates The Rate Guide is a joint CFC and NRECA production. It is designed to update the 1980 Rate Issues and Strategies Report The former publication came at the end of the last generation cycle (mid 70s through 1990) This publican is being issued toward the beginning of the next generation expansion cycle It is our hope that it will be a more useful document as a result

3 Sources Focus group and panels (CFC Forum)
Input from rate consultants and panels (NRECA Rate Summit) Input from NRECA Innovative Energy Strategies Task Force Presentation and Panels at Regional Meetings Panels at CFC Independent Borrowers Meeting NRECA and CFC newsletter articles The Rate Guide is a compilation of information , opinions, and beliefs gathered from these various sources It is therefore a blend of experiences from the cooperative industry, and its consultants

4 About the report Intended as a helpful resource
A starting point for discussions about rates Not an exhaustive review of rate issues Not a “to do” list All suggestions don’t fit all co-ops The Rate Guide is certainly intended to be a resource for cooperatives in order to spur discussion It is expressly not intended to be an exhaustive review of rate issues – Indeed, it certainly is not an exhaustive review of rates Both NRECA and CFC understand and believe that each cooperative is unique and there is not single answer for any two cooperatives

5 Why This Report? New Challenges for Co-ops
Higher demand growth than IOUs Rising construction costs Growing interest in energy efficiency State and Federal Mandates Climate Change Mitigation Proposals These trends may make it harder for co-ops with traditional rates to recover costs & margins. As I mentioned earlier, the industry is embarking on a capacity expansion cycle where rates typically lacks escalating costs We are entering this cycle, in part because of the growth that the industry has experienced; however, other issues also affect this cycle

6 Co-ops Continue to Lead Industry kWh Growth
Index 1974 = 100 Co-ops 4.2% Total Industry 2.4% Growth is a double edged sword Source: DOE/EIA 6

7 Average Growth Rates: Co-ops v. Total Industry
Projected Electricity Use Index 2008 =100 Average Growth Rates: Co-ops v. Total Industry Co-ops 1.75% Total Industry 60% 1.0% 30% Source: Based on EIA AEO 2010 7

8 Co-ops Entering A New Building Cycle
$ Billions A power plant that costs $1billion in 2000 would have Cost $2.17 billion in 2009 – IHS CERA When you consider inflation, materials, and scarcity rents projected (survey results) Loans Approved* *not all loan approvals (shown in green) were subsequently drawn-down Source: G&T Survey

9 Growing Co-op and Consumer Interest in Energy Efficiency
Co-ops Avoid building high cost generation Consumers Reduce bills Take advantage of incentives The need for conservation has occurred before, during the last construction cycle, but was a small piece of the overall solution. This time around, it may be a larger piece of the solution

10 State and Federal Mandates
30 states & D.C. have RPS programs requiring electricity providers to acquire a percentage of generation from renewable resources. 39 states & D.C. have adopted net metering requirements. 19 states & D.C. have adopted Energy Efficiency Portfolio Standards. States are aggressively pushing for renewable resources, which may or may not benefit electric rates States are also broadly supporting net metering All of which suggests an earlier and vigorous support for conservation Yet no state beyond their PSC has considered the effect of conservation on rates – that as sales are reduced, rates will need to increase to collect the same revenue.

11 Carbon Auction Impacts on Co-op Residential Bills
This map shows how a $20 cost per metric ton of carbon dioxide (CO2) could increase the monthly bill of an average electric co-op residential consumer. DE 11% MD 13% Carbon reduction has become the mantra of the environmentalist Never mind that carbon based thermal units like coal and natural gas need to be in the unit portfolio Percent Increase: High 15% and above 1 Metric Ton = 2,204.6 pounds Medium 9% to 14% Source: 2007 EIA data Strategic Analysis Unit May 2009 Low 0% to 8% © NRECA, all rights reserved. May not be copied, reprinted, published, translated, hosted or otherwise distributed by any means without explicit permission.

12 Carbon Auction Impacts on Co-op Residential Bills
This map shows how a $50 cost per metric ton of carbon dioxide (CO2) could increase the monthly bill of an average electric co-op residential consumer. DE 27% MD 31% Cooperative especially have relied on coal as the backbone of their generation portfolio Percent Increase: High 15% and above 1 Metric Ton = 2,204.6 pounds Medium 9% to 14% Source: 2007 EIA data Strategic Analysis Unit May 2009 Low 0% to 8% © NRECA, all rights reserved. May not be copied, reprinted, published, translated, hosted or otherwise distributed by any means without explicit permission.

13 Rates Have Increased 39% Since 2000
cents per kWh Although the recession has slowed this in 2009 somewhat, it has not stopped it. The fundamental fact is that we need new capacity and that capacity is expensive Source: EIA and CFC December 2009

14 Implications of Industry Trends
Higher costs Potential for lower per-capita usage Compatible with current rate structure? These issues will continue to stress rates in coming years For these and other reasons we believed it was time to update the rate book originally published in the early 1990s We started with a series of suggestions…

15 Rate Suggestion 1 Integrate Rates with the Business Plan
Cooperatives should consider including rate objectives as key components of an integrated business plan that addresses the new challenges facing the electric industry. Rate Suggestion #1 – Rates should be integrated with the business plan. Rates will affect the business plan and the business plan will affect rates Failure to integrate rates with your business plan will have long-term and negative implications

16 Why Integrate Rates? Rates need to be compatible with technology, power supply, communications non-rate programs, member services and financial goals Synergies are created when all co-op functions work together Industry challenges require more extensive advance planning Example: If a co-op is planning to implement time of use rates its technology plan needs to budget for TOU meters

17 Rate Suggestion 2 Adopt a Rate Policy Statement
Cooperative boards, working with management, should consider adopting a rate policy statement that provides specific objectives for rates that support the cooperative’s strategic goals. Rate Suggestion #2 – Adopt a Rate Policy Statement

18 Rates and rate policy provide important support of a cooperative’s strategic goals.

19 Elements of a Rate Policy Statement
Establish targets to meet the cooperative’s strategic financial goals Set objectives for rate design Examine the fairness of rates between classes of customers within customer classes Identify issues other than cost of service that should be considered. Provide other necessary direction to staff

20 Examples of Rate Policy Objectives
The Co-op will implement rates based on an embedded cost of service study. Costs should be allocated to the rate classes causing costs to be incurred. All members must provide a margin to the system. Rates should support energy efficiency. Collect fixed costs via fixed charges, variable costs via variable charges.

21 Rate Suggestion 3 Support Financial and Other Strategic Objectives through Effective and Complementary Rate Design Retail rates should be designed to: Consistently produce sufficient revenue to recover the cost of providing service to consumers, including its margin targets. Give price signals to consumers that are aligned with the strategic objectives of the business plan. Minimize abrupt changes in rates through use of automatic adjustments clauses. Assure compliance with legal and tax requirements Rate Suggestion #3 – Avoid rate structures that are inconsistent with you business plan It is very common to see declining block rates with a

22 Rate Design Communicates Price Signals
Sample size = 372 Distribution Co-ops

23 61% of co-ops now have a wholesale power adjustment clause
What about the other 39% How many of these are fixed form month to month How many are not used Sample size = 372 Distribution Co-ops

24 Antidiscrimination Considerations
“Discrimination in rates is not permitted as between customers similarly situated; however, because a difference in charges may be justified under some circumstances, not every difference is an unlawful discrimination.” -- 29 C.J.S. Electricity § 67 (2009) This is a COS issue or marginal cost issue But you can be sued, brought before a state or worse yet a federal commission There are also Tax implications

25 Federal Tax Law Considerations
To maintain exempt status, a cooperative must operate on a cooperative basis, which requires, among other things, equitably allocating costs and revenues. Excessive cross-subsidization between member rate classes may violate cooperative tax law principles. The more a cooperative deviates from strict cost-based accounting by rate class, the greater risk it runs of not operating at cost.

26 Rate Suggestion 4 Consider Decoupling Revenues from Sales
Cooperatives should consider moving, to the extent practicable, toward recovering costs in the way they are incurred. Fixed costs and margins should be recovered through fixed charges, and variable costs should be recovered through variable charges. To the extent that this cannot be fully achieved, due to competitive pressures, cooperatives should consider adopting an adjustment mechanism clause that permits recovery of appropriate margins, regardless of kWh sales. This is an issue that make a lot of sense

27 Aligning Costs & Charges
Components Charges • Consumer Acct/Sales Fixed Monthly Charge per Customer Customer • Portions of A&G, Dist O&M, Depreciation • Wholesale Power Bill Demand Components Demand Metered Demand • Transmission O&M • Portions of A&G, Dist O&M, Depreciation Energy • Wholesale Power Bill Energy Charges Variable per kWh Charge

28 U.S. Median Distribution Co-op
% of Revenue Wholesale Power Bill Energy 65% Demand What should the residential customer charge be and why? $60-$90 Dollars Because COS and the strong correlation between sales and Revenues Other Costs 35% Customer

29 Cooperative and Investor-Owned Utility (IOU) Customer Charges
Graph based on sample of 371 distribution co-ops and 163 IOUs

30 ABC Electric Cooperative
Revenue Trackers ABC Electric Cooperative Ceiling 2.5 Floor 1.75

31 Rate Suggestion 5 Align Wholesale and Retail Rates with Wholesale Cost Drivers
G&Ts should consider designing rates that reflect wholesale cost drivers. G&T and distribution systems should consider coordinating rate policies in order to align both wholesale and retail rates to send the appropriate price signals to consumers. Rates need to express costs and cost causation

32 Wholesale – Retail Coordination Win / Win
Power Supply costs 65% of electric bill. Wholesale power costs depend on load characteristics of distribution co-ops. Wholesale rates should reflect wholesale cost drivers Distribution systems’ rates should send the correct price signals to consumers.

33 Benefits of Coordinating Rates
Delay the need for new generating capacity Delay the need for new T & D capacity Reduce exposure to high fuel prices and high wholesale market price for electricity Reduce coincident peak demand Develop energy efficiency and demand response capacity resources Better utilize technological capabilities Help consumers to manage their bills

34 Rate Suggestion 6 Develop a Rate Implementation Plan
Rate implementation plans assist a cooperative to achieve member, community, and regulatory acceptance of rate changes and continued satisfaction with the cooperative. A key aspect of such a plan is internal coordination of rate objectives and activities across a co-op’s functional lines.

35 Implementation Plan Promotes Member Satisfaction
Assure adequate technological capabilities to support tariffs. Introduce rate adjustments at a time that will have the least impact on consumers. Explain co-op’s rate strategy to key audiences. Empower consumers to manage energy use and bills.

36 A Plan Should Address Schedule for ratemaking process
Assigned roles and responsibilities for successfully implementing the rate change Approach to educating key audiences Technology, software staff, staff training and other resources needed to implement the change smoothly Often more frequent and smaller increases are better than less frequent and larger Education as to why rates are changing is critical It is better to talk about it ad nauseum as opposed to ignoring it

37 A Plan Should Address Cont.
Timing of rate adjustments Ways to help members manage their energy usage Timely review of rate schedules to ensure intended result Adequate budget support

38 Coordination Enhances
Financial performance Member relations Communications Business development System engineering and operations Long-term technology acquisition Other cooperative functions

39 Rate Suggestion 7 Review Rates At Least Annually
An annual review of rate strategies and policy is recommended – more frequently if a significant change occurs.

40 Reasons for Annual Review
Avoid delaying rate increases Determine if rates are contributing to co-op goals Evaluate consumer response to rates Modify rate design if needed

41 Questions?


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