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Road to Development
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U.S. Health Worse Than Nearly All Other Industrialized Countries
Bin Laden blames Industrialized countries for climate change These are headlines from past news stories. What is meant by the word industrialized?
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What does it mean for a country to be called industrialized?
What does it mean to a developed country? Can all countries become developed countries? Do you think all countries will have a large number of factories?
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What does it mean for a country to be called industrialized?
It is more than the country has factories – Industrialized implies MDC. What does it mean to a developed country? Almost a synonym for Industrialized – MDC – good HDI, tertiary sector of economy Can all countries become developed countries? Can all kids go to college? Technically, yes. Should all kids go to college? Are all students above average? Will all countries become MDCs? Will all countries have a good quality of life for their people? These are really 2 different sets of questions – can you tell the difference? Do you think all countries will have a large number of factories? In other words, do you have to have manufacturing to be developed?
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Schools of Thought Look up what is meant by “Schools of Thought”
There are 2 schools of thought about economic development Liberal Models All countries can become developed A liberal model is Rostow’s Model Structuralist Models There is a structure in place which prevents LDCs from achieving development A structuralist model is Dependency Theory
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Models of Development Liberal Modernization Models by definition
All countries are capable of development Economic disparities are a result of short term inefficiencies in local or regional market forces Focus on International trade
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Rostow’s Modernization Model of Development
Developed by W.W. Rostow (1950s) develop economically by concentrating scarce resources on expansion of its distinctive local resources – to trade internationally aka Ladder of Development
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Rostow’s Modernization Model of Development
Developed by W.W. Rostow (1950s) 1950s Rostow analyzed success of Industrialized nations – US, Can, UK, FR, etc. They developed a certain way – he used this to pattern his Ladder of Development develop economically by concentrating scarce resources on expansion of its distinctive local resources – to trade internationally In other words, capitalize on available resources to trade internationally aka Ladder of Development Only one path to development – follow the ladder in order only
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Rostow - Stages of Growth
Traditional Society Characterised by subsistence economy high levels of agriculture and labor intensive agriculture Wealth allocated to nonproductive activities (religious, military) Village in Lesotho. 86% of the resident workforce in Lesotho is engaged in subsistence agriculture. Copyright: Tracy Wade,
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Rostow - Stages of Growth
Traditional Society Characterised by subsistence economy – the crops grown for the year are consumed by years’ end, for example – a mom with a subsistence job her bills for a month take her whole month’s pay check high levels of agriculture and labor intensive agriculture Wealth allocated to nonproductive activities (religious- like building temples & monuments, military – like N. Korea’s building nuclear bombs while the people are starving)
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Rostow - Stages of Growth
2. Pre-conditions: An elite group initiates development Investments in technology and infrastructure Commercialization of agriculture The use of some capital equipment can help increase productivity and generate small surpluses which can be traded. Copyright: Tim & Annette,
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Rostow - Stages of Growth
2. Pre-conditions: An elite group initiates development - Investments in technology and infrastructure Commercialization of agriculture – growing cash crops like cotton or wheat, which can be stored, transported, and profited from
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Rostow - Stages of Growth
3. Take off: Increasing industrialization in limited areas (food or textiles) Foreign investment increases Infrastructure improvements Some regional growth Economy still dominated by traditional practices At this stage, industrial growth may be linked to primary industries. The level of technology required will be low. Copyright: Ramon Venne,
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Rostow - Stages of Growth
3. Take off: Increasing industrialization in limited areas (food or textiles) – either processing the cash crop from Stage 2 Take off or For example, Mozambique grew cashews then developed cashew processing (value added!) Or hosting a textile plant Good beginning factory because relies on unskilled labor Foreign investment increases Foreign companies would be the ones to open the textile factory Infrastructure improvements Construct roads, electricity, running water in the area of the factory Some regional growth Around the area of the factory Economy still dominated by traditional practices For example, 20 miles out there are dirt roads, no electricity, and subsistence agriculture
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Rostow - Stages of Growth
4. Drive to Maturity: Develops broad manufacturing and commercial base Industry more diversified Increase in levels of technology utilized As the economy matures, technology plays an increasing role in developing high value added products. Copyright: Joao de Freitas,
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Rostow - Stages of Growth
4. Drive to Maturity: Develops broad manufacturing and commercial base Begin manufacturing a variety of goods Industry more diversified ditto Increase in levels of technology utilized
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Rostow - Stages of Growth
5. High mass consumption High output levels Mass consumption of consumer durables High proportion of employment in service sector Service industry dominates the economy – banking, insurance, finance, marketing, entertainment, leisure and so on. Copyright: Elliott Tompkins,
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Rostow - Stages of Growth
5. High mass consumption High output levels Mass consumption of consumer durables Consumer durables are big, last for several years products like refrigerators, dishwashers, cars High proportion of employment in service sector
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USA Path to Development
Stage 5: early 20th century 1920s or 40s? More shop keepers, restaurants, etc. Stage 4: late 19th century 1880s Variety of manufacturing such as textiles, steel, food production Stage 3: middle of 19th century 1850s the north has some manufacturing but there is regional growth only Stage 2: first half of 19th century 1800s commercialization of agriculture, like cotton, tobacco Stage 1: prior to independence Subsistence agriculture
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Possible 6th stage – Postindustrial
Service replaces industry Information replaces energy as key resource
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Rostow con’t Origin of common use “industrialized” country
All countries follow the same model of development However, for countries that have developed in modern times – only China has followed THE model of development
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Criticisms Western bias that urban and industrial = a better life.
Development does not necessarily lead to high consumption, can mean social welfare Scandinavian countries have high taxes which are used to invest in health care and education = high quality of life Assumes LDCs will achieve each level of development before advancing Uneven resource distribution (Zambia’s one commodity market of copper developed trouble when world copper price fell)
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Criticisms Does not account for
Colonialism as in countries which became independent after 1950s Culture – not all cultures value western style life & business Deindustrialization MDCs are using LDCs for manufacturing Increased dependence on MDCs – when concentrating resources in a “takeoff” industry, then buy necessities from MDCs
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Balanced Growth through Self-Sufficiency
Think 1960s-ish – Colonies have just become independent and don’t want to be entangled with foreign countries so discourage trade. A country should spread investment as equally as possible across all sectors of its economy and in all regions – as opposed to Rostow which has regional growth Incomes in rural areas keep pace with urban incomes Businesses remain independent of foreign corporations Limit imports through tariffs and quotas
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India followed this policy
Made imports difficult Discouraged Indian businesses from exporting Could not convert Indian money into other currencies Encouraged production of consumer goods for Indian citizens Provided subsidies for struggling companies
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Problems Inefficiency: without true competition, companies have little incentive to improve techniques, technology, products, etc Large Bureaucracy: needed to administer the controls – complex and corrupt
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International Trade Approach
Some countries have switched from self-sufficiency approach to international trade according to the World Bank – international trade countries have seen 4% growth, self-sufficiency countries 1% LDCs are exporting more manufactured goods rather than agriculture or mining goods
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International Trade Approach
Dollarization: abandoning existing currency in favor of an industrialized countries (In 2001, El Salvador abandoned the colon and now uses American dollars)
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International Trade Approach
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) – investment made by a foreign company in the economy of another country – so BMW opening a factory in S. Carolina is FDI Only 1/3 of investments went from a MDC to a LDC (only 10% went to African nations) Transnational Corporations are major sources of FDI PBS learning media – Ethiopia Going Global
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Models of Development Structuralist Models Dependency Theory
Regional disparities are a structural feature of the global economy unlike Rostow who said disparities are short term Neo-Colonialism – MDCs controlling LDCs economically Gabon – interior forest (plywood producing region) connected by rail with capital; 2nd largest city and capital are not connected by road or rail (deBlij 247) Old method of industrializing is no longer possible because other factors have changed
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Dependency Theory Dependency helps sustain the prosperity of the dominant regions and the poverty of the lesser regions
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The inner circle is 1990 data, the outer 2003.
How did China’s economic sectors change from 1990 to 2003? How did India’s economic sectors change from 1990 to 2003? Which country followed Rostow’s Modernization Model?
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Tertiary India Inda is known for call centers – (look up call center if you need to) – Why was India a good place for call centers? India has priced itself out of call centers – call centers are now moving to less expensive countries. India has moved to higher skill tertiary jobs, such as Preparing American tax returns – sometimes if you take your taxes to an American accountant, the tax filing is completed by a qualified, Indian accountant in India. This a good thing because the work is done cheaper and the American accountant has time to work with customers on more difficult accounting situations. Reading x-rays and images – MRI facilities can let qualified Indian doctors in India read the image and alert your personal doctor of issues. Medical tourism – When the doctor tells a patient that a kidney transplant will be necessary, the next stop is with the financial advisor. The financial advisor works with the insurance company, looks at your income, etc. and determines the patient’s part of the transplant costs. If the surgery is considered “optional” then the surgery is not scheduled until payment is made. The average cost of a kidney transplant in 2011 was $262,000. But the patient can fly to India, stay in a world-class hospital and save 70-90% Check it out!
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World-Systems Theory Review… Immanuel Wallerstein
A development theory that includes geography, scale, place and culture in addition to economics Divide world into Core Semi-periphery Periphery
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Three Tier Structure Core Periphery Semi-periphery
Processes that incorporate higher levels of education, higher salaries, and more technology * Generate more wealth in the world economy Periphery Processes that incorporate lower levels of education, lower salaries, and less technology * Generate less wealth in the world economy Semi-periphery Places where core and periphery processes are both occurring. Places that are exploited by the core but then exploit the periphery. * Serves as a buffer between core and periphery
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Core Periphery Model Core Regions
High levels of socioeconomic prosperity Dominant players in global economic game Anglo America HDI .94 Japan and the South Pacific HDI .93 Western Europe HDI .92
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Core Periphery Model Periphery Poor regions Dependent on the core
Do not have much control over their own affairs Southeast Asia HDI .71 Middle East HDI .66 South Asia HDI .58 Sub Saharan Africa HDI .47
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Core Periphery Model Semi Periphery Latin America HDI .78
Regions that exert more power than periphery regions but are Dominated to some degree by the core Latin America HDI .78 East Asia HDI .72 Eastern Europe HDI .80
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Core/periphery Can be applied at the local scale
LA is the core of S. California region Alaska is in the periphery of the US Johannesburg is core of South Africa Can refer to the different level of processes in the same country Most of the US operates with core processes, however the rural mountain regions of WVa operate with periphery processes
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Development Indicators
Economic: GNP, PPP (Purchasing Power Parity), per capita energy consumption Noneconomic: HDI, gender equity, calorie intake
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Four Dragons Aka Four Tigers or Gang of Four
S. Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, & Hong Kong Lacked natural resources Strongly influenced by Japan’s success Concentrated on handful of manufactured goods Low labor costs; Sell to MDCs Focusing on research & hi-tech industries
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Four Dragons Aka Four Tigers or Gang of Four anything 4, Asian, & economic S. Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, & Hong Kong know these places Lacked natural resources – so couldn’t do Rostow Strongly influenced by Japan’s success Concentrated on handful of manufactured goods Low labor costs; Sell to MDCs – Got into manufacturing cheap, easy to sell to MDCs stuff. Over time, have improved quality. For ex. Japanese cars used to be cheap cars but over time became top of the line. Kia (a Korean company) use to advertise how inexpensive. Now becoming nicer Focusing on research & hi-tech industries – reinvested profits in research
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BRIC Brazil, Russia, India, and China
aka “the big four” – these should be the next big economies. All are big & populated At a similar stage of advanced economic development There has been a shift away from the G7 economies (Fr, Ger, It, UK, US, Jap, Can) BRICs have begun meeting to coordinate global economies – similar to EU Some include South Africa for BRICS
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GDP
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10 Largest Economies (measured in USD)
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More fun … Mex, Indonesia, S. Korea, Turkey MIKT
Bangladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Turkey, S. Korea, Vietnam MIKT N – 11 – id by Goldman Sachs as high potential of becoming world’s largest economies – in addition to BRICs These are the next set of countries to watch – carefully examine the N-11 List. Usually countries wouldn’t be on a list with Bangladesh but this time it is because they are in the right place to develop a booming economy.
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Millennium Development Goals
Adopted by world leaders during a United Nations summit in the year 2000 and set to be achieved by 2015, the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) provide concrete, numerical benchmarks for tackling extreme poverty in its many dimensions. The MDGs also provide a framework for the entire international community to work together towards a common end – making sure that human development reaches everyone, everywhere. If these goals are achieved, world poverty will be cut by half, tens of millions of lives will be saved, and billions more people will have the opportunity to benefit from the global economy.
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Millennium Development Goals
The eight MDGs break down into 21 quantifiable targets that are measured by 60 indicators. Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women Goal 4: Reduce child mortality Goal 5: Improve maternal health Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability Goal 8: Develop a Global Partnership for Development
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Ghana & MDG In 2005, predicting will not accomplish goals for period.
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Ghana & MDG Goal Measure ½ Poverty & Hunger Target 2015 – 14%
Underweight children 1992 – 27%; 2003 – 23% Projected 2015 – 21 % Universal Education Target 2015 – 100% Primary School Enrollment %; 2003 – 69% Projected 2015 – 83% Improve Maternal Health Target 2015 – 54/100,000 live births Reduce Maternal Mortality Levels 1993 – 280; 2003 – 230 Projected 2015 – will not be met
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Africa Rising: Jeffrey Sachs says Ghana's future looks bright
Ghana & MDG Africa Rising: Jeffrey Sachs says Ghana's future looks bright Because of good governance in the past, and now oil production, Ghana is likely to reach all of the Millennium Development Goals toward ending extreme poverty and child mortality. By Clair MacDougall, Correspondent / January 11, 2012 News reports now say Ghana will reach MDG by 2015.
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Core Periphery Model
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