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220-2681 Summary of Survey Results Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates Opinion Research & Public Policy Analysis Santa Monica, CA – Oakland, CA – Madison,

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Presentation on theme: "220-2681 Summary of Survey Results Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates Opinion Research & Public Policy Analysis Santa Monica, CA – Oakland, CA – Madison,"— Presentation transcript:

1 220-2681 Summary of Survey Results Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates Opinion Research & Public Policy Analysis Santa Monica, CA – Oakland, CA – Madison, WI – Mexico City Presented by: John Fairbank, Partner

2 2 Methodology   Survey conducted October 1-7, 2009   Interviews conducted by telephone with 1,000 registered California voters likely to cast a ballot in the November 2010 Statewide General Election   Margin of error for the full sample is +/- 3.1%   Results from previous Statewide Education Bond Measure Surveys are shown for comparison

3 3 2. Would you say that things in are generally headed in the right direction or do you feel that things are pretty seriously off on the wrong track? Source: FMM&A Statewide Surveys 2002-Present Right Direction/Wrong Track of California Over Time

4 4 California Public Schools Job Performance 3. Overall, how would you rate the job California’s public schools are doing? Would you say they are doing an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job?

5 5 Funding for education at all levels remains high. 4. Generally speaking, would you say that _____ has a great need for additional funding, some need, a little need or no real need for additional funding. California’s kindergarten through 12th grade public schools California’s community colleges The California State University system The University of California system

6 6 The economy and state budget are the most urgent problems, but schools and education are also top concerns to voters. 7. Please tell me whether you think it is an extremely serious problem, a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, or not too serious a problem. Split Sample The economy The state budget deficit Quality of public education in our local schools The effect of state budget cuts on local public schools

7 7 Although a majority continues to favor a statewide school bond, opposition has increased. Q5. In general would you favor or oppose a statewide bond measure to build, fix and repair public K through 12 schools, community colleges, and universities?

8 8 California Statewide Education Bond Measure Ballot Label Statement THE KINDERGARTEN THROUGH TWELFTH GRADE, PUBLIC SCHOOL, COMMUNITY COLLEGE AND UNIVERSITY PUBLIC EDUCATION CLASSROOM AND SCHOOL FACILITIES BOND ACT: To provide needed funding to repair and upgrade classroom facilities and related teaching equipment as well as the acquisition, construction, and reconstruction for public K through 12 schools, public charter schools, community colleges, California State University and the University of California. Make essential health and safety repairs, improve earthquake safety and retrofitting, increase vocational educational opportunities in public schools and job training in community colleges, and the use of energy efficient technology to reduce energy costs. Funds will be targeted to areas of the greatest need and must be spent according to strict accountability measures, including annual independent financial and performance audits, and no money may be used for administrators’ salaries. These bonds may be used only for eligible projects. Should the state sell $7 billion in general obligation bonds? Fiscal Impact: State costs of about $12 billion to pay off both the principal ($7 billion) and interest ($5 billion) costs on the bonds. Payments of about $500 million per year.

9 9 Initial support for a statewide school bond has softened, likely a result of voters’ economic concerns. 6. If the election were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it or no to oppose this bond measure? TOTAL YES 49% TOTAL NO 46% TOTAL YES 54% TOTAL NO 37% October 2009 $7 Billion Bond Measure December 2005 $9 Billion Bond Measure

10 10 B. I am going to read you some of the provisions included in this statewide school bond measure. Please tell me whether you favor or oppose that specific of this bond measure provision. Voters strongly favor several specific aspects of the bond measure. Requiring funds to be targeted to areas of the greatest need Using energy efficient technology to reduce energy costs Increasing vocational educational opportunities in public schools and job training in community colleges Requiring no money to be used for administrators’ salaries Making essential health and safety repairs and improving earthquake safety and retrofitting

11 11 B. I am going to read you some of the provisions included in this statewide school bond measure. Please tell me whether you favor or oppose that specific of this bond measure provision. However, the bond’s fiscal impact statement does affect voter thinking. Requiring payments of about $500 million per year Selling $7 billion in general obligation bonds Costing about twelve billion dollars to pay off both the principal ($7 billion) and interest ($5 billion) costs on the bonds

12 12 Despite the economy and state budget crisis, voters agree that funding repairs to schools remain a top priority. 8. I am going to read you a list of statements. I’d like you to tell me whether you generally agree or disagree. *Split Sample *Building new K through twelve schools and making repairs to old ones is a top priority that must be funded even during a recession *Building new K through twelve schools and making repairs to old ones is a top priority that must be funded despite the state’s fiscal problems *Voters in my area recently passed a local school bond measure *California voters recently passed a statewide school bond measure *Voter approved statewide school bond measures are one of the leading reasons why California has a serious budget crisis

13 13 Most Important Uses of Funds Raised by a Statewide School Bond Measure 11. Please tell me how important it is to you personally that money from this bond measure be issued to pay for each of the following in public schools grades K through twelve, community colleges, and state universities – is it extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too important? Split Sample Requiring strict accountability measures Making essential health and safety repairs, including removing toxic mold, ensuring drinking water is clean and fixing unsafe roofs Repairing drainage systems, leaking roofs, and decaying walls Increasing the number of career and vocational classrooms, and upgrading, labs and equipment to provide students with more opportunities to learn job skills Upgrading electrical systems and wiring for computer technology in public school Repairing aging and deteriorating classrooms and school buildings

14 14 Messages incorporating economic themes resonate strongest with voters. 13. Please tell me if it makes you more inclined to vote for this bond measure. *Split Sample 72% 68% 68% (Ranked by Much More Inclined to Vote For Bond Measure) In today's economy, students who don’t go to college need a vocational education that provides the job training, technical knowledge and specialized skills to compete for good-paying jobs. This bond measure will upgrade vocational education programs that give students opportunities to train and learn the skills they need to get a job. *A school bond is a good financial investment because good schools help to strengthen property values. In addition, if we don’t do something now, the problems will only get worse and cost us even more to fix later. *California’s economy is struggling, and the state’s unemployment rate is among the highest in the nation. By funding construction projects across the state, this school bond measure will create good paying jobs, create new opportunities for local small businesses and help California rebuild its aging and deteriorating infrastructure.

15 15 Voter support for the bond measure increases significantly after the messaging. 6/14. If the election were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it or no to oppose this bond measure? TOTAL YES 57% TOTAL NO 46% Initial Vote After Supportive Message TOTAL YES 49% TOTAL NO 38%

16 16 Statements in Opposition to a $7 Billion Statewide Education Bond Measure 15. After hearing each statement, please tell me if it makes you more inclined to vote against this bond measure. *Split Sample 53% 49% 49% (Ranked by Much More Inclined to Vote Against Bond Measure) *Bonds are just another way of spending money we don’t have. We should pay as we go and not spend billions in interest on bonds. *There is plenty of money already available for public schools. It is just misspent or wasted by bureaucrats and school administrators. This is a tax increase in disguise. Taxpayers will pay nearly $5 billion in interest on this bond, in addition to the $7 billion in principal for a total of nearly $12 billion in costs to taxpayers. The state budget deficit is out of control and it is because we keep passing multi-billion dollar bond measures like this one. If California is ever to get its fiscal house in order, voters must stop passing measures like this. 45%

17 17 Vote Progression on a $7 Billion Statewide Education Bond Measure 6/14/16. If the election were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it or no to oppose this bond measure?

18 18 2425 Colorado Ave., Suite 180 Santa Monica, CA 90404 Phone (310) 828-1183 Fax (310) 453-6562 john@fmma.com For more information, contact: Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates Opinion Research & Public Policy Analysis Santa Monica, CA – Oakland, CA – Madison, WI – Mexico City JOHN FAIRBANK


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