1. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Lucy McTernan Deputy Chief Executive SCVO

2. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Budgetary Scenario 2010-15 – threat or opportunity…..

3. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations 45,000 voluntary organisations 23,000 registered charities £4.1 billion turnover in 2007/8 64% have less than £25,000 turnover 62% of resources go to the biggest 5% of the sector 130,000 paid staff, equivalent to 5% of Scottish workforce 1.3 million volunteers State of the sector…

4. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Sources and type of income, 2006 Source: SCVO 2007

5. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations The University of Nottingham Public and Charity Perspectives: OSCR’s 2009 Surveys 0 = no trust and 10 = trust them completely

6. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Quality “The Care Commission has provided figures to the Scottish Parliament's Local Government and Communities Committee meeting in June, showing that 89-92% of voluntary sector care at home services receive only high gradings (4s, 5s and 6s) whereas this is achieved by only 65-72% of services operated by local authorities and the private sector. Taking into account the likely unit costs of such services, this appears to indicate that voluntary sector care at home services may be the optimum Best Value option.”

7. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Challenges ahead… Public spending cuts Donations Legacies Grant-making trusts Europe Lottery

8. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations SCVO Annual Members’ survey In coping with the recession, 65% of respondents either said they had done ok but not great (47.2%) or that it had been difficult (17.7%). 51.8% of respondents felt either unsure or concerned about their job prospects, compared with 12 months ago. 67.7% were unsure or concerned about the prospects for future funding of their organisation. And almost half (48%) felt either unsure or concerned about the overall future of their organisation.

9. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Opportunities ahead… Public spending cuts! Improvement agenda Policy thinking (eg JRF, Lottery) Recognition of quality & trust Innovation, replication and upscale

10. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Some areas of opportunity Alternatives to custody Health and ageing Early years Curriculum for Excellence Environment Transport

11. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations The scale of the challenge - care of older people   By 2031, numbers of those aged 85+ will go up by 144%   By 2020, notionally, 40% of school-leavers needed in the care sector to cope with demand   By 2031, a new 50-bed care home needed every two years to meet demand (all data: ISD, SGHWD)

12. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations The scale of the challenge: mental health - depression   By 2020, depression the second greatest disease burden western world (WHO)   Scotland 2003, GP consultations for depression = 719,000; prescription costs 2004/05 £58m (all data: ISD)

13. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations The scale of the challenge: long-term conditions   In Scotland, 1million people with long term conditions (LTCs), disability   LTCs account for 80% GP consultations   LTCs account for over 60% of hospital bed days   Costs – enormous, hard to estimate, but:   COPD £98.5m (2004/05)   Epilepsy £38m (all data: Audit Scotland)

14. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Partnership with Scottish Government SCVO-SG strategic partnership SG cross-directorate group Wider engagement Co-production What’s the best way to work together?

15. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Moving forward Need to move from concept to practice Co-production Where does the investment come from? Demonstration and incubation Investment and bending spend Concordat and community planning – a help or an inhibitor?

16. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Role of Scottish Parliament Scrutinise and question! Encourage wider engagement Promote co-production Oversee localism

17. Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations www.scvo.org.uk/thegathering