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Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT)
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Definition of levels of evidence and grading of recommendation Level Type of evidence available from Grade I a Meta-analysis of RCTs A I b At least one RCT I I a At least one well-designed controlled study without randomization B I I b At least one other type of well-designed quasi- experimental study III Well-designed non-experimental descriptive studies IV Expert committee reports or opinions and/or clinical experience of respected authorities C
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EXPERIMENTAL Exposure manipulated by Investigator Descriptive Analytic Exposure NOT manipulated by Investigator OBSERVATIONAL Cohort Case-control Case-series Cross-sectional Ecological Clinical trials Study Designs
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The results of any epidemiological study may reflect the true effect of an exposure on the development of disease It is also possible that the findings may have an alternative explanation ! Three possibilities ?? Association
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Chance Bias Confounding Three possibilities
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Selection bias Information bias Confounding bias Bias in epidemiological studies systematic Bias is systematic error (or non-random error) that introduces distortion in estimates/results of study
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Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT) The methodologic standard of excellence for scientific experiments The methodologic standard of excellence for scientific experiments ‘RCT has probably contributed more than any single scientific discovery to the improvement in medical care’ ( Lancet, 1987) ‘RCT has probably contributed more than any single scientific discovery to the improvement in medical care’ ( Lancet, 1987) The methodologic standard of excellence for scientific experiments The methodologic standard of excellence for scientific experiments ‘RCT has probably contributed more than any single scientific discovery to the improvement in medical care’ ( Lancet, 1987) ‘RCT has probably contributed more than any single scientific discovery to the improvement in medical care’ ( Lancet, 1987)
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One of the main scientific advances in methods of clinical research in the 20 th century RCT is considered as the Gold standard for demonstrating therapeutic efficacy for a pharmaceutical agent Efficacy is not transferable from one goal to another ( e.g. Lowering of blood glucose and prevention of vascular complications) Randomized Controlled Trials
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RCTRCT A clinical trial is a planned experiment designed to assess the efficacy of a treatment in humans by comparing the outcomes in a group of patients treated with a test treatment with those observed in a comparable group of patients receiving a control treatment where patients in both groups are enrolled, treated and followed over the same period. Curtis L Meinert: Clinical Trials, Oxford Univ Press, 1986 A clinical trial is a planned experiment designed to assess the efficacy of a treatment in humans by comparing the outcomes in a group of patients treated with a test treatment with those observed in a comparable group of patients receiving a control treatment where patients in both groups are enrolled, treated and followed over the same period. Curtis L Meinert: Clinical Trials, Oxford Univ Press, 1986
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“ A scientific research activity undertaken to define prospectively the effect and value of prophylactic / diagnostic / therapeutic agents, devices, regimens, procedures etc. applied to human subjects. It is essential that the study be prospective and that intervention of some sort occur” It is essential that the study be prospective and that intervention of some sort occur” “ A scientific research activity undertaken to define prospectively the effect and value of prophylactic / diagnostic / therapeutic agents, devices, regimens, procedures etc. applied to human subjects. It is essential that the study be prospective and that intervention of some sort occur” It is essential that the study be prospective and that intervention of some sort occur” NIH (1980) RCTRCT
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RCT Paradigm Population of Interest Child <5 year presenting at hospital with severe malaria Randomize Tx Placebo Outcome Assessment Death within 7 days
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Randomized (controlled) clinical trials are described often as Phase III clinical trials Phase I Clinical Trial is usually carried out in ‘normal’Phase I Clinical Trial is usually carried out in ‘normal’ human volunteers to examine clinical pharmacology of a new drug. This phase is concerned with Safety of the drug in humans, and studieshuman volunteers to examine clinical pharmacology of a new drug. This phase is concerned with Safety of the drug in humans, and studies - Drug metabolism, Bio-availability - Drug metabolism, Bio-availability - Dose ranging and Multiple Doses - Dose ranging and Multiple Doses Phase I Clinical Trial is usually carried out in ‘normal’Phase I Clinical Trial is usually carried out in ‘normal’ human volunteers to examine clinical pharmacology of a new drug. This phase is concerned with Safety of the drug in humans, and studieshuman volunteers to examine clinical pharmacology of a new drug. This phase is concerned with Safety of the drug in humans, and studies - Drug metabolism, Bio-availability - Drug metabolism, Bio-availability - Dose ranging and Multiple Doses - Dose ranging and Multiple Doses
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Phase I Phase I Clinical pharmacology & toxicity Human volunteers Hospital study Phase II Phase II Initial clinical investigation for treatment effects Patients Hospital study Phase III Phase III Full-scale evaluation Patients Hospital study Phase IV Phase IV Post-marketing surveillance Phases of trial
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Phase I Clinical Trials Usually carried out in ‘normal’ Human volunteers to examine clinical pharmacology of a new drug Usually carried out in ‘normal’ Human volunteers to examine clinical pharmacology of a new drug Concerned with Safety of the drug in humans, and studies Drug metabolism, Bio-availability, Dose ranging and Multiple Doses Concerned with Safety of the drug in humans, and studies Drug metabolism, Bio-availability, Dose ranging and Multiple Doses Usually carried out in ‘normal’ Human volunteers to examine clinical pharmacology of a new drug Usually carried out in ‘normal’ Human volunteers to examine clinical pharmacology of a new drug Concerned with Safety of the drug in humans, and studies Drug metabolism, Bio-availability, Dose ranging and Multiple Doses Concerned with Safety of the drug in humans, and studies Drug metabolism, Bio-availability, Dose ranging and Multiple Doses
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Phase II Clinical Trials It evaluates It evaluates Effectiveness of a drug based on Clinical Endpoints Effectiveness of a drug based on Clinical Endpoints Dosing Ranges and Doses for Phase III trial Dosing Ranges and Doses for Phase III trial Common Short-term Side Effects and Risks associated with the drug Common Short-term Side Effects and Risks associated with the drug It evaluates It evaluates Effectiveness of a drug based on Clinical Endpoints Effectiveness of a drug based on Clinical Endpoints Dosing Ranges and Doses for Phase III trial Dosing Ranges and Doses for Phase III trial Common Short-term Side Effects and Risks associated with the drug Common Short-term Side Effects and Risks associated with the drug
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The final stage in testing a new treatment in humans The final stage in testing a new treatment in humans Is primarily concerned with assessment of efficacy and safety studied under controlled conditions Is primarily concerned with assessment of efficacy and safety studied under controlled conditions Phase III Clinical Trials
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Phase IV trials Post-marketing trials assess incidence of adverse reactions and effect on morbidity and mortality in the population Post-marketing trials assess incidence of adverse reactions and effect on morbidity and mortality in the population
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Classification of RCT Based on Classification Type of intervention Therapeutic; Preventive Unit of randomization Individual ;Community Design Parallel; Cross-over; Factorial Sample Size Fixed; Sequential Randomization Fixed; Adaptive (Number, Baseline, Outcome); Blocking Masking Single, Double, Triple,…
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Assures Comparability In observational studies, statistical methods allow investigators to control for confounding factorsIn observational studies, statistical methods allow investigators to control for confounding factors Must be measured Must be measured In observational studies, statistical methods allow investigators to control for confounding factorsIn observational studies, statistical methods allow investigators to control for confounding factors Must be measured Must be measured
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Randomized Trials Require Methodological Rigor Improperly conducted RCTs yield biased resultsImproperly conducted RCTs yield biased results Researchers must devote assiduous attention to design and conduct of RCTsResearchers must devote assiduous attention to design and conduct of RCTs Only properly conducted RCTs will fulfill their promise of minimizing biasOnly properly conducted RCTs will fulfill their promise of minimizing bias Improperly conducted RCTs yield biased resultsImproperly conducted RCTs yield biased results Researchers must devote assiduous attention to design and conduct of RCTsResearchers must devote assiduous attention to design and conduct of RCTs Only properly conducted RCTs will fulfill their promise of minimizing biasOnly properly conducted RCTs will fulfill their promise of minimizing bias
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Advantages of Randomized Trials First and foremost, the only effective method known to control selection biasFirst and foremost, the only effective method known to control selection bias Controls confounding bias without adjustmentControls confounding bias without adjustment Facilitates effective blinding in some trialsFacilitates effective blinding in some trials Theoretically attractive -many statistical methods assume random assignmentTheoretically attractive -many statistical methods assume random assignment Maintains advantages of cohort studiesMaintains advantages of cohort studies First and foremost, the only effective method known to control selection biasFirst and foremost, the only effective method known to control selection bias Controls confounding bias without adjustmentControls confounding bias without adjustment Facilitates effective blinding in some trialsFacilitates effective blinding in some trials Theoretically attractive -many statistical methods assume random assignmentTheoretically attractive -many statistical methods assume random assignment Maintains advantages of cohort studiesMaintains advantages of cohort studies
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Disadvantages of Randomized Trials May be complex and expensiveMay be complex and expensive Prohibitively difficult and expensive with low incidence outcomesProhibitively difficult and expensive with low incidence outcomes May lack representativeness - volunteers may differ from population of interestMay lack representativeness - volunteers may differ from population of interest Ethical challenges of experimental researchEthical challenges of experimental research Sometimes impossible or impractical to conductSometimes impossible or impractical to conduct May be complex and expensiveMay be complex and expensive Prohibitively difficult and expensive with low incidence outcomesProhibitively difficult and expensive with low incidence outcomes May lack representativeness - volunteers may differ from population of interestMay lack representativeness - volunteers may differ from population of interest Ethical challenges of experimental researchEthical challenges of experimental research Sometimes impossible or impractical to conductSometimes impossible or impractical to conduct
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Study outcome measures Quantitative Qualitative Primary Secondary
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Study outcome measures (contd.) Multiple outcomes Intermediate endpoints Misclassification
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We deal mostly with Phase III trials Comparative or Controlled trials Variations are kept under control Groups differ only with respect to “treatment” Integration of statistical ideas and methodology Elimination of bias at Design and Analysis Stages
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Define purpose of the trial (General – Specific objectives) Design the trial (Written protocol, Work instructions etc.,) Conduct the trial (Good organization) Interim analyses (Stopping rules) Analyse the data (Descriptive statistics, Test the hypothesis) Draw conclusions Publish results Steps in RCTs
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Interventions amenable to be studied using clinical trials Life styleLife style DietDiet DrugsDrugs Operational factorsOperational factors Surgical proceduresSurgical procedures RehabilitationRehabilitation Life styleLife style DietDiet DrugsDrugs Operational factorsOperational factors Surgical proceduresSurgical procedures RehabilitationRehabilitation
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Specific issues Sample selection Sample size Control groups Uncertainty principle:Definite indications and contraindications Randomization Blind assessment Length of follow-up
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Specific issues (cont) True effect may not be ascertained for many yearsTrue effect may not be ascertained for many years Study power is dependent on number of events observed during the studyStudy power is dependent on number of events observed during the study Random allocationRandom allocation True effect may not be ascertained for many yearsTrue effect may not be ascertained for many years Study power is dependent on number of events observed during the studyStudy power is dependent on number of events observed during the study Random allocationRandom allocation
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Good Clinical Practices (GCP) GCP are international ethical and scientific standards setting the minimum requirements for the development,conduct, performance, monitoring, auditing, recording, analysis and reporting of clinical trials that involve the participation of human subjects GCP are international ethical and scientific standards setting the minimum requirements for the development,conduct, performance, monitoring, auditing, recording, analysis and reporting of clinical trials that involve the participation of human subjects
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GCP standards are established by: International Conference on HarmonizationInternational Conference on Harmonization US Food and Drug AdministrationUS Food and Drug Administration Guidelines for Clinical Trials on Pharmaceutical Products in India,Central Drugs Standards Control Organization, DGHS, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Govt. of India, 2001Guidelines for Clinical Trials on Pharmaceutical Products in India,Central Drugs Standards Control Organization, DGHS, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Govt. of India, 2001 International Conference on HarmonizationInternational Conference on Harmonization US Food and Drug AdministrationUS Food and Drug Administration Guidelines for Clinical Trials on Pharmaceutical Products in India,Central Drugs Standards Control Organization, DGHS, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Govt. of India, 2001Guidelines for Clinical Trials on Pharmaceutical Products in India,Central Drugs Standards Control Organization, DGHS, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Govt. of India, 2001
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GCP Synopsis Regulations for informed consentRegulations for informed consent Regulations for Institutional Ethics CommitteesRegulations for Institutional Ethics Committees Defining the responsibilities of the sponsor and investigatorDefining the responsibilities of the sponsor and investigator Control of investigational productControl of investigational product Required elements of the investigator’s brochureRequired elements of the investigator’s brochure Essential documentsEssential documents Regulations for informed consentRegulations for informed consent Regulations for Institutional Ethics CommitteesRegulations for Institutional Ethics Committees Defining the responsibilities of the sponsor and investigatorDefining the responsibilities of the sponsor and investigator Control of investigational productControl of investigational product Required elements of the investigator’s brochureRequired elements of the investigator’s brochure Essential documentsEssential documents
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Patients, Treatment and Comparison (or Evaluation) are the three key words in the above definitions Patient has to be representative of a targeted population under study. The results must be generalisable to the study population. Healthy individuals are the experimental units in prophylactic studiesPatient has to be representative of a targeted population under study. The results must be generalisable to the study population. Healthy individuals are the experimental units in prophylactic studies Treatment may be a Placebo or a Drug or a Compound (low dose aspirin + Beta carotene) or a Diet, or a Surgical Procedure, a Medical Device, a Diagnostic test, or even no Treatment:Treatment may be a Placebo or a Drug or a Compound (low dose aspirin + Beta carotene) or a Diet, or a Surgical Procedure, a Medical Device, a Diagnostic test, or even no Treatment: Patient has to be representative of a targeted population under study. The results must be generalisable to the study population. Healthy individuals are the experimental units in prophylactic studiesPatient has to be representative of a targeted population under study. The results must be generalisable to the study population. Healthy individuals are the experimental units in prophylactic studies Treatment may be a Placebo or a Drug or a Compound (low dose aspirin + Beta carotene) or a Diet, or a Surgical Procedure, a Medical Device, a Diagnostic test, or even no Treatment:Treatment may be a Placebo or a Drug or a Compound (low dose aspirin + Beta carotene) or a Diet, or a Surgical Procedure, a Medical Device, a Diagnostic test, or even no Treatment:
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Patients, Treatment and Comparison (or Evaluation) are the three key words in the above definitions (contd.) e.g.– Radio Therapy + Surgery for Breast Cancer e.g.– Radio Therapy + Surgery for Breast Cancer – Antiarrythmic agent + defibrillator – Antiarrythmic agent + defibrillator – MRI with or without a contrast imaging agent – MRI with or without a contrast imaging agent Evaluation: Efficacy; safety (adverse experience). Recent years have seen evaluation encompass Assessment of Quality of Life, Cost-effectiveness and Cost- BenefitEvaluation: Efficacy; safety (adverse experience). Recent years have seen evaluation encompass Assessment of Quality of Life, Cost-effectiveness and Cost- Benefit e.g.– Radio Therapy + Surgery for Breast Cancer e.g.– Radio Therapy + Surgery for Breast Cancer – Antiarrythmic agent + defibrillator – Antiarrythmic agent + defibrillator – MRI with or without a contrast imaging agent – MRI with or without a contrast imaging agent Evaluation: Efficacy; safety (adverse experience). Recent years have seen evaluation encompass Assessment of Quality of Life, Cost-effectiveness and Cost- BenefitEvaluation: Efficacy; safety (adverse experience). Recent years have seen evaluation encompass Assessment of Quality of Life, Cost-effectiveness and Cost- Benefit
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Designing a Controlled Clinical Trial (RCT) 1.Starting point for a Controlled Clinical Trial is a clear statement of the Research Question. It is advisable to have a single Primary Research Question addressed in the trial. There may be Secondary questions also. The trial will be planned to answer the Primary Question with adequate Power.
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Designing a RCT 2. The Primary Research Question will determine the Study Objective (s) and will help us to set up appropriate hypotheses for evaluation e.g Sample Statement of Objectives:e.g Sample Statement of Objectives: Evaluate the efficacy of several lipid-influencing drugs in the long-term therapy of CHD in men ages 30 through 64 with evidence of previous myocardial infarctionEvaluate the efficacy of several lipid-influencing drugs in the long-term therapy of CHD in men ages 30 through 64 with evidence of previous myocardial infarction State type of patients, class of treatments; But ambiguous on outcomeState type of patients, class of treatments; But ambiguous on outcome 3.The next step would be to prepare a well-organised written protocol of the clinical trial 2. The Primary Research Question will determine the Study Objective (s) and will help us to set up appropriate hypotheses for evaluation e.g Sample Statement of Objectives:e.g Sample Statement of Objectives: Evaluate the efficacy of several lipid-influencing drugs in the long-term therapy of CHD in men ages 30 through 64 with evidence of previous myocardial infarctionEvaluate the efficacy of several lipid-influencing drugs in the long-term therapy of CHD in men ages 30 through 64 with evidence of previous myocardial infarction State type of patients, class of treatments; But ambiguous on outcomeState type of patients, class of treatments; But ambiguous on outcome 3.The next step would be to prepare a well-organised written protocol of the clinical trial
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Contents of Protocol for Clinical Trials 1.Study Background 2.Statement of objectives 3.Primary objective – with a Concise and Precise statement of pre-specified hypotheses based on clinical responses for evaluation of the drug. (Patients to be studied, treatment, and outcome ) 4. Secondary objective (s) (Sometimes sub-group analyses may be stated)(Sometimes sub-group analyses may be stated) 1.Study Background 2.Statement of objectives 3.Primary objective – with a Concise and Precise statement of pre-specified hypotheses based on clinical responses for evaluation of the drug. (Patients to be studied, treatment, and outcome ) 4. Secondary objective (s) (Sometimes sub-group analyses may be stated)(Sometimes sub-group analyses may be stated)
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3. Study plan3. Study plan - Study design - Should permit valid Statistical Inference - Describe Patient and Control groups with rationale for choice - Single centre or Multi-centric study - Patient Inclusion and Exclusion criteria Unambiguous to define the targeted population -Method of Randomisation & Blinding - Study Subject withdrawal 3. Study plan3. Study plan - Study design - Should permit valid Statistical Inference - Describe Patient and Control groups with rationale for choice - Single centre or Multi-centric study - Patient Inclusion and Exclusion criteria Unambiguous to define the targeted population -Method of Randomisation & Blinding - Study Subject withdrawal Contents of Protocol for Clinical Trials
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4. Study Drugs4. Study Drugs Dose and Route of administration and DurationDose and Route of administration and Duration Method of Dispensing (Package and labeling included)Method of Dispensing (Package and labeling included) Method of AdministrationMethod of Administration Any Concomitant medications / proceduresAny Concomitant medications / procedures 4. Study Drugs4. Study Drugs Dose and Route of administration and DurationDose and Route of administration and Duration Method of Dispensing (Package and labeling included)Method of Dispensing (Package and labeling included) Method of AdministrationMethod of Administration Any Concomitant medications / proceduresAny Concomitant medications / procedures Contents of Protocol for Clinical Trials
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5. Measurements and observations5. Measurements and observations Response variableResponse variable – Valid and Reliable measurement; -measurement schedule -Surrogate response variable Intermediate end point like CD 4 in AIDS or mortality in HIV +ve reduces period of follow up Impact on sample size ( Continuous Vs Qualitative variable)Intermediate end point like CD 4 in AIDS or mortality in HIV +ve reduces period of follow up Impact on sample size ( Continuous Vs Qualitative variable) Caution Should truly reflect the Clinical outcome and be acceptable to study patientsCaution Should truly reflect the Clinical outcome and be acceptable to study patients Adverse effects of intervention may be incompletely evaluatedAdverse effects of intervention may be incompletely evaluated 5. Measurements and observations5. Measurements and observations Response variableResponse variable – Valid and Reliable measurement; -measurement schedule -Surrogate response variable Intermediate end point like CD 4 in AIDS or mortality in HIV +ve reduces period of follow up Impact on sample size ( Continuous Vs Qualitative variable)Intermediate end point like CD 4 in AIDS or mortality in HIV +ve reduces period of follow up Impact on sample size ( Continuous Vs Qualitative variable) Caution Should truly reflect the Clinical outcome and be acceptable to study patientsCaution Should truly reflect the Clinical outcome and be acceptable to study patients Adverse effects of intervention may be incompletely evaluatedAdverse effects of intervention may be incompletely evaluated Contents of Protocol for Clinical Trials
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6. Statistical methods6. Statistical methods Sample size; Handling Dropouts, Missing Data,Sample size; Handling Dropouts, Missing Data, Measurement of Covariates, Sub-group analyses plannedMeasurement of Covariates, Sub-group analyses planned Interim analysis (Termination), Analytical tools to be usedInterim analysis (Termination), Analytical tools to be used 7.Adverse events (Side-effects…) Reporting7.Adverse events (Side-effects…) Reporting Clinical / laboratory supported Clinical / laboratory supported 8. Institutional Review / Ethics Committee approval8. Institutional Review / Ethics Committee approval 6. Statistical methods6. Statistical methods Sample size; Handling Dropouts, Missing Data,Sample size; Handling Dropouts, Missing Data, Measurement of Covariates, Sub-group analyses plannedMeasurement of Covariates, Sub-group analyses planned Interim analysis (Termination), Analytical tools to be usedInterim analysis (Termination), Analytical tools to be used 7.Adverse events (Side-effects…) Reporting7.Adverse events (Side-effects…) Reporting Clinical / laboratory supported Clinical / laboratory supported 8. Institutional Review / Ethics Committee approval8. Institutional Review / Ethics Committee approval
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Ethical issues in clinical trials 1.Ethics of Doing and not Doing a clinical trial 2.No harm to participants 3.Not missing opportunity to benefit society 4.If drug known to be better – no control group 5.Alternative treatment as a control (unrelated treatment also) 6.Efficacy of drug must be truly unknown Study Validity should be ensured – Sample size, Allocation, Blinding etc. 1.Ethics of Doing and not Doing a clinical trial 2.No harm to participants 3.Not missing opportunity to benefit society 4.If drug known to be better – no control group 5.Alternative treatment as a control (unrelated treatment also) 6.Efficacy of drug must be truly unknown Study Validity should be ensured – Sample size, Allocation, Blinding etc.
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3. Informed consent Understand requirements for participation in trial. Must be clearly explained procedures to be performed.3. Informed consent Understand requirements for participation in trial. Must be clearly explained procedures to be performed. Should consent to receiving a placebo. Should be free to refuse to participate or withdraw 4. Stopping rule to be stated before start of trial -Clinical efficacy of test treatment -Toxicity of test treatment -External ( independent ) experts to do this 3. Informed consent Understand requirements for participation in trial. Must be clearly explained procedures to be performed.3. Informed consent Understand requirements for participation in trial. Must be clearly explained procedures to be performed. Should consent to receiving a placebo. Should be free to refuse to participate or withdraw 4. Stopping rule to be stated before start of trial -Clinical efficacy of test treatment -Toxicity of test treatment -External ( independent ) experts to do this Ethical issues in clinical trials
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Randomisation procedures 1.Fixed numbers to treatment regimens1.Fixed numbers to treatment regimens a) Simple randomisation b) Blocked randomisation c) Stratified allocation 2. Adaptive Randomisation - to ensure desired allocation ratio - to ensure comparability of baseline characteristics- to ensure comparability of baseline characteristics - outcome adaptive not desirable- outcome adaptive not desirable 1.Fixed numbers to treatment regimens1.Fixed numbers to treatment regimens a) Simple randomisation b) Blocked randomisation c) Stratified allocation 2. Adaptive Randomisation - to ensure desired allocation ratio - to ensure comparability of baseline characteristics- to ensure comparability of baseline characteristics - outcome adaptive not desirable- outcome adaptive not desirable
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BiasBias Selection Incomplete review; of literature alsoSelection Incomplete review; of literature also Observation Exposure and outcomeObservation Exposure and outcome Statistical procedure Analysis / InterpretationStatistical procedure Analysis / Interpretation PublicationPublication Selection Incomplete review; of literature alsoSelection Incomplete review; of literature also Observation Exposure and outcomeObservation Exposure and outcome Statistical procedure Analysis / InterpretationStatistical procedure Analysis / Interpretation PublicationPublication
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ConclusionsConclusions RCT is the standard but not the only approachRCT is the standard but not the only approach Rigorous scientific assessment – absolutely essentialRigorous scientific assessment – absolutely essential Involve researchers and practitioners in the concerned system of medicineInvolve researchers and practitioners in the concerned system of medicine Ethics and human rightsEthics and human rights RCT is the standard but not the only approachRCT is the standard but not the only approach Rigorous scientific assessment – absolutely essentialRigorous scientific assessment – absolutely essential Involve researchers and practitioners in the concerned system of medicineInvolve researchers and practitioners in the concerned system of medicine Ethics and human rightsEthics and human rights
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