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Published byJune Walton Modified over 8 years ago
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Why aren’t all Penguins Criminals? The Maths!
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Table 2Table 3Table 1
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The THIEF gets more rocks Table 1
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The FORAGER gets more rocks Table 2
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THIEVES and FORAGERS do EQUALLY well Table 3
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The POPULATION gains MORE rocks if most penguins FORAGE Table 2Table 3Table 1
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Predict the Number of Criminals in the Population? or
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You Your Partner FORAGESTEAL FORAGE +1+2 STEAL –1–2 1 x chance of meeting I’ll expect to get: If I play + – 1 x chance of meeting
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You Your Partner FORAGESTEAL FORAGE +1+2 STEAL –1–2 I’ll expect to get: If I play + – 2 x chance of meeting 2 x chance of meeting
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= – 1 x chance of meeting Thief 1 x chance of meeting Forager 2 x chance of meeting Thief 2 x chance of meeting Forager = Chance of meeting Thief Chance of meeting Forager – = Number of Thieves Number of Foragers – If I play
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Predict the Number of Criminals in the Population? Q: Over time Half the Penguins will become Criminals A:
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