1. For Official Use Only! Hurricane Ernesto - Projected Damage Area Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours Hurricane Ernesto Projected Damage Page 1 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LRL 0600 EDT 08/28/2006 Post Landfall Projected Damage Area This model is based on a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast. Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546

2. For Official Use Only! Hurricane Ernesto Debris Model Page 2 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LRL 0600 EDT 08/28/2006 Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast. The amount of debris forecasted is possible total volume, not necessarily the volume that may need to be removed with Federal funds. Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546 Post Landfall Debris Model Results Florida – 10,412,000 yd 3 North Carolina – 672,000 yd 3 South Carolina – 127,000 yd 3 Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. Hurricane Ernesto Debris Model Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours

3. For Official Use Only! Hurricane Ernesto Debris Model Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours The amount of debris forecasted is possible total volume, not necessarily the volume that may need to be removed with Federal funds. Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546 Hurricane Ernesto Debris Model Page 3 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LRL 0600 EDT 08/28/2006

4. For Official Use Only! Hurricane Ernesto Commodities Model Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours Hurricane Ernesto Commodities Model Page 4 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LRL 0600 EDT 08/28/2006 Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast. The amount of commodities forecasted is based on Mission Guide Book requirements (8 pounds of ice per person per day and 3 liters of water per person per day) and SME input. The graphic represents single day needs with full distribution system in place and operating. Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546 Post Landfall Ice/Water Model Results Day One/ Day Two/ Day Three Florida – 50/100/150 North Carolina – 25/25/25 South Carolina – 8/8/8 Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL.

5. For Official Use Only! Hurricane Ernesto Commodities Model Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours Hurricane Ernesto Commodities Model Page 5 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LRL 0600 EDT 08/28/2006 The amount of commodities forecasted is based on Mission Guide Book requirements (8 pounds of ice per person per day and 3 liters of water per person per day ) and SME input and the above table indicates suggested needs based on phased deployment of a commodities distribution system. The assumption in this scenario is that 30-40% of the resident population affected by Ernesto will have power outage in this area will cause a need for water. Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546

6. For Official Use Only! Hurricane Ernesto Population Model Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours Hurricane Ernesto Population Model Page 6 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LRL 0600 EDT 08/28/2006 Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast. The number of persons included in this model output are those that would be included within estimated hurricane force winds (Census 2000 values adjusted to July 2005 values). Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546 Post Landfall Population Model Results Florida – 8,132,000 persons North Carolina – 492,000 persons South Carolina – 161,000 persons Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL.

7. For Official Use Only! Hurricane Ernesto Population Model Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours The number of persons estimated to be within hurricane force winds comes from Census 2000 values adjusted to July 2005 values. Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546 Hurricane Ernesto Population Model Page 7 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LRL 0600 EDT 08/28/2006

8. For Official Use Only! Hurricane Ernesto Households Model Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours Hurricane Ernesto Households Model Page 8 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LRL 0600 EDT 08/28/2006 Post Landfall Households Model Results Florida – 3,168,000 households North Carolina – 193,000 households South Carolina – 70,000 households Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast. The number of households included in this model output are those that would be included within estimated hurricane force winds (Census 2000 values adjusted to July 2005 values). Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546

9. For Official Use Only! Hurricane Ernesto Households Model Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours The number of households estimated to be within hurricane force winds comes from Census 2000 values adjusted to July 2005 values. Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546 Hurricane Ernesto Households Model Page 9 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LRL 0600 EDT 08/28/2006

10. For Official Use Only! Hurricane Ernesto Temporary Roofing Model Results Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours Hurricane Ernesto Roofing Model Page 10 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LRL 0600 EDT 08/28/2006 Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast. The amount of temporary roofing that may be required is based on 2% of housing units damaged in CAT 1 wind areas. This only indicates possible need – not necessarily a mission to repair roofs. Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546 Post Landfall Temporary Roofing Model Results Florida – 17,100 North Carolina – 1,700 South Carolina – >400 Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL.

11. For Official Use Only! Hurricane Ernesto Temporary Roofing Model Results Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours Hurricane Ernesto Roofing Model Page 11 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LRL 0600 EDT 08/28/2006 THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL MODEL !! THE VALUES ARE PRELIMINARY AND SHOULD BE CONSIDERED A GUIDE BUT NOT AN ABSOLUTE VALUE !! The amount of temporary roofing that may be required is based on 2% of housing units damaged in CAT 1 wind areas, 4% of housing units damaged in CAT 2 wind areas and 8% of housing units damaged in CAT 3 wind areas. This only indicates possible need – not necessarily a mission to repair roofs. Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546

12. For Official Use Only! Information provided on this page displays a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 08/28/2006) forecast. The amount of temporary housing that may be required is based on 1% of housing units requiring temporary replacement in CAT 1 wind areas. Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546 Hurricane Ernesto Temporary Housing Model Results Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours Hurricane Ernesto Housing Model Page 12 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LR 0600 EDT 08/28/2006 Post Landfall Temporary Housing Model Results Florida – 2,800 North Carolina – 400 South Carolina – >400 Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 1 storm making landfall south of Miami, FL.

13. For Official Use Only! Hurricane Ernesto Temporary Housing Model Results Landfall Expected In About 42 Hours THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL MODEL !! THE VALUES ARE PRELIMINARY AND SHOULD BE CONSIDERED A GUIDE BUT NOT AN ABSOLUTE VALUE !! The amount of temporary housing that may be required is based on 1% of housing units requiring replacement in CAT 1 wind areas. Details about this model may be obtained at https://englink.usace.army.milhttps://englink.usace.army.mil or contact ENGLink at 1-877-936-4546 Hurricane Ernesto Housing Model Page 13 of 13 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Generated By: Siemsen, LRL 0600 EDT 08/28/2006