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Regional Seminar on Developing a Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics Cevdet ÖĞÜT 11-13 September 2013 Ankara - Turkey.

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Presentation on theme: "Regional Seminar on Developing a Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics Cevdet ÖĞÜT 11-13 September 2013 Ankara - Turkey."— Presentation transcript:

1 Regional Seminar on Developing a Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics Cevdet ÖĞÜT 11-13 September 2013 Ankara - Turkey

2 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey EXHAUSTIVENESSIN NATIONAL ACCOUNTS OFTURKEY Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey

3 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey In order to ensure the exhaustiveness of the Turkish national accounts, the work on GDP revision started after the General Census of Industry and Business Establishments. During the revision work TurkStat participated some projects with Eurostat such as USST-I and USST-II. Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey

4 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey The main revision points were elaboration of data sources and methods. During the revision, TurkStat improved data sources of GDP by the production approach for all economic activities. Revision of GDP is based primarily on the results of the 2002 Structural Business Statistics (SBS). These form the most comprehensive source of data for national accounts. Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey

5 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey Quarterly Labor Force Survey (LFS) served and serves as a basis for the estimation of total number of persons employed in the economy. New system of accounting standards and rules were introduced for the government sector. The general government sector now consists of the exact number of units and includes all specific extra budgetary funds at central and local government level. Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey

6 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey Reference Guidence Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey Handbook on Measuring the Non-Observed Economy Tabular Approach to Exhaustiveness

7 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey Types of Work for the Adjustments The estimations from the output side are based on the SBS which includes many industries. Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey

8 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey Types of Work for the Adjustments Also, for several industries the data of the SBS are supplemented by Household Surveys (especially Household Budget Survey (HBS)), administrative records and quarterly data sources. Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey

9 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey Tabular ApproachAdjustment N1– Producers deliberately not registering – Underground economy Labour Input Approach; Manufacturing, Mining, Enegy, Hotel-Restaurants, Education, Health, Other Personel and Business Services N2– Producers deliberately not registering – Illegal activities No estimation N3– Producer not obliged to registerAgriculture, own account construction N4– Legal persons not surveyedCan not be made (because of proper statistical business register does not exist) N5– Registered entrepreneur not surveyedCan not be made (because of proper statistical business register does not exist) N6– Producers deliberately misreportingNo estimates (Experimental survey was applied for selected activity K,M,N,O) N7– Other statistical deficienciesTips, Wages and salaries in kind, (Hotels and Restaurants)

10 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey GDP by the income approach and exhaustiveness GDP by the income approach exhaustiveness made for compensation of employees. Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey Compensation of employees Agriculture, hunting and forestry Fishing Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Construction Wholesale and retail trade Hotels and Restaurants Transport, storage and communication Real estate, renting and business activities Education Health and social work Other community, social and personal service activities Private household with employed persons

11 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey GDP by the expenditure approach and exhaustiveness When compiling the expenditure-based GDP measure, every effort is made to ensure that all relevant economic activity is captured. Most of the basic data on which the estimates are based will already have been edited and checked for completeness. Final consumption expenditure of households Estimates of Household Consumption Expenditure were estimated by using commodity flows based on production, import and trade information. Most of the basic information from statistical surveys used in the Household Expenditure estimates were checked for reliability and exhaustiveness by the compiling branches before incorporated into the national accounts. The reliability and comprehensiveness of the production and external trade data used in the commodity flow estimates were checked and verified by the compilers of the basic statistics. Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey

12 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey GDP by the expenditure approach and exhaustiveness Non-Profit Institutions Serving Households (NPISH) Separate estimates for NPISH are not compiled in the Turkish national accounts. Final consumption expenditure of NPISH is combined with Household Consumption Expenditure. Final consumption expenditure of government The data sources for general government units are exhaustive. General government data is derived from the central government accounting system. The data concerning social security funds are also fully exhaustive. Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey

13 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey GDP by the expenditure approach and exhaustiveness Gross Fixed Capital Formation The basic estimates of Capital Formation are also considered to be reasonably comprehensive. The main sources used in the compilation of GFCF are administrative and fiscal data, surveys, direct information and the commodity flow method. The private sector construction activity is measured using administrative data on building permits and occupancy permits. The construction activity for the general government is measured using data from the public accounts. Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey

14 National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey Updating of estimates in the current years Labor input estimates are updated annually by extrapolating from the 2002 estimates. Regional Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey


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