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Global Economic Growth and Development

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1 Global Economic Growth and Development
Chapter 9 Global Economic Growth and Development

2 Introduction About half of all U.S. engineers and computer scientists with Ph.D. degrees were born outside the United States. In this chapter, you will learn why countries that attract and retain the world’s brainiest and hardest-working people tend to experience the highest sustained rates of economic growth. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

3 Learning Objectives Define economic growth
Recognize the importance of economic growth rates Explain why productivity increases are crucial for maintaining economic growth Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

4 Learning Objectives (cont'd)
Describe the fundamental determinants of economic growth Understand the basis of new growth theory Discuss the fundamental factors that contribute to a nation’s economic development Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

5 Chapter Outline How Do We Define Economic Growth?
Productivity Increases: The Heart of Economic Growth Saving: A Fundamental Determinant of Economic Growth New Growth Theory and the Determinants of Growth Immigration, Property Rights, and Growth Economic Development Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

6 Did You Know That... Only one European nation, Luxembourg, has per capita real GDP higher than the U.S. per capita GDP? Per capita GDP has grown more rapidly in some U.S. states than in some European nations? These states have experienced a higher rate of economic growth? Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

7 How Do We Define Economic Growth?
Economic growth can be shown graphically by shifting the production possibilities curve outward. Economic growth reflects the fact that more of all goods can be produced within the economy. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

8 Figure 9-1 Economic Growth
Distance of shift represents an increase in productive capacity Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

9 How Do We Define Economic Growth? (cont'd)
Observation India has a real GDP more than fifteen times as large as that of Denmark. India’s population is about 200 times greater than that of Denmark. India is relatively poor and Denmark is relatively rich. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

10 How Do We Define Economic Growth? (cont'd)
Increase in per capita real GDP measured by its rate of change per year Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

11 Figure 9-2 The Historical Record of U.S. Economic Growth
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

12 Table 9-1 Per Capita Real GDP Growth Rates in Various Countries
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

13 How Do We Define Economic Growth? (cont'd)
Question If your leisure time increases 1 hour/week and your commute time to work increases by 2 hours/week, are you better off? Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

14 How Do We Define Economic Growth? (cont'd)
Is economic growth bad? Some psychologists contend that growth makes us worse off. As with all activities there are costs along with benefits to growth. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

15 Table 9-2 Costs and Benefits of Economic Growth
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

16 How Do We Define Economic Growth? (cont'd)
The importance of growth rates Do we need to worry about small differences in the economic growth rate? Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

17 Table 9-3 One Dollar Compounded Annually at Different Interest Rates
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

18 How Do We Define Economic Growth? (cont'd)
GDP in 50 years at various growth rates starting at $1 trillion 3% 4% 5% $4.38 trillion $7.11 $11.5 Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

19 Productivity Increases: The Heart of Economic Growth
Economic growth = Rate of growth of capital + Rate of growth of labor + Rate of growth in the productivity of capital and of labor Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

20 Productivity Increases: The Heart of Economic Growth (cont'd)
Labor Productivity Total real domestic output (real GDP) divided by the number of workers (output per worker) Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

21 Figure 9-3 Factors Accounting for Economic Growth in Selected Regions
Sources: U.S. Department of Commerce; U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

22 Example: Is Official Labor Productivity Growth Overstated?
BLS reports U.S. labor productivity has increased by at least 21% since 2000. Self-employed people, managers, part-time, and temporary employees are excluded. Including these forms of labor might reduce productivity to as low as 11%. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

23 Saving: A Fundamental Determinant of Economic Growth
To have more consumption in the future, you must consume less today and save the difference between your consumption and your income. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

24 Figure 9-4 Relationship Between Rate of Saving and Per Capita Real GDP
Source: World Bank Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

25 New Growth Theory and What Determines Growth
A theory of economic growth that examines the factors that determine why technology, research, innovation, and the like are undertaken and how they interact Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

26 New Growth Theory and What Determines Growth (cont'd)
Technology: a separate factor of production The greater the rewards, the more technological advances we will get. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

27 New Growth Theory and What Determines Growth (cont'd)
Research and development (R&D) Patents A government protection that gives an inventor the exclusive right to make, use, or sell an invention for a limited period of time (currently, 20 years) Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

28 New Growth Theory and What Determines Growth (cont'd)
Research and development (R&D) Positive externalities and R&D For every 1% rise in the stock of R&D in the United States alone, productivity worldwide increases by about 0.25%. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

29 New Growth Theory and What Determines Growth (cont'd)
The open economy and economic growth Free trade encourages the spread of technology. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

30 Figure 9-5 U.S. Patent Grants
Source: World Bank Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

31 New Growth Theory and What Determines Growth (cont'd)
Innovation Transforming an invention into something that is useful to humans Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

32 Figure 9-6 The Relationship Between Economic Growth and Tariff Barriers to International Trade
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

33 New Growth Theory and What Determines Growth (cont'd)
The importance of ideas and knowledge Knowledge, ideas, and productivity are related; ideas are what drive economic growth. Economist Paul Romer suggests that growth can continue as long as we come up with new ideas. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

34 Figure 9-7 The Winnowing Process of Research and Development
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

35 New Growth Theory and What Determines Growth (cont'd)
The importance of human capital Knowledge, ideas and, productivity are all tied together. Human capital consists of knowledge people acquire. Investing in human capital raises living standards. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

36 Immigration, Property Rights, and Growth
Population and immigration as they affect economic growth MIT economist Michael Kremer believes population growth drives technological progress. Question Does immigration spur economic growth? Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

37 Immigration, Property Rights, and Growth (cont'd)
Question How can well-defined property rights stimulate economic growth? Answers The more certain property rights are, the more capital accumulation there will be. The more certain are property rights, the more entrepreneurship there will be. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

38 Economic Development Question
How did developed countries travel paths of growth from extreme poverty to relative riches? Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

39 Economic Development (cont'd)
Development Economics The study of factors that contribute to the economic growth of a country Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

40 Economic Development (cont'd)
The goal of development economists is to help the 4 billion people with low living standards to join the 2 billion people with moderately high ones. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

41 Economic Development (cont'd)
Putting world poverty into perspective At least one-half of the world’s population lives at subsistence level. 20% of the world lives on less than $1 per day. The U.S. poverty level exceeds the average income of one-half the world. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

42 Economic Development (cont'd)
Relationship between population growth and economic development There are nearly 7 billion people on earth. By 2050, according to the U.N., world population will be close to 9.1 billion. Growth will occur mainly in developing nations. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

43 Figure 9-8 Expected Growth in World Population by 2050, Panel (a)
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

44 Figure 9-8 Expected Growth in World Population by 2050, Panel (b)
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

45 Economic Development (cont'd)
The relationship between population growth and economic development Growth leads to smaller families. The more economic development occurs, the slower the population growth rate. Birth rates decline with modernization. Reduced infant mortality People do not rely on children to take care of them in old age Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

46 Economic Development (cont'd)
The stages of development Agricultural stage Manufacturing stage Services stage Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

47 Economic Development (cont'd)
Keys to economic development Establishing a system of property rights Developing an educated population Letting “creative destruction” run its course Limiting protectionism Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

48 Issues and Applications: Winners and Losers in the Brain-Drain Game
The losers: nations with huge outflows of human capital; this damages prospects for economic growth. The winners: countries receiving highly skilled workers who immigrate and provide a “brain-gain.” Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

49 Figure 9-9 Nations with the Largest Percentage Emigrations of Skilled Workers
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

50 Summary Discussion of Learning Objectives
Economic growth The rate of economic growth is the annual rate of change in per capita GDP. Why economic growth rates are important Over long intervals, relatively small differences in the economic growth rate can produce large disparities in per capita incomes. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

51 Summary Discussion of Learning Objectives (cont'd)
Why productivity increases are crucial for maintaining economic growth For a nation with a stable population and steady capital growth, productivity growth is the main factor in economic expansion. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

52 Summary Discussion of Learning Objectives (cont'd)
The key determinants of economic growth Increases in the labor force, the growth of capital, and the growth of productivity New growth theory Emphasizes how rewards to innovation contribute to higher growth rates Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

53 Summary Discussion of Learning Objectives (cont'd)
Fundamental factors that contribute to a nation’s economic development Nations that encourage education, have a strong system of property rights, allow creative destruction, and avoid protectionism have higher levels of economic development. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison Wesley. All rights reserved.

54 Global Economic Growth and Development
End of Chapter 9 Global Economic Growth and Development


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