Presentation on theme: "Measuring and Managing Foreign Exchange Exposure"— Presentation transcript:
1 Measuring and Managing Foreign Exchange Exposure International Financial ManagementDr. A. DeMaskey
2 Learning ObjectivesWhat are the three different types of foreign exchange exposures?How is translation and transaction exposure measured?What are the two primary methods of converting foreign currency denominated financial statements into the reporting currency of the U.S. parent company?What are the basic hedging strategies and techniques used by firms to manage their currency transaction and translation risks?
3 Foreign Exchange Risk Management Exposure refers to the degree to which a company is affected by exchange rate changes.Exchange rate risk is defined as the variability of a firm’s value due to uncertain changes in the rate of exchange.
4 Foreign Exchange Risk Management Managing accounting exposure centers around the concept of hedging, which means:Entering into an offsetting currency position so whatever is lost/gained on the original currency exposure is exactly offset by a corresponding currency gain/loss on the currency hedge.The coordinated buying or selling of a currency to minimize exchange rate risk.
6 Translation ExposureIt arises from the need, for purposes of reporting and consolidation, to convert the results of foreign operations from the local currency to the home currency.Paper exchange gains or lossesRetrospective in natureShort-term in nature
7 Transaction ExposureIt stems from the possibility of incurring exchange gains or losses on transactions already entered into and denominated in a foreign currency.Real exchange gains or lossesMixes retrospective and prospectiveShort-term in nature
8 Operating ExposureIt arises because currency fluctuations combined with price level changes can alter the amounts and riskiness of a firm’s future revenues and costs.Real exchange gains or lossesProspective in natureLong-term in nature
9 Economic ExposureIt is defined as the extent to which the value of the firm, as measured by the present value of all expected future cash flows, will change when exchange rates change.
10 Tax ExposureThe tax consequence of foreign exposure varies by countries.As a general rule:Only realized foreign exchange losses are tax deductible.Only realized foreign exchange gains create taxable income
11 Measuring Translation Exposure The difference between exposed assets and exposed liabilities.Exposed assets and liabilities are translated at the current exchange rate.Non-exposed assets and liabilities are translated at the historical exchange rate.
12 Currency Translation Methods Translation methods differ by country along two dimensions.Subsidiary CharacterizationIntegrated foreign entitySelf-sustained entityFunctional CurrencyThe currency of the primary economic environment in which the subsidiary operates and in which it generates and expends cash.
13 Translation MethodsTwo basic methods for the translation of foreign subsidiary financial statements:The current rate methodThe temporal methodRegardless of which is used, either method must designateThe exchange rate at which individual balance sheet and income statement items are remeasuredWhere any imbalances are to be recorded
14 Current Rate MethodAll financial statement items are translated at the “current” exchange rate.Assets & liabilitiesIncome statement itemsDividendsEquity accountUnrealized translation gains or losses are recorded in a separate equity account on the parent’s consolidated balance sheet called the “Cumulative Translation Adjustment (CTA)” account.
15 Temporal MethodSpecific assets and liabilities are translated at exchange rates consistent with the timing of the item’s creation.It assumes that a number of line items such as inventories and net plant and equipment are restated to reflect market value.If these items were not restated and carried at historical costs, then the temporal method becomes the monetary/non-monetary method.
16 Temporal Method Line items included in this method are Monetary balance sheet itemsNon-monetary balance sheet itemsIncome statement itemsDividendsEquity accountUnrealized translation gains or losses are recorded within the income statement, not to equity reserves, thereby affecting net income.
17 US Translation Procedures The US differentiates foreign subsidiaries on the basis of the functional currency, not subsidiary characterization.This, in turn, determines which translation method is used:Local currencyCurrent rate methodU.S. dollarTemporal method
18 Hyperinflation Countries A hyperinflationary country is one which has cumulative inflation of approximately 100% or more over a three year period.Functional currencyU.S. dollarTranslation methodTemporal method
19 Measuring Translation Exposure: Illustration Zapata Auto Parts, the Mexican affiliate of American Diversified, Inc., had the following balance sheet on January 1:Assets (Ps million) Liabilities (Ps million)Cash, marketable securities 1,000 Current liabilities ,000Accounts receivables ,000 Long-term debt ,000Inventory ,000 Equity ,000Fixed assets ,000194, ,000______________________________________________________________The exchange rate on January 1 was Ps 8,000/$ and on December 31 is Ps 12,000/$
20 Transaction ExposureIt arises from the various types of transactions that require settlement in a foreign currency.Purchasing or selling on credit goods or services denominated in foreign currency.Borrowing and lending funds with repayment made in foreign currency.Acquiring assets denominated in foreign currency.
21 Net Transaction Exposure Is measured currency by currency.Is the difference between contractually fixed future cash inflows and cash outflows in each currency.It represents real gains and losses.
22 Designing a Hedging Strategy Management of Foreign Exchange ExposureOrganizational Policies for Managing ExposureDegree of centralizationResponsibilityStatement of Objectives
25 Balance Sheet HedgeIt requires an equal amount of exposed foreign currency assets and liabilities on a firm’s consolidated balance sheetA change in exchange rates will change the value of exposed assets but offset that with an opposite change in liabilities.This is termed the monetary balance.The cost of this method depends on relative borrowing costs in the varying currencies.
26 Funds AdjustmentAltering either the amounts or the currencies or both of the planned cash flows of the parent and/or subsidiary.Funds Adjustment MethodsDirectIndirect
27 Forward Market Hedge Uncovered or open hedge. Not a hedge but an attempt to gain by forward speculation a sum equal to the book loss in translation.Success depends on precise prediction of future exchange rates.Such a hedge will increase the tax burden.
28 Managing Transaction Exposure A transaction exposure arises whenever a company is committed to a foreign currency denominated transaction.Protective measures to guard against transaction exposure involve entering into foreign currency transactions whose cash flows exactly offset in whole or in part the cash flows of the transaction exposure.
30 Managing Transaction Exposure: Illustration American Airlines is trying to decide how to go about hedging €70 million in ticket sales receivable in 180 days. The following exchange/ interest rates are available:Spot rate $ /€180-day forward rate $ /€Euro 180-day interest rate (p.a.) %-3.97%U.S.$ 180-day interest rate (p.a.) %-7.98%
31 Alternative Use of Hedging Techniques Remain unhedged.Hedge in the forward market.Hedge in the money market.
32 Unhedged PositionAmerican Airlines will wait 180 days and receive an unknown amount of U.S. dollars, depending on the spot rate prevailing in 180 days, for €70 million of the ticket sales.
33 Future Spot Rate Scenarios Spot rate in 180 daysReceivables in dollar terms____________________________________________€ 1 = $0.64€ 1 = $0.67€ 1 = $0.70____________________________________________SR0 = $0.6433FR180 = $0.6578
34 Forward Market HedgeInvolves a forward contract and a source of funds to fulfill that contract.The forward contract is entered at the time the transaction exposure is created.Offsetting receivables/payables denominated in a foreign currency with a forward contract to sell/buy that currency.Covered hedgeUncovered or open hedgeCost of forward cover
35 Forward Market HedgeTo hedge in the forward market, American Airlines will enter into a 180-day forward contract to sell €70 million for dollars today (t=0).
37 Money Market HedgeInvolves a contract and a source of funds to fulfill that contract. In this case, the contract is a loan agreement.Reversing foreign currency receivables/payables by creating matching payables/receivables through borrowing in the money markets.Covered hedgeUncovered or open hedgeCost of money market hedgeCovered interest arbitrage
38 Money Market HedgeTo hedge in the money market, American Airlines has to borrow today (t=0) sufficient euros for 180 days which, when exchanged today for dollars and invested for 180 days in the U.S., will be paid off with exactly the euro receivable of €70 million.Amount of euros borrowed in Germany for 180 days:Amount of dollars to be invested today in the U.S.:Amount of dollars received from U.S. investment in 180 days:
40 Covered Interest Arbitrage IRP does not hold:Interest rate differential is not equal to forward discount/premium on foreign currency.Effective forward rate:
41 Futures Market Hedge Similar to hedging with forwards Limitations: Limited number of currenciesLimited number of maturity datesStandardized contract sizeCross hedge
42 Options Market HedgeOffsetting a foreign currency denominated receivable/payable with a put option or a call option in that currency.Valuable hedging tool when:Waiting on the outcome of a bid denominated in foreign currencyUsing of foreign currency price listShifts in competitor’s currency
43 General Hedging Rule Future foreign currency cash outflow Certain: Go long futures or forwardsUncertain: Buy a call optionFuture foreign currency cash inflowCertain: Go short futures or forwardsUncertain: Buy a put option
44 Currency Risk Shifting Risk shifting: Invoice in U.S. dollarStrategy for risk shiftingDenominating exports in a strong currency.Denominating imports in a weak currency.Outcome depends on:Bargaining power or parties involved.Competitiveness of firm’s particular business
45 Exposure NettingOffsetting exposures in one currency with exposures in the same or another currency.A firm’s currency exposures can be viewed as a portfolio.Exposure netting depends on the correlation between currencies.Exposure netting strategies:Negatively correlated currenciesPositively correlated currencies
46 Currency Risk Sharing Agreement to share currency risk Risk sharing arrangementsPrice adjustment clauseNeutral zoneOutside neutral zone
47 Currency CollarsProviding protection if the currency moves outside an agreed-on range.Range forwardCylinderCombined put purchase and call saleLimits upside potentialProvides downside risk protectionLowers hedging cost
48 Choosing Which Exposure to Minimize As a general matter, firms seeking to reduce both types of exposures typically reduce transaction exposure first.They then recalculate translation exposure and then decide if any residual translation exposure can be reduced without creating more transaction exposure.