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Alan Mangus Math 1040-012 April 15, 2012.  Purpose of the study (the research question): Can the age of adult male humans be used as a reliable predictor.

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Presentation on theme: "Alan Mangus Math 1040-012 April 15, 2012.  Purpose of the study (the research question): Can the age of adult male humans be used as a reliable predictor."— Presentation transcript:

1 Alan Mangus Math 1040-012 April 15, 2012

2  Purpose of the study (the research question): Can the age of adult male humans be used as a reliable predictor of the weight of adult males? Age will be the explanatory variable and weight will be the response variable.  Study design: I will be using an observational cross-sectional approach.

3  Data collection: Since I do not have a population frame, I will be using Systematic Sampling. K = 10 with a random seed of 4 4+10=14, 14+10=24, 24+10=34 and so until a sample size of n=20 was reached. The survey was given to customers of Smith’s Market Place on March 24, 2012 in Salt Lake City, Utah.

4 Age of Adult MaleWeight (in lbs) of Adult Male 43189 38207 37175 20154 39160 35162 39222 27154 31190 54166 31150 21145 23137 27176 28173 65149 63143 24155 42200 53193

5 n = 20, ∑x = 70 Mean = 740/20 = 37 Standard Deviation = 13.26 n = 20, ∑x = 3400 Mean = 3400/20 = 170 Standard Deviation = 23.54 MinimumQ1MedianQ3MaximumMinimumQ1MedianQ3Maximum 20273642.565137152164189.5222 Range = 65 - 20 = 45Range = 222 – 137 = 85 IQR = 42.5 – 27 = 15.5IQR = 189.5 – 152 = 37.5 Mode = 27, 31, 39Mode = 154

6 Y = ax +b a = 0.24327 b = 160.9991 r = 0.13702 y = 0.24327 (x) + 160.9991 Critical Value for Correlation Coefficient For n = 20 is 0.444 r is less than 0.444 0.137 is less than 0.444 = No Linear Correlation

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9  Distribution of Histogram for age is skewed right.  Distribution of histogram for weight is skewed right.  Scatter diagram reveals almost no correlation between the two variables.  Furthermore the critical value for a sample size of 20 is 0.444. The correlation coefficient for this survey was 0.137, well below the value needed for a positive correlation.

10 With such a low correlation between the explanatory variable and the response variable age would not be a very reliable predictor of weight in adult male humans. A more reasonable predictor might be height; which is why it is used in the Body Mass Index formula (BMI).


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