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Probabilities of Disjoint and Overlapping Events

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1 Probabilities of Disjoint and Overlapping Events
Standard(s) from Instructional Guide: SDAP 3.2 Use data to estimate the probability of future events (e.g., batting averages or number of accidents per mile driven Student Objective (s): - Students will use data to estimate the probability of disjoint and overlapping future events by solving problems independently and demonstrating proficiency with 80% accuracy

2 Definitions: Disjoint events – (mutually exclusive events) are events that have no outcomes in common. Overlapping events – are events that have one or more outcomes in common.

3 Examples: Disjoint Events Event A: Roll a 2
Event B: Roll an odd number Overlapping Events Event A: Roll an even number Event B: Roll a prime number Event A Event B Event A 2 Event B

4 Tell whether the events are disjoint or overlapping
Tell whether the events are disjoint or overlapping. (Hint draw Venn diagram) Roll a number cube. Event A: Roll a number less than 4 Event B: Roll a 5 Randomly select a student. Event A: Select an 8th grader. Event B: Select a boy

5 Probability of Disjoint Events:
Event A: Roll a number less than 4 Event B: Roll a number greater than 4. There are 6 possible outcomes. There are 5 favorable outcomes for the event A or B. So, P(A or B)=5/6. You can also find P(A or B) by finding the sum of the probability of event A and the probability of event B. P(A or B) = P (A) + P (B)= 3/6 + 2/6 = 5/6 Event A Event B 4

6 Sooooooooo: If A and B are disjoint events, P(A or B) = P (A) + P (B)

7 Practice Finding the Probability of Disjoint Events:
Fifty tickets are sold for a raffle. You buy 2 tickets, and your friend buys 3 tickets. One ticket is randomly chosen as the winning ticket. What is the probability that you or your friend wins the raffle? The events are disjoint b/c you and your friend can not both win. Event A: You win Event B: Your friend wins P( A or B) = P (A) + P (B) 2/ /50 = 5/50 = 1/10

8 Probability of Overlapping Events
Event A: Roll a number less than 5 Event B: Roll an Event number Event B Event A 1 3 5 P (A or B) = P (A) + P (B) – P(A and B) = 4/ / / = 5/6

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