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What’s on the table? Opportunities and challenges in German/Polish energy and climate policies A brief summary of the 16. German-Polish Forum, Warsaw, 29th Nov. 2012 Kacper Szulecki
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Polish energy and climate policy: Background 1988-1989 - Departing from a state-socialist economy: – Centrally planned – Energy intensive – Coal dominated – Underinvested infrastructure Development seen as requiring expansion of energy production Decapitalization of Polish energy infrastructure Insufficient integration of energy and climate policies – EU climate policy perceived as a threat to Polish economy/energy sector Energy security – primary concern
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Energy Neighbourhood: An Overview Synchronic areas (potential for both conflict & mutual benefit) Gas connectors Electric energy connectors Asynchronic and Asymmetrical areas (divergence) Shale gas Atomic energy Symmetrical areas (mutual benefit) Author: Prof. Krzysztof Żmijewski, Społeczna Rada ds. RGN Energy efficiency Smart grids Prosumer energy Clean carbon technologies Low-emissions transportation
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Issues on the table Poland: Uncertainty and lack of information on the instruments of the German „Energiewende” Strong support for nuclear energy in the energy lobby and scientific community Large hopes for shale gas as a domestic source Reconsidering coal: Growing need for import Controversial question of brown coal Development of coal gasification technologies; energy storage Doubts about RE development Economic viability Another form of dependence (aluminum, rare earth elements)
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Issues on the table Germany (in relation to Poland): Need for infrastructure developement Acknowledging the pressing problem of loop flows Acknowledging the concerns over gas imports Russia: a common trade partner Energy policy inseparable from climate policy Emphasis on energy efficiency Suggesting EE as an alternative to the Polish nuclear program Emphasis on renewable energy Underlining benefits over costs Different approach to calculation (contextual factors) Poland and Germany are representative for two larger groups of EU states – can they increase their political leverage acting together? Can a policy convergence be achieved?
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Conclusion: Challenges Poland: Loop flows Diversification of energy sources, trans-border infrastructure Sovereignty in setting own energy mix Germany: Securing strategic fuel imports Long-term idea of RE development Common: Transforming coal (and gas) dependent economies Climate policy as a common platform? – shared targets Design of the ETS Cooperation with Russia
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