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Industry Growth and Capital Allocation: Does Having a Market- or Bank-based system Matter? Thorsten Beck and Ross Levine.

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Presentation on theme: "Industry Growth and Capital Allocation: Does Having a Market- or Bank-based system Matter? Thorsten Beck and Ross Levine."— Presentation transcript:

1 Industry Growth and Capital Allocation: Does Having a Market- or Bank-based system Matter? Thorsten Beck and Ross Levine

2 Two Competing Financial systems  Market-based system  Representative countries:USA, UK  Bank-based system  Representative countries:Germany, Japan

3 Key Issue  Which type of financial system is more advanced in terms of facilitate economic growth? Policy Implications for developing country

4 Four Competing Views  Bank-based view  Market-based view  Financial Services view  Law and finance view

5 Bank-based view  Gerschenkron(1962)  Banks more effectively finance industrial expansion in developing countries  Rajan and Zingales(1999)  Powerful banks induce firms to reveal information  Banks without regulatory restrictions achieve optimal size  Stulz(2000)  Banks effectively provide external resources to firms which need stage financing

6 Market-based view  Allocating Capital effectively  Hellwig(1991), Rajan(1992) Powerful banks hinder innovation  Hellwig(1998), Wenger and Kaserer(1998) Collusion problem in bank-based system  Allen(1993) Financial markets promote R&D-based firms

7 Financial services view  Levine(1997)  Focusing on financial system’s ability to provide specific services: revealing information, reducing transaction cost, etc.

8 Law and finance view  La Porta,Lopez-de-silanes,Shleifer and Vishny(2000) The role of legal system in determining the level of financial development The more protection on outside investors, the advanced the financial system

9 Testify these hypothesis  Criterions of good financial system: 1.Providing external finance 2.Facilitating the formation of new establishment 3.Improving the efficiency of capital allocation across industries

10 Methodology  Panel Methodology:Cross-industry,cross- country Regressions From Rajan and Zingales(1998)  Cross-Country Methodology:Investment Flow Efficiency From Wurgler(2000)

11 Panel Methodology Basic Model

12 Some variables External: External Finance Dependence Definition: the ratio of capital expenditures minus cash flow from operations divided by capital expenditures Data resource: Compustat FS: Financial development Indicator: Finance-Aggregate Definition: The first principal component of Finance-Activity and Finance-Size

13  FS:Financial Structure Three Indicators: 1.Structure-Aggregate Definition: The first principal component of Structure-Activity and Structure –Size 2.Restrict-Aggregate Grading the restrictions on banks 3.State Ownership Definition: the percentage of assets of the 10 largest banks owned by government

14 Extension of basic model(1)

15 Extension of basic model(2)

16 Predictions of different views  Market-based view: 1.Structure-Aggregate 2. Restrict-Aggregate 3. State Ownership

17 Predictions of different views  Bank-based view: 1.Structure-Aggregate 2. Restrict-Aggregate 3. State Ownership

18 Predictions of different views  Financial-services view:  Law and Finance view:

19 Cross-country Methodology  Basic model:

20 Conclusion  The results support the financial services and law and finance views.  No support for either the bank-based or the market-based views.


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