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Bell Ringer Find the sample space for the gender of the children if a family has three children. Use B for boy and G for girl. Include order. For example,

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Presentation on theme: "Bell Ringer Find the sample space for the gender of the children if a family has three children. Use B for boy and G for girl. Include order. For example,"β€” Presentation transcript:

1 Bell Ringer Find the sample space for the gender of the children if a family has three children. Use B for boy and G for girl. Include order. For example, BBG and BGB are different outcomes.

2 Solution (Using a Tree Diagram)
B B G BBG B B G G B S = {BBB, BBG, BGB, BGG, GBB, GBG, GGB, GGG} B G G B G G

3 Chapter 15 part 1 Probability Rules

4 Addition Rule 𝑷 𝑨βˆͺ𝑩 =𝑷 𝑨 +𝑷 𝑩 βˆ’π‘·(π‘¨βˆ©π‘©) Note:
If A and B are disjoint, we just use P(A) + P(B)

5 A survey of college students found that 56% live in a campus residence hall, 62% participate in a campus meal program, and 42% do both. Let A = student living on campus and B = student has a meal plan Are living on campus and having a meal plan independent? Are they disjoint? They are independent, but they are not disjoint.

6 A survey of college students found that 56% live in a campus residence hall, 62% participate in a campus meal program, and 42% do both. What’s the probability that a randomly selected student either lives or eats on campus? Let A = student living on campus and B = student has a meal plan 𝑃 𝐴βˆͺ𝐡 =𝑃 𝐴 +𝑃 𝐡 βˆ’π‘ƒ(𝐴∩𝐡) 𝑃 𝐴βˆͺ𝐡 = βˆ’.42=0.76

7 A survey of college students found that 56% live in a campus residence hall, 62% participate in a campus meal program, and 42% do both. A B Venn Diagram 0.14 0.42 0.20 0.24

8 Conditional Probability
𝑷 𝑩|𝑨 ="𝒕𝒉𝒆 π’‘π’“π’π’ƒπ’‚π’ƒπ’Šπ’π’Šπ’•π’š 𝒐𝒇 𝑩 π’ˆπ’Šπ’—π’†π’ 𝑨" 𝑷 𝑩|𝑨 = 𝑷(π‘¨βˆ©π‘©) 𝑷(𝑨)

9 From before, 56% of students live on campus, 62% have meal plans, 42% do both. What is the probability that someone with a meal plan is also living on campus? 𝑃 π‘œπ‘› π‘π‘Žπ‘šπ‘π‘’π‘  π‘šπ‘’π‘Žπ‘™ π‘π‘™π‘Žπ‘› = 𝑃(π‘šπ‘’π‘Žπ‘™ π‘π‘™π‘Žπ‘›βˆ©π‘œπ‘› π‘π‘Žπ‘šπ‘π‘’π‘ ) 𝑃(π‘šπ‘’π‘Žπ‘™ π‘π‘™π‘Žπ‘›) 𝑃 π‘œπ‘› π‘π‘Žπ‘šπ‘π‘’π‘  π‘šπ‘’π‘Žπ‘™ π‘π‘™π‘Žπ‘› = =0.677

10 Conditional Probability and Independent Events
𝑰𝒇 𝑷 𝑩|𝑨 =𝑷 𝑩 , then events A and B are independent

11 According to a pet owners survey, 39% of U. S
According to a pet owners survey, 39% of U.S. households own at least one dog and 34% of U.S. households own at least one cat. Assume that 60% of U.S. households own a cat or a dog. What is the probability that a randomly selected U.S. household owns neither a cat nor a dog? What is the probability that a randomly selected U.S. household owns both a cat and a dog? What is the probability that a randomly selected U.S. household owns a cat if the household owns a dog?

12 𝑃 π‘›π‘’π‘–π‘‘β„Žπ‘’π‘Ÿ π‘π‘Žπ‘‘ π‘›π‘œπ‘Ÿ π‘‘π‘œπ‘” =1 βˆ’π‘ƒ π‘π‘Žπ‘‘βˆͺπ‘‘π‘œπ‘”
According to a pet owners survey, 39% of U.S. households own at least one dog and 34% of U.S. households own at least one cat. Assume that 60% of U.S. households own a cat or a dog. 1. What is the probability that a randomly selected U.S. household owns neither a cat nor a dog? 𝑃 π‘›π‘’π‘–π‘‘β„Žπ‘’π‘Ÿ π‘π‘Žπ‘‘ π‘›π‘œπ‘Ÿ π‘‘π‘œπ‘” =1 βˆ’π‘ƒ π‘π‘Žπ‘‘βˆͺπ‘‘π‘œπ‘” =1 βˆ’0.60=0.40

13 According to a pet owners survey, 39% of U. S
According to a pet owners survey, 39% of U.S. households own at least one dog and 34% of U.S. households own at least one cat. Assume that 60% of U.S. households own a cat or a dog. 2. What is the probability that a randomly selected U.S. household owns both a cat and a dog? P catβˆͺπ‘‘π‘œπ‘” =𝑃 π‘π‘Žπ‘‘ +𝑃 π‘‘π‘œπ‘” βˆ’π‘ƒ(π‘π‘Žπ‘‘βˆ©π‘‘π‘œπ‘”) 0.60 unknown 0.34 0.39 = – x β†’ x=0.13 𝑃 π‘π‘Žπ‘‘βˆ©π‘‘π‘œπ‘” =0.13

14 𝑃 π‘π‘Žπ‘‘ π‘‘π‘œπ‘” = 𝑃(π‘π‘Žπ‘‘βˆ©π‘‘π‘œπ‘”) 𝑃(π‘‘π‘œπ‘”) = 0.13 0.39 =0.33
According to a pet owners survey, 39% of U.S. households own at least one dog and 34% of U.S. households own at least one cat. Assume that 60% of U.S. households own a cat or a dog. 3. What is the probability that a randomly selected U.S. household owns a cat if the household owns a dog? 𝑃 π‘π‘Žπ‘‘ π‘‘π‘œπ‘” = 𝑃(π‘π‘Žπ‘‘βˆ©π‘‘π‘œπ‘”) 𝑃(π‘‘π‘œπ‘”) = =0.33

15 Today’s Assignment Read Chapter 15 Add to HW #9: page 361 #1-4 Chapter 14,15,16 will be included in HW #9 – Due after Thanksgiving Break


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