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Outline  Motivation and Modeling Philosophy  Empirical Alternative I: Model of Cognitive Hierarchy (Camerer, Ho, and Chong, QJE, 2004)  Empirical Alternative.

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Presentation on theme: "Outline  Motivation and Modeling Philosophy  Empirical Alternative I: Model of Cognitive Hierarchy (Camerer, Ho, and Chong, QJE, 2004)  Empirical Alternative."— Presentation transcript:

1 Outline  Motivation and Modeling Philosophy  Empirical Alternative I: Model of Cognitive Hierarchy (Camerer, Ho, and Chong, QJE, 2004)  Empirical Alternative II: Quantal Response Equilibrium (McKelvey and Palfrey, GEB, 1995)  Empirical Alternative III: Model of Noisy Introspection (Goeree and Holt, AER, 2001)

2 Example 1

3 Example 2

4

5 Modeling Principles PrincipleNash CH QRE NI Strategic Thinking     Best Response   Mutual Consistency  

6 Model of Noisy Introspection

7 Example 2:

8 Noisy Introspection Predictions

9 Example 3:

10 Noisy Introspection Predictions

11 Example 4a

12 Example 4b

13 Noisy Introspection Predictions

14 Summary  Motivation and Modeling Philosophy  Empirical Alternative I: Model of Cognitive Hierarchy (Camerer, Ho, and Chong, QJE, 2004)  Empirical Alternative II: Quantal Response Equilibrium (McKelvey and Palfrey, GEB, 1995)  Empirical Alternative III: Model of Noisy Introspection (Goeree and Holt, AER, 2001)


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