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Useful Statistical Distributions for Econometrics Econometrics is usually concerned with the estimation of equations of the form: The normal distribution.

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Presentation on theme: "Useful Statistical Distributions for Econometrics Econometrics is usually concerned with the estimation of equations of the form: The normal distribution."— Presentation transcript:

1 Useful Statistical Distributions for Econometrics Econometrics is usually concerned with the estimation of equations of the form: The normal distribution is useful because it is often reasonable to assume that the errors are normally distributed. However, a number of other statistical distributions are also of use. These include the chi-squared, F and t disributions.

2 The Chi-Squared Distribution The chi-squared distribution is derived from the normal distribution where Z j are i.i.d random variables. V follows a Chi-squared distribution with k degrees of freedom. The Chi-squared distribution is useful in any situation where we are interested in the squared values of a random variable e.g. (1) When examining the variance of the residuals from a regression model. (2) When constructing tests based on the residual sum of squares from a regression model.

3 For k = 1 or k = 2 the PDF of the chi-squared distribution is downward sloping. Note that the Chi-squared distribution has E(X)=k and V(X) = 2k.

4 For any value of k greater than 2, the PDF of the chi-squared distribution has the shape illustrated below. The PDF takes the value 0 for x=0, reaches a single peak for some value of x >0 and declines asymptotically to 0 as x becomes large. The distribution is skewed to the left.

5 As the degrees of freedom increases, the skewness of the PDF becomes less marked and the distribution looks more like the normal

6 k 1 and k 2 are the degrees of freedom for the F-statistic. Note that the order of these degrees of freedom is important. A variable follows an F-distribution if it is constructed as the ratio of two Chi-squared distributed variables each of which is divided by its degrees of freedom. The F-Distribution

7 The PDF for the F-distribution has a similar shape to that of the Chi-squared distribution. k 1 = 1 or 2k 1 >2

8 Student’s t distribution Consider a random variable which is constructed as the ratio of a standard normal random variable to a Chi-squared random variable with degrees of freedom = k. A variable such as this is said to follow Student’s t distribution with k degrees of freedom. The t distribution is useful in many situations in applied econometrics – particularly when we wish to construct hypothesis tests for regression coefficients.

9 The PDF of the t-distribution has a similar shape to that of the standard normal distribution. The t-distribution has ‘fatter tails’ relative to the normal i.e. larger values of x (in absolute terms) are more probable.


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