1. Census 2000: Growing Together or Apart? California’s Regions
Hans Johnson Public Policy Institute of California

2. Outline The California Context Regional Population Trends
Characteristics of the Population

3. California Population 1900-2000 (in thousands)
Source: US Census Bureau, California Department of Finance

4. Comparisons of Population Change 1950=100

5. Comparisons of Population Change 1950=100

6. Comparisons of Population Change 1950=100

7. California Population by Race/Ethnicity 1970-2000
Source: United States Census Bureau

8. Percent Foreign Born

9. Latin America is the Leading Source of Immigrants
Asia ,915,000 (34%)
Europe ,000 ( 8%)
Northern America ,000
Africa ,000
Oceania ,000
Source: Census Supplemental Survey

10. Immigrants Come to California from Dozens of Countries
MEXICO PHILIPPINES VIETNAM EL SALVADOR CHINA
INDIA GUATEMALA TAIWAN CANADA KOREA
IRAN JAPAN GERMANY HONG KONG ENGLAND
SOUTH KOREA PAKISTAN NICARAGUA HONDURAS THAILAND
LAOS ARMENIA RUSSIA CAMBODIA FRANCE
PERU UKRAINE BRAZIL U.K AUSTRALIA
ARGENTINA MYANMAR CUBA IRAQ ITALY
ROMANIA COLOMBIA INDONESIA PORTUGAL EGYPT
TURKEY LEBANON ISRAEL NIGERIA POLAND
GREECE SCOTLAND SOUTH AFRICA NETHERLANDS COSTA RICA
IRELAND JAMAICA BOSNIA & H. SPAIN BOLIVIA
ETHIOPIA PANAMA BELIZE SWEDEN SYRIA
ECUADOR CZECH REP. HUNGARY BELARUS CHILE
JORDAN FIJI AFGHANISTAN
Source: Census Supplementary Survey

11. Source of Growth has Changed Annual Population Change 1950-2000 (in thousands)

12. Net Migration to California 1970-1999 (in thousands)
Source: California Department of Finance, unofficial estimates to 1980;
Public Policy Institute of California ; DOF with CB for international migration

13. Domestic Migration is Determined by Economic Conditions

14. Projections for California Diverge Widely
DOF 98
CB Preferred
25,000
Total population projections for California
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
70,000
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
CB Alternative
BEA
UCLA
CCSCE Medium
CCSCE High
Population
(000)
CCSCE Low
Projections show sharp differences, both in the long term and in the short term.
In the long run, the projections range from 47 million to 63 million. The low end suggests the state’s population will grow 40 percent above its current level of 33 million, while the high projection suggests the state’s population will increase over 190 percent above its current level.
Even in the short run, there is substantial difference cb vs finance. Latest estimates 7/98: cb; 33.5 DOF

15. Outline The California Context Regional Population Trends
Characteristics of the Population

16. Defining California Regions:
Geographic Building Blocks

17. Changing Regional Definitions: The Bay Area

18. Defining California’s Regions:
California in Two

19. Regional Definitions: California Divided by Nine

20. The View from San Francisco
the hinterlands
The City

21. California’s Regions if States: Area and Population

22. Regional Population Distribution: North and South Maintaining Shares

23. Regional Population Distribution: Inland Areas Increasing Share

24. Relatively Slow Growth in Coastal Regions Percent Change by Decade

25. Relatively Fast Growth in Inland Regions Percent Change by Decade
66%

26. Source of Population Growth in the 1990s: Coastal Regions

27. Source of Population Growth in the 1990s: Inland Regions

28. Jobs and Population Growth: Percent Change 1990-2000

29. Jobs:Population Imbalance New Jobs per 1,000 New Residents, 1990-2000

30. Housing and Population Growth Percent Change in Housing Units and Population, 1990-2000

31. Accommodating Population Growth: Percent of Population Growth Accommodated by Existing Housing Units,

32. Outline The California Context Regional Population Trends
Characteristics of the Population

34. Percent Foreign Born, 2000

36. Per Capita Income Rank of California Metropolitan Areas
San Francisco 1
San Jose 4
Oakland 18
Orange County 25
Santa Cruz-Watsonville 30
Santa Rosa 32
Ventura 58
Santa Barbara-Santa Maria 59
Salinas 68
San Diego 78
Sacramento 92
Los Angeles-Long Beach
100
Vallejo-Fairfield-Napa
122
Yolo (Davis-Woodland)
124
San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles
147
Redding
253
Riverside-San Bernardino
272
Modesto
280
Chico-Paradise
284
Stockton-Lodi
285
Fresno
298
Bakersfield
304
Yuba City
305
Visalia-Tulare-Porterville
308
Merced
312

37. Growing Apart: Regional Per Capita Income Relative to State (100 = State PCI)