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7 World Trade Center New York City’s First Green Skyscraper Jonathan Mendelson Josh Kunin-Goldsmith John R. Forbush May 4, 2007
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7 WTC is the first building to open on the site destroyed on 9-11 Symbolic value to City, State, and Country Built by developer Larry Silverstein Building green was a big selling pointselling point ample natural light superior air quality energy and water conservation
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Several ‘green’ studies were combined for this analysis California Green School CBA, 2006 Massachusetts State Green Building Cost- Benefit, 2005 Green Office Buildings Development Guide, 2006 New York State Energy Research and Development Authority Numerous other articles, press releases, and sources
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7 WTC has been Gold certified by LEED
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The EIA predicts steady real energy prices over the next 20 years Crude Oil Electricity Coal Natural gas ProjectionsHistory 2005 dollars per million Btu
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Green Building CBA uses alternative energy pricing forecasts From 2003-2006 Electricity prices rose 6% Natural gas prices rose 14% A recent study school of green schools predicts for both gas and electricity a real 3% increase equal to 5% nominal
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7 WTC energy savings varies substantially with different forecasts With a 33% energy reduction and a 7% discount rate the 30 year PV of savings is; 2003-2006 growth continues= $42 million School study estimate= $25 million EIA projection= $18 million
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Increased efficiency would eventually decrease nationwide energy demand Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory – reduced demand leads price reduction of 100% to 200% of the direct energy savings” Massachusetts state report - 90% Even at 75% 7 WTC being green yields in $19 million indirect savings (30 yr. PV)
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Energy savings enhance property value “Increasing Net Operating Income increases appraised value by 10x Cost Savings…” 7 WTC = 1.7 million sq ft 1 year Energy Savings = $.67/sf/yr 7 WTC worth $11.4 million more than without energy savings The more energy prices increase, the more valuable these ‘green increases’ become
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Green buildings have other benefits Productivity Benefits/Health $2.00 /sq.ft $45.6 Million 30-year PV Existence value How much is society willing to pay for development at 7 WTC?
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Cost savings in 7 WTC go beyond strictly ‘green’ benefits Tax Incentives ‘Green’ tax incentives $.34/sq.ft Special WTC Rent Reductions $3.80/sq.ft Sales Tax Savings (no est) Commercial Rent Tax Savings (no est) Low. Manhattan Relocation Assist (no est)
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WTC 7 benefits from ‘green’ tax credits offered by NYS Estimated $1.72/sq.ft in ‘green’ tax credits over five year period Equates to $.34 tax annual credit 1.7 M x 1.72 = $2.9 million ($2.4 million 5-year PV)
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NYS subsidizes the first 750,00/sq.ft. rented in 7 WTC $3.80/sq.ft for first 750,000 sq.ft rented $2.8 million nominal amount $33 million 30 year PV (7% Discount rate)
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Silverstein “prices in” almost $20 extra into 7 WTC’s rental price Avg Lower Manhattan Class A Office space = $34/sq.ft 7 WTC = $50/sq.ft That extra rent "sits in the context of a lot of new vacancy" downtown, said one real-estate broker who asked not to be named. – Tenant Wise ‘05
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Symbolic value of WTC site pressures NYS to pass incentives o June 2005 bill passes NYS legislature awarding tax credits to WTC site o Governor assigns “a message of necessity” to the bill, a tool used to bypass the state’s constitutional requirement that the final version of a bill must be on each legislator’s desk for three days before it can pass. o As a result, many legislators were forced to vote on the bill almost immediately after receiving it.
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Who gets the benefits? Indirect energy savings Lower prices = Public Existence value Symbol = Public Reduced energy costs Higher rent = Silverstein Property value Higher price = Silverstein Health, productivity and others Higher rent = Silverstein Tax credits/exemptions incentivizing occupancy Public Money = Silverstein
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LEED promotes green through its point system
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The cost of achieving LEED points can vary o Mainly front-end o Many factors: o Location o Weather o Bidding climate
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California study: average cost premium of LEED Gold is about 2%
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Langdon study: cost premium of “green” can vary greatly
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Green premium: 7 WTC o Under 5% of cost o At $700M, green premium of $0-35M o At 2%, would be $14M premium
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Financing for 7 WTC: Mainly Liberty Bonds $475M in tax-exempt bonds Three types: Issue A, 10 years, 6.25% Issue A, 30 years, 6.5% Issue B, 10 years, 6.75% Callable after 4 years at 3%
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Liberty Bonds: cost to federal government in lower tax revenue Joint Committee on Taxation: $8B bonds to cost $1.23B in tax revenue over ten years But higher than normal interest rates Cost depends when called $114M if after 4 years $220M if after 10 years $265M if not called
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Liberty Bonds: significant benefits to Silverstein If bonds decrease interest rates by even 1%, benefits to Silverstein at least: $20M if called in 4 years $33M if called in 10 years $41M if not called
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Conclusion: Net benefits TypePresent Value Beneficiary Energy$25 mSilverstein Property Value$11.4 mSilverstein Aggregate Energy$19 mPublic Productivity$45 mSilverstein ‘Green’ Tax Credit$2.4 mSilverstein WTC Rent Credit$33 mSilverstein Total Benefits$135.8 m
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Conclusion: Cost of green premium, Liberty Bond effects Cost TypePresent Value Source affected Green premium$0-35 mSilverstein Liberty Bond Effect Present Value Source affected Benefits$20-41 mSilverstein Costs$114-265 mFed Gov’t
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