1. Real-Time Water Quality Monitoring for Investigating the Strengths and Weaknesses of Existing Monitoring Techniques Little Bear River Basin Jeffery S. Horsburgh David K. Stevens, Darwin Sorensen, Nancy Mesner Douglas Jackson-Smith, Ron Ryel Utah State University

2. USDA CSREES Conservation Effectiveness Assessment Project Objectives –To determine whether publicly-funded programs to promote the adoption of agricultural BMPs were able to reduce phosphorus loadings into the Little Bear River –To critically examine the strengths and weaknesses of different water quality monitoring techniques, and –To make recommendations to policymakers, agricultural conservation field staff, and other interested parties to ensure that future efforts are targeted towards the most effective and socioeconomically viable BMPs

3. The Interesting Questions Using existing monitoring data: –Can we discern a difference in current phosphorus loads vs. those of 15 years ago?

4. The Interesting Questions Is traditional monitoring adequate to characterize natural or anthropogenic variability in flow or phosphorus concentrations? Do instream monitoring data used in TMDLs focus too much on point source loads when intermittent or infrequent nonpoint source loads are important?

5. Simplified Conceptual Model Phosphorus Loading

7. How large are the bumps versus the baseline?

8. Background - The Problem Need to characterize the flux of phosphorus through the Little Bear River watershed Mass Load = Concentration * Flow Requires streamflow and phosphorus concentrations This is also the classic TMDL problem

9. What Data Do We Have to Work With? Traditional monitoring approaches –weekly –bi-weekly –monthly or even less frequent grab samples (gasp!) Focused on assessing compliance and characterizing general conditions

10. Simplified Loading Conceptual Model

11. How Do We Use Monitoring Data to Estimate Pollutant Loads? Simple Average Approach –Average all flow observations for a period –Average all concentrations for a period –Load = Average Flow * Average Concentration Where: L avg = average load for a time period Q i = Instantaneous observations of flow n = number of flow observations C j = Instantaneous observations of concentration m = number of concentration observations

12. How Do We Use Monitoring Data to Estimate Pollutant Loads? Paired Observations Approach –Consider only paired observations over a particular time period Where: L avg = Average pollutant load for a time period Q i and C i = Paired observations of flow and concentration N = number of instantaneous flow/concentration pairs

13. Issues With Load Estimation Approaches Simple Average Approach –Uses all available data –Averaging ignores correlation between the flows and concentrations –For example- what if we have predominantly flows from a wet year and concentrations from a dry year? Paired Data Approach –Limits data to those that are paired and tosses the rest Both Approaches –What if the data are limited – do either of these approaches give us an accurate estimate?

14. Consider Total Phosphorus Little Bear River at Mendon Road

15. Objective Characterize total phosphorus loading to Cutler Reservoir from the Little Bear River Use existing monitoring data to calculate: –annual average loads –seasonal average loads –monthly average loads –Dare I say – calculate a daily load? Characterize base flow loads versus periodic event based loads

16. Little Bear River at Mendon Road All Utah DWQ TP Data No Streamflow Gage Available Streamflow observations 162 observations from 1976 - 2004 Total Phosphorus observations 241 observations from 1976 – 2004 (one outlier of 6 mg/L removed for plotting)

17. Last 10 Years? Streamflow 72 observations from 1994 – 2004 56 % Reduction in available data Total Phosphorus 99 observations from 1994 – 2004 59 % Reduction in available data In the past 20 years or so, ~$5 Million has been spent in public cost share funds in this watershed to improve water quality Data more than 10 years old are not representative of current conditions

18. What if I want to calculate seasonal loads?

19. What if we want to calculate monthly loads?

20. What about interannual variability? Streamflow data from the only active USGS gage in the watershed show HUGE variability in flow from year to year! The average TP concentration during the dry years is 60 % higher than for the wet years

21. What about weekly or even daily variability? Remember we wanted to characterize periodic events? It is a Total Maximum Daily Load Right?

22. Back to the Original Questions We know that there are important processes that occur on a daily or even hourly time interval that are important How can we capture the natural and anthropogenic variability in total phosphorus loads?

23. The Solution: A Continuous Monitoring Approach The obvious answer: collect higher frequency data Collect continuous data to characterize flow and total phosphorus concentrations

24. Continuous Monitoring Continuous monitoring of streamflow is relatively easy –Monitor water level and relate stage to discharge –Requires establishment of stage-discharge relationship –Must establish over a range of flow conditions BUT: No technology currently exists to continuously monitor total phosphorus –We don’t have enough graduate students or dollars to collect that many wet samples!!!

25. Surrogate Measures Monitor parameters continuously that can serve as surrogates for parameters that can’t be monitored continuously Turbidity as a surrogate for total suspended solids and/or TP Relationships are site specific and are likely seasonal

26. Little Bear River Sampling Program Continuous Monitoring Equipment Stage recording devices to estimate discharge Turbidity sensors to monitor water quality Dataloggers and telemetry equipment http://www.campbellsci.com http://www.ftsinc.com/ http://www.campbellsci.com

27. Little Bear River Sampling Program Periodic Baseline Sampling Wet samples collected weekly or bi-weekly depending on the time of year and analyzed for: –Total phosphorus –Dissolved phosphorus –Total suspended solids At the same time spot checks of turbidity with a portable field meter Establish relationships between total phosphorus, total suspended solids, turbidity, and flow

28. Little Bear River Sampling Program Storm Event Sampling Automated sampling of storm events Sample events triggered by precipitation Collect a series of samples over the period of a storm event to characterize the system response Rise and fall of storm hydrograph

29. Continuous Monitoring Data Little Bear River Near Paradise Storm Event

30. Discussion If we have no monitoring during the storm event we miss the load associated with it How much of the total loading from the Little Bear River is due to base flow, and how much is due to periodic runoff events?

31. What do we gain? Reduced uncertainty in flows and concentrations at a reasonable cost –Use large quantities of relatively low cost data rather than a small number of expensive samples Potential characterization of pollutant loading down to an hourly scale?

32. Do instream monitoring data used in TMDLs focus too much on relatively steady point source loads when intermittent or infrequent nonpoint source loads are important? Is it worth it for a WWTP to install some monitoring equipment downstream of their discharge to better characterize the full spectrum of loading in the stream – as opposed to Traditional monitoring may only characterize the times when loading in the stream is dominated by WWTP discharges East Canyon Creek – Park City –Up to 50 % of the flow at times is WWTP effluent from the Snyderville Basin WWTP at Jeremy Ranch

33. Where are we headed? Rigorously explore the relationships between the surrogates and the parameters we are interested in Explore spatial differences in these relationships Look at the significance of storm event loads vs. base flow loads Tune in next year for more results!