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AAE 451 Senior Aircraft Design Spring 2006 Systems Requirement Review Group VI Team Members: John Collins Chad Davis Chris Fles Danny Sze Ling Lim Justin Rohde Ryan Schulz Ronald Wong Yusaku Yamashita
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Business Case Objective: To determine the feasibility of an alternate fuel business or general aviation (GA) aircraft. Who would buy our plane? Air Charter (Pogo, Net Jets)Air Charter (Pogo, Net Jets) Pogo predicts the capture of 2% of 30 million trips < 500 miles is profitable Pogo predicts the capture of 2% of 30 million trips < 500 miles is profitable Air Taxi (Linear Air, One Sky)Air Taxi (Linear Air, One Sky) Linear Air taxi - 16,000 pax./day traveling within 500 nm Linear Air taxi - 16,000 pax./day traveling within 500 nm Corporate Flight DepartmentsCorporate Flight Departments Small - medium size businesses Small - medium size businesses What are we selling? 6-passenger Alternative Fueled Twin-Engine Propeller-Driven Aircraft6-passenger Alternative Fueled Twin-Engine Propeller-Driven Aircraft Affordable Operating Costs Affordable Operating Costs Viable replacement for current aging fleet of business aircraft Viable replacement for current aging fleet of business aircraft
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Current Market Global fleet of business turboprop aircraft totaled 9,785 in 2002. Global fleet of business turboprop aircraft totaled 9,785 in 2002. In 2002, air taxi accounted for 3.9% of GA aircraft usage; business accounted for 24.2%. In 2002, air taxi accounted for 3.9% of GA aircraft usage; business accounted for 24.2%. 40% of current standing orders are from small-business fractional operators (Honeywell). 40% of current standing orders are from small-business fractional operators (Honeywell). 76% of turboprops operated are light (< 12,500 lbs GTOW) 76% of turboprops operated are light (< 12,500 lbs GTOW) Within current U.S. business aircraft fleet: Within current U.S. business aircraft fleet: 28.3% Light Jet (Avg. age: 16.1 years)28.3% Light Jet (Avg. age: 16.1 years) 2.7% Light Turboprop (Avg. age: 7.1 years)2.7% Light Turboprop (Avg. age: 7.1 years) 37.3% Medium Turboprop (Avg. age: 21.8 years)37.3% Medium Turboprop (Avg. age: 21.8 years)
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Projected Market Projected overall market worth of $107.5 billion within ten years for new aircraft sales. Projected overall market worth of $107.5 billion within ten years for new aircraft sales. Fractional ownership expected to increase from 10% to 24% in 2012 (Rolls-Royce). Fractional ownership expected to increase from 10% to 24% in 2012 (Rolls-Royce). An estimated 20% of business market using air taxi services by 2010’s (Eclipse). An estimated 20% of business market using air taxi services by 2010’s (Eclipse).
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Foreign Markets Europe World’s second largest business aircraft fleet World’s second largest business aircraft fleet 2,250 Aircraft; 1,432 are jets2,250 Aircraft; 1,432 are jets In Moscow, business aviation is expected to grow with a vast Air Taxi network envisaged. In Moscow, business aviation is expected to grow with a vast Air Taxi network envisaged. Operational flexibility attracting interest from airliners such as Lufthansa to launch their own private jet business. Operational flexibility attracting interest from airliners such as Lufthansa to launch their own private jet business. Information from www.EBAA.org Information from www.EBAA.org 866 air taxi companies operating 1,190 aircraft866 air taxi companies operating 1,190 aircraft 615 flight departments owned by European corporations operating 861 aircraft615 flight departments owned by European corporations operating 861 aircraftAsia Within 20 years China will buy 2,400 aircraft worth US $200 billion Within 20 years China will buy 2,400 aircraft worth US $200 billion
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Projected Market Share Sources of sales: Sources of sales: Replacement of aging fleets (majority of new aircraft purchases).Replacement of aging fleets (majority of new aircraft purchases). First-time purchases from small businesses previously unable to afford ownership.First-time purchases from small businesses previously unable to afford ownership. Air taxi services new to market.Air taxi services new to market. Goal of 50-100 aircraft per year in initial sales. Goal of 50-100 aircraft per year in initial sales. Capture/retain minimum 20% market share as percentage overall of business/air taxi sales increase. Capture/retain minimum 20% market share as percentage overall of business/air taxi sales increase.
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Customer Attributes Operators Operators PerformancePerformance Speed Speed Range Range Takeoff Distance Takeoff Distance Ceiling Ceiling EconomicsEconomics Direct Operating Costs / Acquisition costs Direct Operating Costs / Acquisition costs Reliability and Maintainability Reliability and Maintainability Turn over time Turn over time Support and Training Support and Training Upgradeable Upgradeable SafetySafety Noise and Vibrations issues Noise and Vibrations issues AestheticsAesthetics Interior Design Interior Design End Users End Users PerformancePerformance Speed Speed Range Range EconomicsEconomics Ticket Prices Ticket Prices Reliability and Availability Reliability and Availability SafetySafety Noise and Vibrations Issues Noise and Vibrations Issues Weather Restrictions Weather Restrictions AestheticsAesthetics Comfort Comfort Cabin Size Cabin Size
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QFD Matrix
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Design Requirements Performance Max. Range ~ 1000 nm Max. Range ~ 1000 nm Max. Speed ~ 300 kts Max. Speed ~ 300 kts Cruise Speed ~ 240kts Cruise Speed ~ 240kts Ceiling ~ 25,000 ft Ceiling ~ 25,000 ft Gross Weight ~ 8500 lb Gross Weight ~ 8500 lb T.O./Landing Distance T.O./Landing Distance < 2100 ft General Characteristics Cost efficient Cost efficient Use Renewable Source of Fuel Use Renewable Source of Fuel Reduce CO 2 and NO x Emissions Reduce CO 2 and NO x Emissions Low Noise Low Noise FAR compliance FAR compliance
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Competing Aircraft Eclipse 500 – 2300 aircraft orders Eclipse 500 – 2300 aircraft orders Adam A700 – 280 aircraft sales Adam A700 – 280 aircraft sales Cessna Mustang – 230 aircraft sales Cessna Mustang – 230 aircraft sales
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10 Min. Taxi Take-off 2100 ft. Runway Climb to 25,000 ft. IFR Cruise at 250-300 KCAS Descend for Landing 500 nm range45 Min. Reserve Economy Cruise Execute Missed LandingLand 2100 ft. Runway Begin IFR Landing Representative Design Mission 1 pilot (225 lbs.) 1 pilot (225 lbs.) 6 passengers (225 lbs. each, including luggage) 6 passengers (225 lbs. each, including luggage) 1575 lbs. total payload 1575 lbs. total payload
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Questions
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