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Econometric Analysis of Panel Data Panel Data Analysis –Fixed Effects Dummy Variable Estimator Between and Within Estimator First-Difference Estimator.

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Presentation on theme: "Econometric Analysis of Panel Data Panel Data Analysis –Fixed Effects Dummy Variable Estimator Between and Within Estimator First-Difference Estimator."— Presentation transcript:

1 Econometric Analysis of Panel Data Panel Data Analysis –Fixed Effects Dummy Variable Estimator Between and Within Estimator First-Difference Estimator Panel-Robust Variance-Covariance Matrix –Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation –Cross Section Correlation –Hypothesis Testing To pool or Not to pool

2 Panel Data Analysis Fixed Effects Model –u i is fixed, independent of e it, and may be correlated with x it.

3 Fixed Effects Model Classical Assumptions –Strict Exogeneity –Homoschedasticity –No cross section and time series correlation

4 Fixed Effects Model Extensions –Weak Exogeneity

5 Fixed Effects Model Extensions –Heteroschedasticity

6 Fixed Effects Model Extensions –Time Series Correlation (with cross section independence for short panels)

7 Fixed Effects Model Extensions –Cross Section Correlation (with time series independence for long panels)

8 Dummy Variable Model Dummy Variable Representation –Note: X does not include constant term, otherwise one less number of dummy variables should be used.

9 Dummy Variable Model Dummy Variable Estimator (LSDV) Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation

10 Dummy Variable Model Panel-Robust Variance-Covariance Matrix

11 Within Model Within Model Representation

12 Within Model Model Assumptions

13 Within Model Within Estimator: FE-OLS

14 Within Model Within Estimator: GLS GLS = FE-OLS –Note:

15 Within Model Normality Assumption

16 Within Model Log-Likelihood Function ML Estimator

17 Within Model ML Estimator of  e 2 is downward biased even for large N: For balanced panel (T=T i : ),  e 2 should be estimated as:

18 Within Model Estimated Fixed Effects –For, is consistent but is inconsistent unless.

19 Within Model Panel-Robust Variance-Covariance Matrix –Consistent statistical inference for general heteroscedasticity, time series and cross section correlation.

20 First-Difference Model First-Difference Representation Model Assumptions

21 First-Difference Model First-Difference Estimator: FD-OLS Consistent statistical inference for general heteroscedasticity, time series and cross section correlation should be based on panel-robust variance- covariance matrix.

22 First-Difference Model First-Difference Estimator: GLS

23 Hypothesis Testing To Pool or Not to Pool? –F-Test based on dummy variable model: constant or zero coefficients for D w.r.t F(N-1,NT-N-K) –F-test based on fixed effects (unrestricted) model vs. pooled (restricted) model

24 Hypothesis Testing Heteroscedasticity Serial Correlation Spatial Correlation

25 Example: Investment Demand Grunfeld and Griliches [1960] –i = 10 firms: GM, CH, GE, WE, US, AF, DM, GY, UN, IBM; t = 20 years: 1935-1954 –I it = Gross investment –F it = Market value –C it = Value of the stock of plant and equipment


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