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Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Demographic Trends in the U.S. and Missouri: Implications for Urban Extension September 2010 Columbia, Missouri.

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Presentation on theme: "Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Demographic Trends in the U.S. and Missouri: Implications for Urban Extension September 2010 Columbia, Missouri."— Presentation transcript:

1 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Demographic Trends in the U.S. and Missouri: Implications for Urban Extension September 2010 Columbia, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder, Director

2 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis DataData InformationInformation KnowledgeKnowledge WisdomWisdom “The construction of knowledge involves more the orderly loss of information than it’s meaningless accumulation.” -- Kenneth Boulding Http://WWW.OSEDA.MISSOURI.EDU OSEDA…

3 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis The context of population change in the U.S. Total Population 2009 World: 6.8 Billion U.S.: 307 Million Mo.: 5,987,580

4 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Change in Population By State 2000 – 2008 Change in Population By State 2000 – 2008 Total Population 2009 World: 6.8 Billion U.S.: 307 Million Mo.: 5,987,580 Missouri 381,515 7% US 24,834,593 9% Population Change

5 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis * * * * * * U.S. Increase 24.8 Million (8.8%) Six States account for 55% Relative Concentrations of Growth

6 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis In Missouri nearly 80% of us live on about 3% of our land

7 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Diverse Trends: Regions within Regions – and within urban areas

8 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Core Based Statistical Areas

9 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Census Core Based Statistical Areas (land) Metropolitan Areas (county level) –“non-metropolitan” everything not Metro Urbanized Areas (block level) –“rural” everything not “urban” “Micropolitan” Areas” part of Non-Metro For Details Google OSEDA –MCDC and John Blodgett Core Based Statistical Areas – meaning of terms

10 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Census 97.4% of the land area in the state of Missouri is classified as “rural” 30.6% of the population is classified as living in rural areas. Almost 70% of the population of MO lives in 2.6% of the land that is Metro Nationwide, the same 97.4% of the land area is rural, but nearly 80% of the population lives in Metro America. Missouri Core Based Statistical Areas

11 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Missouri Core Based Statistical Areas

12 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis 2009 Count 2009 Proportion 2000-2009 Change Pct Change Missouri 5,987,580100.0% 392,3697.0% Metro 4,509,80075.3% 357,7928.6% "Mirco" 694,12011.6% 36,1165.5% "Rural" 783,66013.1% (1,539)-0.2% Missouri Core Based Statistical Areas

13 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Patterns of growth -- urban flows

14 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Other data that shows urban concentration

15 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Dots make the concentration more apparent

16 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis On the Brink of New Data New 2009 American Community Survey (ACS) Data – within days New (5 year) ACS in December New 2010 counts in December New Definitions of Metros and Urban Areas in @ 2012 Be careful with small area variability Be Careful with Census Estimates

17 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis A few of the Urban Challenges Hispanic Growth – not just rural areas Educational Issues Your list for extension work….. –Communities of interest –Connections to stakeholders –Cultural and class connections –Building social capital (networks) Many Urban Challenges…. For example…

18 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Urban Challenges … Reaching Important Stakeholder Groups

19 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Urban Challenges … Reaching Important Stakeholder Groups

20 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Growth of the Hispanic Population In Missouri impacts urban as well as rural areas Latinos are important part of our urban growth

21 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Missouri Population Change 2000-2009 20002009 Change Percent Change Total5,606,0655,987,580381,5156.8% Hispanic119,740203,90784,16770.3% Non-Hispanic5,486,3255,783,673297,3485.4% Hispanic Percent2.1%3.4%22.1% Hispanic Growth as an urban issue

22 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Latinos are important component of our growth Location of the Latino Population, 2008

23 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis For More Information Google: OSEDA or Pew Hispanic Center

24 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Missouri Public School Enrollment Year20052009 Change Total Enrollment894,809892,279-2,530-0.3% Hispanic (Number|Percent) 25,16633,9948,82835.1% 2.83.8 Latinos are important component of our growth Trends from education data

25 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis EthnicityNumberRate (per 100) Hispanic 80318.7 Non-Hispanic 8,32811.5 All 9,15011.9 Disparities…Health Status of Hispanics, 2008 Source: Missouri Department of Health and Senior Services (MICA) Inadequate Prenatal Care

26 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Urban Challenges – Education…

27 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Source: DESE, 2009 School Data 6,808 White 4,535 Black The Number of Missouri High School Dropouts Increased by 3,162 or 36% from 2004 to 2008

28 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Total White Asian Indian Hispanic Black 2005200620072008 Overall, Missouri rates increased modestly. Black & Hispanic rates are higher and increasing

29 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis From the “Employer” Report: Returns to Associate Degrees Educational Issues – building expectations

30 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis From the “Employer” Report: Returns to Bachelor Degrees Educational Issues – building expectations

31 Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Demographic Trends in the U.S. and Missouri: Implications for Urban Extension September 2010 Columbia, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder, Director


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