1. The ClearSky Field-Burning Decision Support System Joe Vaughan, Charleston Ramos, Brian Lamb Laboratory for Atmospheric Research WSU-Pullman NW-AIRQUEST NASA-ROSES Project Confab April 13, 2007

2. Outline ClearWhat? Original and current system Ensemble Experiment Current Directions ClearSky and NASA-ROSES project

3. Current ClearSky Domain

4. Initial ClearSky Evaluation Rahul Jain’s Findings: ClearSky is highly sensitive to Wind Speed & Wind Direction Small differences in Wind Direction determine whether or not smoke plumes are predicted to affect an air quality monitoring station Recognized a need to represent the uncertainty of the meteorological conditions… Thus arose the idea of using Ensemble Meteorology !

5. Ensemble ClearSky Implementation CALMET CALPUFF u, v formatted for each layer of CALMET u, v formatted for each layer of CALMET 3D met field ----------------- u, v, w, T, BL variables 3D met field ----------------- u, v, w, T, BL variables Web-served PM2.5 plume animations Web-served PM2.5 plume animations PM2.5 emissions from web- based user interface MCIP IC/BC landuse terrain University of Washington Mesoscale Ensemble System WSU ClearSky Ensemble System MM5

7. OCS AVE ETA GFS+ UKMO Observations (OBS), original ClearSky (OCS), and ensemble average (AVE) are shown with the 15 ensemble ClearSky members

8. Current Research and Operational Product Efforts Experiments with 1-km domain MM5 to drive ClearSky to get better terrain resolution, for better winds. Use of a 3-D CALPUFF version to investigate vertical dimension of puff/plumes. Addition of wind roses for post hoc review of how predicted and observed winds differ by site. Forecasting orchard tear-out pile burns. Getting CALMET and CALPUFF running in new rainier system. Investigation of tech-transfer from IDEQ Emergency Response CALPUFFF system to ClearSky.

9. Applied Sciences Program Approach to Integrated System Solutions for A Comprehensive Regional Air-Quality Decision Support System for the Pacific Northwest NASA ROSES

10. 2 nd Fire Behavior and Fuels Conference (IAWF & WSU Extension) Several talks on satellite fire detection for prescribed and wild-land fires… and some maps show that agricultural burning is also being picked up.

11. FIRMS U MD Geography Dept Fire Information for Resource Management System