1. The Earth is not Infinite and therefore does not scale Our Waveform of Consumption

2. Production and Consumption on the Century Timescale  Global Inequity

3. A Century of Change (1900 (=1) vs 2000) Industrial Output: 40 Marine Fish Catch: 35 CO 2 Emissions: 17 Total Energy Use: 16 Coal Production: 7 World Population: 4 No More Fish by 2100 at this rate of Consumption

4. Waveforms of Growth

5. Implications This Century can not scale in terms of material consumption the way that the last century did  BAU can’t be supported We are starting to run out of raw materials needed for basic infrastructure We are definitely running out of rare materials needed for some advanced technologies

6. Business As Usual Scenario

7. The Chinese Sledgehammer Production and Consumption on an unprecedented scale Over the period 2005-2025 China is on pace to use more earth material resources than the United States did in the entire period of 1900 – 2005 !

8. The Rate of Steel Consumption is the Scariest – this is a robust tracer of total material use

9. Note the 2000 Divergence

10. Best perspective on Steel Use This means that we are running out of material (globally) for basic infrastructure

11. Demand and Supply The Wal Mart Express

12. The Global Footprint of Consumption The Second Industrial Revolution

13. USA vs India and China Energy ProductionUSChinaIndia 199510.380.11 200510.730.19 % growth6%107%70% GNP 199510.10.046 GNP 200510.78.028 % growth88%1363%1042% Energy Intensity 9510.270.41 Energy Intensity 0510.94=0.64 % growth52%750%