1. The true asymmetry between synoptic cyclone and anticyclone amplitudes: Implications for filtering methods in Lagrangian feature tracking With David Battisti

2. Single Winter SLP- departure from global mean

3. Over the storm track region, cyclones (lows) have larger magnitude than anticyclones (highs) in the raw data Does this necessarily imply that cyclones have larger magnitude than anticyclones?

4. A Thought Experiment

5. Top Animation is A Traveling Symmetric Wave PLUS A Stationary Low

6. A Traveling Asymmetric Wave A lens (Region of Amplified Waves) Amplified By Bottom Animation is:

7. Can we separate these two examples by taking out the time mean? Top Animation: The time mean is the Stationary Feature Bottom Animation: The time mean is the net affect of the asymmetric wave

8. Are the two different (do we care)? In the top case, the cyclones and anticyclones have the same magnitude and the observed cyclone growth is not synoptic growth but a reflection of the background state In the bottom case, the cyclones and anticyclones have a magnitude asymmetry in the wave and the large cyclone magnitude reflect synoptic growth

9. For Example: Lagrangian Tracking

10. SLP Cyclone magnitude Wave magnitude or stationary climatolgy? How is this picture affected by the way the “background” is removed? Hoskins and Hodges, 2002

11. Is this a reasonable question to ask? Wallace et. al 1988: The differences between cyclones and anticyclones are largely a reflection of background climatology. Can we separate the waves from the background state?

12. Outline of talk I: Different methods of removing “background” field from synoptic fields II: The affect of background state removal on Lagrangian tracking statistics III: How much of the climatological mean state is related to synoptic waves

13. I: Different methods of removing “background” field from synoptic fields A.) Temporal Filter Filter the time series at each gridpoint Does not take into account spatial information B.) Spatial Filter Filter the spatial map at each time step Does not take into account temporal information

14. Temporal Filter- Time Domain High pass filter with cutoff 1/20 days

15. Temporal Filter- Frequency Domain

16. Temporal Filter Natural Log Frequency Domain

17. Spatially Filtering- Take a raw field at a given time 1030 1020 1000 1010 990 980 Instantaneous SLP (hPa) hPa

18. In the spectral domain Cutoff at total wavenumber 5

19. Resulting filtered small scale field 0 hPa 5 10 15 -5 -10 -15

20. Wavenumber-frequency variance NDJFM Northern Hemisphere SLP

21. hPa Time Mean of the Spatially Filtered Field

22. I: Conclusions (thus far) Spatial and temporal filters allow substantially different information to be included in the synoptic field Spatially filtered fields retain a component of the time mean field that is comparable in magnitude to typical synoptic disturbances; the temporal filter removes the entire time mean field

23. II: Feature Tracking

24. How does the choice of filter affect the feature tracking statistics? Similar question was addressed by Anderson et al. 2002, they found: - Temporal filter gives weak systems with cyclone/anticyclone symmetry - Spatial filter properly determines differences in cyclone and anticyclone tracks and intensity We will re-address this issue using NCEP reanalysis winter (NDJFM) SLP The tracking algorithm is that of Hodges, 2001

25. Cyclones Anticyclones Colors = Mean Feature Magnitude (hPa) Contours = Number of Features Identified (# per Month) hPa

26. Colors = Cyclone Magnitude – Anticyclone Magnitude (hPa) Contours = Spatially Filtered Time mean (hPa)

27. Look at feature magnitude distributions by region hPa

28. Look at feature magnitude distributions by region hPa

29. Look at feature magnitude distributions by region hPa

30. All three regions together

31. Composite Features In each region, make SLP maps relative to the location of the 100 highest magnitude features of each type ( cyclones and anticyclones defined by spatial and temporal filters Subtract out climatology

32. Mid-latitude section Spatially Filtered Temporally Filtered hPa

33. Northern-latitude section Spatially Filtered Temporally Filtered hPa

34. Southern-latitude section Spatially Filtered Temporally Filtered hPa

35. II: Conclusions this section Inclusion of the time mean SLP field in the spatially filtered fields skews the tracking statistics towards large magnitude cyclones (anticyclones) in the climatological lows (highs); such an asymmetry is a misrepresentation of the synoptic fields The temporal filter produces a modest cyclone/anticyclone magnitude asymmetry that is consistent with the data

36. III: How much of the climatological mean state is related to synoptic waves

37. Eulerian Distribution on the right side Top Panel Bottom Panel ------- MODE MEAN

38. hPa Winter SLP Moments

39. How can we estimate the net affect of passing waves? The first three moments of the SLP distribution at each gridpoint uniquely define a skew- normal distribution The separation of the mean and mode is analytically determined (offset due to skewness)

40. hPa Partitioning of the NDJFM Mean SLP field Same analysis with filtered fields gives similar results

41. Conclusions The spatial filter distorts the synoptic fields in an unphysical way that is unrelated to synoptic waves The temporal filter produces a modest cyclone/anticyclone magnitude asymmetry consistent with the data The conclusions reached here for SLP also hold for geopotential at other levels and to a lesser extent for vorticity tracking