1. 1 PAF101 PAF 101 “Snowflakes are one of nature’s most fragile things, but just look at what they can do when they stick together.” -Vesta Kelly Module 5, Lecture 5

2. Class Agenda Announcements Competition Debriefing Assignment for Next Class

5. Extra Credit The last day to submit any extra credit speaker forms is Monday, 4/27 by 8PM No submissions will be accepted after this date and there will be NO exceptions

6. Module 5 Competition Results Group C is the winner! They received 5 points! Groups B and D did not finish, so they received 0 points. All other groups received 3 points.

7. Competition Points GroupPoints A10 C9 E5 B4 F4 G4 H3 I3 D1 As of 4/13/2015

8. Module 5 Debriefing Instructions -When your group number is called choose 2 representatives to stand up and answer the questions (can’t be the same people as the M4 Competition and both people can’t be from the same original group number)

9. Module 5 Competition Policy: Hold Syracuse University Tuition Increases to the Rate of Inflation

10. Exercise 9.2A Describe the public policy here, including the policy tool, the governmental agency that will implement the policy, and the geographic location where it will be implemented: The policy is that tuition at Syracuse University in Syracuse, New York will rise to twice the rate of inflation. This is a local policy to be implemented by the office of financial aid.

11. Exercise 9.2A Describe the public policy here, including the policy tool, the governmental agency that will implement the policy, and the geographic location where it will be implemented: The policy is that tuition at Syracuse University in Syracuse, New York will rise to twice the rate of inflation. This is a local policy to be implemented by the office of financial aid. Problem 1: Incorrect policy– Should be: SU tuition increases will be held to the rate of inflation. Problem 2: Office of Financial Aid deals with financial aid, not tuition. SU Board of Trustees and Kent Syverud would implement this policy. Problem 3: Missing policy tool.

12. Exercise 9.3 List five players that have the most influence on your policy by filling out the chart below. Briefly justify each selection. Be sure to include the title of each player. Player and Title Justification 1. StudentsStudents want low tuition 2. Board of Trustees Tuition is somewhat important to the board 3. Dean of Financial Aid He plays a role in controlling the Financial Aid given to students 4. ChancellorShe wants the University to make money so she will try to stop this policy 5. Loan Companies They have an interest in keeping tuition high

13. Exercise 9.3 List five players that have the most influence on your policy by filling out the chart below. Briefly justify each selection. Be sure to include the title of each player. Player and Title Justification 1. StudentsStudents want low tuition 2. Board of Trustees Tuition is somewhat important to the board 3. Dean of Financial Aid He plays a role in controlling the Financial Aid given to students 4. ChancellorShe wants the University to make money so she will try to stop this policy 5. Loan Companies They have an interest in keeping tuition high Player 1: Students are not players. Player 2: Justification doesn’t justify power. Justifies priority. Player 3: Nonexistent– there is no “Dean” of financial aid Player 4: Should identify the title AND name. Correct: Kent Syverud, President and Chancellor. Also, Justification doesn’t justify power. Justifies priority. Player 5: Loan companies do not have power over decision. They are stakeholders, not players.

14. Exercise 9.4 Estimate and provide justification for the issue position, power, and priority for each player listed in Exercise 9.3. Player 1-Name and Title: Student Association Issue Position: 3Justification: Students would fully support a policy that would prevent them from paying even more for college. Power: 0Justification: Student Association doesn’t have any power. Priority: 5Justification: Cost of school is the most important issue for students, and the Student Association voices the issues of the students.

15. Exercise 9.4 Estimate and provide justification for the issue position, power, and priority for each player listed in Exercise 9.3. Player 1-Name and Title: Student Association Issue Position: 3Justification: Students would fully support a policy that would prevent them from paying even more for college. Power: 0Justification: Student Association doesn’t have any power. Priority: 5Justification: Cost of school is the most important issue for students, and the Student Association voices the issues of the students. Problem 1: Issue position needs a +/- sign Problem 2: Cannot be a player if power is 0. Change to 1. Justification: Student Association members are representatives and don’t have formal authority in making decisions. Problem 3: Could be lower priority since it is a student group and not a single-issue player.

16. Exercise 9.4 Estimate and provide justification for the issue position, power, and priority for each player listed in Exercise 9.3. Player 2-Player and Title: Board of Trustees Issue Position: +2 Justification: The Board is worried about losing money if tuition is low. Power: 4Justification: The Board only has some say in what the tuition is. Priority: 3Justification: Tuition is a reasonable concern for the board of trustees.

17. Exercise 9.4 Estimate and provide justification for the issue position, power, and priority for each player listed in Exercise 9.3. Player 2-Player and Title: Board of Trustees Issue Position: +2 Justification: The Board is worried about losing money if tuition is low. Power: 4Justification: The Board only has some say in what the tuition is. Priority: 3Justification: Tuition is a reasonable concern for the board of trustees. Problem 1: Sign should be negative. Problem 2: Should mention they have to approve the final budget. Problem 3: Should have brief explanation as to why it is a reasonable concern.

18. Exercise 9.4 Estimate and provide justification for the issue position, power, and priority for each player listed in Exercise 9.3. Player 3-Player and Title: Dean of Financial Aid (pretend as if there were one) Issue Position: -3Justification: He worries about money. Power: 1Justification: The Dean only distributes the Financial Aid, he doesn’t decide what it is. Priority: 1Justification: Losing financial aid to give out is very important to him.

19. Exercise 9.4 Estimate and provide justification for the issue position, power, and priority for each player listed in Exercise 9.3. Player 3-Player and Title: Dean of Financial Aid (pretend as if there were one) Issue Position: -3Justification: He worries about money. Power: 1Justification: The Dean only distributes the Financial Aid, he doesn’t decide what it is. Priority: 1Justification: Losing financial aid to give out is very important to him. Problem 1: Poor justification– Should say: Dean would be against this policy because if the University received less income, he would have less money to give out in financial aid. Problem 2: Policy is about tuition, not financial aid  off topic Problem 3: Priority should be higher.

20. Exercise 9.4 Estimate and provide justification for the issue position, power, and priority for each player listed in Exercise 9.3. Player 4-Player and Title: Kent Syverud, Chancellor of Syracuse University Issue Position: -5Justification: SU’s financial situation and tuition costs are extremely important to the Chancellor. Power: 5Justification: He would have to agree and sign to change the tuition. Priority: 5Justification: The Chancellor’s only focus is funding, so he cares a lot about tuition.

21. Exercise 9.4 Estimate and provide justification for the issue position, power, and priority for each player listed in Exercise 9.3. Player 4-Player and Title: Kent Syverud, Chancellor of Syracuse University Issue Position: -5Justification: SU’s financial situation and tuition costs are extremely important to the Chancellor. Power: 5Justification: He would have to agree and sign to change the tuition. Priority: 5Justification: The Chancellor’s only focus is funding, so he cares a lot about tuition. Problem 1: Justifies priority, not issue position. Problem 2: The Chancellor is a player with many issues to focus on, so his priority would not be any higher than a 3. Problem 3: The Chancellor has many issues to focus on, not just tuition.

22. Exercise 9.4 Estimate and provide justification for the issue position, power, and priority for each player listed in Exercise 9.3. Player 5-Player and Title: Loan Companies (pretend they are a player) Issue Position: -5Justification: Loan companies can deny loans to students who need them. Power: 5Justification: Without a loan, students can’t afford school. Priority: 1Justification: Companies make loans for things besides tuition.

23. Exercise 9.4 Estimate and provide justification for the issue position, power, and priority for each player listed in Exercise 9.3. Player 5-Player and Title: Loan Companies (pretend they are a player) Issue Position: -5Justification: Loan companies can deny loans to students who need them. Power: 5Justification: Without a loan, students can’t afford school. Priority: 1Justification: Companies make loans for things besides tuition. Problem 1: This is like a power justification, but does not actually relate to companies’ power to affect the policy. Says nothing about position. Problem 2: Rating is too high. If loan companies had any power to influence over SU’s decisions about tuition, it would be very low. Problem 3: Rating should be higher because student loans are a big market.

24. Exercise 9.5 A Using the policy identified in 9.2 and the information in Exercise 9.4, complete a Prince Chart in the form below PlayersIssue Position XPowerXPriority=Prince Score Student Association 3X1X5=15 Board of Trustees -2X5X3=30 Dean of Financial Aid -3X1X1= Chancellor-5X5X5=125 Loan Companies-5X5X1=-20

25. Exercise 9.5 A Using the policy identified in 9.2 and the information in Exercise 9.4, complete a Prince Chart in the form below PlayersIssue Position XPowerXPriority=Prince Score Student Association 3X1X5=15 Board of Trustees -2X5X3=30 Dean of Financial Aid -3X1X1= Chancellor-5X5X5=125 Loan Companies-5X5X1=-20 Problem 1: Issue position should always have a sign—Student Association needs a + sign. Problem 2: Chancellor’s Prince Score should be -125 Problem 3: Loan Companies’ Prince Score should be -25

26. Exercise 9.5 B Calculate the probability of the policy being implemented following the directions on pp. 112-114 in the Maxwell Manual. Show your calculations here: 15 + 30 = 45 =.227 = 23% 15 + 30 + 3 + 125 + 25 198 Interpret the probability according to Figure 9.2 in the Maxwell Manual here: This will definitely happen.

27. Exercise 9.5 B Calculate the probability of the policy being implemented following the directions on pp. 112-114 in the Maxwell Manual. Show your calculations here: 15 + 30 = 45 =.227 = 23% 15 + 30 + 3 + 125 + 25 198 Interpret the probability according to Figure 9.2 in the Maxwell Manual here: This will definitely happen. Problem 2: This interpretation is not based on the Maxwell Manual. Correct: According to the Maxwell Manual a probability of 23% means that the policy is unlikely to be implemented and will be killed as a proposal. Problem 1: Should show original formula: probability of support = sum of all positive scores + ½ neutral scores sum of all scores ignoring signs and parentheses

28. Things to remember… Know your players! Know the difference between position, power, and priority, and pay attention to your justifications. Make sure your probability percentage isn’t unreasonable. High percentages mean that it would be very successful and would have already been implemented. Double check multiplication in Prince Chart and probability calculation.

29. For Next Class Complete 9.1 through 9.5 Read Exercise 11.1 and Chapter 10 if you know what’s good for your group Bring Mod. 5 Exercises to class Community Service Forms due 4/20 Final Paper due 4/27 No Exceptions!!!!! http://classes.maxwell.syr.edu/paf101