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Kwamena Quagrainie Purdue University, USA Charles Ngugi and John Makambo Moi University, Kenya
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Small-scale and medium-scale production of tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) and catfish (Clarias gariepinus) Total production about 1,000 mt/year Farms concentrated in western & rift valley regions
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Many farmers are literate, retired civil servants, etc. Commercial banks providing credit services for fish farming. Government support and favorable policies towards aquaculture.
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Need for investments in fish farming to move from subsistence to commercial production. Examine attitudes to credit & factors that influence use of credit.
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Questionnaire solicited information on: Demographics General Farm operations Fish Farm operations
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Responses = 131 Males – 85% Average age 50yrs
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Average # of ponds = 6 Average acreage = 616m 2
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Simple Binary Probit Analysis Dependent variable: Whether or not credit is used to purchase inputs Explanatory variables Region; western=1, otherwise=0 Age Educational level; primary, secondary or adult=1, otherwise=0 Total pond acreage Value of tilapia sales in past 6 months (KSH) Value of catfish sales in past 6 months (KSH) Type of market outlets; multiple=1, otherwise=0 Fulltime labor cost per day (KSH)
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Variable Coefficien tp-value Constant-1.0890.089 Western region0.8710.013 Age0.0050.664 Some education-0.3180.366 Pond acreage-0.0010.042 Tilapia sales0.2610.006 Catfish sales0.0860.080 Direct to Customers-0.0820.782 Fulltime labor cost-0.0060.009 Pseudo R-squared0.20 % Correct Predicted78.62
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VariableCoefficientp-value Western region0.1900.003 Age0.0010.662 Some education-0.0880.396 Pond acreage0.0000.022 Tilapia sales0.0670.005 Catfish sales0.0220.083 Direct to Customers-0.0210.783 Fulltime labor cost-0.0010.006 How do variables affect the probability of credit use?
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Interpretation of Results Farmers in the Western region have 19% higher probability to use credit than farmers from other regions. A m 3 increase in pond acreage and a KSH increase in fulltime labor cost, increase the probability of credit use by 0.02% and 0.14% respectively. A KSH increase in tilapia and catfish sales increase the probability of credit use by 7% and 2% respectively.
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In general, there is a low probability of credit use by fish farmers. More education is needed about the use of credit to expand aquaculture operations and improve commercialization. Focus should be in the Western region where there is a greater % of aquaculture operations.
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Acknowledgement This study was sponsored by the Aquaculture & Fisheries Collaborative Research Support Program (AquaFish CRSP) funded under USAID Grant No. EPP-A-00-06-00012-00 and by Purdue University, USA and Moi University, Kenya.
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